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davidrmoran
I myself see a big pullback coming in the next six months but I don’t know that I have ever been correct over 45 years. I will put a lot of money in if a 10% pullback comes. I expect you r being prudent depending on how old you are. The thing is, if you’re young, you might as well stick it out and not try to time. He said.
Oh, I inferred you had substantive thoughts. My bad.
Gotta go wring my hands. As a history minor I read plenty about supposed empire lifecycles and the stages.
ACA as milepost to collapse is a new notion, though. Someone better tell all those mi…
jeez, just read up a few inches
>> Maybe ACA is going to kill us all. In any case, it is reckoned with as it unfolds, by and large, not down the road, invisibly. I thought (somehow) that was your point.
>> (And do you have better ideas…
Will do, tnx.
Of course 2.5y is too old. How could it not be? I am not sure you understand what these kinds of reports are for. Fortunately even this WDC modulates and changes (a little), as does economic performance.
The latest is again fascinati…
Here ya go. This will probably disappear now that it's posted, but anyway:
https://www.tdameritrade.com/education/tools-and-calculators/morningstar-instant-xray.page
Wait, you are citing a 2.5yo article from a Kristol rightwing mag? Seriously?
Talk about not knowing things.
Maybe ACA is going to kill us all. In any case, it is reckoned with as it unfolds, by and large, not down the road, invisibly. I thought (…
What future obligations for ACA? What are you talking about? No one's kicking it down the road so far as I can see from reading.
As for debt, what matters is percentage of GDP, not total, and there are legitimate arguments about that percentage, a…
Wow, what is wrong with people ? This is beyond a circus.
http://www.salon.com/2016/10/13/fox-business-host-lou-dobbs-tweets-phone-number-and-address-of-donald-trump-sexual-assault-accuser/
Dobbs? Who knew he was a wingnut pig? (Turns out his info…
Read up. I believe it is CAPE, effectively, and then the extra bond sauce accounts for the outperformance. I mean, just track DSENX vs CAPE.
Three years old now.
Every month it buys low and sells high SP500 per C A p/e. Study it. What would mean…
the etn CAPE has gotten totally conflated here with the Shiller p/e analysis tool C A P E :)
happens all the time here, like w dca and etf and all those things which if you do not lowercase them or separate them become trading symbols automatically
Fascinating. Even more interesting for me is that for the last 4y it is extremely hard to find anything with consistency that has outperformed the etn CAPE (not SCHD, DVY, insofar as divs correlate w/ value; not RPV; not NOBL and OUSA more recently;…
Well, of course --- if you're gonna go VTI instead of SPY, then sure, the delta w RSP (RPG, RPV) is not much worth spending time on.
The suggestions were not just to go SP500 alone, that's all.
RPG. Maybe leave some as cash in case she wants or needs to buy something. And yes, depending on her earnings, she can incrementally move it into a Roth over time.
Does M* too not do any general-journalism reading? 2015 CEO of the year, 2015, and they wrote that?? Or listen to the conference calls? This is close to unbelievable for what is essentially a news / information outfit.
Actually I was discussing scenario outcomes and balance shifts as a function of allocation with someone who at 70 needs to try and hit 35k out of a half-mil portfolio. She asked for my takes. Which is how I came up with my whatever it is I am allege…
Have run it many times, long before you ever mentioned it.
Have never been a gut investor.
So it all depends on how much one will be needing for cashflow and what the sleep@night thresholds are. You go right ahead and stick with your misreading of…
>> when it corrects an inadvertent error.
Can't tell whom you're railing against now for unfairness or pickiness or whatever it is, but you do love to opine broadly and generally and then do not at all care for being called on it --- Dale Ca…
@MJG:
>> 1. Hold a bond portfolio percentage equal to your age (that's a Jack Bogle suggestion)
Sigh. You left out something crucially important. See:
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Asset_allocation#cite_note-10
" ... pension and Social …
On today's show Ric Edelman lit into them as I have seldom heard from him, with more new (and worse) historical detail than I have read.
Also these clawbacks are complete nonsense; they are simply future forfeiture (fractional) of huge amounts and …
>> I did read the references you provided. ... I'm sure some reviews were positive, but neither perspective dictates my understanding or appreciation of the work. I formulate my own assessment.
And what was that? Surely you are not so 'one th…
k, thought about it today, at some length, read some more, discussed with wife (sent her their lame letter), and went ahead and, since market up, bailed out totally, with her strong concurrence.
Large positions (for us). All gone.
Will consider …
Murray's Bell Curve sources were not reputable, when not thoroughgoing bigots.
http://www.nybooks.com/articles/1995/02/02/the-bell-curve-and-its-sources-1/
http://www.nybooks.com/articles/1994/12/01/the-tainted-sources-of-the-bell-curve/
(paywalle…
