Seeking recommendations: "what one book . . . ?" Wednesday update: 21+ titles, several fascinating Wednesday's count: 9 responses, 21 books or book sets, and no overlaps! You folks have some really cool recommendations. Here's the mid-week title list. The original call for suggestions appears just below it.
Montier, The Little Book of Behavioral Investing: How not to be your own worst enemy
Hobbes (remember "the war of all, against all"?) or Machiavelli ("a prince never lacks legitimate reasons to break his promise")
Mutual Funds for Dummies
Malkiel, A Random Walk Down Wall Street: The Time-Tested Strategy for Successful Investing
Bogle, Common Sense on Mutual Funds: Fully Updated 10th Anniversary Edition
Ferri, All About Asset Allocation, Second Edition
Swensen (the Yale manager), Unconventional Success: A Fundamental Approach to Personal Investment
Faber and Richardson, Ivy Portfolio: How to Invest Like the Top Endowments and Avoid Bear Markets
Zweig, Your Money and Your Brain: How the New Science of Neuroeconomics Can Help Make You Rich
Jones, The Intelligent Portfolio: Practical Wisdom on Personal Investing from Financial Engines
Peter L. Bernstein Classics Boxed Set : Capital Ideas, Against the Gods, The Power of Gold
Graham, The Intelligent Investor
McGrath, The Asylum: The Renegades Who Hijacked the World's Oil Markets, largely about NYMEX traders
Olson, Zero Sum Game: The Rise of the World's Largest Derivatives Market, about the Chicago Exchanges
Lewis, The Big Short: Inside The Doomsday Machine
Morgan, Market Forces, "a futuristic novel"
Elton, Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis
Heady, The Complete Idiot’s Guide to Making Money on Wall Street
Stikky Stock Charts (yes, two k’s)
Bach, The Automatic Millionaire: A Powerful One-Step Plan to Live and Finish Rich
Clayson, The Richest Man in Babylon
Pond, Your Money Matters: 21 Tips for Achieving Financial Security in the 21st Century
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I would like to help extend the reach of your expertise. Collectively, you've got a lot of wisdom and I'd like to make it a bit more accessible to new visitors and old friends alike. One plan for doing that is to create two new pages dedicated to your recommendations.
The first page will focus on books. I'd like to solicit nominations for books in two categories: the one best investing book that every new investor (perhaps, every investor?) should read. The other is the one best personal finance book (that is, the one that covers the "bigger picture" stuff) that every one should read.
The rules are simple: pick a book that you've read and that others might plausibly read. And explain in a sentence or two what the book argues and why it's good.
I'll collate your recommendations and our crack technical team will create a page highlighting the top offerings (three? five? don't yet know) in each category, with a survey of comments and a link to Amazon.
Chuck Jaffe of MarketWatch called Friday, with a recommendation for a second reader-inspired page that he's been hoping for for quite a while. Once we have a good start to the book discussion, I'll raise Chuck's suggestion and offer up a second survey.
Thanks, as ever, for your time, patience and good spirits. They help a lot!
David
Monday update: the "reply" option, works in process, and the effect of clicking on a name Catch,
Just saying that posters who are saying we should revert back to the FA format should give it a chance for a little while first. I wasn't enamored with the FA format the first time I visited the site. And then it took some getting used to. Truth be told, I wasn't too sure about the MFO site at first either. But DS and team have been very receptive to comments and have been improving the site. So, my little quip really should have read something like this: Let's try to limit our feedback to constructive criticism only, because lots of hard work (for no financial gain) has been put in by the MFO team and they are continuing to try to make improvements (seemingly for the sole purpose of making us happy).
All the best,
BY
M*: What Your Portfolio's Sector Positioning Is Trying to Tell You Just 'cuz I'm in a cantankerous mood due to finishing my income taxes:
> Sector weighting is data that speaks for itself
That's a highly debatable proposition.
Data do not speak for or against anything. It is the observer's SELECTION and INTERPRETATION of data that speak for or against a given proposition or set of propositions. So even the decision to assign a company to a given sector is an editorial judgment that reflects the biases of the individual(s) making that judgment.
Obvious example: M* slots Berkshire Hathaway into the Financial sector, even though the majority of BRK's holdings are in consumer cyclical, healthcare, and industrial goods and services, and--at least based on BRK's recent filings--a strong, if not compelling case, could be made that BRK belongs in the "consumer cyclical," rather than "financial" sector. So, at the very least, assigning the entire value of fund's BRK holdings to a single sector rather than parsing its value out among the various sectors in which BRK is invested (or, better yet, dropping it into M*'s "miscellaneous" sector) has the potential to (and in some cases, does) massively skew the snapshot of the fund's sector distribution.
So the sector weighting isn't data that speaks for itself (no matter how much M* want you to think it is); it's M*'s subjective--and sometimes overly simplistic--presentation of the data.
If Congress won't raise the debt ceiling ... Hi Andy,
If you feel we're facing a time of uncertainty, you need to get defensive. That historically meant healthy and consumer staples, underweight equities to bonds and whatnot.
Today, I don't really see that as sufficient - largely because of the potential problems we're facing. And, just for the record, I see the chances of some sort of financial meltdown as being in the 15-25% range. However, while very low, the consequences of some sort of meltdown are sufficiently severe that taking some precautions is prudent.
Now, in this environment of a dollar that's losing value - you want to minimize your exposure to US bonds, particularly longer term. Stick with corporates and international including emerging mkts. You want to own stocks in solid companies that pay a dividend. You want to minimize your exposure to the dollar - you can buy foreign currency ETFs like FXA or FXC. For internation exposure, you want to be with countries that have natural resources and hopefully a better banking system. Canada and Australia jump out but there are others. I am of course extremely bullish on gold and silver and I also like Perm Port PRPFX.
Pay down your debt, get some ready cash available but this might include precious metals, swiss francs, etc.
peace,
rono