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I tracked AQR funds for several years and I don't see consistent patterns of out-performance especially during down cycles. Consider the high ER of these funds, a low cost balanced fund such as VTMFX is a better approach.I think it is safe to say there are 100's of different schemes or formulas within this alternative category. Which formula or fund will out-perform a balanced fund over the entire economic cycle and which one's will have their shining moments only when the economic stars align? Again a gamble.
Maybe @PBKCM would give us some insight on what might change the graph in their favor? The last 10 years have been a lot of good equity returns and most of the time has seen lower interest rates as well, but it wouldn't be a big surprise if there are situations where a balanced fund wouldn't have the options available to it that an alt fund would and that could change the relative performance. I'd just wonder what those situations are and how likely they are? After all, many balanced funds can and have moved to shorter durations to reduce interest rate risk and I'd presume most of them could even hold cash if they wanted....after all that why not just own VTMFX:
Precisely bee!!! VTMFX or any other well managed balanced fund will out perform 95% of these magical alternative funds over a cycle.
Lewis From what source are you culling these facts? Thx.
Of 2,258 diversified U.S. equity funds, only 111 have 10% or more in cash—and their recent performance has been poor. Just 18% of those with five-year records have beaten their peers as of Feb. 10. Go back 15 years to include the 2008 crash, and the outperformance number jumps to 48%.
You can do a similar search using M* premium, though my impression is that the M* Direct database is a bit larger than the "retail" database.It's a customized search on Morningstar Direct.
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