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Maybe you need a lesson on leverage.
BT2020: What FD is missing here is the leverage is HIGHER now then earlier in the year.
With HIGHER leverage and the corresponding INCREASE in treasury rates, interest costs and the associated risk for the leverage has increased then earlier in the year.
Maybe you are the one who missed my main 2 points. Please reread it.
It means you can't predict where the leverage will be next week or in 4 weeks. Leverage was used years ago. Example: the 10 year treasury is around 1.1%, in 2018 it was over 3% and in 2019 over 2%...mmm...are we anything close to that?
In fact, in 2017-2019 the 10 year was higher than 2%.
Thanks for the info. The chart in the link above is worth watching and see how SVARX compared to PIMIX and other bond fundsThe April 2020 quarterly newsletter describes the SVARX active management approach over the preceding two years. The chart provides a good visual description. Scroll down to the Active Management section of the newsletter. (Reviewing the 12/31/19 and and 3/31/20 portfolio composition in the table above that section is also instructive.)
THE FULL SPECTRUM - April 2020
Yes, this is a open secret that occasionally comes up here. I used this loophole by transferring part of a small 401k to TRP and opening a Rollover IRA in PRWCX a couple of years ago.I did find out an interesting tid-bit though, not all closed funds are really closed funds. He told me that if the amount is large enough for moving 401k funds in, that they could be deposited into currently closed funds. I've been looking at PRWCX Capital Appreciation and was told I could open an account and actually deposit funds into it if it's the right amount. Does this sound right?
Maybe you are the one who missed my main 2 points. Please reread it.
BT2020: What FD is missing here is the leverage is HIGHER now then earlier in the year.
With HIGHER leverage and the corresponding INCREASE in treasury rates, interest costs and the associated risk for the leverage has increased then earlier in the year.
Absolutely do your own diligence. First, we don't know how long or how high the leverage has been. Second, the 10 year was much higher years ago and the fund did OK too. Third, the manager has been using short positions too. Per M* fund holdings I can see 2 positions at -10.03% and -9.89
What FD is missing here is the leverage is HIGHER now then earlier in the year.
With HIGHER leverage and the corresponding INCREASE in treasury rates, interest costs and the associated risk for the leverage has increased then earlier in the year.
Sectors Fund % Cat %QQQ
Basic Materials 2.42 2.61
Consumer Cyclical 12.66 11.17
Financial Services 13.90 13.42
Real Estate 2.29 2.47
Communication Services 10.26 10.21
Energy 2.60 1.90
Industrials 8.83 10.11
Technology 23.82 22.81
Consumer Defensive 6.78 7.99
Healthcare 13.77 14.76
Utilities 2.67 2.54
Information Technology 47.90%Industry exposure:
Consumer Discretionary 19.29%
Communication Services 18.22%
Health Care 6.39%
Consumer Staples 5.15%
Industrials 1.88%
Utilities 0.96%
Software 15.27%
Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment 13.96%
Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals 12.37%
Internet & Direct Marketing Retail 11.95%
Interactive Media & Services 10.35%
IT Services 4.59%
Automobiles 4.43%
Biotechnology 3.98%
Media 3.39%
Entertainment 3.11%
Absolutely do your own diligence. First, we don't know how long or how high the leverage has been. Second, the 10 year was much higher years ago and the fund did OK too. Third, the manager has been using short positions too. Per M* fund holdings I can see 2 positions at -10.03% and -9.89Don’t forget the most important part of the fund.
The 49% leverage and the huge position in swaps.
With the recent spike in the 10 year and if the rise in interest rates continues, the higher borrowing costs will be detrimental to this funds huge position in leverage.
Do your own due diligence on this fund.
Brubeck is great, but yeah, the same refrain from Time Out on repeat is deafening.Thanks. On another note, their call wait music is the bomb...well not so much after the first 2 hours.
Agreed, the whopping leverage % IS the most important part of this fund that appears to be lost on the OP who stated, "I'm not sure what the managers of SVARX are doing..."
Don’t forget the most important part of the fund.
The 49% leverage and the huge position in swaps.
With the recent spike in the 10 year and if the rise in interest rates continues, the higher borrowing costs will be detrimental to this funds huge position in leverage.
Do your own due diligence on this fund.
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