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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Wells Fargo Should Be More Generous With Federal Workers.
    This is a company that rarely misses an opportunity to kick people when they're down. For example, not only did it fail to help people of its own volition after 2008 with their mortgages, it denied refinancing that should have been granted under the government HARP program. That resulted in hundreds of foreclosures.
    https://www.housingwire.com/articles/46372-wells-fargo-reveals-software-error-wrongly-denied-much-needed-mortgage-modifications
    So the fact that it couldn't recognize an opportunity for positive PR (even while costing very little) is no surprise.
    Just to be fair and balanced, here's Fox Business News' take on banks that are helping out. It highlights three such banks: Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Citibank.
    These banks help customers hit by partial government shutdown
    https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/these-banks-help-customers-hit-by-partial-government-shutdown
    Seeing that Wells Fargo is working to improve the "customer experience", will it go nationwide with Starbucks in its branches? That's something it started in California a couple of decades ago but seemed to lose interest in. Just think - you could be drinking a $4 latte and helping out Wells Fargo at the same time.
    http://articles.latimes.com/1997/oct/10/business/fi-41154
  • Bonds: 2019 Outlook In Investing
    FYI: The bond market is embarking on another year of Federal Reserve watching. After raising rates four times in 2018, the Fed is currently projecting just two moves this year.
    Many economists are calling for slower economic growth, but it's not clear whether it will slow enough to derail Fed tightening. The U.S. still faces risks ranging from trade tensions to possible inflation, which suggests markets will remain volatile in 2019.
    With rates likely to continue rising, albeit more slowly, what's a bond investor to do?
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.google.com/search?source=hp&ei=u8swXIfdJozIjwTn8rC4Ag&q=Bonds:+2019+outlook+in+investing&btnK=Google+Search&oq=Bonds:+2019+outlook+in+investing&gs_l=psy-ab.3..33i22i29i30.3596.3596..5328...0.0..0.83.152.2......0....1j2..gws-wiz.....0.liX8-NLf-_U
  • Barron's Cover Story: Best Income Investments For 2019
    Playing the Yield. Thx.. Most listed here
    Could not copy tips and att ades to list
    Here are picks in 11 income investment categories, ranked by their relative attractiveness.
    Income Investment / Ticker Price 1/2/2019 2018 Total Return Yield Discount to NAV
    Master Limited Partnerships
    Alerian MLP / AMLP $8.89 -12.6% 8.6% N/A
    Salient Midstream & MLP / SMM 7.58 -27.7 8.9 15.3%
    Kayne Anderson MLP / Midstream Inv. Co. / KYN 14.11 -19.4 10.2 3.0
    Enterprise Products Partners / EPD 24.99 -1.3 6.9 N/A
    Junk Bonds and Funds
    iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate / HYG $80.99 -2.0% 5.6% N/A
    MainStay MacKay High Yield Corporate / MKHCX 5.31 -2.6 5.1 N/A
    BlackRock Corporate High Yield / HYT 9.39 -7.8 9.1 12.2%
    Nuveen Credit Strategies Income /JQC 7.41 -4.3 6.5 12.2
    European Dividend Stocks and Funds
    First Trust Stoxx European Select Dividend/FDD $11.89 -8.9% 5.1% N/A
    Vanguard FTSE Europe / VGK 48.35 -14.9 4.0 N/A
    BP / BP 38.59 -4.5 6.4 N/A
    U.S. Dividend Stocks and Funds
    Tri-Continental / TY $23.60 -5.9% 4.3% 11.4%
    Vanguard High Dividend Yield / VYM 78.12 -5.9 3.4 N/A
    iShares Select Dividend / DVY 89.01 -6.3 3.6 N/A
    JPMorgan Chase / JPM 99.31 -6.6 3.2 N/A
    Preferred Stock
    iShares U.S. Preferred Stock / PFF $34.55 -4.6% 6.3% N/A
    Nuveen Preferred & Income Securities / JPS 8.35 -12.3 8.1 6.1%
    Carlyle Group 5.875% / TCGP 20.64 -13.9 7.2 N/A
    Real Estate Investment Trusts and Funds
    Vanguard Real Estate / VNQ $72.95 -6.0% 4.8% N/A
    Cohen & Steers Quality Income Realty / RQI 10.26 -11.1 9.4 10.0%
    Nuveen Real Estate Income / JRS 8.34 -18.1 10.1 9.8
    Boston Properties / BXP 109.15 -10.9 3.5 N/A
    Telecom
    AT&T / T $29.54 -22.2% 6.9% N/A
    Verizon Communications / VZ 56.02 11.3 4.3 N/A
    Vodafone / VOD 19.72 -34.9 8.6 N/A
    Municipal Bonds
    Vanguard Intermediate-Term Tax-Exempt / VWITX $13.92 1.3% 2.8% N/A
    Nuveen AMT-Free Quality Municipal Income / NEA 12.50 -5.7 5.1 13.7
    MainStay MacKay High-Yield Municipal / MMHDX 12.36 3.0 3.1 N/A
    BlackRock Municipal 2030 Target Term Trust / BTT 20.80 -4.6 3.6 12.4
    Electric Utilities
    Utilities Select Sector SPDR / XLU $52.01 3.9% 3.4% N/A
    Reaves Utility Income / UTG 29.35 1.8 6.9 0
    Edison International / EIX 56.75 -6.7 4.3 N/A
    Investment-Grade Bonds
    iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate / LQD $113.17 -3.8% 3.7%
  • Vanguard Equity Income
    To The Shadow et al- My financial intention with VEIPX are hold it in a Roth for 10 years/ Ill have contributed 13500 by the end of this year.
  • Barron's Cover Story: Best Income Investments For 2019
    FYI: After a tumultuous few weeks in the markets, the steady income offered by yield-focused investments looks very attractive.
    And the recent selloff has created a bounty of opportunities in both stocks and bonds that are among the most promising in years.
    Income plays that now look particularly appealing include high-dividend stocks in the U.S. and overseas markets, master limited partnerships, junk bonds, and preferred stock. In these sectors, investors can get yields from 3% to 10% through individual securities, mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, and a hard-hit group of closed-end funds.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-best-income-ideas-for-2019-51546632171?mod=djem_b_Weekly barrons_daily_newsletter
  • Suggestions on international funds or ETFs
    Geez - There’s so many. And today’s winner may well be next year’s looser because they tend to invest in different countries and regions - and in emerging markets to varying degrees. Those diverse markets don’t always march in unison.
    PIEQX is a large cap international index fund offered by TRP - 0.45 ER. I’ve held it before. Lipper scores it near the top of its category based on past performance. One thing I like is minimal “manager risk” since it’s an index fund. But it’s not going to have any significant exposure to EM. (The same index is probably available a bit cheaper elsewhere - but .45 for an international fund ain’t bad.)
    A conservative approach, also from Price, is RPGAX. Probably best classified as a balanced fund, but a good steady performer which reduces the 40% bond allocation balanced funds typically employ to just 30%. That is accomplished by investing about 10% in a Blackstone hedge fund. I like the added diversification that brings to the fund. I doubt it’s going to boost return long term. But I’m a fan of diversification as a way to dampen volatility. Fund invests both domestically and internationally. Reasonable fees. T.Rowe is a class act with whom to work.
    Yep - as noted earlier international funds have lagged. Fees tend to be higher. Many foreign markets aren’t as transparent as in the U.S. which adds risk and expense. Importantly, the dollar has been very strong in recent years - so currency related issues are part of the equation. Japan, once a world economic powerhouse, has been somewhat comatose for past 3 decades. Europe was slower in responding to the global hit from the 2007-8 financial crisis. Hopefully they’ll get up to full speed soon - but seem prone to shoot themselves in the foot.
  • Perritt Low Priced Stock Fund to be reorganized
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1286087/000089706919000004/cmw30.htm
    497 1 cmw30.htm
    Filed Pursuant to Rule 497(e)
    1933 Act File No. 333-114371
    1940 Act File No. 811-21556
    Perritt Funds, Inc.
    Perritt MicroCap Opportunities Fund (PRCGX)
    Perritt Low Priced Stock Fund (PLOWX)
    January 4, 2019
    Supplement dated January 4, 2019 to the
    Statutory Prospectus dated February 28, 2018, as Supplemented
    Fund Reorganization
    We are pleased to announce that on January 4, 2019, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Perritt Funds, Inc. (the "Company") approved: (1) a plan of reorganization pursuant to which the Perritt Low Priced Stock Fund (the "Low Priced Stock Fund") will be reorganized into the Perritt MicroCap Opportunities Fund (the "MicroCap Opportunities Fund") (each, a "Fund," and together, the "Funds"); and (2) the subsequent liquidation and dissolution of the Low Priced Stock Fund, effective on or about February 22, 2019. The reorganization, which is expected to be tax free to the shareholders of the Low Priced Stock Fund and is subject to customary closing conditions, will be effected by transferring of all of the assets and liabilities of the Low Priced Stock Fund to the MicroCap Opportunities Fund in exchange for shares of the MicroCap Opportunities Fund, with the shares being distributed pro rata by the Low Priced Stock Fund to its shareholders. The Low Priced Stock Fund will then be liquidated and dissolved. The reorganization is expected to occur on or about February 22, 2019. In accordance with applicable regulatory requirements, shareholder approval is not required for the reorganization, and shareholders are not being asked to approve the reorganization.
    The Low Priced Stock Fund's portfolio manager will continue to manage the Low Priced Stock Fund in the ordinary course.
    Existing shareholders may redeem or exchange shares of the Low Priced Stock Fund in the ordinary course until the last business day before the closing of the reorganization, February 21, 2019. The Low Priced Stock Fund will be closed to new purchases, whether into current accounts or new accounts, as of the close of business on Thursday, February 14, 2019.
    The Funds will file an information statement and prospectus as part of a Registration Statement on Form N-14 with the Securities and Exchange Commission in connection with the reorganization. The information statement and prospectus will be sent to shareholders of the Low Priced Stock Fund. Shareholders are urged to read the information statement and prospectus because it will contain important information about the reorganization, including the Board's reasons for approving the reorganization. The information statement and prospectus may be obtained free of charge from the SEC's website at www.sec.gov or by calling 1-800-332-3133 (toll free).
    ***
    Please retain this Supplement for future reference.
  • Suggestions on international funds or ETFs
    @msf,
    yeah, I am not thinking granularly enough, I suppose, or thinking about small degrees of risk reduction, sort of at the edges.
    But I wrote what I wrote after charting TWEIX, GABSX, and OAKIX over various periods, long and short, since 1994.
    Except for occasional decorrelations over the ~5y after ~1997, there appears to be little compelling argument for holding all three rather than any one. (I'm partly being influenced by the log scale.)
  • Eating their own cooking
    There are many variants of "eat your own cooking" and many rationales given for it. The suggestion appeared in a paragraph beginning: "Stopping the bleeding is a more difficult question. Have your investors lost faith in you? "
    Barn doors and horses come to mind in this context. Having employees invest exclusively in funds offered by their employer may help sustain investors' faith, but I don't see it restoring faith that has been lost, or stanching the outflows.
    More broadly is the question of whether the purpose of restricting employees from investing outside is to prevent potential conflicts or to eliminate the appearance of conflicts. If one is talking about investors' faith, it seems that it is more the latter.
    To illustrate the difference: a lawyer must withdraw from a case if there is an actual conflict of interest. In contrast, a judge should recuse himself if there even the perception of bias.
    It's not difficult to put rules in place that would prevent actual conflicts. @hank has given examples where a safe exception might be made for outside investing (employees in narrowly focused, boutique firms). That addresses actual conflicts, but not necessarily the appearance of conflicts, certainly not to the same degree. If it is investors' faith that is the issue (and should it be?) then is this sufficient?
    Then there is the reverse consideration - not that other interests would pull a manager in different directions, but rather that having a lot of money invested in the fund being managed would motivate the manager to do a better job, to boost performance. That seems to be @rforno 's focus.
    While this is not entirely without merit, it's something I've long been skeptical of. First, because I have difficulty believing that greater money will spur multi-million dollar earners on. (Will a CEO work better for $20M than for $10M? What about the Protestant work ethic, and what about pride in one's work, regardless of income?) Second, from a personal investing perspective, putting one's eggs in a single basket (more generally, investing in an employer's stock) is not a good idea. Third, you may not get the behavior you want - a manager may not want his own money at risk, so he might manager the fund holding his money too conservatively. Or the manager might increase the risk excessively (since, on average, risk is rewarded, though it often doesn't work out that way).
    I keep thinking about managers who run a company's target date funds. Should they be expected to put money into all the target dates, even though by design only one of the funds is suitable for them?
  • First Eagle Overseas Fund to reopen to new investors
    Investors are weird. SGOVX has been 14 consecutive months of outflows, peaking at a drawdown of $800 million in December, despite top-tier performance in 2018 (also in 2014, 2015, and 2016). 2017 saw fine absolute returns (14%) but rotten relative ones (it trailed by 13% in a frothy market, which is entirely predictable) and investors began inching toward the doors in late 2017 but not rushing until 2018.
    "Long-term" now translates to "three-month," for many folks.
    David
  • Ben Carlson: 2017 vs. 2018 In The Stock Market
    FYI: It takes the Earth roughly 365 days to orbit the sun so that’s what we’ve agreed upon as the definition for a full calendar year. Orbiting the sun has nothing to do with the financial markets but people still spend an inordinate amount of time figuring out what the new year will bring in the markets.
    Going from December to January or the 4th quarter to the 1st quarter shouldn’t mean anything to investment professionals but the reality is people pay attention to this stuff. So even though it shouldn’t matter, if these are the norms then these are the norms.
    One year in the stock market should have no bearing on the next year and the data makes this clear (chart via Mark Hulbert):
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2019/01/2017-vs-2018-in-the-stock-market/
  • What Drove Thursday's 'Flash Crash'?
    FYI: Those sleepy Asian investors who are still on holiday must have woke up to quite a shock on Thursday. In just seven minutes, the Japanese yen soared 8 per cent against the Australian dollar, a favourite proxy of the Chinese economy. Versus the Turkish lira, it surged a whopping 10 per cent. The yen also swung against the US dollar, strengthening nearly 4 per cent.
    In the aftermath, many have pinned the blame on mounting worries about Chinese growth, on the back of a profit warning from Apple, and a disproportionate number of investors betting the dollar would appreciate versus the yen. But in actuality, the violent gyrations have a lot more to do with thin early-January trading.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://ftalphaville.ft.com/2019/01/03/1546528502000/What-drove-Thursday-s--flash-crash--/
  • FPA Launches FPA Flexible Fixed Income Fund
    The fund has a curious profile: up to 75% high yield (sibling New Income is 25%) with the goal of adding 100 basis points to returns. While it maintains FPA's signature "absolute return" focus, the 100 bps pushes the window from AR over a 12 month period to AR over a 36 month period. That implies the prospect for noticeably more volatility.
    I've got a call scheduled with the FPA folks next week to see what they were thinking. I'll share what I learn.
    David
  • Is the time right for this stopped-watch fun, HSGFX
    I pretty much agree with you Mark. I used to think PRPFX was the perfect fund to own through an economic cycle, and if your expectations are around a 5-6% 'fairly stable' return it probably is a good choice. But not for me at this time.
  • First Eagle Overseas Fund to reopen to new investors
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/906352/000093041319000009/c92580_497.htm
    497 1 c92580_497.htm
    FIRST EAGLE FUNDS
    First Eagle Overseas Fund
    1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS
    NEW YORK, NEW YORK 10105
    (800) 334-2143
    SUPPLEMENT DATED JANUARY 3, 2019
    TO STATEMENT OF ADDITIONAL INFORMATION DATED MARCH 1, 2018
    This Supplement is intended to highlight certain changes to the Statement of Additional Information dated March 1, 2018, as may be amended or supplemented. Please review these matters carefully.
    First Eagle Overseas Fund Opening to New Investors
    Effective at the start of business on January 10, 2019, the First Eagle Overseas Fund (the “Overseas Fund”) will again begin accepting new investors without special restriction. At that time, shares of the Overseas Fund will be available for purchase as described in the section of the First Eagle Funds’ Prospectus entitled “About Your Investment—How to Purchase Shares.”
    * * * *
    The information contained in this Supplement modifies the First Eagle Funds’ Statement of Additional Information dated March 1, 2018, as may be amended or supplemented. In particular, and without limitation, the information contained in this Supplement modifies (and if inconsistent, replaces) information contained in the section of the Statement of Additional Information entitled “Fund Shares.”
  • Putting Faith In Investing: Amana Mutual Funds
    FYI: There are more than 4,000 religions in the world. The biggest, with a little more than 2 billion adherents, is Christianity. Next, with a little less than 2 billion followers, is the Islamic faith, which is also the fastest-growing. By around the year 2060, if estimates hold, Islam will grow 70% and be the world’s dominant religion.
    Most major religions are expected to grow by midcentury, too, just not as much: The number of Christians is expected to grow 34%; Hindus, 27%; and Jews, 15%.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.fa-mag.com/news/putting-faith-in-investing-42422.html?print
    Saturna Capital Website:
    https://www.google.com/search?source=hp&ei=X_AtXO7hAsSCjwS1pKT4Bw&q=Saturna+Capita&btnK=Google+Search&oq=Saturna+Capita&gs_l=psy-ab.3..0l10.3868.3868..5896...0.0..0.82.151.2......0....1j2..gws-wiz.....0.h4oboqgP6QY
  • FPA Launches FPA Flexible Fixed Income Fund
    FYI: First Pacific Advisors, LP (“FPA”) announced today that it launched FPA Flexible Fixed Income Fund (FPFIX) (“the Fund”).
    This marks FPA’s first new bond fund since becoming adviser to FPA New Income, Inc. (FPNIX) in 1984. FPA New Income, Inc. is the only fund in Morningstar’s Short-Term Bond category to post positive returns in every calendar year since 1984.1
    FPA partners Thomas Atteberry and Abhijeet (Abhi) Patwardhan manage both funds with the same investment philosophy, process and team.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20190102005423/en
  • Is the time right for this stopped-watch fun, HSGFX
    Hi Mike - At first suspected you were asking “tongue-in-cheek” ... as you and I are among those who previously owned HSGFX and fled. I track the fund a bit and have noticed his better than normal showing in ‘18. All of the above reactions are correct. Hussman has blown at least a couple opportunities to get the fund back on track (‘07-‘09 notable). So why trust him now?
    The same thought you voice has occurred to me. If we enter a long, protracted, gut-wrenching bear market with major indexes off 50% or more over a decade, than this fund will shine (err - do a lot less worse) and you’d be glad to have owned it. (But God help this country.) It’s been my impression that’s the kind of scenario he’s long been expecting.
    Will that happen? Dunno. Anything’s possible. NO - I won’t be sending him any money.
    PS - As a timing play it may have some merrit. Not my game.
  • Eating their own cooking
    I disagree with your interpretation of the quoted statement (quoted from where?)
    It suggests that employees should invest only in "funds managed by the firm", not just funds they manage, and not just managers but all employees.
    Regarding employees, it would make more sense to me to confine this restriction to anyone with investing responsibilities, including analysts and traders, but not the cleaning crew, answering service, etc. assuming any of these people are employees.
    In practice, money management firms may have a hard time imposing this policy. A number of firms have been sued over their retirement plans when they have included only house funds. See, e.g. this suit against SEI. Though the Barron's article cited below implies the issue may be more about excessive fees or poor performance; it claims that exclusive use of house funds is in itself okay:
    " the law gives companies wide flexibility to design and run plans as they see fit. Employers aren’t required to select index funds or the lowest-cost shares; they can use their own investment products exclusively."
    https://www.barrons.com/articles/fidelity-blackrock-401k-lawsuit-1539977967