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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • The Closing Bell: U.S. Stocks Slip Amid Conflicting Signals On Trade Talks
    FYI: U.S. stocks edged lower Thursday as investors assessed conflicting signals on prospects for the U.S.-China trade talks.
    The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.20%, a day after the gauge of blue-chip stocks logged its biggest fall of the month. The S&P 500 slipped 0.16%, and the Nasdaq Composite slid 0.24%. All three major U.S. indexes earlier this week notched the latest in a string of recent all-time highs.
    Investors continued to monitor the drumbeat of headlines on attempts to resolve trade tensions between the U.S. and China.
    China’s chief trade negotiator late last week invited his American counterparts for a new round of face-to-face talks, according to people briefed on the matter, The Wall Street Journal reported Thursday. Chinese officials hope the negotiations can take place before the Thanksgiving holiday, but the U.S. side hasn’t committed to a date.
    That report came less than a day after President Trump criticized China’s efforts to reach a trade agreement, escalating concerns that the world’s two biggest economies won’t reach a deal this year.
    Overseas, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 index retreated 0.4%, led by losses in sectors most exposed to the global economic impact of worsening trade tensions.
    Investors who parsed Federal Reserve meeting minutes released Wednesday found central bank officials said little about what would prompt them to resume interest-rate cuts when they signaled a pause following last month’s rate reduction.
    The health of the U.S. economy has been a focus of investors, and a recent drive into shares of economically sensitive companies, like banks and manufacturers, has suggested optimism about the economic outlook. New data Thursday showed the number of Americans applying for first-time unemployment benefits held steady at a near five-month high last week, above the level expected by economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal. The recent rise in jobless claims could be an early indication of a cooling labor market, or it could reflect seasonal volatility around the holidays.
    The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury was 1.781%, up from 1.737% Wednesday. Bond yields rise as prices fall.
    Energy shares led gains among S&P 500 sectors, rising 1.1% as U.S. crude oil rose 2.3%.
    Company-specific news drove swings in individual stocks. Shares of Charles Schwab jumped 6.6% after CNBC reported that the brokerage is in talks to buy TD Ameritrade Holding and a deal could be announced as early as Thursday. TD Ameritrade surged 18%. Rival E*Trade Financial dropped 9%.
    Shares of Tiffany rose 2.6% following a Reuters report that LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE has gained access to the jewelry retailer’s books after it improved its takeover offer to nearly $16 billion.
    Regards,
    Ted
    Bloomberg Evening Briefing:
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-11-21/your-evening-briefing
    MarketWatch:
    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stock-futures-pare-losses-after-report-chinas-liu-cautiously-optimistic-over-trade-deal-2019-11-21/print
    WSJ:
    https://www.wsj.com/articles/stocks-fall-on-dimming-hopes-for-u-s-china-trade-talks-11574315113
    Bloomberg:
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-11-20/asia-stocks-set-for-caution-on-u-s-china-tensions-markets-wrap
    IBD:
    https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-down-239-points-for-week-china-concerns-tesla-stock-hits-buy-point/
    CNBC:
    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/11/21/us-stocks-wall-street-in-focus-amid-earnings-data-and-trade-talks.html
    Reuters:
    https://uk.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/wall-street-muted-on-doubts-over-progress-in-u-s-china-trade-deal-idUKKBN1XV1GM
    U.K:
    https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-stocks/uk-stocks-fall-as-trade-fears-labour-manifesto-weigh-idUKKBN1XV0UN
    Europe:
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-europe-stocks/trade-woes-knock-european-shares-for-the-fourth-day-thyssenkrupp-slumps-idUSKBN1XV12X
    Asia:
    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/11/21/asia-markets-november-21-us-china-trade-hong-kong-protests-currencies.html
    Bonds:
    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/11/21/us-treasury-yields-amid-us-china-trade-tensions-jobless-claims.html
    Currencies:
    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/11/15/forex-markets-us-china-trade-deal-in-focus.html
    Oil
    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/11/21/oil-markets-us-china-trade-deal-in-focus.html
    Gold:
    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/11/21/gold-markets-us-china-trade-deal-in-focus.html
    WSJ: Markets At A Glance:
    https://markets.wsj.com/us
    Major ETFs % Change:
    https://www.barchart.com/etfs-funds/etf-monitor
    SPDR's Sector Tracker:
    http://www.sectorspdr.com/sectorspdr/tools/sector-tracker
    SPDR's Bloomberg Sector Performance Pie Chart:
    https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/sectors
    Current Futures:
    https://finviz.com/futures.ashx
  • Vanguard brokerage account conversion round 3
    @msf
    I'm not digging through old paperwork to verify dates for transitions; but recall in the late 1970's our opening a separate taxable brokerage account as well as traditional IRA accounts with a brokerage feature added to each. For legal purposes at the time (I presume), the IRA account had its own separate paperwork, as well as the brokerage feature; each requiring a separate signature (yes, real papers signed at a Fidelity brick and mortar). I do recall the T accounts and the rework to issue a new account number. I don't recall the reasons, although it may have been to consolidate their system and for the owners benefit to simplify everything per account holder per their SSN. Don't know.
    Of course, we opened the separate brokerage accounts to do other transactions outside of the "normal" mutual fund transactions.
    Thank you for your work and recollections.
    IMHO, account functions (new accounts, Fidelity) are quite straight forward and easy today, eh?
    Catch
  • Vanguard brokerage account conversion round 3
    Possibly you're right about being able to retain legacy accounts. While I still have my doubts, I went back and checked my father's records and later mine at Fidelity.
    Fidelity originally offered individual fund accounts (much like T. Rowe Price still does, I believe). Then around 1988 it created "T accounts". You still had your mutual fund accounts as if nothing had changed, but they were grouped under a common "T" account number. This is the way Vanguard's fund platform works. You can have one or more aggregation fund accounts, and within those accounts one or more fund holdings.
    Toward the end of 2002, Fidelity changed the numbering of the accounts, which were no longer called T accounts. That transition was mandatory:
    Recently your Fidelity funds account(s) was converted to Fidelity's new account transaction and record keeping system. As a result of this system conversion, you have a new account number(s) and will notice a slight change in the format of your statement. But otherwise your account is the same as before the conversion. Please note that there was no tax consequence to your account due to the system conversion.
    I had thought that sometime after that, Fidelity pushed me into a brokerage account. But looking back at the old statement where that transition took place, it seems I voluntarily made the switch. (I can infer that from the fact that I changed the titling of the account, which would not have been done without my consent.)
    We'll see what happens. In any case, at neither Vanguard nor Fidelity can one open a new account on the mutual fund platform. Only new brokerage accounts can be opened. Sooner or later everyone will be off the old platform by attrition (read: demise).
  • The Worse Value Stocks Perform, The More Rob Arnott Likes Them
    FYI: Value stocks have been frustrating fans for a decade, testing their patience with year after year of subpar returns. But Rob Arnott says now is exactly the wrong time to bail on them.
    In research published Wednesday, the Research Affiliates co-founder reiterates the case against quitting before the miracle. The 13-page paper, “Standing Alone Against the Crowd: Abandon Value? Now?!?” examines how the cheap-stock strategy has behaved over time, particularly after periods following severe underperformance. Arnott has stood by the strategy through years of struggle, and isn’t changing his stance now.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.bloomberg.com//news/articles/2019-11-20/the-worse-value-stocks-perform-the-more-rob-arnott-likes-them?srnd=markets-vp
    Research Affiliates Research Paper:
    https://www.researchaffiliates.com/en_us/publications/articles/766-standing-alone-against-the-crowd.html
  • looking for input: amount of brokerage information to share
    Hi David,
    Perhaps a survey here of users, to establish a top ten (or other cut off number) list of platforms/brokerages used and to add that other platforms may be available.
    Whatever variables may exist for a particular investment within a brokerage remains with the account holder to sort the investment.
    If I discovered a "most interesting" investment and it is not available at Fidelity, well, too bad; as I'm not going to open an account elsewhere to chase such an investment, but that's just me.
    One would suspect going forward, that if a list is too large; managing such a list would be very difficult when accounting for the ever changing environment at brokerages, and their offerings.
    ADD: An example of where one may or may not be able to purchase FDGRX. This fund was closed to new investors in April, 2006. Except: if one already held the fund, monies may be added, and the fund is still open to "new" money inside of 401k, 403b, etc. platforms where offered. Sorting an available platform list for such a fund would be beyond the scope of reasonable information.
    Regards,
    Catch
  • Big Stocks Give S&P 500 An Edge: SPY vs. RSP
    FYI: Bigger is better in the stock market—for now.
    Shares of Apple Inc., Microsoft Corp. , Facebook Inc. and other large market-cap stocks have risen significantly this year, as investors show clear signs of continuing to favor the stock market’s biggest cohorts.
    All three stocks are up at least 52% this year, contributing heavily to the S&P 500’s nearly 25% gain since the end of December. The broad stock-market index weights its constituents by market cap, giving the biggest companies in the index more influence than smaller ones. It is outpacing for a third consecutive year its equal-weighted counterpart that avoids playing favorites based on size.
    The S&P 500 Equal Weighted Index is up 23% in 2019. It puts the same emphasis on clothing retailer Gap Inc., which is worth $6.2 billion, as Apple, which is valued at $1.2 trillion, a factor that helps investors avoid the pain caused by sharp swings in individual stocks, money managers have said.
    But that also means investors in funds that track equal-weight indexes missed out on some of the rewards from large-cap tech and communications shares’ strong run in recent years.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.wsj.com/articles/big-stocks-give-s-p-500-an-edge-11574185528
    Last 12 Mo:
    SPY 18.27%
    RSP 14.95%
    3 Years:
    SPY 51.31%
    RSP 39.32%
    5 Years:
    SPY 67.33%
    RSP 53.90%
    Source Bespoke:
  • M*'s The Long View: Guest: Charles de Vaulx, Manager, IVA International & IVA Worldwide: Podcast
    FYI: Our guest on the podcast this week is Charles de Vaulx. De Vaulx is chief investment officer and portfolio manager at International Value Advisers, where he is also a partner. With his colleague Chuck de Lardemelle, de Vaulx manages the IVA International and IVA Worldwide strategies. Before forming IVA in 2008, de Vaulx was the portfolio manager of First Eagle Global, First Eagle Overseas, First Eagle U.S. Value, and First Eagle Variable. For his accomplishments, Morningstar has recognized de Vaulx and his comanager de Lardemelle several times in the past, awarding them our International-Stock Manager of the Year Award in 2001 and nominating them for the same award in 2006. De Vaulx began his career at Societe Generale Bank as a credit analyst in 1985. He graduated from the Ecole Superieure de Commerce de Rouen and holds the French equivalent of a master's degree in finance.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.morningstar.com/podcasts/the-long-view/30
  • looking for input: amount of brokerage information to share
    Hi, guys.
    Several months ago a reader asked if we could include brokerage availability information with all of our single-fund articles (profiles, Elevator Talks, Launch Alerts). That seemed like a reasonable request, so I started hunting. The information used to be available on Morningstar.com but no longer is.
    I was in conversation with the folks at Morningstar and they offered to provide their master list of brokerage availability to use with our articles; the only condition was that the list of "for internal use only," which means that I can extract information about an individual fund's availability in the course of an article but I can't give folks access to the list itself.
    Fair enough. Generous, actually.
    Here's the place where I'd like your help. How much brokerage information should we list? The easy answer is "all of it," but "all of it" is a swamp. FAMEX, for example, has 80 listed brokerage options including multiple listings for many platforms (Schwab One Source, Schwab NTF, Schwab Institutional ...). Here's what it looks like, straight from the master list:
    Ausdal Financial Partners Inc;Cetera Advisors LLC;Cetera Advisor Networks LLC;E TRADE Financial;Mid Atlantic Capital Corp;Pershing FundCenter;EP Fee Small;Shareholders Services Group;JPMorgan;Merrill Lynch;T. Rowe Price;TD Ameritrade Trust Company;LPL SAM Eligible;Fidelity Retail FundsNetwork;Fidelity Retail FundsNetwork-NTF;Fidelity Institutional FundsNetwork;Fidelity Institutional FundsNetwork-NTF;DATALynx;Dreyfus NTF;Federated TrustConnect NTF;Mony Securities Corp;SunAmerica Securities Premier / Pinnacle;Vanguard NTF;ETrade No Load Fee;SunGard Transaction Network;Royal Alliance;Bear Stearns No-Load Transaction Fee;CommonWealth Universe;Robert W. Baird & Co.;JPMorgan INVEST;WFA MF Advisory Updated 2/01/2019;RBC Wealth Management-Network Eligible;DailyAccess Corporation RTC;DailyAccess Corporation FRIAG;Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc.,;EP Fee Large;ING Financial Ptnrs PAM and PRIME Approv;Ameritas NTFN;Ameritas NTF P;Firstrade;Scottrade NTF;Standard Retirement Services, Inc.;TIAA-CREF Brokerage Services;Pershing FundVest NTF;Matrix Financial Solutions;Trade PMR Transaction Fee;ING Financial Advisers - SAS Funds;Mid Atlantic Capital Group;HD Vest - Vest Advisor;Securities America Advisors;Bear Stearns;Securities America Advisors Top Rated;Protected Investors of America NTF;JP MORGAN NO-LOAD NTF;JP MORGAN NTF;JP MORGAN NO-LOAD TRANSACTION FEE;TD Ameritrade Retail NTF;TD Ameritrade Institutional NTF;TIAA-CREF NTF;MSWM Brokerage;WFA Fdntl Choice/PIM Updated 2/01/2019;DailyAccess Corporation Mid-Atlantic;RBC Wealth Management-Wrap Eligible;E-Plan Services, Inc.;Investacorp NTF;ING Financial Partners Inc.;Securities America Inc.;Nationwide Retirement Flexible Advantage;JP Morgan No Load;Merrill Edge;DailyAccess Corporation Matrix;DailyAccess Corporation MATC;LPL SWM;Schwab All (Retail, Instl, Retirement);Schwab OneSource & NTF (No Load & No Transaction Fee);Pershing Retirement Plan Network;HD Vest;Commonwealth (NTF);Commonwealth (NTF - PPS/Advisory);Commonwealth (PPS/Advisory);
    Uh ... ick.
    This project is being handled by David Welsch, who is learning to do all of the technical stuff as part of our business continuity planning. Good guy. Bright. Good spirited. But not a fund industry obsessive, so I'll need to provide very specific directions to keep it manageable and consistently high quality.
    The easiest option is to include every platform, but just once. That cuts JPMorgan from six to one, and reduces the list from 80 to 43:
    Ameritas NTF P; Ausdal Financial Partners Inc; Bear Stearns; Cetera Advisors LLC; Commonwealth (NTF); DailyAccess Corporation RTC; DATALynx; Dreyfus NTF; EP Fee Large; E-Plan Services, Inc.; ETrade No Load Fee; Federated TrustConnect NTF; Fidelity Retail FundsNetwork; Firstrade; HD Vest; ING Financial Advisers ; Investacorp NTF; JP MORGAN NO-LOAD NTF; LPL SWM; Matrix Financial Solutions; Merrill Lynch; Mid Atlantic Capital Group; Mony Securities Corp; MSWM Brokerage; Nationwide Retirement Flexible Advantage; Pershing FundVest NTF; Protected Investors of America NTF; RBC Wealth Management; Robert W. Baird & Co.; Royal Alliance; Scottrade NTF; Securities America Advisors; Shareholders Services Group; Standard Retirement Services, Inc.; Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc.; SunAmerica Securities SunGard Transaction Network; T. Rowe Price; TD Ameritrade Retail NTF; TIAA-CREF NTF; Trade PMR ; Vanguard NTF; WFA Fdntl;
    So the Ausdal's of the world continue to clutter the list and lots of those brokerages have details (SWS versus SAM in the case of one firm, Fdntl for another) that are significant but not worth our time to suss out.
    The second option is to include only the top tier brokerages, once we fiqure out who those are (it's Schwab but is it LPL? Baird?). So:
    The fund is available through 80 platforms or programs including ETrade, Fidelity, Firstrade, JP Morgan, Merrill Lynch, Pershing, Robert W. Baird & Co., T. Rowe Price, TD Ameritrade, TIAA-CREF and Vanguard.
    Which works only if we agree on which names to have David look for. It also strips out the infinite variety of fee levels; JPMorgan had six entries because it is sometimes NTF, sometimes Institutional, sometimes Load ...
    Curious, as ever, about your thoughts.
    David
  • Vanguard brokerage account conversion round 3
    Following up on Shadow's round 2, and the original thread "Transition your Vanguard account to a Brokerage Account".
    https://mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/36197/transition-your-vanguard-account-to-a-brokerage-account
    https://mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/41030/vanguard-brokerage-account-conversion-round-2
    I've gotten a couple of emails from Vanguard in the past few days, and its site puts up a dialog box (Action needed: Your account needs to be transitioned) when I log in. Vanguard's getting aggressive now. Or, given that this is Vanguard, is that passive aggressive? :-)
    I expect that pretty soon they'll push everyone onto their brokerage platform. Highlights from the last email received:
    We're retiring our old investment platform, which is what you're using today. We'll need you to take a few minutes to complete a 3-step transition to our new investment platform. [This is also essentially what's in the dialog box.]
    Why do we need you to do it?
    Having all of our clients on a single, more flexible platform will allow us to save money and make service improvements faster. Ultimately, this will benefit you as we expect to lower costs and improve your client experience.
    What actually happens?
    To illustrate what happens when you transition, we'll use a hypothetical example. Let's say you have a Traditional IRA today. Once you complete the transition, we'll take the investments in that Traditional IRA and move them into a new Traditional IRA Brokerage Account (a brokerage account is just the financial industry's name for a general investment account).
  • Social Security ‘Bridge’
    Sometimes things are simpler than they appear. Just own the annuity inside the Roth IRA. That preserves its Rothiness.
    There is one instance in which annuity payments could be tax free: if you bought an annuity within a Roth IRA or Roth 401(k). In that case, you use after-tax money to buy your annuity and, because it's a Roth, the earnings will grow tax free, as opposed to just tax deferred the way they are in most other annuities.
    https://money.cnn.com/2018/05/11/pf/taxes/annuities-taxes/index.html
    You can do something similar with a traditional IRA. Taxes are due as the annuity pays out income. The annuity satisfies RMD requirements basically by definition. But what happens in the year you first annuitize if you're already subject to RMDs is less clear. Something for another post.
  • BUY - SELL - HOLD - November 2019
    @ Starchild. My expense ratio = 0.78% according to M* portfolio manager. That is less than the fee based account offered by my broker. With the fee based account, I'd be paying 1% plus what the fund company's charge to hold etf's and no load funds. With this, I plan continue to roll as is. Plus, I'd have a sizeable tax bill to pay if I sold assets to change over and go the fee based route. The numbers work best, for me, to stay as is.
  • Social Security ‘Bridge’
    ...then 2 friends died at 67 without ever drawing from social security.
    @Patrick1, were your 2 friends married? Because if they were their spouses will likely benefit from their waiting. As providers, still works in their favor.
    That said, I go back and forth on what I will do next year when I plan to pull back my hours to part time employment. I'll be 66 next year. I've been leaning towards starting SS to supplement the change in wage, but this post gives me more options to think about.
  • Baird Funds Adds Two New Municipal Bond Funds: (BSNSX) - (BTMSX)
    Shadow's post: Baird Municipal Bond Fund & Baird Strategic Municipal Bond Fund in registration
    https://mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/52558/baird-municipal-bond-fund-baird-strategic-municipal-bond-fund-in-registration
    McAllister, Schleicher, and Czechowicz are a great team that came over (together) from BMO in 2015. Here's Baird's notice at the time giving their background:
    http://www.rwbaird.com/news/baird-advisors-adds-municipal-bond-team
    I don't know as much about Fitterer. He's not coming over from WF with a team, so it's a bit harder to sort out his contribution to the WF team-manged funds. One of the funds he co-manged (for two decades) was SMAVX. Ages ago, when I followed SMUAX (the Strong predecessor ticker) it was well run, a tad aggressive, though tame compared with its taxable peer STADX (now SADAX).
    VMPAX, also co-managed by Fitterer (since 2010) may be the closest match to BSNSX. They both appear to be short term "core plus" muni funds (junk up to 35% and 30% respectively). Though the former is allowed 10% investment in inverse floaters. That does not appear in the prospectus of the Baird fund.
    BTMIX can serve as a "cash plus" alternative to MMFs. BSNSX appears to be a step up in risk and possibly a bit longer duration (remains to be seen). Should be worth a serious look.
  • Social Security ‘Bridge’
    No.
    Record 2019 MLR Rebates Of $1.3 Billion
    Section 2718 of the Public Health Service Act, as added by the ACA, establishes an MLR for all health insurers offering individual or group health insurance coverage. This provision applies to grandfathered plans but not self-insured plans, and states can opt to set a higher minimum MLR.
    Under Section 2718, insurers must spend a certain percentage of their premium revenue—80 percent in the individual and small group markets and 85 percent in the large group market—on health care claims or health care quality improvement expenses. The remainder of premium revenue can go towards other expenses, such as administrative expenses, profit, and marketing. Insurers must report this information to the Department of Health and Human Services each year, and the data is made publicly available.
    If insurers fail to meet an MLR of 80 or 85 percent (meaning they spend too little of their premium revenue on health care claims or quality improvement), insurers must rebate the difference to their enrollees.
    https://www.healthaffairs.org/do/10.1377/hblog20190923.51067/full/
  • BUY - SELL - HOLD - November 2019
    Hi @Starchild,
    Thanks for your comment and question that you directed my way. Many of my American Fund holdings came to me via gift and inheritance with some of the funds dating back a couple of generations thus being in family hands all the way back to my great grandfather. As my great grandfather and grandfather sold off farm land they invested the sale proceeds and spread it out among family members with some of it being invested in American Funds. We also have a policy of not putting all of our eggs in a single basket.
    Starchild I'd like your thoughts on where I overlap. Please consider manager stradegy with your answer as the funds might occupy the same style boxes, etc. but the managers themselves differ using many different investment strategies. Notice I've got growth, value, momentum, contrarian, equity dividend, fixed income of many types, special opportunity, etc.
    I'm posting my sleeve management system along with portfolio positions so you have an understaning of what I actually do own for a better understanding of how I govern family money.
    Consolidated Master Portfolio & Sleeve Management System ... Last Revised on 11/15/2019
    Now being in retirement here is a brief description of my sleeve management system which I organized to better manage the investments held within mine and my wife's portfolios. The consolidated master portfolio is comprised of two taxable investment accounts, two self directed retirement accounts, a health savings account plus two bank savings accounts. With this, I came up with four investment areas. They are a Cash Area which consist of two sleeves ... an investment cash sleeve and a demand cash sleeve. The next area is the Income Area which consist of two sleeves ... an income sleeve and a hybrid income sleeve. Then there is the Growth & Income Area which has more risk associated with it than the Income Area and it consist of four sleeves ... a global equity sleeve, a global hybrid sleeve, a domestic equity sleeve and a domestic hybrid sleeve. Then there is the Growth Area where the most risk in the portfolio is found and it consist of five sleeves ... a global growth sleeve, a large/mid cap sleeve, a small/mid cap sleeve, an other investment sleeve plus a special investment (spiff) sleeve. The size of each sleeve can easily be adjusted, from time-to-time, by adjusting the number of funds held and their amounts. By using the sleeve management system I can get a better picture of my overall investment landscape. I have found it beneficial to Xray each fund, each sleeve, each investment area, and the portfolio as a whole quarterly for analysis. All my funds with the exception of those in my health savings account pay their distributions to the Cash Area of the portfolio. This automatically builds cash in the Cash Area to meet the portfolio's disbursement needs (when necessary) with the residual being left for new investment opportunity. Generally, in any one year, I take no more than a sum equal to one half of my portfolio's five year average return. In this way principal builds over time. In addition, most buy/sell transactions settle from, or to, the Cash Area with some net asset exchanges between funds taking place. My rebalance threshold is + (or -) 2% of my neutral allocation for my Income Area, Growth & Income Area and Growth Area while I generally let the Cash Area float. However, at times, I can tactically position by setting a target allocation that is different from the neutral weighting to overweight (or underweight) an area without having to do a forced rebalance. I do an Instant Xray analysis of the portfolio quarterly and make asset weighting adjustments as I feel warranted based upon my assessment of the market(s), my goals, my risk tolerance, my cash needs, etc. I have the portfolio set up in Morningstar's portfolio manager by sleeve, by each area and the portfolio as a whole for easy monitoring plus I use brokerage account statements, Morningstar fund reports, fund fact sheets along with their annual reports to follow my investments. In addition, I use my market barometer and equity weighting matrix system as a guide to assist me in throttling my equity allocation through the use of equity ballast, or a spiff position, when desired. I also maintain a list of positions to add (A) to, to buy (B), to reduce (R), or to sell (S). Generally, funds are assigned to a sleeve based upon a best fit basis. Currently, my investment focus is to position new money into income generating assets. The last major rebalanced process was started during the 4th Quarter of 2018 and was completed in the 1st Quarter of 2019 with some sleeves being reconfigured along with the movement to a new asset allocation of 20% cash, 40% income and 40% equity.
    Portfolio Asset Allocation: Balanced Towards Income ... 20% Cash, 40% Income, 30% Gr & Inc and 10% Growth
    CASH AREA: (Weighting Range 15% to 25%, Neutral 20%, Target 15%, Actual 14%)
    Demand Cash Sleeve ... Cash Distribution Accrual & Future Investment Accrual
    Investment Cash Sleeve ... MMK Funds: AMAXX, GOFXX(B), PCOXX, CD Ladder(R) & Savings
    INCOME AREA: (Weighting Range 35% to 45%, Neutral 40%, Target 40%, Actual 39%)
    Income Sleeve: APIUX(A), BLADX(A), GIFAX, JGIAX(A), NEFZX, PGBAX, PONAX & TSIAX
    Hybrid Income Sleeve: AZNAX(A), BAICX, CTFAX(A), DIFAX, FBLAX, FISCX, FKINX, FRINX, ISFAX, JNBAX & PMAIX
    GROWTH & INCOME AREA: (Weighting Range 25% to 35%, Neutral 30%, Target 30%, Actual 32%)
    Domestic Equity Sleeve: ANCFX, FDSAX, INUTX(A) & SVAAX
    Domestic Hybrid Sleeve: ABALX, AMECX, HWIAX & LABFX
    Global Equity Sleeve: CWGIX, DEQAX, DWGAX(A) & EADIX
    Global Hybrid Sleeve: CAIBX, TEQIX & TIBAX
    GROWTH & OTHER ASSET AREA: (Weighting Range 5% to 15%, Neutral 10%, Target 15%, Actual 15%)
    Large/Mid Cap Sleeve: AGTHX, AMCPX & SPECX
    Small/Mid Cap Sleeve: AOFAX, NDVAX & PMDAX
    Global Growth Sleeve: ANWPX, NEWFX & SMCWX
    Other Investment Sleeve: KAUAX(A), LPEFX & PGUAX
    Equity Ballast & Spiff Sleeve: No position held at this time.
    Currently, I'm heavy in equity awaiting December mutual fund capital gain distributions that will preform an automatic rebalance of sorts by raising my cash allocation as I recieve all mutual fund distributions in cash. This should bubble me back towards a 20%/40%/40% asset allocation. Equities, indeed, had a nice run this year.
    Well ok then Skeet!
  • Social Security ‘Bridge’
    I gather you've been watching the esurance commercials ("Let's be honest. Nobody likes dealing with insurance.") :-) See video below.
    That aside, IMHO people focus too much on cost as opposed to value received, but only from some products and services. Do people complain about how little Apple products cost to manufacture compared with the price they're paying? To keep it in the financial industry, does it bother you that banks pay you so much less in interest than they make by lending your money out? Or do you just shop for higher APYs?
    Rational life cycle consumers with no interest in leaving a bequest would always choose to annuitize 100 percent of their wealth. After all, they face a choice between a traditional investment with a market return and an annuity with a market return plus a mortality credit.
    You appear to be saying that because the insurance company is skimming some unknown ("true cost") amount, you're getting less than "a market return" with the annuity. Fair enough, but because of mortality credits, one still comes out better than making "a traditional investment with a market return." The paper uses the net value of immediate annuities, so its results do incorporate their underlying costs.
    Health insurance companies are required to spend at least 80% (85% in the case of large employer plans) on actual health care (Medical Loss Ratio). The amount they are allowed to spend on administrative costs and profits combined is limited to 20%. These figures are already audited, and I've received checks back from my insurer because it spent less than 80% for a couple of years.
  • Baird Funds Adds Two New Municipal Bond Funds: (BSNSX) - (BTMSX)
    FYI: Baird Funds today launched the Baird Strategic Municipal Bond Fund (BSNIX/BSNSX) and the Baird Municipal Bond Fund (BMQIX/BMQSX). These are the first new bond funds introduced by the Baird Advisors team since launching Baird Short-Term Municipal Bond Fund (BTMIX/BTMSX) and Baird Core Intermediate Municipal Bond Fund (BMNIX/BMNSX) in 2015. Both funds will be co-managed by Lyle Fitterer, CFA, Duane McAllister, CFA, Erik Schleicher, CFA, and Joseph Czechowicz, CFA.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20191118005541/en
  • Jeez Sequoia
    More troubling to me is paying 1% fees for a manager to put 25% of assets in Google, Berkshire Hathaway and Mastercard. There are thousands of stocks in the world and yet I often see these concentrated managers put significant assets in the most obvious ones. I can understand the high quality stock argument, but surely there are smaller lesser known high quality companies with maybe better growth projections than these behemoths to merit investors paying high fees for active management. I think if I were an institutional investor sitting across the table from these managers I would feel like asking, "I'm paying you 20 times the fee of an index fund and the best you could come up with to invest in is Google?" And while Google might continue to be an excellent investment, why pay 1% for a manager to buy it? Go to your broker and click buy on Google. Done. That trade by the way now costs you nothing in commissions at most brokers.
  • Seasonal PSA

    Just a friendly reminder that "this the season" for year-end mutual fund distributions. So if anyone's fund drops a surprisingly bazillion bucks on any given day (other than an instant recession hitting!) between now and 12/31 you're probably fine. Check your statement for year-end gains/distributions if you're not sure. :)
  • Jeez Sequoia
    Distributions paid today.
    See this link(also posted in CG distributions):
    https://www.sequoiafund.com/Communications
    LONG-TERM CAP GAIN
    $6.2748
    SHORT-TERM CAP GAIN
    $0.328
    DIVIDEND (ORDINARY)
    $1.1628