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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • American Funds - first timer
    So I looked out the window, and I saw a pig flying.
    And tomorrow I expect to see another.
    And possibly the day after I might see one more, but I'll tell you after I confirm the 2nd pig tomorrow.
    What I am trying to say is that my order for GBLEX for $500 just went through today.
    @msf thanks. Though what you said makes sense, TIAA is making a piss poor job of explaining it. Regardless, now I'm going to complain a little less and try and learn to live with them. After all, nobody's perfect.
    Cheers.
  • MAFSX... failure to launch?
    Another fund that should have been put down was, VWUSX, Vanguard US Growth. A "3-Alarm Fund" back in the Fund Alarm days.
    I held this fund as it imploded back in the early 2000's. I hold Vanguard management personally responsible for not pulling the trigger on this rabid dog. To make things worse management continued to support this fund by including it as part of a "fund of funds" offering, VGSTX. They have never owe up to such a move and I stopped holding my breath for an explanation. Most of my money is elsewhere as a result.
    image
  • Cash Alternatives
    I'm inclined to suggest that a pocketful of gold coins would suit me just fine as a cash alternative. :)
    Generally, we use cash to represent the most stable and secure proxies for the U.S. Dollar we can find. (*Edit: As @msf mentions further down, cash is also highly liquid.) The best examples would be: short term T-Bills, government money market funds, and government insured bank deposits. However, we all stretch that definition somewhat in pursuit of better return. Who wants to earn a half-percent on an insured bank account?
    So it really depends on risk tolerance and what you're trying to achieve. Without checking their most recent literature, I'm fairly confident D&C tries to make DODIX a suitable cash alternative for folks who who have a 3-5 year time horizon (and it's telling that they don't offer a money market fund). They're telling you that you may find yourself on the short end of the stick after 1 or 2 years with this fund, but if you can hang on to the fund for 3-5 years you'll very likely recover at least 100% of your initial principal.
    My own working definition of cash is pretty conservative. Not because it's the "right" definition. But simply because that's the way I structure my investments. Cash to me extends only to the reaches of a conservative ultra-short fund like TRBUX. (Not all ultra-shorts are the same.) Since I've owned the fund (about 5 years) I can't remember the NAV deviating by more than 2 cents from it's original $5 offering price. It's been stuck st $5.01 for several months now. That's pretty darn good. And I expect it will soon be yielding above 2%, if it isn't already, as rates trend upwards.
  • Cash Alternatives
    ETNMX. Eventide Multi Asset Income Fund.
    I like these funds as mentioned above for near cash holdings. They are doing well and the ability to move around in this market gives them an advantage. This fund in particular is doing well.
    Then there is this, from the Schwab fund research; "The fund may invest up to 15% of its net assets in companies whose securities may have legal or contractual restrictions on resale or are otherwise illiquid." That does seem high for what is a conservative class of funds.
    http://www.schwab.com/public/schwab/investing/investment_help/investment_research/mutual_fund_research/mutual_funds.html?path=/Prospect/Research/MutualFunds/Summary.asp?symbol=ETNMX
  • Cash Alternatives
    Thanks for all of the suggestions! I hold RSIVX which I consider to be in that 3-5 year timeframe. I had found ZEOIX to be intriguing when I had looked before but at least at that point it was not ntf through fidelity. Hopefully that has changed. I will do some research on the other funds listed as well. I appreciate everyone's suggestions.
    -psuche98
  • Cash Alternatives
    If you're really talking 3-5y, I always suggest looking hard at a combo of PONDX, PDI, and FRIFX, examining their worst-case scenarios to see what you could tolerate.
    FSICX and DODIX are other things to look at (FBALX also, and similar; also BND, BOND, AOK, and many others). You would have to commit mentally to sticking it out for the six months or whatever when it goes negative. (If any negative turn would be intolerable even briefly, scratch this response.)
  • Cash Alternatives
    I'd consider Zeo Strategic Income (ZEOIX), which we've profiled. It's a bit more volatile that RPHYX but not hugely and a bit more rewarding. In terms of a risk-return tradeoff, I checked for funds with standard deviations at or below Zeo's and returns at or above theirs. There are only two such funds: Guggenheim Limited Duration and GMO Opportunistic Income, which has a $750 million minimum initial investment requirement.
    Guggenheim fans might look at Guggenheim Enhanced Short Duration ETF (GSY). I screened for funds with the highest 5-year Sharpe ratio. RiverPark is first (that's not unusual), what appears to be a closed-end real estate income fund (BV5J) is second and Guggenheim is third. 1.3% returns but the max 5-year drawdown is 0.1% and the standard deviation is 0.3%. That puts it roughly 1.3% above cash with minimal volatility.
    As to Zeo, its maximum drawdown is 1.5% with a recovery period of five months. Over the past five years it's returned 3.4% with a standard deviation of 1.3%.
    David
  • Cash Alternatives
    @VintageFreak said Hmmm...I never heard of PTIAX
    Often mentioned on this board.I own it.Not as a substitute for cash.
    2016 Q4 PTIAX -1.12 AGG -2.98
    M* Category Multisector Bond-0.51
    http://ptiafunds.com/resources.html
  • Cash Alternatives
    I currently use 5....SSTHX, ZEOIX, PIFZX, SUBFX all in tax deferred, plus VWITX in taxable.
    PTIAX also resides in my tax-deferred account, but I don't consider that as a cash alternative holding. But, some may say SUBFX isn't either, and that may be true as well.
    My objective here is 2-3% a year for these, and I will be very happy.
  • Cash Alternatives
    Hello. Does anyone have any ideas for a cash alternative fund? In this case I'm thinking in terms of money not needed for 1-3 years. Currently, I'm using the old tried and true RPHYX and PTIAX. Does anyone have any other ideas? What if the scenario is extended to 3-5 years? Thanks,
    -psuche98
  • S&P Tops $20 Trillion
    Apple leads way.
    In 1998, when the S&P 500 closed above $10 trillion for the first time, Apple accounted for just under 0.06 percent of the index. It now accounts for about 3.5 percent of the S&P 500, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices.
    The 721 days that have passed since Apple's previous record-high close represent the largest gap between such milestones since the iPhone's launch in 2007.
    Apple has climbed 50 percent from lows in the first half of last year and is up 15 percent so far in 2017. It was still short of its all-time intraday high of $134.54, set on April 28, 2015.
    Apple shares cruised to a record-high close Monday, helping catapult the S&P 500 stock index over the $20 trillion mark
    Apple Inc.(NASDAQ:AAPL) 133.29 +1.17 (0.89%)
    https://www.yahoo.com/news/apple-closes-record-high-first-time-since-2015-211446066--finance.html?ref=gs
    Components of the S&P 500
    Company Weight
    Apple Inc. 3.555015
    Microsoft Corporation 2.507504
    Exxon Mobil Corporation 1.708433
    Amazon.com Inc. 1.630738
    http://slickcharts.com/sp500
    Tradingview has AAPL adjusted closing price of $.71 on 2/16/1998.
    https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ:AAPL
  • Market Indicators
    Hi Guys,
    Eons ago (actually merely from the mid-1950s) I tried to time the market using a series of market indicator plots. I failed, and really abandoned the technical plot approach a long time ago. But I recognize that a healthy body of MFOers use time plots of various market indicators to signal or inform their buy and sell decisions.
    The Ed Yardeni Research firm publishes a nice bunch of these market indicator and sentiment plots each year. This year is no exception. Here are two Links that access a small segment of the Yardeni team effort:
    https://www.yardeni.com/pub/peacockbullbear.pdf
    http://www.yardeni.com/pub/stmktreturns.pdf
    Enjoy. As I said, I surrendered a while ago trying to forecast market movements based on correlating that movement with some of the indicators provided in the Yardeni work. My amateur reading of these types of charts suggest more coincident moves rather than predictive signals. I'm not sure which is the cause and which is the effect. I give up!
    Perhaps you guys will find these charts a more predictive tool than I do. I hope so.
    If you are not familiar with Dr. Yardeni's credentials in this field, here is a Link to a brief biography about him:
    http://www.yardeni.com/pub/stmktreturns.pdf
    The usual disclaimer is especially appropriate in his case since I don't endorse his methodology. Smart guys don't always make the smartest investment decisions. As Warren Buffett famously said: " You don’t need extraordinary intelligence to succeed as an investor.” These are words to remember. It's the cumulative investment record that counts and not the accumulated educational credits.
    Best Regards
  • S&P Tops $20 Trillion
    FYI:T The main U.S. stock indexes hit record intraday highs on Monday, with the S&P 500 topping $20 trillion in combined market-capitalization for the first time ever, as the "Trump trade" jump-started on renewed optimism about the economy.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks-idUSKBN15S1D3
  • Barron's Cover Story: Best Fund Families Of 2016
    Couple excerpts (Page S4, Barron's print edition, February 13, 2017):
    --- "This year's top-ranked fund family, Natixis Global Asset Management, rebounded from second-to-last in 2015."
    --- "Unlike most investment stories in Barron's, the emphasis of this ranking is on one-year returns."
    The article attributes Oakmark's OAKIX, Natixis' largest fund, having beaten 97% of its Lipper peers in 2016 with much of Natixis' success for the year. And Natixis' second largest fund, Oakmark's OAKMX, beat 99% of its peers.
    (Harris Assiciates, based in Chicago, operates the Oakmark Funds. Harris is part of the much larger French based Natixis financial group.) Couple months ago I suggested in a thread that I considered Oakmark one of the most "underappreciated" fund families. That said, these rankings don't amount to a rat's rear end as another board member opines.
    The article suggests that the year's results reflect, in part, increasing success of active managers compared with passive investments after their having lagged for many years. The article also provides 5 and 10 year rankings, with Pimco scoring at the top for both longer periods. T. Rowe Price is near the top in the 5 and 10 year rankings, but falls to #30 in 2016. A skeptic might interpret that to mean the equity markets are currently seriously overvalued.
  • When A 401(k) Might Not Make Sense: Sorry, Ignore No Link
    Try this:
    https://assetbuilder.com/knowledge-center/articles/when-a-401(k)-might-not-make-sense
    "The authors assumed a 35-year time horizon for a young employee. ..."
    That's quite an assumption - that someone is going to leave high money in a high cost 401(k) plan for 35 years. It assumes that the person is going to stay with the same employer for 35 years (otherwise the money could be moved to a new 401(k) or an IRA upon separation of service). It assumes the plan does not allow in-service distributions at age 59.5 (otherwise that longterm employee would still be able to move money out before retirement). And it assumes no matching.
    The better advice IMHO is to recognize that most jobs don't last decades, put money into the plan, and move it out as soon as you can. There is significant value in getting money tax-sheltered, and a few years of higher costs are usually not enough to completely eliminate that value.
  • Go anywhere fund
    Hi @Art,
    One fund that comes to my mind and that I have owned in the past is Hotchkis & Wiley Value Opportunities A (HWAAX). This fund is mostly an all cap fund and from an Instant Xray review it consists of 63% large caps, 20% mid caps and 17% small caps.
    I chose to let this fund go when I trimmed my large mid/cap sleeve from six funds to three funds in the growth area of my portfolio. While I owned it, it made good money for me. I now own a sister fund HWIAX (in my domestic hybrid sleeve) and it follows much of the same equity holdings as HWAAX on its equity side but HWIAX has more of a high yield income influence on the fixed side plus it offers a monthly distribution. Currently, HWIAX Xrays at 57% large cap, 24% mid cap and 19% small cap. Both are indeed good funds from my perspective with good returns plus both hold some foreign assets although they are not classified as global "go anywhere" funds they seem to do just that ... "go most anywhere they want."
    I have linked their Morningstar reports below.
    http://www.morningstar.com/funds/XNAS/HWAAX/quote.html
    http://www.morningstar.com/funds/XNAS/HWIAX/quote.html
    If not these ... Hopefully, you'll come across something that will catch your fancy.
    Skeet
  • Go anywhere fund
    @Art: Here are some more very flexible funds that have go anywhere theme.
    Regards,
    Ted
    IVWAX
    MDLOX
    FPACX
    PRPFX
    PAAIX
    Investopedia Article
    http://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/090915/goanywhere-funds-sometimes-go-nowhere.asp?ad=dirN&qo=investopediaSiteSearch&qsrc=0&o=40186
    Vanguard Study "Go-Anywhere Funds:
    https://personal.vanguard.com/pdf/ICRBOR.pdf