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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • 10 largest mutual fund companies by assets By Jeff Benjamin
    @MFO Members:(If its worth doing, its worth doing right !)
    The mutual fund industry currently has $18.9 trillion in total assets, $10.8 trillion of which is held by 10 companies. Here’s a look at the giants of a gigantic industry. Asset figures are through June 30 and were provided by the Investment Company Institute.
    The fund companies are ranked by total mutual fund assets, excluding exchange-traded-fund assets.
    The totals include long-term assets in stock and bond mutual funds, as well as short-term assets in cash management funds.
    Ted
    1. Vanguard Group
    2. Fidelity Investments
    3. Capital Research & Management
    4. T. Rowe Price
    5. J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.
    6. BlackRock
    7. Nuveen
    8. Dimensional Funds
    9. Franklin Templeton Investments
    10. Pimco Funds
  • Why Health Care’s Rally May Be Just Getting Started
    The Fidelity Funds shown do not take into account the 10:1 split that occurred recently. I have FSPHX, and it is up over 22% ytd, not the negative figure showing in chart.
  • Why Health Care’s Rally May Be Just Getting Started
    FYI: ( Last week catch22 linked an article,https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-15-us-companies-that-are-investing-the-most-in-tomorrows-big-ideas-2018-08-23/print, about how much large pharma companies were spending on R&D. It got me rethinking my asset allocation in healthcare. I held PRHSX for many years, but sold it during the 2016 health sector downturn. I have held PFE since 2006 and have done very well. Tomorrow I will retake a position in PRHSX.)
    If you’re looking for that healthy glow, look no further than health care.
    That might be hard to imagine, given the sector’s earlier travails. Through May 8, it had dropped 2.4% even as the S&P 500 advanced 0.6%, with the market fretting about the political pressures being brought to bear on drug prices, among other issues.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-health-cares-rally-may-be-just-getting-started-1535153121
    List Of Health Care Funds:
    http://mutualfunds.com/themes/health-biotech-equity-funds/
  • 10 Reasons Why It’s Tough To Be A True “Intelligent Investor"
    FYI: Ben Graham’s tome The Intelligent Investor still sells over 100,000 copies a year as investors of all stripes look to learn the value-investing way. But as Warren Buffett once said, value investing is “is simple, but not easy”.
    The truth is, the vast majority of investors will never be able to become value investors as defined by Ben Graham for the reasons outlined below. This is not a critique, but rather an exercise in illustrating the many components of a value investing approach and mentality. While the list below is by no means exhaustive, it captures some of the central tenets behind what Graham believed contributed to successful value investing.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://blog.validea.com/10-reasons-why-its-tough-to-be-a-true-intelligent-investor/
  • Large or midcap
    @Bobpa: In my opinion, for the foreseeable future, a rising tide lifts all boats. I agree with Old-Skeet, and would add SCG.
    Regards,
    Ted
    LCG Funds:
    YTD 13.78%
    3.yrs 15.02%
    5.yrs. 15.05%
    MCG Funds:
    YTD 13.30%
    3yrs. 12.98%
    5yrs. 12.49%
    SCG Funds:
    YTD 19.43%
    3yrs. 15.26%
    5yrs. 12.60%
    SPY:
    YTD 8.66%
    3yrs. 17.23%
    5yrs. 13.76%
    Source Lipper
  • Retirement Planning In High School? It’s Never Too Early, Experts Say
    FYI: It might seem odd to open a retirement account for a high school student.
    But teenagers can get a big head start on long-term savings, financial advisers say, by stashing some of their earnings in a Roth individual retirement account.
    Now is a good time to talk with teenagers about long-term savings using a Roth I.R.A. because they may have earned money from summer jobs, said Patricia A. Seaman, a spokeswoman for the National Endowment for Financial Education, a nonprofit organization that promotes financial literacy.
    Teenagers can benefit from tax-free growth of investments in a Roth account years before they have the opportunity to contribute to a workplace retirement plan, Ms. Seaman said. And five decades of growth allows plenty of time to ride out market swings.
    “The earlier you start,” Ms. Seaman said, “the more the time value of money works for you.”
    A Roth I.R.A. for someone under 18 must be opened and managed by an adult custodian, like a parent or grandparent. The teenager must have earned income, whether from a formal job or from gigs like babysitting and lawn mowing. Children can contribute their total annual earnings up to $5,500.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/24/your-money/roth-ira-retirement-teenagers.html
  • 7 bear market funds
    As to the "cash" as a place to run to in the event of an equity melt. Well, if one is able to pull the evacuate equity soon enough, and choose not to go to U.S. bonds or notes, our current default core cash at Fidelity yields, 1.6%.
    @Catch22,
    Love the wry humor here. Pulling the “evacuate (cord)” fast enough and running to cash would work - I suppose. However, should Mr. “Know All” post the evacuate alarm on this forum (as I believe he intends), than wouldn’t everyone who reads the financial internet be pulling their evacuate cords all at the same time? And if that happened, the result might well resemble a bunch of bumper-cars all colliding mid-air. I shudder to think how that might turn out.
    Also, some of us aging boomers suffer from arthritis and/or other incapacitations. The way my right shoulder feels some days, I fear I’d be among the last to yank that cord.
    :)
  • Even Wall Street Pros Have A Tough Time Getting Into This Club
    hed and teaser as posted
    continues (free)
    ... Yet while Sundheim, 41, is now a big name in the hedge fund world, he might not have broken in without an obscure website called Value Investors Club. Writing anonymously on the site in 2002, Sundheim posted a 3700-word takedown of a dental company, Orthodontic Centers of America, assailing ...
  • Lewis Braham: The Best Mutual Funds For Investors: Cheap And Boring
    I'd thought you might have meant that, except for the portion: "the money flows into tiny funds are too volatile".
    If the concern really were with small funds, then excluding small share classes would have been a quick and dirty way to ensure that you excluded all small funds. (A small fund could not have a large share class.) That interpretation is consistent with the literal words, though not with the intended meaning.
    The similarity of investor gaps in FBTTX and FBIOX suggests that a few larger M class investors aren't excessively influencing average dollar returns of M class shares.
    In any case, to own even 1% of class M shares would mean owning over $1M (of a $127million share class). At that level, loads for both M class and the cheaper (lower ER) A class are waived. So I don't think you're going to find many 1%+ owners of M class shares of this particular fund.
    None of this says that for funds in general it isn't a good idea to exclude small share classes. Just that for this particular fund, looking at M class investors should be okay.
  • Barron's Cover Story: The Videogame Industry Reaches For The Cloud: (GAMR)
    FYI: (The Linkster says, buying GAMR gets you banned from MFO for life. Just thinking about it, suspended for six months.)
    With a few squiggles of her electronic pen and nine seconds of computer processing, a data scientist at the Electronic Arts campus here created a life-like mountain range for video gaming. Typically, modeling that terrain by hand would take two weeks.
    At another booth at the game maker’s in-house innovation fair, a team used artificial intelligence to simulate boisterous sports announcers, including one that sounded just like the company’s CEO, Andrew Wilson, Australian accent and all.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-videogame-industry-reaches-for-the-cloud-1535155282
    M* Snapshot GAMR:
    https://www.morningstar.com/etfs/ARCX/GAMR/quote.html
    A Videogame ETF? Save Your Cash:
    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-videogame-etf-save-your-cash-2016-03-30/print
  • 10 Funds That Returned 50% Or More This Past Year
    Hi @bee, My portfolio is comprised through many years of investing and there are guidelines in place but no hard rules. For instance, the two largest fund holdings are also my oldest at about six percent each (FKINX & AMECX). I decided ... enough is enough ... and, I don't want to keep expanding these two funds so I split some off and open other funds with these being my seed funds for the others. With new money, some gift and inheritance transfers, and taking what the existing funds generated I built what you see. With this I'm thinking new positions to complement the core. Also, a good amount of what you see is also held in taxable accounts. So, I have to consider the tax angle as well.
    An exapmle. Currently, NEWFX is the largest position in it's sleeve so I'm thinking of splitting some of it into another fund (DWGAX) through a nav exchange process. This will rebalace NEWFX's sleeve while adding some diverfication to the sleeve that will hold DWGAX. As you can see I have another fund under review for a nav exchange buy (INUTX). So, this is an on going process and done when I felt warranted. Again, gudelines but no hard rules. Generally, no fund starts at less than 5% of its sleeve and becomes no more than 60%. For instance AOFAX is currently 15% of its sleeve, NDVAX 15% and PMDAX 70%. When AOFAX gets built AOFAX is tatgeted to become 20%, NDVAX 20% & PMDAX 60%. PMDAX is held in a taxable account and has been a long term position and through the years of growth become an outsized position within its sleeve. The strategy is not to sell any of PMDAX but to grow the other positions to balance the sleeve with some more buys and natural growth as they should grow faster than PMDAX.
    That is why it is important to Xray what you have before starting to tweak.
    The below outlines the process and was not posted with the portfolio. Again, no hard rules just guidelines about my sleeve management system.
    Old_Skeet's Sleeve Management System
    Now being in retirement here is a brief description of my sleeve management system which I organized to better help manage the investments held within mine and my wife's portfolios. The master portfolio is comprised of two taxable investment accounts, two self directed retirement accounts, a health savings account plus two bank accounts. With this, I came up with four investment areas. They are a cash area which consist of two sleeves ... an investment cash sleeve and a demand cash sleeve. The next area is the income area which consist of two sleeves ... a fixed income sleeve and a hybrid income sleeve. Then there is the growth & income area which has more risk associated with it than the income area and it consist of four sleeves ... a global equity sleeve, a global hybrid sleeve, a domestic equity sleeve and a domestic hybrid sleeve. And, there is the growth area where the most risk in the portfolio is found and it consist of five slleves ... a global sleeve, a large/mid cap sleeve, a small/mid cap sleeve, a specialty/theme sleeve plus a special investment (spiff) sleeve. Each sleeve (in most cases) consist of three to nine funds with the size and weight of each sleeve can easily be adjusted, from time-to-time, by adjusting the number of funds held along with their amounts. By using the sleeve system I can get a better picutre of my overall investment landscape. I have found it beneficial to Xray each fund, each sleeve, each investment area, and the portfolio as a whole quarterly. My positions and sleeves can be adjusted from time-to-time as to how I might be reading the markets through using my market barometer and equity weighting matrix. The matrix is driven by the barometer. All my funds with the exception of those in my health savings account pay their distributions to the cash area of the portfolio. This automatically builds cash in the cash area to meet the portfolio's disbursements (when necessary) with the residual being left for new investment opportunity. Generally, in any one year I take no more than a sum equal to one half of my portfolio's five year average return. In this way principal builds over time. In addition, most buy/sell transactions settle from, or to, the cash area with some net asset exchanges between funds taking place.
    See the portfolio for asset allocation ranges for each area. Sleeve and fund weightings are known but not listed.
  • Lewis Braham: The Best Mutual Funds For Investors: Cheap And Boring
    (Curiously, I was able to read it directly; no tricks, no special software. Though I am on a new machine, and Barron's might be counting articles.)
    A nit to pick: FBTCX and FBIOX are not different share classes of the same fund, but shares of two different, albeit it similar funds. (For example, they have a different #3 holding as of 6/30/18.)
    I agree that which share class you look at likely does affect investor return data. As I commented in this thread, the selling point for C shares is that they are supposedly better for people who only want to own the shares for a year or two. (Or even less.)
    So it might be interesting to look M (formerly T) shares or A shares of Fidelity Advisor Biotech. Since M* doesn't have 10 year investor data for A shares ($787million), I pulled up the investor data for M shares ($127million). Despite the small share class size.
    Small funds (under $500K) were excluded in the article because they are more likely to have erratic cash flows making their performance too volatile. All well and good.But that's not a reason to exclude share classes of large funds. The small size of a share class doesn't affect the fund performance. If anything, because a share class is small, its investors will have a smaller impact on the fund performance.
    Over the ten year period ending 6/30/18, M* reports:
    FBIOX: 12.73% (investor return), 17.15% (fund return) - matches Barron's reported M* data
    FBTTX: 11.88% (investor return), 15.86% (fund return)
    FBTCX: 5.97% (investor return), 15.35% (fund return) - matches Barron's reported M* data
    Similar gaps between investor returns and fund returns for FBIOX and FBTTX. So at least here, it doesn't look like the existence of a load or the popularity of a fund matter. What might matter more is whether the shares are designed/marketed for shorter term trading (such as C shares).
    More generally there are various confounding factors that aren't sorted out. Do investors do well in cheaper funds because they have more patience when the fund costs less (as speculated)? Or perhaps it is because "high expense funds have much more volatile risk-adjusted returns", and it's just the volatility that affects investor behavior?
    Livingston, Zhou, 2016, The Volatility of Mutual Fund Performance, http://www.fmaconferences.org/Vegas/Papers/QUANTILE-12-31-2015.pdf
  • 10 Funds That Returned 50% Or More This Past Year
    @MFO Members: Six funds with these percentages.
    Regards,
    Ted
    IVV=36.5%
    PONCX=20.9%
    QQQ=20.6%
    MSOPX=10.9%
    TRBCX=8.0%
    MVRXX=2.8%
    YTD Returns:
    QQQ-17.60%
    TRBCX= 16.70%
    MSOPX= 10.94%
    IVV= 8.69%
    PONCX= -(.78%)
    MVRXX=$1.00= Yield 1.83%
  • 10 Funds That Returned 50% Or More This Past Year
    Hi @bee, I open my position in AOFAX in the spring of this year by doing a nav exchange from some of my SPECX into it as SPECX had grown to a sizeable position within its sleeve and portfolio. This was done commission free. Currently, AOFAX is still under construction and will be capped at about a 25% weighting within it's sleeve. Since, I take all fund distributions to cash this in of itself helps keep funds like this with explosive growth in check thus limiting the need to often manually rebalance. Generally, no fund within the growth area is greater than two percent of the overall portfolio with the exception that SPECX is the largest fund in the growth area at about 3% of the overall portfolio while AOFAX currently less than 1%. So, there is room to do some more nav exchanges from SPECX into AOFAX and let AOFAX run. By the way the two largest sleeves in the growth area are my large/mid cap sleeve and my specialty & theme sleeve. Combined they account for about 60% of the growth area while the other two sleeves account for the remaining 40%. Currently, there is no spiff investment position.
    Below is my portfolio holdings of late.
    Last revised: 08/24/2018 Master Portfolio
    Here is how I have my asset allocation broken out in percent ranges, by area. My neutral allocation weighting are cash area 20%, income area 30%, growth & income area 35% and growth area & other assets 15%. I do an Instant Xray analysis of the portfolio quarterly and make asset weighting adjustments as I feel warranted based upon my assesment of the market, my risk tolerance, cash needs, etc. In addition, I have the portfolio set up in Morningstar's portfolio manager by sleeve and as a whole for easy monitoring plus I use brokerage account statements along with other Morningstar reports and the fund fact sheets to follow my investments.
    CASH AREA (Portfolio Weighting Range 15% to 25% with neutral being 20%)
    Demand Cash Sleeve ... (Cash Distribution Accrual & Future Investment Accrual)
    Investment Cash Sleeve ... (Savings & Time Deposits)
    INCOME AREA (Portfolio Weighting Range 25% to 35% with neutral being 30%)
    Fixed Income Sleeve: BAICX, CTFAX, GIFAX, LBNDX, NEFZX & TSIAX (CTFAX under review partial nav exch sell)
    Hybrid Income Sleeve: APIUX, AZNAX, DIFAX, FISCX, FKINX, ISFAX, JNBAX, PCGAX & PGBAX
    GROWTH & INCOME AREA (Portfolio Weighting Range 30% to 40% with neutral being 35%)
    Global Equity Sleeve: CWGIX, DEQAX & EADIX (DWGAX under review for nav exch buy)
    Global Hybrid Sleeve: CAIBX, PMAIX & TIBAX
    Domestic Equity Sleeve: ANCFX, FDSAX, SVAAX (INUTX under review for nav exch buy)
    Domestic Hybrid Sleeve: ABALX, AMECX, FBLAX, FRINX, HWIAX & LABFX
    GROWTH AREA (Portfolio Weighting Range 10% to 20% with neutral being 15%)
    Global Sleeve: ANWPX, FWAFX & SMCWX
    Large/Mid Cap Sleeve: AGTHX, AMCPX & SPECX
    Small/Mid Cap Sleeve: AOFAX, NDVAX & PMDAX
    Specialty & Theme Sleeve: LPEFX, NEWFX, PCLAX & PGUAX (NEWFX under review partial nav exch sell)
    Spiff Sleeve: No position engaged at this time.
  • 10 Funds That Returned 50% Or More This Past Year
    Hi @ DavidV, I also own AOFAX and according to Morningstar has it's ytd at 40.51% and rolling 1 year at 55.21%. I'm thinking there are probally some other funds that got missed as well.
    It didn't get missed. "Here are 10 funds that have turned $100 into $150 or more in the last 12 months ending Aug. 17, 2018."
    According to this Morningstar chart, $10,000 in AOFAX on Aug. 17, 2017 grew to $14,640.26 as of Aug. 17, 2018. So $100 turned into $146.03, not quite the requisite $150. It didn't make the cut.
    While that's sufficient explanation, it's possible that the returns analyzed included the effect of loads. AOFAX carries a 5.25% load (though you can purchase it with the load waived). None of the ten tickers listed are load shares.
    For example LOGWX is class F-3, the cleanest, lowest cost share class you can get. The appropriate share class to check for Alger Small Cap Focus would be AGOZX, though that doesn't make the grade, either.
  • Lewis Braham: The Best Mutual Funds For Investors: Cheap And Boring
    FYI: Asset managers are hawking free products and services as if they were carnival barkers. JPMorganoffers free stock trades; Fidelity boasts about its zero-cost index funds; Vanguard is waiving trading costs for exchange-traded funds. The appeal is simple: Costs—whether incurred by buying and selling a fund, or imposed through an annual expense ratio—eat into returns. But there’s another, surprising benefit: Cheap funds may save you from your worst impulses.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.barrons.com/articles/best-mutual-funds-for-investors-cheap-and-boring-1535145075
  • 10 Funds That Returned 50% Or More This Past Year
    @DavidV and @Old_Skeet actually impressive 3 year returns. Do you have a strategy to reallocate your out sized gains? This fund (I charted AOFIX) has out performed both mid-cap and small-cap growth indexes since it's most recent bottom starting around 2/12/2016. Do you see this continuing in the Small/Mid cap growth space?
    image
  • Most Active Funds Can't Beat Passive, Even With Volatility: Morningstar
    FYI: After chasing index funds during a very strong stock market last year, many active managers hoped to perform better in what has been a choppier 2018 -- but according to a recently released report from Chicago-based Morningstar, they’ve fallen even further behind their passive peers.
    For the most part, actively managed funds fail to survive and overcome the performance of their benchmarks.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.fa-mag.com/news/most-active-funds-can-t-beat-passive-peers--even-through-volatility-40486.html?print
    August 2018 Morningstar’s Active/Passive Barometer
    https://www.morningstar.com/content/dam/marketing/shared/pdfs/Research/Active_Passive_Barometer_2018_08.pdf?cid=EMQ_
  • Even Wall Street Pros Have A Tough Time Getting Into This Club
    FYI: Daniel Sundheim built a reputation as savvy stockpicker at Viking Global Investors, a hedge fund where he helped oversee $32 billion in assets. That helped him raise more than $4 billion in seed money when he launched his own fund in July.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.barrons.com/articles/even-wall-street-pros-have-a-tough-time-getting-into-this-club-1535143468