Over the past several months, we’ve seen hundreds—if not thousands—of “on-fire” opinions from posters, pundits, and even Nobel Prize-winning economists. Many insisted these issues were directly tied to the markets.
Among the loudest claims:• The economy is in shambles.
• Inflation is going to destroy us.
• The stock market is doomed.
• Tariffs will be disastrous for consumers and the markets.
• The southern border can’t be secured, and violent criminals can’t be arrested.
• Boeing is finished.
• Anything going wrong in the U.S. is Trump’s fault.
The Reality:• The S&P
500 is up—positive performance for the year.
• The economy is stable. Nothing major has collapsed.
• Inflation has declined from 3% to 2.3%. Employment remains solid.
• The southern border is more secure than it has been in years, and many violent criminals have been apprehended.
• U.S. businesses have been and continue accelerating their shift away from China.
• Tariffs, as any reasonable observer would note, were a bargaining chip. The U.K. signed a deal. Others are negotiating. If India signs, it will be a significant milestone. The EU is finally engaging seriously. In the next several months you will see more. Any agreement where the US gets a better deal is a win. It doesn’t matter if it’s
5%, 10% or more. The US is like Amazon or Apple; you pay to sell your merchandise or software.
• China remains a complex challenge, but no one expected a quick fix. Even if an agreement came, skepticism would still be warranted. The broader focus is shifting global trade relationships while collaborating with others.
• The U.S. has seen a surge of private and foreign investment that are fueling job growth, innovation, and opportunity across every corner of the country
https://www.whitehouse.gov/investments/• The Middle East trip was a huge success, more business, and hopefully regional realignment is underway.
• The US brokered a ceasefire fire between India and Pakistan.
• Boeing has secured billions in new business.
• A deal was signed with Ukraine for access to minerals, hydrocarbons, and infrastructure development.
What to Expect from the Left:• Denial of progress.
• Minimization of any agreement.
• Distractions, instead of cooperation on long-standing shared priorities.
• Focusing on trivial issues while ignoring major developments.
For example, the outrage over Jamal Khashoggi’s killing becomes the headline—while major diplomatic breakthroughs in the Middle East go ignored. Uniting the region against Iran, China, and Russia; increasing U.S. business opportunities; lowering oil prices; and cutting off funds to terrorism and war—those are significant outcomes.
Let’s not forget:
• Who brokered the Abraham Accords?
• Who dismantled ISIS?
The “on-fire” posts will likely continue for years.
The conclusions:* We should go back and discuss investments.
* Politics and worries don’t have a high correlation to our portfolios and why we should disregard them.
* Your political side can’t be always right, and the other side can’t be always evil and wrong. Why the nonstop 110% on-fire outrage ranting and name-calling? People lose the ability to tell what’s truly serious.
