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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • M* Adding China A-Shares To The Index: What It Means For Fundholders
    There are many good reasons for MSCI's delay (although the change is coming). There are still purchasing restrictions in place for ownership of stocks represented in various Chinese stock indexes. Transparency/reporting practices, quotas, accessibility. Etc. These are all resolvable, but until they are ..... I don't know why Vanguard is going ahead with this. Doesn't seem prudent.
    So much for "passive index investing." :)
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-06-09/china-mainland-shares-on-track-to-be-added-to-msci-stock-indexes
  • M* Adding China A-Shares To The Index: What It Means For Fundholders
    A good outline of China's place in the index world.
    How to Tell Emerging from Developed Markets
    Posted on June 11, 2015 by David Ott ,Acropolis Financial
    After my article the other day about China being the second largest stock market in the world when you factor in all of their alphabet soup of stocks (click here for a refresher), a number of people asked me how China could still be considered an emerging market given their massive size.
    It turns out that the generally accepted criteria for inclusion in either the developed or emerging market categories (and frontier, which is the real Wild West) is based on per-capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which measures the total economic output of a country on a per-person basis.
    http://acrinv.com/how-to-tell-emerging-from-developed-markets/
  • Ukraine Debt Situation Nears Tipping Point + Update
    Update
    The adversarial atmosphere of negotiations increases.
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-06-11/ukraine-bonds-drop-as-jaresko-said-to-seek-40-principal-cut-iary9dc1
    The country will stop making payments on its debt if talks don’t make progress, Finance Minister Natalie Jaresko told reporters in Washington Wednesday. Bondholders are “deeply concerned” about Jaresko’s stance, a creditor group led by Franklin Templeton said in a statement today.
    “Minister Jaresko has been in possession of a detailed IMF-compliant solution from the bond committee for over a month,” the committee said today. “We are ready and willing to start talks at any time.”
  • We’re Not In A ‘Bubble’ But Chances Are 60-70% That One Is Coming, Credit Suisse Says
    FYI: Who wants to handicap the stock market right now? Few, it seems. That’s why the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) is going literally nowhere this year
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://blogs.barrons.com/focusonfunds/2015/06/11/were-not-in-a-bubble-but-chances-are-60-70-that-one-is-coming-credit-suisse-says/tab/print/
  • Royce Funds to Rename 3 Funds
    Ya see, 'cause Royce European Smaller Companies (RISCX) could easily be mistaken for a fund that invests in kumquats, Chinese real estate, or three person Greek start-ups with $20 billion market caps (hey! it could happen) or huge companies that simply aren't mega-massive huge. Calling it Royce European Small Cap relieves all of those concerns.
    With nine of Royce's 22 funds firmly in the "financially unsustainable" range ($75 million or less after 3-10 years in operation), something needs to change. I'm not sure it's always the name. RISCX been around nine years and has drawn $22 million. Odd that no comparable clarification is forthcoming for the $900 million Smaller-Companies Growth Fund (RYVPX).
    David
  • Pink Slips at Disney. But First, Training Foreign Replacements. - Another hurdle for US Workers
    http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/04/us/last-task-after-layoff-at-disney-train-foreign-replacements.html
    We talked about how people don't have money for retirement.
    I don't see how they will get it. Illegal aliens taking unskilled jobs and not legal aliens taking skilled jobs.
  • TLT Downtrend Emerges
    The Return Of The Bond Vigilantes By James Picerno | Jun 11, 2015 at 06:44 am EDT
    The Capital Spectator
    US Treasury yields continued to rise yesterday, with the rate on the benchmark 10-year Note reaching 2.50%–the highest level since last September, based on data from Treasury.gov. Meanwhile, the 2-year yield—considered the most sensitive spot on the yield curve for rate expectations—ticked up to a four-year high of 0.75% on Wednesday (June 10).
    Meantime, recent data for the labor market paints an encouraging profile. After last week’s surprisingly strong rise in payrolls for May, along with jobless claims sticking close to a 15-year low, the Labor Department this week advised that job openings in April jumped to a 15-year high.
    The net result is that the Treasury market is focused on the rising possibility that the Federal Reserve will start raising interest rates in the near future, perhaps as early as September.
    http://www.capitalspectator.com/the-return-of-the-bond-vigilantes/
  • A Three-Alarm Great Owl?
    You asked: "And are there any other such funds?" I can't answer this. The following relates to FRIFX.
    This fund will remain in this status as it is the only real estate fund that I am aware of that is about 50% each in equity and bond holdings. This fund will look like crap when the equity only real estate funds are happy and will also look like a very good fund when the equity real estate sector is being a dog.
    A very smooth fund with a decent yield in this area. Do not be mislead by the rating here and at M*, or elsewhere.
    There is not any good method to qualify this fund within the Real Estate sector.
    I suspect you will not find another fund that is so badly mismatched to a category. Tis not the fault of those setting a category; but that there is not a satisfactory category for this fund.
    If you want yield/income from this area; this is a nice, slow and smooth fund.
    If real estate and related bond holdings all go to heck; this fund will eventually also suffer loses.
    Keep in mind that this fund has always been a U.S. center real estate fund. Comparing with some other r.e. funds with large exposure to non-U.S. equity real estate will be an apples and oranges event.
    Fidelity Overview here
    We continue to hold this fund at our house.
    Lastly, if one was a momentum trader in the real estate sector for etf's or active managed funds, one's profits "could" be higher with choices other than FRIFX as this chart presents.
    PETDX vs FRIFX . Move the 200 day slider at its left edge, to the left, for a longer time frame view of these two funds.
    Regards,
    Catch
  • Royce Funds to Rename 3 Funds
    Royce is another company, like Waddell & Reed, with an awful record since start of current bull market. Of its 18 existing funds that have been around since March 2009, 15 have trailed its peers on an absolute return basis ... some by massive amounts. Here's list:
    image
    Nearly half of its funds are on the Three Alarm list, month ending May 2015.
  • Outflows Hit Waddell & Reed Funds
    As of month ending May, four of Waddell and Reed's 19 funds are on Three Alarm List:
    Waddell & Reed Bond A (UNBDX)
    Intermediate Government Waddell & Reed Government Secs A (UNGVX)
    Muni National Long Waddell & Reed Municipal Bond A (UNMBX)
    Waddell & Reed Dividend Opps A (WDVAX)
    No funds on Honor Roll.
    No Great Owls.
    Since the start of the current bull market, 16 of their funds have underperformed its peers on an absolute return basis, some by massive amount. Here's the list:
    image
  • Outflows Hit Waddell & Reed Funds
    FYI: (Click On Article Title At Top Of Google Search)
    Waddell & Reed Financial Inc., one of the biggest beneficiaries of the recent boom in mutual funds, has hit a rough patch. Nervous investors pulled $12.5 billion out of the investment company’s two largest mutual funds over the past 12 months.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.google.com/#q=Outflows+Hit+Waddell+&+Reed+Funds+wsj
    MarketWatch Free Version:
    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/outflows-hit-waddell-reed-funds-2015-06-10-231031125/print
  • Did Passing On A Midcap Mutual Fund Cost You Money?
    FYI: Midcap stock mutual funds catch companies in their teenage to young-adult years. They've survived early small-cap challenges, but still can have impressive earnings growth. So in a real sense midcap stock mutual funds get the best of both large- and small-cap stock worlds.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://license.icopyright.net/user/viewFreeUse.act?fuid=MTk2MzEyODQ=
    Enlarged Graphic:
    http://news.investors.com/photopopup.aspx?path=WEBlv061015.jpg&docId=756596&xmpSource=&width=1000&height=1198&caption=&id=756507
  • Royce Funds to Rename 3 Funds
    Yes, the fund family that cannot remain still is on the move again. On June 15, two international funds will be renamed, and another fund will transition to a global mandate requiring a name change:
    Royce Financial Services Fund will be renamed Royce Global Financial Services Fund. May invest up to 50% of assets in foreign securities.
    Royce European Smaller-Companies Fund will be renamed Royce European Small-Cap Fund.
    Royce International Smaller-Companies Fund will be renamed Royce International Small-Cap Fund.
    New non-fundamental investment policy for each requiring at least 80% of iassets in stocks with mkt caps up to $3B.
    “As was the case with a prior round of name changes in May, we believe these new names will help to distinguish each Fund’s approach within our lineup,” says Chris Clark, Royce Prez. [my emphasis]
    Oh, o.k.
    https://www.roycefunds.com/news/2015/06/royce-rename-three-funds-june-15-2015?utm_source=eword0615&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=news-1&mkt_tok=3RkMMJWWfF9wsRonvqvKZKXonjHpfsX57uwoXqWylMI/0ER3fOvrPUfGjI4ARMJmI+SLDwEYGJlv6SgFT7fAMbZmwLgPWRA=
  • Financial Sector Mutual Funds = RYFSX, TEFAX, PRISX, FFBFX
    Banking Analyst Available !
    Meredith Whitney, who turned fame as a banking analyst into a stint running her own hedge fund, is through with managing other people's money.
    In a brief phone call Wednesday, Stanley Arkin, a lawyer for Ms. Whitney, wouldn't elaborate on her interview.
    “She's an honest woman,” he said. “I'm not at liberty to say anything more than that.”
    Starting her debut fund without a staff of analysts to help choose investments and relying too much on one investor's money helped lead her astray, a person with direct knowledge of her firm told Bloomberg earlier...
    http://www.investmentnews.com/article/20150610/FREE/150619990?template=printart
    With Pic !
    http://www.investmentnews.com/article/20150610/FREE/150619990/meredith-whitney-says-shes-done-managing-other-peoples-money
  • AMG Yacktman Fund and AMG Yacktman Focused Fund to reopen to new investors
    AMG Yacktman Focused Service (YAFFX) is a bonafide Three Alarm Fund month ending May 2015.
  • Any Comments on Raymond James?
    As a regular reader who rarely posts, I have to speak up and say that I respect and admire CathyG; I have learned and profited from reading her thoughtful questions and the responses they elicit from several of the really helpful posters who have taken time to think, analyze, and provide good answers and suggestions for the issues that she has raised. MFO is (IMHO) a forum where a lot of good information and good suggestions are proposed and discussed by people with typical, average investment issues and a sub-group (no names here!) who are mostly not professionals, but are unusually experienced and well informed and willing to offer opinions and suggestions that are meant as fodder for further examination and thus exceptionally useful for the reasonably bright individual to pursue. Cathy is surely an example of such a questioner, and she is willing to stand up and ask questions in open forum. Many of her questions have been peripheral to my own situation, but some are not, and I have been most grateful to see them brought to the fore and have been most appreciative of the thoughtful answers that she received, and have used them to research some of my own issues. Her courtesy, modesty, and willingness to learn and have been exemplary, and I frankly have little to say to those who have made offensive remarks..
    As a part -- however modest -- of MFO, and one who has recommended it to many friends, I have appreciated the absence of snark & 1-up-manship and the willingness of the community to accept newcomers who are courteous with corresponding courtesy. Having lurked around for quite a while, I know a little bit about Ted. I have always admired the time & (wee-hours) effort he has invested in combing the net for a wide range of references. I also suspect that I am at least the same age, if not older -- but -- I am also a female, who at 17 stepped into a totally male environment as a freshman engineer, back in the early 50's. That environment persisted for the next few decades as women slowly entered the engineering field. Don't know Ted's background, but I hope that vestiges of 50's & before is not the backstory that propels his comments about Cathy. Back then it took courage for a girl to stand up & ask a question that just "might" sound dumb, but you had to learn to do it, because the guys did it too, & they didn't just shrink back into the closet -- they kept on asking. I doubt that Ted really faced that environment as I did.
    So -- good for Cathy -- and Ted -- I appreciate both of your special contributions -- however different -- Cathy's well-thought out questions and willingness to ask, as well as the many well-thought-out responses that her posts evoked -- and Ted's daily news-survey and loyalty, but -- hey -- sometimes you need to just ignore what threads you don't want to read or comment on -- and that's both a privilege AND a responsibility.
    OK this is too long already, but I hope that it expresses my appreciations for the specialness of two important contributors -- and how important it is to have them both.... CathyG and Ted...
  • AMG Yacktman Fund and AMG Yacktman Focused Fund to reopen to new investors
    http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1089951/000119312515219331/d940841d497.htm
    497 1 d940841d497.htm AMG FUNDS
    Filed pursuant to 497(e)
    File Nos. 333-84639 and 811-09521
    AMG FUNDS
    AMG YACKTMAN FUND
    AMG YACKTMAN FOCUSED FUND
    Supplement dated June 10, 2015
    to the Statement of Additional Information dated May 1, 2015
    The following information supplements and supersedes any information to the contrary relating to AMG Yacktman Fund and AMG Yacktman Focused Fund (the “Funds”), each a series of AMG Funds, contained in the Funds’ Statement of Additional Information, dated May 1, 2015.
    Effective June 22, 2015, the Funds will reopen to new investors.
    Effective June 22, 2015, the Statement of Additional Information is hereby amended as follows:
    With respect to the section “General Information”, the third paragraph is hereby deleted in its entirety.
    PLEASE KEEP THIS SUPPLEMENT FOR FUTURE REFERENCE
    ST302
  • Bill Gross’ Big New Yield Idea: Mexico Bonds
    FYI: Bond guru Bill Gross was on CNBC just now talking up Mexican inflation-indexed bonds.
    The case: Mexican inflation-indexed bonds yield about 3%, compared to the 0.5% yield on U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), and that is an unjustifiably wide spread, he said. Moreover, the Mexican peso, which has weakened by about 25% from highs, against the dollar, could rebound, Gross added. That exchange-rate risk may benefit U.S. investors
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://blogs.barrons.com/emergingmarketsdaily/2015/06/10/bill-gross-big-new-yield-idea-mexico-bonds/tab/print/
  • Velocity of M2 Money Stock
    Also note that the chart does not represent the total amount of the M2 money supply, but rather how fast that supply circulates from one holder to another. It is therefore an indirect indicator of general economic activity.
    from Wickipedia:
    It is the number of times one dollar is spent to buy goods and services per unit of time. Alternatively and less frequently, it can refer to the transactions velocity of money, which is the frequency with which the average unit of currency is used in any kind of transaction in which it changes possession—not only the purchase of newly produced goods, but also the purchase of financial assets and other items.