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businessinsider.com/stock-market-news-forecast-2018-morgan-stanley-2017-112,750 could also be the peak for next year, Wilson said. That's based on the expectation that S&P 500 earnings growth will peak and financial conditions will tighten as the Fed continues to hike rates.
"We would be very surprised if we don't return to a more normal environment and witness at least one if not several 10 percent plus drawdowns next year," he said.
etf.com/sections/etf-industry-perspective/vaneck-risk-management-all-marketsTopics covered:
- An introduction to the importance of market breadth measurements
- The construction behind the Ned Davis Research CMG US Large Cap Long/Flat Index (NDRCMGLF)
- Risk management during bull and bear markets and navigating secular trends—only 54% of time spent in bull markets historically
- The merciless mathematics of loss; negative performance requires a larger percentage of returns than what was lost to break even
- 70% of time spent in a bear market or recovering from one
LFEQ has had a very short life (October of 2017)...we may need a bit more time to test this fund's mettle.1966 to 1982 was a different secular bear experience. While the decline over the 16-year period was -1.5% annualized per year, it was a period that experienced high inflation. Therefore, while $100,000 declined to $78,520, after factoring in a real after-inflation return of -7.9%, $100,000 declined in spending value to just $26,801.
jeffrey-gundlach-says-its-a-good-time-to-buy-commodities?In a response to a question about whether having 10 percent of a portfolio in gold is "too much," Gundlach said he would rather put 10 to 15 percent of his investments in commodities broadly rather than gold alone.
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