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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Top Small-Cap Quant Fund Takes A Scientific Approach
    Fond memories from the Way Back Machine
    01/22/2007 From M*
    Numeric Investors decided to get out of the mutual fund business. On Feb. 23, it will liquidate all of its retail mutual funds. Numeric is closing the funds because they compose only 3.5% of its business (about $450 million out of $13 billion), and three of the four funds are closed to new investors,
    This is a surprise and a real disappointment because the advisor runs some excellent quantitative funds, it has shown itself to be a shareholder-friendly shop, and many of these fund's strongest peers are closed.
    http://www.morningstar.com/advisor/t/42991190/fund-times-numeric-funds-to-liquidate.htm
    N/I Numeric Investors Small Cap Value
    NISVX (not valid )
  • Warren Buffett's Decades Long Advice
    Hi Guys,
    "My advice to the trustee couldn't be more simple: Put 10% of the cash in short-term government bonds and 90% in a very low-cost S&P 500 index fund. (I suggest Vanguard's.) I believe the trust's long-term results from this policy will be superior to those attained by most investors — whether pension funds, institutions or individuals — who employ high-fee managers."
    That is a recent quote from Warren Buffett. Over many years he remains consistent in his investment recommendations. Here is a quote from his 1996 Shareholder Letter:
    "Most institutional and individual investors will find the best way to own common stock is through an index fund that charges minimal fees. Those following this path are sure to beat the net results [after fees and expenses] delivered by the great majority of investment professionals."
    I recently discovered a fine set of investment videos from an outfit in England. They practice what Buffett has been saying for decades for most investors. The presentation material is not very sophisticated, especially for most of MFO participants, but it includes many brief segments from famous US researchers. It's all about sensible investing which is the name of the firm that produced the video. Your enjoyment will most likely be tied to your preference for active or passive investing strategies. Here is a Link to one of their 1 hour videos:
    https://www.sensibleinvesting.tv/passive-investing-the-evidence
    Enjoy. Since I do a mix of both actively and passively managed mutual funds, I did enjoy it. I am slowly moving more of my funds in the passive direction.
    Best Regards.
  • Top Small-Cap Quant Fund Takes A Scientific Approach
    FYI: (Click On Article At Top Of Google Search)
    The PNC Multi-Factor Small Core is up an average of 16.6% a year over the past five years.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.google.com/#q=Top+Small-Cap+Quant+Fund+Takes+a+Scientific+Approach+Barron's
    M* Snapshot PLOIX:
    http://www.morningstar.com/funds/xnas/ploix/quote.html
    Lipper Snapshot PLOIX:
    http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/Fund/PLOIX
    PLOIX Is Unranked In The (SCG) Fund Category By U.S. News & World Report:
    http://money.usnews.com/funds/mutual-funds/small-growth/pnc-multi-factor-small-cap-core/ploix
  • BlackRock To Vanguard Earn ETF Win In Fund Liquidity Rule
    The agency also voted 2-1 to allow open-ended funds, not money market funds or ETFs, to use swing pricing, effectively letting asset managers pass on trading costs to investors who redeem. The change permits funds to cash out investors at less favorable pricing during periods of market stress, potentially slowing withdrawals. The SEC says the mechanism aims to keep fund shareholders from being diluted by purchases and redemptions. [my emphasis]
    Hmmmmm............ yeah, sorta important.
    Other takes:
    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-sec-funds-idUSKCN12D21R
    http://www.thinkadvisor.com/2016/10/13/sec-imposes-sweeping-liquidity-rules-for-mutual-fu
  • BlackRock To Vanguard Earn ETF Win In Fund Liquidity Rule
    SEC Final Rules page: https://www.sec.gov/rules/final.shtml
    Perhaps the bigger item got buried - funds are now allowed to use swing pricing in times of stress (essentially impose redemption fees by passing through the cost of selling underlying securities to meet redemptions).
    Here's that SEC final rule (198 pages):
    https://www.sec.gov/rules/final/2016/33-10234.pdf
    There's got to be more on the liquidity rule than is being reported, especially regarding Vanguard. Here's the SEC final rule (459 pages): https://www.sec.gov/rules/final/2016/33-10233.pdf
    First, because ETFs would seem to have a liquidity problem similar to open end funds. When there is large selling pressure, authorized participants (AP) are supposed to swoop in, buy up the ETF shares being sold on the open market, and then sell the underlying securities at a profit. So even though the fund itself doesn't sell assets, the APs are expected to. if they don't (because of illiquidity) the ETF price could go into free fall.
    Second, the report says that this rule applies to funds that provide daily portfolio information. What sort of info? All ETFs provide indicative NAV and portfolio composition files, but they are not required to provide daily portfolios. In fact, Vanguard discloses its ETF portfolios only monthly.
    Third, Vanguard's ETFs are unique in that they are simply shares of an open end fund portfolio. Is this a back door way for Vanguard to avoid meeting liquidity requirements on its open end funds?
    P.S. No, I have not read the 650+ pages from the SEC.
  • Pimco Turns Defensive As Fed Considers Rate Move Relatively Soon

    AndyJ,
    Do you think it is too early to get back into Intermediate Term Munis like VWIUX and FLTMX?
    Mona
    Who knows, Mona, but I wouldn't until the direction flips, at least. Even yesterday, an okay day for rate-sensitive FI, munis were flat while core taxables gained, and there's not a clear sign yet that Treasury yields are topping - could be headed for 2% on the 10y.
    Sept-Nov is supposedly the longest weakest period of the year on average for munis, so that's kind of a caution too.
    Keep in mind this is coming from someone who's really cautious when there's any possible sign of a prolonged downturn in an asset class I typically like ... -- Best, AJ
  • BlackRock To Vanguard Earn ETF Win In Fund Liquidity Rule
    FYI: The Securities and Exchange Commission had originally lumped ETFs in with mutual funds last year when proposing the rules, which try to make sure that firms can more easily sell assets to meet demands from investors who want to cash out during market downturns. ETF providers had pushed back on the inclusion, with BlackRock Inc., the world’s largest asset manager, arguing that the structure of many ETFs makes them more liquid than mutual funds. Vanguard Group is also one of the biggest providers of ETFs
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-13/blackrock-poised-for-etf-regulatory-win-in-fund-liquidity-rule
  • (Re)introducing Capital Group's American Funds
    @msf, you're right, it's complicated but I'm pretty sure it's fairly one-sided, not totally one-sided. If you get full credit for the wrap fee you pay then there's a much better chance that case 1 could come out better. Ultimately the result depends on the individuals circumstances. The only real point of my post was to point out that taxes do have an impact and that if you want to consider all the costs associated with an investment and whether you end up better or worse on a net basis then you do have to consider the taxes.
    Thanks for the discussion! I learned a few things about the details of how fund companies deal with things and that's much appreciated.
  • (Re)introducing Capital Group's American Funds
    I was aware of the tax differences, but didn't mention it for a couple of reasons. One was that we weren't talking about tax-adjusted figures. The other was because the situation is more complex than you described in case 2 (where the fund pays the advisor).
    When funds skim money to pay for expenses, they first take that money first from interest, nonqualified divs, and possibly short term gains that would otherwise be distributed.
    If it has enough ordinary income to cover the advisor payments, then what happens is simply that your ordinary income divs are reduced by the amount of the payments. That's equivalent to a straight deduction against ordinary income. The NAV would not be affected by paying this additional cost.
    For example, if there's $5 of interest income/share available and the fund pays your advisor $4, then it distributes $1 of ordinary divs and the NAV drops $5. If it doesn't pay your advisor (case 1) then it distributes $5 of ordinary income to you, the NAV still drops by $5.
    If the fund reduces its cap gains distributions (rather than its ordinary income distributions) to pay the advisor, then again the NAV is unaffected but now you'll see your cap gains income (as opposed to ordinary income) reduced by the advisor fees. A less valuable income reduction.
    The NAV would be affected in the way you described only if the fund had to use assets that it would not otherwise have distributed. That is, if the portfolio did not generate enough income (via interest, divs, net gains), to cover costs, then the fund would have to use actual share value to pay the advisor.
    If the NAV were reduced (or its increase diminished), you would indeed be able to capture the expense as a capital loss (or reduced gain). This is a less valuable loss than the two above - first because its is a capital loss vs. a reduction of ordinary income, and second because you'll only recognize it when you ultimately sell your shares vs. a reduced distribution that is recognized now.
    So the tax impact in case (2) is quite variable, in both nominal value (ordinary income vs. cap gains) and present value (available in current tax year or only when shares sold).
    You are correct about the 2% AGI floor, so the value depends in part on what other misc. deductions you had (e.g. tax prep fees), and whether you are even itemizing.
  • (Re)introducing Capital Group's American Funds
    @msf, you're partly correct about the 30th percentile. I did adjust all funds based on M*'s load adjusted returns but I rounded a little. The actual ranking is between the 29th and 30th percentile and I just used 30 as a round number.
    In your example I certainly agree with your assessment that different returns don't necessarily mean you will do better or worse as an investor but if it's in a taxable account I think the taxes would be different too. In case 2 your entire return is captured as a capital gain or loss so you're going to get complete credit for what you've paid. In case 1 I believe the wrap account fee would be an itemized deduction that has to be bigger than 2% of your AGI to begin with and could be lost entirely if you don't itemize.
  • (Re)introducing Capital Group's American Funds
    Suppose you have an advisor who charges 1% for managing your account and he gives you two choices for how he'll collect his fee:
    1) He'll periodically skim money from your account, let's say on a daily basis, or
    2) He'll delegate that to the fund company that will then skim money from the fund on a daily basis and remit it to your advisor
    I think you'd agree that your return is the same either way. Same tithing, same schedule, it's just the collection mechanism that's different.
    Case (1) is a wrap account with F-2 shares and a 1% fee. Case (2) is a commission-based account with C shares (1% 12b-1 fee, for the sake of argument all going to the advisor).
    One would probably expect the returns of those two classes of shares to be reported differently. Therein lies the problem. Your return is the same, the payment to your advisor is the same, and yet one class' returns are different from another, simply because of the payment mechanism.
    What this suggests to me is that to the extent possible, one should keep the payment mechanism out of the return data. I want the performance figures to represent how well the portfolio did, not what I paid or didn't pay to my advisor.
    We can keep the advisor fees (which as OJ noted can vary) out of the equation for A shares. Unfortunately, they're baked into the equation for B and C shares. Even worse, you've got the reverse problem with B shares - the performance figures understate actual performance. That's because B shares convert to cheaper A shares after some number of years, but the performance figures assume the same higher expenses ad infinitum.
    The 30th percentile estimate is likely in error, though I haven't checked. I'm guessing that when you multiplied the ending value by 94.25% (i.e. reducing account by 5.75%), you did not do the same for all the other front end load funds. Their performance figures should have been reduced as well.
    FWIW, M* does incorporate the impact of loads in its star ratings. That's why AMECX is 4*, but AMECX.lw is 5*.
  • Whiskey A Go Go: Make A Toast With This New ETF
    FYI: For investors wondering if a sin stocks exchange traded fund would ever be reborn, the next best thing may have come to town Wednesday with the debut of the Spirited Funds/ETFMG Whiskey and Spirits ETF WSKY, -0.72%
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/whiskey-a-go-go-make-a-toast-with-this-new-etf-2016-10-13-5464026/print
    MarketWatch Article Two On WSKY:
    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/bottoms-up-new-etf-tracks-the-global-growing-whiskey-market-2016-10-12/print
  • University of Texas’ $37 Billion Endowment Manager Resigns
    FYI: Bruce Zimmerman, chief executive officer of the University of Texas Investment Management Co., said he resigned after about a decade overseeing the third largest U.S. college endowment in a mutual decision with the university.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-10/university-of-texas-endowment-ceo-bruce-zimmerman-resigns-iu478xaj
  • Pimco Turns Defensive As Fed Considers Rate Move Relatively Soon
    FYI: Pacific Investment Management Co., which runs the world’s biggest actively managed bond fund, says it’s time to reduce risk.
    “We continue to stress more defensive themes in portfolio construction,” Scott Mather, chief investment officer for core strategies at the Newport Beach, California-based company, wrote in an e-mail. Pimco is “focused on selective opportunities in mortgages, inflation-linked bonds, and select credit markets,” he wrote.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-12/pimco-focuses-on-defensive-themes-in-portfolio-construction-iu7jrz9m
  • Thank You, Merrill Lynch
    Oh, yeah. And remember the 1,000+ pages of the new regs were crafted by....you guessed it...attorneys! Yes, the rules are supposed to establish a "fiduciary" standard. But already, there is legislation to allow annuities back into the picture (think dollars from insurance companies and banks). And the solution for a number of companies, like ML, is to adjust their IRA business but continue to sell commission products and charge commissions for the non-retirement business. There will for sure be some fallout of the really egregious stuff, but I would not be surprised to see more and more adjustments to the rules like the annuity provision just passed. Meanwhile, independent RIA's who have been running fiduciary programs for years, must devote more and more hours to paperwork and other documentation. Between the DOL, the SEC, FINRA, and each state's regulators, the rules and requirements continue to multiply, many times contradicting each other.
  • MFO Ratings Posted Thru September '16 ... 3rd Quarter
    ARTWX - WTF is wrong with it I don't get. I think it is worst fund YTD in World Stock category. I would have thought it was 3-alarm already.
    Marc Yockey has been lame for a while now. I had surmised ARTHX and ARTGX were started to distract people from his ARTIX performance. Now things catching up with him on all fronts. His international picks are sucking wind. Does not help that ARTGX has almost 80% in international.
    What is distressing is seeing RWGFX on the list. FAIRX I don't mind.
    FYI - ARTHX was not even Yockey's until he took it over from Barry Dargan in 2013. Yes, I know what M* says, but Yockey was not in charge of the fund prior to Mr. Dargan leaving Artisan.
  • More fallout from the DOL fiduciary rule
    When a combined $58 million in lobbying dollars from the financial industry are targeted to the Senate Finance Committee ( for 2016 PACs and individual campaigns), I do not have to think very hard about whether money talks. Like another poster at MFO, it doesn't take much like this for me to become cynical. It is such an obvious affront.
  • (Re)introducing Capital Group's American Funds
    @msf, sorry, I'm not sure how I got stuck on the R1 shares but that negates much of what I was saying. Sorry for wasting your time and everyone else's.
    I completely agree that certain expenses exist regardless of how they're packaged. Nonetheless I think many people are mislead by both lack of transparency on the part of fund companies, even though it has certainly gotten better over time, but also by companies like M* who provide historical returns and category rankings without regard for whether a fund carries a load or not and without disclosing that fact. For instance, AF New World A is ranked in the 18th percentile for its 10 year record but if you account for the load then it drops to the 30th percentile. I'm not saying 30th percentile is bad at all, just that they're leaving out an important fact. It's not an easy fact to deal with but it could at least be disclosed so people know the numbers they see don't tell the whole story.