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In only two places did the author specifically note the 1% figure:http://www.marketwatch.com/story/almost-no-one-can-beat-the-market-2013-10-25
...
The author specifically noted that only about 1% of the investing public (that included individual investors and mutual fund managers) generate positive Alphas relative to a fair representative benchmark.
The bottom line is that there's nothing in the column that specifically notes only about 1% of the investing public generate positive alpha. Just the opposite:"Fewer than 1% of mutual fund managers persistently beat the market based on superior market-timing or stock-picking skills," and
"research by Brad Barber of UC Davis and Terrance Odean of UC Berkeley who found that only about 1% of active traders outperformed the market."
Did I miss Skeet saying he was a day trader?Hi Old Skeet,
Congratulations on your investing success story. But not many share your experience. According to much investor research and many research conclusions, it is a rather rare happening.
That observation is "in line with research by Brad Barber of UC Davis and Terrance Odean of UC Berkeley who found that only about 1% of active traders outperformed the market. The more frequently people trade, the worse they do."
It's traffic that you are in that rare 1% grouping. Here is the Link that I extracted that quote from:
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/almost-no-one-can-beat-the-market-2013-10-25
Day trading is the purchase and sale of the same stock by an investors on a day. We argue that these intraday trades are almost certainly speculative. ...
We are not the first to study day trading, though the sample of day traders we study is much large and the time-series much longer than those in prior studies. The one exception to this generalization being [another paper by] Barber, Lee, Liu, and Odean who identify a small subset of day traders (less than 1% of the day trading population) predictably earn profits.
@MJG - I'm not sure whether you intended tragic or terrific. I'm comfortable with either.It's traffic that you are in that rare 1% grouping.
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