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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • AMG SouthernSun Small Cap Fund to reopen to new investors
    I've owned this fund for several years - you have to have a strong stomach for it since it's a concentrated fund and has huge up and down swings - it'll go a year or two as the top ranked fund in its category, then it'll have a year or two where it's the worst. It was ranked 96th in 2014 and 98th in 2015; year to date 2016 it is 1st - go figure!
  • David Snowball's April Commentary
    Some mutual funds have done well in the 90's, but it's been just plain hard outperforming the Russell 2000 index ( IWM = ETF equiv. ). Maybe it's because they get too big, their management style stops working, or the market "complexion" has changed over the last 15 years ? Try plugging symbols mentioned in commentary here ( https://portfoliovisualizer.com/backtest-portfolio#analysisResults ) and select the Russell 2000 as "benchmark". I like to use 2002 and 2008 as dumb luck / Murphy;s law starting points ...
    even BRK-A loses out.
  • AMG SouthernSun Small Cap Fund to reopen to new investors
    http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1089951/000119312516529205/d162847d497.htm
    497 1 d162847d497.htm AMG FUNDS
    Filed pursuant to 497(e)
    File Nos. 333-84639 and 811-09521
    AMG FUNDS
    AMG SouthernSun Small Cap Fund
    Supplement dated April 4, 2016 to the Prospectus, dated February 1, 2016
    The following information supplements and supersedes any information to the contrary relating to AMG SouthernSun Small Cap Fund (the “Fund”), a series of AMG Funds, contained in the Fund’s Prospectus, dated February 1, 2016.
    Effective April 15, 2016, the Fund will reopen to new investors.
    Effective April 15, 2016, the Prospectus will be amended as follows:
    With respect to the sub-section “Buying and Selling Fund Shares” in the section “Summary of the Fund”, the first paragraph will be deleted in its entirety.
    With respect to the sub-section “Other Important Information About the Fund and Its Investment Strategies and Risks” in the section “Additional Information About the Fund”, the heading “Fund Closure” and the subsequent two paragraphs will be deleted in their entirety.
    PLEASE KEEP THIS SUPPLEMENT FOR FUTURE REFERENCE
    ST322
  • Can Calpers Live With Responsible Returns?
    @FundStudent &MFO Members: The grandaddy of all SRI Funds, PAXWX, is ranked #46 in the MA Fund category by U.S. News & World Report. He is a comparison of returns between VBINX, the #1 ranked MA Fund, and PAXWX.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://money.usnews.com/funds/mutual-funds/moderate-allocation/pax-world-balanced-fund/paxwx
    PAXWX vs. VBINX Returns:
    http://www.marketwatch.com/tools/mutual-fund/compare?Tickers=PAXWX+VBINX&Compare=Returns
  • David Snowball's April Commentary
    The Share Price segment laments the overabundance of share classes and their various associated fees. I'm going to try approaching this from the other end - what services do you get and how should they be paid for?
    There are account servicing costs (statements, tax info, etc.) that are pretty constant per account. Funds can cover these costs by charging everyone the same rate (single share class, large investors subsidize small ones), or by creating a tiered structure (multiple share classes), so that each investor pays a somewhat similar dollar amount for the servicing portion. Phrased that way, cheaper Vanguard Admiral shares, or Selected Funds class D shares don't sound like a bad thing.
    Where I think tiered accounts makes little sense is at the institutional level. Why should a $5M account pay double what a $200M account pays?
    Transactions (buying/selling) have costs. It is cheap but not free to push paper around. Very cheap for funds, less so for brokerages. Thus they skim 40 basis points/year to make it seem you're not paying anything (NTF), or let you pay a la carte (TF). If a fund wants to give you a choice, it uses multiple share classes.
    Advice has its costs, too. Pay via a wrap account (typically 1%/year), or at point of sale (front end load), or on the installment plan (skimming a percentage each year), or a la carte (fee only). Regardless, you will pay. Different methods, different share classes.
    18 shares classes is absurd, but with choice of service and payments method comes choice of offerings (share classes).
    Much of this is done to obfuscate, and that is not a "good thing". Even funds with single share classes may be doing this. Sequoia charges a flat 1% management fee and the management company pays for everything. In reality, you're paying, you just don't know how much (and how much is going to actually manage the fund) because it's all rolled up into a single number. But hey, it looks good, no 12b-1 fee.
    I have the same issue with FPA. Crescent is marketed as a noload fund, but its expenses (for a balanced fund) are out of line with its siblings (formerly loaded funds). You're virtually paying a load or transaction fee or whatever you want to call it, you just don't know it because it's buried.
    In contrast, look at a fund like American Century Ultra (TWCUX). As with Sequoia it rolls all the expenses into a single management fee. But it reduces that fee on institutional shares by 20 basis points. That gives you a reasonable idea of how much extra it costs to service retail customers.
    Personally, I'm glad I can buy cheaper Admiral shares and pay TFs for cheaper shares that save me money in the long run. The commentary suggested that this was inequitable. I respectfully disagree. I see the issue as clarity not fairness.
  • Can Calpers Live With Responsible Returns?
    FYI: The California Public Employees' Retirement System recently opened a new chapter in socially responsible investing (also known as environment, social and governance, or ESG, investing) when its investment committee decided to start requiring that the boards of the companies it invests in include climate change experts.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.bloomberg.com/gadfly/articles/2016-04-04/can-calpers-live-with-responsible-investment-returns
  • David Snowball's April Commentary
    On the question of Crescent's benchmark: their objective is to produce "equity-like" returns with reduced volatility over the course of a full market cycle, so it does make some sense to hold their FMC performance to some all-equity benchmark. In their estimation, MSCI World is likely to be a bit closer going forward than the S&P 500. In the short term and especially in down markets, it will certainly be a misleading comparison.
    On the question of Ed's reservations: institutional culture and identity are fragile things, so when there are personnel transitions there are also likely to be culture transitions. Those are hard to get right. T Rowe pulls it off because the fund-level changes occur within the context of firm-level continuity. When you look at boutique managers, fund-level changes are often coincident with firm-level changes. Messrs. Ende and Geist have left. Mr. Rodriquez hasn't managed funds since 2009 or 2010 and is now 65. Mr. Atteberry, Mr. Rodriquez's successor at New Income, is 62. There's no evidence that either is leaving but, by the time you're in your 60s, empire-building is more typically in your past than in your future.
    The effects of these generational changes can be profound and, occasionally, positive. The problem is that, as outsiders, we're pretty much clueless about a firm's internal decision-making and dynamics. One reason we haven't talked more about it is that we don't have more to say; that is, in principle concern is warranted but we have little to work with in individual instances. So, we try to stick with what we can document.
    For what that's worth,
    David
  • Federated Strategic Value Dividend Is No. 1 (SVAAX)
    That is why I have owned SCHD for past 3 years and most comfortable with it.
    Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity is a suitable core holding for investors who want a high dividend yield without tilting toward distressed and deep-value stocks. The fund market cap weights 100 high-yielding U.S. stocks with solid fundamentals and a consistent track record of paying dividends. While the resulting fund holds high-quality stocks with strong profitability, it should be paired with other funds for complete market coverage. The 0.07% expense ratio makes this the lowest-cost strategic-beta fund available and allows investors to keep a greater share of the fund's returns.
  • Federated Strategic Value Dividend Is No. 1 (SVAAX)
    FYI: The last time dividend investing was really in favor was back in the mid-1980s—long before the era of the smartphone and the MP3 player. Laptops had just made their debut; the Internet as we know it today remained merely a gleam in the eye of Silicon Valley geeks.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.wsj.com/articles/federated-strategic-value-is-no-1-fund-1459735515
    M* Snapshot SVAAX;
    http://www.morningstar.com/funds/XNAS/SVAAX/quote.html
    Lipper Snapshot SVAAX:
    http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/Fund/SVAAX
    SVAAX Is Ranked #23 In The (LCV) Fund Category By U.S. News & World Report:
    http://money.usnews.com/funds/mutual-funds/large-value/federated-strategic-value-dividend-fund/svaax
  • Snowball's great commentary
    I'll have some comments in the main thread on this month's commentary. Since you asked about MMFs, I'll provide a few notes here.
    No MMF, not even one containing only Treasuries, is guaranteed not to break a buck. That's true now and will always be true (unless the Treasury does something extraordinary as it did in 2008 and step in to guarantee MMFs).
    One of the rules going into effect later this year says that prime and muni MMFs must have floating NAVs if they are offered to institutional investors. So there are (at least) two types of non-Treasury MMFs that are not required to have a floating NAV:
    1. Federal-government security MMFs (these are allowed to hold federally backed paper aside from Treasuries), e.g. SPAXX, whose holdings you can find here.
    2. Retail MMFs, regardless of what they hold.
    Many brokerages have for years offered sweep accounts into FDIC-insured bank accounts. So there are, and will be, options for sweeps that will not break a buck.
    Fidelity (since the commentary spoke directly about this brokerage) has converted some of its prime MMFs (e.g. FDRXX) into government securities MMFs. Fidelity requires new accounts to use a government MMF or FDIC-insured sweep account as your core (transaction) account (old accounts are grandfathered), it continues to offer a full suite of "position" MMFs that you can own and trade explictly.
    Here's Fidelity's page on the rules along with links to all its MMFs.
    Further, as a courtesy, Fidelity will allow you to purchase securities in your brokerage account automatically using cash directly from your "position" MMFs. So to a certain extent any MMF can function as your core account. While there's this sweep out of the position account, there's no automatic sweep in. You have to explicitly move cash into the position MMFs.
  • Will Danoff Leaves Fidelity Contrafund To Manage Sequoia Fund
    The management (not ER) fee on FCNTX is 0.56%. On $107B, that's about $600M. Let's say Danoff gets half of that, or $300M. That's not even beginning to count his pay for managing New Insights and lots of other funds.
    SEQUX's management fee is 1.00%, the same as its ER, because the management company is responsible for all the fund expenses (similar to what American Century does with its legacy funds like TWCGX). But for the sake of argument, let's say that Danoff gets to keep all of it. That's still only $55M ($5.5B fund).
    So, if Sequoia stops printing prospectuses and investor statements, stops taking in money and selling shares, stops doing all the other things that fund distributors do, and if its management company stops taking any cut, and ..., then its fee might go up just a tad instead of a whole lot to pay for Danoff.
    Of course, he could volunteer take a pay cut to go back to having fun managing something smaller than a whale.
  • Investor Derby: Gold Won First Quarter, Stocks Win Long Term
    Read this before Ted posted it (pretty rare!). I thought the article a bit shoddy. 5 & 10 years (to my thinking) are too short of time frames to draw big assumptions. If I recall, they compared gold's performance to the S&P 500, REITS, and international and EM markets over the past 5 & 10 years. All of these are subject to substantial deviations over short periods. But I do think the overall point being made is valid: Investing regularly over time in a broad basket equities can be very profitable. Hard to disagree on that. But the time frames used are very short.
    Re gold, I sold all of my small speculative position in OPGSX last week. It was up 37% YTD and 44% since I bought it around Labor Day last fall. Still exposed a bit through other funds; but pure plays on this stuff (or miners) are bit like snacking on nails. Not for everyone.
  • Who's The Bond Champ First Quarter 2016 ? Fuss, Gross, Hasenstab, Gundlach, Gaffney
    @Edmond: For the last time ! YTD & First Quarter
    Regards,
    Ted
    Gaffney: EVBAX 4.24%
    Fuss: LSBRX 2.73%
    Gross: JUCAX 2.18%
    Gundlach: DBLTX 1.75%
    Ivascyn: PIMIX 1.74%
    Hasenstab TPINX -(0.14)%
    Regards,
    Ted
  • Who's The Bond Champ First Quarter 2016 ? Fuss, Gross, Hasenstab, Gundlach, Gaffney
    @Edmond: Dan Ivascyn is an excellent manager, and Pimco Income Fund is a great fund, I've owned it from time to time, but YTD PONAX was up 1.63% trailing all the other managers except Hasenstab.
    Regards,
    Ted
  • Investor Derby: Gold Won First Quarter, Stocks Win Long Term
    The article indicates if one had put the money in REITS, rather than the S&P, one could have done even better.
    The problem with these types of articles is there is they are based on a single "end-point". --- With stocks near all-time highs, and gold 4-5 years into its bear market, the case to avoid gold is a easy --- but fallacious argument to make. It could just as well been made in Dec 1999 -- but would have proven a lousy argument to have made over the ensuring decade.
  • Alternatives to DODIX
    I agree that asset bloat is a potential problem, but more to watch out for than a reason to rule out MWTRX now - especially in a tax-sheltered account where switching funds is painless.
    As a reference point, posts here have had only positive words about DBLTX (OP holds it, PRESSmUP wound up with it, Samuel spoke of it as a fine fund). It now holds $57.6B, with DoubleLine as a whole taking in $10B in the past quarter (total $95B AUM).
    http://www.mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/26816/gundlach-s-doubleline-capital-grew-to-95-billion-in-march
    Which raises another fact. A few years ago, the MetWest team took on managing the TCW funds when MetWest was acquired by TCW. IMHO that was the time to have been concerned about asset bloat at MetWest. Big percentage jump in assets while also having to deal with significant outflows.
  • Who's The Bond Champ First Quarter 2016 ? Fuss, Gross, Hasenstab, Gundlach, Gaffney
    FYI Granted their funds are classified in different categories, and three of the funds carry a load, here are the YTD results as of 4/1/16.
    Regards,
    Ted
    And The Winner Is ?
    http://www.marketwatch.com/tools/mutual-fund/compare?Tickers=EVBAX+JUCAX+LSBRX+DBLTX+TPINX&Compare=Returns
  • Gundlach's DoubleLine Capital Grew To $95 Billion In March
    FYI: Los Angeles-based firm added $10 billion in first quarter.
    Total Return Fund increased to $57.6 billion on mortgage bet.
    DoubleLine Capital, the Los Angeles-based investment firm headed by Jeffrey Gundlach, increased assets under management to $95 billion at the end of March, according to an e-mail from company analyst Loren Fleckenstein, $10 billion more than the firm reported Dec. 31.
    The flagship DoubleLine Total Return Bond Fund, which invests primarily in mortgage-backed securities, climbed to $57.6 billion in assets, and has returned 1.75 percent so far in 2016, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-04-01/gundlach-s-doubleline-capital-grew-to-95-billion-in-march
  • Investor Derby: Gold Won First Quarter, Stocks Win Long Term
    FYI: Another quarter, another lesson in long-term investing.
    Economic uncertainty around the world and a brutal start to the year for stocks helped send the price of gold surging to its best quarter in 30 years. But an analysis of 10 common investments by the Associated Press shows that regular investors who put a steady amount of money every month into an account like a 401(k) would have been far better off in stocks or bonds.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.bigstory.ap.org/article/9e6749ab7e694bf3b95cb56be104cbe4/investor-derby-gold-won-first-quarter-stocks-win-long-term