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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • 10-Year Closing in on 1.5% (OP) - Blows Right Past - Near 5% (30 months later) - Whee!
    A $50 Billion Unwind Fueled Treasuries’ Rout. It Has Room to Run
    (Bloomberg) -- A chaotic selloff in the Treasuries market was spurred by a massive exodus from popular trades, heightened by liquidity concerns that could inflict more pain in coming days.
    The exodus happened at a time when traders were already worried about the imminent disappearance of a support beam for the market -- a regulatory exemption that has allowed banks to accumulate more U.S. bonds.
    Treasury futures open interest across a range of maturities sank by a huge amount Thursday: the equivalent of $50 billion of 10-year notes. It didn’t help that this coincided with the Treasury Department selling $62 billion of seven-year notes, an auction that proved to be a disaster.
    The month ahead could be rocky, too. Back in April, the Federal Reserve tweaked its rules to exempt Treasuries from banks’ supplementary leverage ratios -- allowing them to expand their balance sheets with U.S. debt. But that relief ends March 31 and what happens next is something of a mystery.
    “It wasn’t an orderly selloff and certainly didn’t appear to be driven by any obvious fundamental continuation or extension of the reflation thesis,” wrote NatWest Markets strategist Blake Gwinn in a note to clients. A number of more technical factors were in the mix, against a backdrop of a good-old-fashioned buyers strike, he said.

    Article:
    chaotic-treasury-selloff
  • American Century Mid-Cap Value Fund to re-open thru all channels
    Here we go again. It never closed to new investors categorically. It only closed to new investors through some (but not all) channels.
    As of November 1, 2013, the fund is generally closed to new investors other than those who ... invest directly with American Century....
    Summary prospectus, Aug 1, 2020
  • S.E.C. suspends trading in 15 securities (social media hypes)
    If you are curious about such events. I presume one may assume this is a form of warning about other future actions as deemed legal and/or valid by the SEC.
    Other reasons for the suspensions are noted in the SEC document.
    Public press news release "short".
    SEC document list
    Time for a movie night unwind from this week.
    Take care,
    Catch
  • IQDAX- If it's opaque, just maybe there's a reason?
    @Baseball_Fan
    I want to know what the young man who was running the fund was exactly doing? Was there malfeasance? Or did he really believe the 3rd party model was incorrect and there was a "tweaking" for good reason? He's obviously lawyered up. Who else knew and who challenged him on his actions? Wasn't there a compliance/risk officer? What was he doing/not doing/getting paid for?
    Good questions. To those I would add what was it that finally did bring this to the SEC's attention?
    Regarding the audit question, I was referring to the annual reports.
    This is from their August 2020 annual report:
    REPORT OF INDEPENDENT REGISTERED PUBLIC ACCOUNTING FIRM
    To the Board of Trustees of Trust for Advised Portfolios and the
    Shareholders of Infinity Q Diversified Alpha Fund
    Opinion on the Financial Statements
    We have audited the accompanying consolidated statement of assets and liabilities of Infinity Q Diversified Alpha Fund, a series of shares of beneficial interest in Trust for Advised Portfolios, and Subsidiary (the "Fund"), including the consolidated schedule of investments as of August 31, 2020, and the related consolidated statement of operations for the year then ended, the statements of changes in net assets for each of the years in the two-year period then ended, the statement of cash flows for the year then ended, and the financial highlights for each of the years in the three-year period then ended, and the related notes (collectively referred to as the "financial statements"). The consolidated financial highlights for the years ended August 31, 2017 and August 31, 2016 were audited by another independent registered public accounting firm whose report, dated February 1, 2018, expressed an unqualified opinion on those consolidated financial highlights. In our opinion, the financial statements present fairly, in all material respects, the consolidated financial position of the Fund as of August 31, 2020, the consolidated results of their operations for the year then ended, their cash flows for the year then ended, the changes in their net assets for each of the years in the two-year period then ended, and financial highlights for each of the years in the three-year period then ended, in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America.
    Basis for Opinion
    These financial statements are the responsibility of the Fund's management. Our responsibility is to express an opinion on the Fund's financial statements based on our audits. We are a public accounting firm registered with the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States) ("PCAOB") and are required to be independent with respect to the Fund in accordance with the U.S. federal securities laws and the applicable rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission and the PCAOB.
    We conducted our audits in accordance with the standards of the PCAOB. Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the financial statements are free of material misstatement, whether due to error or fraud. The Fund is not required to have, nor were we engaged to perform, an audit of its internal control over financial reporting. As part of our audits, we are required to obtain an understanding of internal control over financial reporting but not for the purpose of expressing an opinion on the effectiveness of the Fund's internal control over financial reporting. Accordingly, we express no such opinion.
    Our audits included performing procedures to assess the risks of material misstatement of the financial statements, whether due to error or fraud, and performing procedures that respond to those risks. Such procedures included examining, on a test basis, evidence regarding the amounts and disclosures in the financial statements. Our procedures included confirmation of securities owned as of August 31, 2020, by correspondence with the custodian, prime broker and third-party counterparties. Our audits also included evaluating the accounting principles used and significant estimates made by management, as well as evaluating the overall presentation of the financial statements. We believe that our audits provide a reasonable basis for our opinion.
    Bold emphasis my own.
    To answer my own question. My interpretation is that the audit just makes sure that there are no irregularities in the numbers or accounting in the financial reports but not an assessment of the validity of how the asset values are obtained or the actual pricing of the assets themselves. But I'm no expert on financial reports.
    I also think the comparison of Infinity Q and T. Rowe Price is like comparing apples & oranges, even concerning TMSRX. Especially as Infinity Q was essentially a one man operation. Anything is possible & I definitely understand the concern.
    @Sma3
    Regarding IOFIX, my impression was they were not disclosing to shareholders the risks involved with some of their holdings- their method of buying & valuing odd lots not widely traded which during times of stress (ie last March) might become difficult to unload.
    @Derf
    I have no idea what a "reasonable" amount would be but for me, in general, I tend to limit any one holding to no more than 5-7%. TMSRX is currently around 6.5%. The main exception to that is PRWCX which I started investing in back in the 1990s. It sits around 16%.
  • 10-Year Closing in on 1.5% (OP) - Blows Right Past - Near 5% (30 months later) - Whee!
    @Derf - you are absolutely right. It was stale info. Fidelity was not updated when I looked. I was down 1.75% for the day. FDGRX, MESGX and MSSMX were my biggest movers in the wrong direction. Still long, though. Thanks for the correction.
  • Vanguard Equity Income Fund's James P. Stetler to retire
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/826473/000168386321001104/f8199d1.htm
    497 1 f8199d1.htm EQUITY INCOME FUND
    Vanguard Equity Income Fund
    Supplement Dated February 26, 2021, to the Prospectus and Summary Prospectus Dated January 31, 2021
    Important Changes to Vanguard Equity Income Fund
    Effective immediately, Sharon Hill will be added as a co-portfolio manager of Vanguard's portion of Vanguard Equity Income Fund (the Fund). James P. Stetler will retire from Vanguard in July 2021 and will no longer serve as a co-portfolio manager for Vanguard's portion of the Fund. The Fund's investment objective, strategies, and policies remain unchanged.
    Prospectus and Summary Prospectus Text Changes
    The following is added under the heading "Investment Advisors" in the Fund Summary section:
    Sharon Hill, Ph.D., Senior Portfolio Manager and head of the Alpha Equity Global and Income Investment team within Vanguard's Quantitative Equity Group. She has co-managed a portion of the Fund since February 2021.
    Prospectus Text Changes
    The following is added under the heading "Investment Advisors" in the More on the Fund section:
    Sharon Hill, Ph.D., Senior Portfolio Manager and head of the Alpha Equity Global and Income Investment team within Vanguard's Quantitative Equity Group. She has been with Vanguard since August 2019, has worked in investment management since 2000, has managed investment portfolios since 2009, and has co-managed a portion of the Fund since February 2021. Education: B.S., City University of New York at Brooklyn College; M.S. and Ph.D., University
    of Connecticut.
    https://advisors.vanguard.com/pub/Pdf/p065.pdf
  • IQDAX- If it's opaque, just maybe there's a reason?
    TMSRX What would be a reasonable amount , per cent, to own in a retirement account of say 500 K ? Just wondering. Possible in the 4 - 5 % range .
    Stay safe, Derf
  • American Century Mid-Cap Value Fund to re-open thru all channels
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/908186/000090818621000023/accp3121mcv497.htm
    (ACMVX)
    American Century Capital Portfolios, Inc.
    Summary Prospectus and Prospectus Supplement
    Mid Cap Value Fund
    Supplement dated March 1, 2021 n Summary Prospectus and Prospectus dated August 1, 2020
    As of April 1, 2021, the fund will be open to all investors.
    The following changes are effective April 1, 2021:
    The first paragraph under Purchase and Sale of Fund Shares on page 5 of the summary prospectus and the prospectus is deleted.
    The section entitled Closed Fund Policies on page 17 of the prospectus is deleted.
  • When (Small) Value Turns Into Momentum
    Interesting Read:
    Yield Curve Steepening, and Small Caps
    Right now, longer term rates are rising, while the Fed is keeping the short term rates low. That means the yield curve is steepening at a rapid rate. That should mean a continuation of small cap out performance over at least the next 15 months. And if the Fed dithers in allowing short term rates to keep pace with the rise in long term rates, then the message is that small caps should continue to outperform for a longer time, due to all of that excess liquidity.
    yield_curve_steepening
  • Selective Opportunity Fund to liquidate
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1199046/000139834421004672/fp0062798_497.htm
    (SLCSX)
    497 1 fp0062798_497.htm
    SELECTIVE OPPORTUNITY FUND
    Supplement to the Prospectus
    and Statement of Additional Information
    dated
    April 29, 2020
    Supplement dated February 26, 2021
    The Board of Trustees has determined that it is in the best interest of shareholders to liquidate the Selective Opportunity Fund (the “Fund”).
    As of the date of this supplement, the Fund is no longer accepting purchase orders for its shares and it will close effective June 21, 2021 (the “Closing Date”). Shareholders may redeem Fund shares at any time prior to the Closing Date. Procedures for redeeming your account, including reinvested distributions, are contained in the section “How to Redeem Shares” of the Fund’s Prospectus. Any shareholders that have not redeemed their shares of the Fund prior to the Closing Date will have their shares automatically redeemed as of that date, with proceeds being sent to the address of record. If your Fund shares were purchased through a broker-dealer and are held in a brokerage account, redemption proceeds may be forwarded by the Fund directly to the broker-dealer for deposit into your brokerage account.
    The Fund will continue to pursue its investment objective through the Closing Date. Any capital gains will be distributed as soon as practicable to shareholders and reinvested in additional Fund shares, unless you have requested payment in cash.
    IMPORTANT INFORMATION FOR RETIREMENT PLAN INVESTORS
    If you are a retirement plan investor, you should consult your tax adviser regarding the consequences of a redemption of Fund shares. If you receive a distribution from an Individual Retirement Account (IRA) or a Simplified Employee Pension (SEP) IRA, you must roll the proceeds into another IRA within 60 days of the date of the distribution in order to avoid having to include the distribution in your taxable income for the year. If you are the trustee of a qualified retirement plan or the custodian of a 403(b)(7) custodian account (tax-sheltered account) or a Keogh account, you may reinvest the proceeds in any way permitted by its governing instrument.
    * * * * * *
    This supplement and the Prospectus provide the information a prospective investor should know about the Fund and should be retained for future reference. A Statement of Additional Information dated April 29, 2020 has been filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and is incorporated herein by reference. You may obtain the Prospectus or Statement of Additional Information without charge by calling the Fund at (434) 515-1517 or visiting www.selectivewealthmanagement.com.
  • Buy on Rumor, Sell on Fact
    @Mark I got rid of all bonds except a very small position in FXNAX. My FNBGX was up quite a bit in 2020 (not sure why and it still trailed S&P index), thankfully I sold before 2021. Why? It’s down 10% YTD. I’m having a very hard time justifying any bond exposure right now. Actually, when I look back at the last 10-15 years, I held too many bonds (in case of?) and at the expense of many years of equity superiority. The crash(s) where bonds outperformed and helped me were few and far between. But I’m still learning and don’t know what I don’t know.
  • Brandywine Global Investment Management, LLC to acquire Diamond Hill’s focused High Yield & Corp Cr
    Wonder why? Between the two funds they've got $3 billion in assets and 10 stars. With a management fee of 0.5%, that's $15 million a year.
  • New "Dashboard of Launch Alerts" with January 2021 MFO Ratings Update
    Thank you MikeW! If David takes the time to write a launch alert, pay attention.
    Just went live with several other new features in MultiSearch, including: Jump Scroll, Hover Symbol, and Plus Searches, described here.
  • When (Small) Value Turns Into Momentum
    Momentum Indicates Stock Price Strength:
    investopedia.com/articles/technical
    The relation between value and momentum strategies:
    Simple value and momentum strategies often end up with opposite market positions. One strategy succeeds when the other fails. There are two plausible reasons for this. First, value investors regularly bet against market trends that appear to ‘have gone too far’ by standard valuation metrics. Second, value stocks carry particularly high market risk or ‘bad beta’ and thus fare well when market risk premia are high and the market turns for the better. This typically coincides with ‘momentum crashes’ in oversold markets. As a consequence, value and momentum signals may be complementary. In particular, value strategies are not very profitable in normal times or bull markets but have produced extraordinary profits when being set up in the mature state of a bear market. Similarly, momentum signals can be adjusted by extreme valuation metrics alongside signs of trend exhaustion.
    https://sr-sv.com/the-relation-between-value-and-momentum-strategies/
  • When (Small) Value Turns Into Momentum
    You’ve probably noticed that value investing has been the opposite of dead for a while now. In fact, small value stocks have more than doubled since the low last year. Yes, I’m cherry-picking. Sue me. More interesting is the fact that they’re breaking out relative to growth stocks. We see this in large stocks too, but the effect is more pronounced here.
    Article:
    when-value-turns-into-momentum
    Managed small value funds vs the small value index?
    https://money.usnews.com/funds/mutual-funds/rankings/small-value
  • FCC Auction off Licenses for 5G Network - PRBLX High Stake in VZ
    5G is the next generation of wireless service, which is expected to increase network speeds and make networks more responsive. The technology could help make applications like autonomous vehicles a reality and will deliver new AR and VR experiences to smartphones.
    Mid-band spectrum, such as the C-band, is considered important for 5G deployments because it offers both geographic coverage and the capacity to transmit large amounts of data. This combination is especially appealing to wireless giants who have been trying to fill out their spectrum portfolios.
    Concentrated Mutual funds of VZ:
    PRBLX holds the largest concentration of VZ (about 20% of VZ shares)
    Article:
    verizon-at-t-t-mobile-dominate-81-billion-5g-spectrum-auction
  • Buy on Rumor, Sell on Fact
    @WABAC - have you sold all of your bond funds on the expectation of a rise in rates? I'm just trying to understand why anyone would do this while those who control the rates indicate no interest or reason for doing so at this time. I read the articles and I've listened to all the chatter and I just don't see what indications are pointing to a need for disposing bond funds.
    Rates can go up even if the Fed isn't actively raising them. Rates will go up if the bonds don't sell.
    I found this article this morning.
    The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield topped the 1.49% level on Thursday morning, its highest level in more than a year. . .
    . . . The move higher in rates is unnerving investors fearing inflation could be driving it instead of just the economy recovering. The 10-year yield ended January at 1.09%. It closed 2020 well under 1%. So it’s moved more than a half percentage point in under two months, quite rapid for the bond market and relative to rates at these historically low levels.
    I don't particularly like bond funds. So rather than watch some remarkable gains -- for bonds -- evaporate, I decided to sell. When I'm ahead 8% on a TIPs index fund it's no fun for me to watch the drip, drip, drip. And so on with the other funds, even if the returns were smaller.
    I still have assets that will do well if inflation explodes. FFRHX has been going up while my other bond funds have been going down. MERKX has shown signs of life. But so far, there aren't any wins to lock in.
    I might move into ultra-short bond funds if they offer any improvement over Vanguard's money-market settlement fund.
    I'm late on reexamining, and re-balancing, my portfolio for the year. For the past 14-15 months I have been as completely invested as I have been for a while. So this season I have been taking some profits, closing positions I no longer have faith in, and generally raising cash.