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whats-changed-for-now-and-whats-changed-foreverOn the economic and investment side, the quants at BofA are thinking that... over 60% of the bank’s analysts see rising prices in their respective coverage universe. One of BofA’s top strategists, Michael Hartnett, is talking about 2020 being the secular bottom for rates and inflation.
and,
... a whole lot of fiscal stimulus and monetary stimulus, too. But here we are, at the big, fat middle part of an economic expansion with rising prices, capex growth, increasing demand for skilled labor and a massive, generational infrastructure bill on the way.
inflation-rebound-means-40-year-bull-market-in-bonds-is-over-says-bofaThe value of U.S. financial assets are now six times the size of gross domestic product. “Wealth gains obscene, but extreme asset bubbles natural end to nihilistic bull markets of past decade,” he said.
And longer-term drivers of disinflation were poised to wane, too. Fiscal authorities were now more open to increased spending and central banks were now explicitly targeting higher inflation as a goal.
Hartnett anticipated the coming decade could show similarities to the late 60s and early 70s when inflation and interest rates started to lift off as investors questioned the combination of easy fiscal and monetary policy.
So what does this all mean?
First of all, investors will have to get used to a world of lower investment returns, while dealing with an upturn in volatility, said Hartnett.
And the ravages of inflation could turn negative returns in fixed-income into the norm. Instead, investors should look to take shelter in assets that tend to thrive during period of price pressures such as commodities.
@Mav123 To your question: "Does anyone here invest in dividend-producing portfolios? "
Out of curiosity, I placed these 4 dividend oriented etf's against PRWCX.
PRWCX , DVY, SCHD, VIG, SDY 5 year chart, total return FYI, I thought you could open the link, but you will have to plug the tickers manually (or become a premium member).
I do not suggest any of these are fully comparable in their methods or holdings; and I do not invest in any of these at this time. This list is a random selection of some dividend stock etf's.Ranked by assets, as of March 8 (S&P 500 yield as of March 9: 1.5%):
Note: PRWCX indicates a trailing 12 month yield of 1%
1. Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI), $214.5 billion in assets, 1.4% annualized yield.
2. Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG), $53 billion, 1.6%.
3. Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM), $33.7 billion, 2.9%.
4. Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD), $19.6 billion, 2.9%.
5. Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT), $18.3 billion, 1.6%.
6. SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY), $17.9 billion, 2.6%.
7. iShares Select Dividend ETF (DVY), $16.7 billion, 3.2%.
https://www.adviserinvestments.com/adviser-fund-update/vanguard-manager-firing-fails-to-fix-funds-faults/Vanguard had been slowly redistributing Windsor II’s assets to othersubadvisers in the years since BHMS founder Jim Barrow, who had managed the fund since its 1985 inception, announced he was stepping down at the end of 2015. At the time of Barrow’s retirement, BHMS managed about 60% of the overall portfolio. That number was nearly halved over the past four years, with the firm managing 37% of Windsor II’s assets at last report.
Thank you for the performance comparison and composition of your portfolio, 50% in dividend companies. I held DIVO since late last year and sold it, it just wasn't moving, sideways or down.@Mav123 - adding to @catch22's response I do invest in my own collection of a dividend 'growth' portfolio. It's composed primarily of dividend champions and aristocrats. I built it primarily for the income AND of stocks that I felt I would be comfortable holding forever. (Note: stuff happens so we both know that ain't true). It represents roughly 50% of my total portfolio.
Anyway, my portfolio has delivered that income and income growth in spades. It has also produced a comfortable total return BUT one has to be quite patient when selecting buy points. Also, I don't use any of the ETF's listed in catch's post nor any of the dividend focused mutual funds. The yields are too low and I don't like paying an ER when I can build my own fund, collect the income and pay myself.
I did hold a position in DGRO (iShares Dividend Growth) which I recently swapped for DIVO (Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income). It's just a way for me to diversify the sources of the dividend income I collect by way of sector choices. I own no financial stocks and only one energy stock.
Thank you, I'm on the same page with you about Canadian names, banks. For some reason, Canadian equities are more quality-oriented, and less P/E (less expensive).I'm rather certain that over the long haul, you'd have reaped more profit from PRWCX than dividend-paying stocks. For years, the big Canadian banks have been my alternative fantasy portfolio. 90% of deposits in Canada belong to those big banks. There are only 5 or 6 of them. High dividends. Low P/E ratios. I would not go to BMO Bank of Montreal now, after recently learning here of their unethical shenanigans toward investors. But the others? Yes. My two favorites are CM and BNS. You're holding 15K in cash? Maybe you're very, very risk averse? If you just want the assurance of investing in solid companies that are not going to fold up and go bankrupt, and you crave the dividend income, then go for it. Just don't forget never to put all your eggs in one basket. Eh? CIBC: https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnys/cm/quote
Scotiabank: https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnys/bns/quote
But they are riding high, right now. EVERYTHING is riding high, or near all-time highs, even including the recent small (so far) drop-off. The Market's had a tremendous run-up since March of 2020. Wait for another pullback.
:)
YTD, 1-Year, 3-Year, 5-Year, 10-Year, 15-Year, Since Inception (7 periods time frame)
Returns 3.78% 59.15% 14.23% 13.68% 11.03% 8.48% 9.76%
Category Ranking % 21 32 7 4 3 4 7
# of funds category 695 697 664 639 571 411 300
Ranked by assets, as of March 8 (S&P 500 yield as of March 9: 1.5%):
Note: PRWCX indicates a trailing 12 month yield of 1%
1. Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI), $214.5 billion in assets, 1.4% annualized yield.
2. Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG), $53 billion, 1.6%.
3. Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM), $33.7 billion, 2.9%.
4. Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD), $19.6 billion, 2.9%.
5. Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT), $18.3 billion, 1.6%.
6. SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY), $17.9 billion, 2.6%.
7. iShares Select Dividend ETF (DVY), $16.7 billion, 3.2%.
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