Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. If you want to get involved, click one of these buttons!

Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Using allocation and balanced funds in a portfolio
    I was a bit surprised to see no one had OSTVX, which I have been watching for about 6 months and am ready to jump in with finally. It was covered here once in 2012 and originally in 2011. No, it does not have a 10 year record, but its management team does. I have been comparing it mostly to MAPOX and DODBX, and I like its value tilt, I am an old UMBIX holder as my core fund (sold out when manager announced he would retire) and like managers that like the unloved but intriguing stories. I recently switched my retirement funds away from a supermarket to asset managed status at ML and have access to advice, but I still love to do my own research. Anyone have this one?
  • Weekend Open Thread - What Is Anyone Buying/Selling/Ideas?
    I have largely done my repositioning for 2013 in the few days of December.
    So right now I am about 66% equities in total retirement portfolio, a few percentage more than last year despite doing some sideways moves.
    I am doing marginal additions via 401k purchases. I still have to put 2012 Roth contributions for me and wife (after paying property taxes)
  • Our Funds Boat, Week + .53%, YTD + .48% ....."WHAT-ever!", 1-12-13
    Howdy,
    A thank you to all who post the links, start and participate in the many fine commentaries woven into the message threads.
    For those who don't know; I ramble away about this and that, at least once each week. The perspectives and investments are based, not upon a formal economic studies background; but from the "School of Hard Knocks & Studies", in which, we are still enrolled.
    NOTE: This portfolio is designed for retirement, capital preservation and to stay ahead of inflation creep. This is not a buy and hold portfolio, and is subject to change on any given day; based upon perceptions of market directions. All assets in this portfolio are in tax-sheltered accounts; and any fund distributions are reinvested in the funds. Gains or losses are computed from actual account values.
    While looking around....."WHAT-ever!" If this house had a $100 bill for every time we have had this phrase over this past few years; especially from the "tweens and teens". But, as to real situations with investing; "whatever" does apply relative to one's basket of investments, still relative to the risk/reward, needs and wants of the investor.
    Your investment dollars enter at point A, bottom center, out of view; choose your tracks; and exit at point B, top center, for travel into the land of happy returns.
    Now that you have finished that task, don't forget to continue to do this; in case your travel package wasn't totally what you expected; and you may then be prepared to choose other tracks.
    Now, that was easy, eh?; ya, right!
    The Millionaire Next Door, 1996 A book we always give as an extra wedding present. Investment book lists have been placed, here at MFO, previously; but if one can not properly control their spending and budget habits, there may be little money to invest and not much need for investment books. Some of the data and numbers used in the book will be out of date; but not the main thrust, "spending and debt habits, may eat one alive". Ages old bad habits, continuing to cause problems for many today.
    As to sector rotations below (Fidelity funds); for the past week: (Note: any given fund in any of these sectors will have varying degrees of performance based upon where the manager(s) choose to be invested and will not directly reflect upon your particular fund holdings from other vendors.) Sidenote: The average weekly return of 200 combined Fidelity retail funds across all sectors (week avg = +.41%, YTD +2.2%).
    --- U.S. equity - .4% through + 1.0%, week avg. = + .4% YTD = + 3.4%
    --- Int'l equity - 1.7% through + 1.9%, week avg. = + .5% YTD = + 1.9%
    --- Select eq. sectors - .6% through + 2.8%, week avg. = + .6% YTD = + 3.7%
    --- U.S./Int'l bonds - .3% through + 1.0%, week avg. = +24 .67% YTD = - .22%
    --- HY bonds - .8% through + .8%, week avg. = + .20% YTD = + .66%
    A Decent Overview, M* 1 Month through 5 Year, Multiple Indexes
    You may consider our portfolio to be quite boring, but you may be assured that it moves and bends each and every day; from forces beyond our control.
    I have added a few blips related to our portfolio and market observations at the below SELLs/BUYs and Portfolio Thoughts.
    SELLs/BUYs THIS PAST WEEK: = NONE
    Portfolio Thoughts: Our holdings had a + .53 % move this past week. EM bonds continue to be weak from early Dec., 2012, averaging -2% since then. The past week found some recovery in the IG bond area; TIPs, gov't. and corporate issues; although most of these areas remain negative for the year. High yield bonds continue to find strength; as well as multisector and specialty (steroid) bond funds. As to our equity entrance watch; well, new 5 year and 52 week highs are everywhere. Watch is what we will do for now; at least for pure equity funds adventures. We'll either miss a continued equity run for months to come; or find a better entry point within the next 2 month period. We can't imagine some of the big players not taking some profits, if; equities hit a 10% return point in the next several weeks. The algo machines will be counting, watching and waiting for the signal.
    We'll continue to watch; and do have plans, at this time, to add some equity this year, 2013. Our current short list, not in any order, of equity fund watches include: PAUDX, PAAIX, MAPIX, MACSX, SFGIX, GPGIX, FMIJX, FTIEX, FBALX, FTEMX, FEDDX, FIREX, FJPNX, FSVLX, FSDIX, FPURX, FLPSX, FGHNX, PMZDX as well as some other Pimco funds, as PSTDX, etc.
    Still plodding along, and we will retain the below write from previous weeks; as what we are watching, still applies.
    --- commodity pricing, especially the energy and base materials areas; copper and related.
    --- the $US broad basket value, and in particular against the Euro and Aussie dollar (EU zone and China/Asia uncertainties).
    --- price directions of U.S. treasury's, German bunds, U.K. gilts, Japanese bonds; and continued monitoring of Spanish/Italian bond pricing/yield.
    --- what we are watching to help understand the money flows: SHY, IEF, TLT, TIPZ, STPZ, LTPZ, LQD, EMB, HYG, IWM, IYT & VWO; all of which offer insights reflected from the big traders as to the quality/risk, or lack of quality/risk; in various equity/bond sectors.
    The Funds Boat is at anchor, riding in the small waves, watching the weather and behind the breakwater barrier. To the high praise of MFO and the members, it is very difficult to find a topic to note here that has not been placed into the discussion boards. Excellence, as usual.
    I have retained the following links for those who may choose to do their own holdings comparison against the fund types noted.
    The first two links to Bloomberg are for their list of balanced/flexible funds; although I don't always agree with the placement of fund styles in their categories.
    Bloomberg Balanced
    Bloomberg Flexible
    These next two links are for conservative and moderate fund leaders YTD, per MSN.
    Conservative Allocation
    Moderate Allocation
    A reflection upon the links above. We attempt to establish a "benchmark" for our portfolio to help us "see" how our funds are performing. Aside from viewing many funds within the balanced/flexible funds rankings (the above links), a quick and dirty group of 5 funds (below) we watch for psuedo benchmarking are the following:
    ***Note: these week/YTD's per M*
    VWINX .... + .21% week, YTD = + 1.08%
    PRPFX .... - .33% week, YTD = + .86%
    SIRRX ..... + .08% week, YTD = + .38%
    TRRFX .... + .33% week, YTD = + 1.32%
    VTENX ... + .08% week, YTD = + 1.24%
    Such are the numerous battles with investments attempting to capture a decent return and minimize the risk.
    We live and invest in interesting times, eh? Hey, I probably forgot something; and hopefully the words make some sense. Comments and questions always welcomed.
    Good fortune to you, yours and the investments.
    Take care,
    Catch
    ---Below is what M* x-ray has attempted to sort for our portfolio, as of Nov. 1, 2012 ---
    From what I find, M* has a difficult time sorting out the holdings with bond funds.
    U.S./Foreign Stocks 2.9%
    Bonds 92.9% ***
    Other 4.2%
    Not Classified 0.00%
    Avg yield = 3.99%
    Avg expense = .57%
    ***about 18% of the bond total are high yield category (equity related cousins)

    ---This % listing is kinda generic, by fund "name"; which doesn't always imply the holdings, eh?
    -Investment grade bond funds 27.2%
    -Diversified bond funds 22.4%
    -HY/HI bond funds 14.5%
    -Total bond funds 32.4%
    -Foreign EM/debt bond funds .6%
    -U.S./Int'l equity/speciality funds 2.9%
    This is our current list: (NOTE: I have added a speciality grouping below for a few of fund types)
    ---High Yield/High Income Bond funds
    FAGIX Fid Capital & Income
    SPHIX Fid High Income
    FHIIX.LW Fed High Income
    DIHYX TransAmerica HY
    ---Total Bond funds
    FTBFX Fid Total
    PTTRX Pimco Total
    ---Investment Grade Bonds
    ACITX Amer. Cent. TIPS Bond
    DGCIX Delaware Corp. Bd
    FBNDX Fid Invest Grade
    FINPX Fidelity TIPS Bond
    OPBYX Oppenheimer Core Bond
    ---Global/Diversified Bonds
    FSICX Fid Strategic Income
    FNMIX Fid New Markets
    DPFFX Delaware Diversified
    LSBDX Loomis Sayles
    PONDX Pimco Income fund (steroid version)
    PLDDX Pimco Low Duration (domestic/foreign)
    ---Speciality Funds (sectors or mixed allocation)
    FRIFX Fidelity Real Estate Income (bond/equity mix)
    ---Equity-Domestic/Foreign
    FSHOX Fidelity Select Construction & Housing
  • Most Disappointing Fund, redux (OAKBX)
    Thanks to all for the comments and advice. I am a long-time investor in several Oakmark funds and I established my largest non-retirement account position in 2005 in OAKBX, with the goal of using it to anchor my active portfolio. My intention was to hang in through a period of under-performance, but my confidence has been shaken. The bond sleeve of the fund has not done well for some time. Co-manager Studzinski retired under mysterious circumstances. MacGregor re-opens the fund and gets media coverage (why?). I have not lost money, so selling OAKBX presents tax problems. I have been looking at Villere and I have a small position in FPACX. La vie est belle.
  • SCOUT UNCONSTRAINED BOND CL Y - SUBYX
    According to the most recent prospectus (12/31/12), the net expense ratios of SUBFX and SUBYX are 0.50% and 0.80%, respectively. And SUBYX includes a dreaded 0.25% 12b-1 fee.
    SUBFX continues to be available at Scottrade for minimums of $1000 and $250 in taxable and retirement accounts, respectively. I purchased a starter position inn SUBFX last week.
    Kevin
  • Our Funds Boat, Week - .05%, YTD - .05%..... J & E..... 1-6-13
    Howdy,
    A thank you to all who post the links, start and participate in the many fine commentaries woven into the message threads.
    For those who don't know; I ramble away about this and that, at least once each week. The perspectives and investments are based, not upon a formal economic studies background; but from the "School of Hard Knocks & Studies", in which, we are still enrolled.
    NOTE: This portfolio is designed for retirement, capital preservation and to stay ahead of inflation creep. This is not a buy and hold portfolio, and is subject to change on any given day; based upon perceptions of market directions. All assets in this portfolio are in tax-sheltered accounts; and any fund distributions are reinvested in the funds. Gains or losses are computed from actual account values.
    While looking around.....J & E, jealously and envy. What a perfect first week of the equity market year to bring forth and stir these emotions. Neither has to be or have a negative affect upon a person. The cheap and easy advice is to use any such feeling for further insight and study. Poster Ted related to one of these emotions in another post and I blipped a note here to the subject. Good gosh, talk about J & E; who else at this board has started the year in the negative, eh? Even our straight forward 529 account of 50/50, VITPX and VBMPX is at a + 2.55% YTD. Well, our house can't support that VITPX or another broadbased U.S. equity index is on pace for a + 132% year. 'Course the scary part is that we added an equity fund this week (below). Yikes, a short term equity sell signal if there is one, from this action. We'll temper the J & E to the positive side of life, as always, and continue to sort through some of our short list of equity considerations for 2013 (below). We anticipate a reversal in both directions for some bond and equity sectors from the first week of the year moves. Worse case, if we move more monies into other positions; will likely find selling chunks of 1/3 of a given holding (averaging).
    As to sector rotations below (Fidelity funds); for the past week: (Note: any given fund in any of these sectors will have varying degrees of performance based upon where the manager(s) choose to be invested and will not directly reflect upon your particular fund holdings from other vendors.) Sidenote: The average weekly return of 200 combined Fidelity retail funds across all sectors (week avg = +2.9%, YTD +1.8%).
    --- U.S. equity + 3.1% through + 6.1%, week avg. = +4 .8% YTD = + ...%
    --- Int'l equity + .7% through + 4.1%, week avg. = + 2.4% YTD = + ...%
    --- Select eq. sectors + 1.3% through + 7.7%, week avg. = + 4.8% YTD = + ...%
    --- U.S./Int'l bonds + .1% through - 3.6%, week avg. = - .67% YTD = - ...%
    --- HY bonds - .10% through + .84%, week avg. = + .47% YTD = + ...%
    A Decent Overview, M* 1 Month through 5 Year, Multiple Indexes
    You may consider our portfolio to be quite boring, but you may be assured that it moves and bends each and every day; from forces beyond our control.
    I have added a few blips related to our portfolio and market observations at the below SELLs/BUYs and Portfolio Thoughts.
    SELLs/BUYs THIS PAST WEEK: = Some of both FBNDX and FINPX were sold, with proceeds moving a new fund; FSHOX and an old friend of FAGIX.
    Portfolio Thoughts: Our holdings had a - .05 % move this past week. Bond funds generally ranged as follows for the week: IG, -.50%, TIPs, - 1.0%, Long term gov't, -3.5%, GNMA/MS, +.1% and high yield, +.50%. No losers in equity sectors of consequence. The U.S. equity area strongly outpaced international equity sectors. Although numerous equity sectors had some strength in the last quarter of 2012 and in particular, the last week of 2012; a few sectors are of note, although these may only be trading houses and machine plays going into the new year. Most energy funds returned less than 5% for all of 2012, and this first week of 2013 found these funds returning as much as 7.7%; and most funds reviewed found a larger % return in this first week; than they returned for all of 2012. Perhaps this will be the year of equity value plays or the 2012 dogs, however many there remains. As a group, it appears the overall winner relative to Fido funds was the small cap area.
    We'll continue to watch; and do have plans, at this time, to add some equity this year, 2013. Our current short list, not in any order, of equity fund watches include: PAUDX, PAAIX, MAPIX, MACSX, SFGIX, GPGIX, ARTHX, FMIJX, FTIEX, FBALX, FTEMX, FEDDX, FIREX, FJPNX, FSVLX, FLPSX, FGHNX, PMZDX as well as some other Pimco funds, as PSTDX, etc.
    Still plodding along, and we will retain the below write from previous weeks; as what we are watching, still applies.
    --- commodity pricing, especially the energy and base materials areas; copper and related.
    --- the $US broad basket value, and in particular against the Euro and Aussie dollar (EU zone and China/Asia uncertainties).
    --- price directions of U.S. treasury's, German bunds, U.K. gilts, Japanese bonds; and continued monitoring of Spanish/Italian bond pricing/yield.
    --- what we are watching to help understand the money flows: SHY, IEF, TLT, TIPZ, STPZ, LTPZ, LQD, EMB, HYG, IWM, IYT & VWO; all of which offer insights reflected from the big traders as to the quality/risk, or lack of quality/risk; in various equity/bond sectors.
    The Funds Boat is at anchor, riding in the small waves, watching the weather and behind the breakwater barrier. To the high praise of MFO and the members, it is very difficult to find a topic to note here that has not been placed into the discussion boards. Excellence, as usual.
    I have retained the following links for those who may choose to do their own holdings comparison against the fund types noted.
    The first two links to Bloomberg are for their list of balanced/flexible funds; although I don't always agree with the placement of fund styles in their categories.
    Bloomberg Balanced
    Bloomberg Flexible
    These next two links are for conservative and moderate fund leaders YTD, per MSN.
    Conservative Allocation
    Moderate Allocation
    A reflection upon the links above. We attempt to establish a "benchmark" for our portfolio to help us "see" how our funds are performing. Aside from viewing many funds within the balanced/flexible funds rankings (the above links), a quick and dirty group of 5 funds (below) we watch for psuedo benchmarking are the following:
    ***Note: these week/YTD's per M*
    VWINX .... + .96% week, YTD = + ...%
    PRPFX .... + 1.22% week, YTD = + ...%
    SIRRX ..... + .13% week, YTD = + ...%
    TRRFX .... + 1.66% week, YTD = + ....%
    VTENX ... + 1.33% week, YTD = + ...%
    Such are the numerous battles with investments attempting to capture a decent return and minimize the risk.
    We live and invest in interesting times, eh? Hey, I probably forgot something; and hopefully the words make some sense. Comments and questions always welcomed.
    Good fortune to you, yours and the investments.
    Take care,
    Catch
    ---Below is what M* x-ray has attempted to sort for our portfolio, as of Nov. 1, 2012 ---
    From what I find, M* has a difficult time sorting out the holdings with bond funds.
    U.S./Foreign Stocks 2.9%
    Bonds 92.9% ***
    Other 4.2%
    Not Classified 0.00%
    Avg yield = 3.99%
    Avg expense = .57%
    ***about 18% of the bond total are high yield category (equity related cousins)

    ---This % listing is kinda generic, by fund "name"; which doesn't always imply the holdings, eh?
    -Investment grade bond funds 27.2%
    -Diversified bond funds 22.4%
    -HY/HI bond funds 14.5%
    -Total bond funds 32.4%
    -Foreign EM/debt bond funds .6%
    -U.S./Int'l equity/speciality funds 2.9%
    This is our current list: (NOTE: I have added a speciality grouping below for a few of fund types)
    ---High Yield/High Income Bond funds
    FAGIX Fid Capital & Income
    SPHIX Fid High Income
    FHIIX.LW Fed High Income
    DIHYX TransAmerica HY
    ---Total Bond funds
    FTBFX Fid Total
    PTTRX Pimco Total
    ---Investment Grade Bonds
    ACITX Amer. Cent. TIPS Bond
    DGCIX Delaware Corp. Bd
    FBNDX Fid Invest Grade
    FINPX Fidelity TIPS Bond
    OPBYX Oppenheimer Core Bond
    ---Global/Diversified Bonds
    FSICX Fid Strategic Income
    FNMIX Fid New Markets
    DPFFX Delaware Diversified
    LSBDX Loomis Sayles
    PONDX Pimco Income fund (steroid version)
    PLDDX Pimco Low Duration (domestic/foreign)
    ---Speciality Funds (sectors or mixed allocation)
    FRIFX Fidelity Real Estate Income (bond/equity mix)
    ---Equity-Domestic/Foreign
    FSHOX Fidelity Select Construction & Housing
  • WAEMX Alternative
    Reply to @kevindow: Thanks Kevin! I'll take a closer look at ABNIX. Whichever fund/funds I choose would be in a taxable account, so the $1 mil. initial investment is out of my league. But good to know about the low minimum for retirement accounts at Firstrade : )
  • WAEMX Alternative
    In our portfolio, we use ABNIX for our MC/SC EM equity exposure. This fund has about 35% allocated to EM countries, which is more than adequate for my risk tolerance; HERE is the latest quarterly report. This fund has had excellent performance and attractive Upside/Downside capture ratios since the current management team took over on 10/23/2009. I purchased ABNIX at Firstrade, and according to their web site, this fund continues to be available for a minimum of $500 in retirement accounts.
    Kevin
  • Portfolio Construction Help
    Hi forch,
    First, I don't disagree with Investor's choices below, from his post to you. This is a nice spread.
    Domestic: RWGFX YAFFX AKREX FLPSX BCSIX SSSFX
    International: FIGFX GPIOX MAPIX
    Global: GPGOX ARTHX ARTRX
    NOTE: the below is with the presumption that aggressive may be for you; 85% equity and the remainder of other.
    As to FLPSX: a few more notes. This equity fund = 65% U.S. exposure, with the remainder foreign, with the 3 largest holding areas of consumer discretionary at 27%, IT at 18% and healthcare at 11%; which consists of Megacap at 11%, very large cap at 3%, large cap at 11%, midcap at 42% and small cap at 33%. A most decent fund within Fido.
    Domestic:
    FLPSX, per above
    FCNTX, (longtime proven management, somewhat defensive (although a very large fund) and middle of the road growth
    Specialized sectors
    FIREX, a more aggressive and int'. real estate fund
    FRIFX, U.S. oriented equity/bond real estate fund.....a steady provider fund at this time
    FSHOX, domestic play on construction and housing, with a mix of suppliers, builders and some REITs
    International:
    FTIEX, Total Int'l. Equity. Fidelity's most diversified int'l. equity fund in my opinion, with 8% U.S. exposure, 92% foreign and has about a 2% yield.
    - developed markets growth and value= 65%
    - " " small cap = 12%
    - emerging markets = 23%
    - mega cap=29%,large cap=31%, midcap=27%, small cap=12%
    - financials=22%, con.staples=14%, industrials=13%, con. discretionary=10%
    FEDDX, EM Discovery. Fido's look towards EM consumer markets in my opinion, and via the mid and small cap area (95%), at this time. Asia is currently about 40% of the exposure, but the fund is invested everywhere.
    Bonds: for whatever you may choose to not have in equity. These include exposure to developed and emerging market equity and bonds.
    -FNMIX, dollar denominated EM bonds exposure
    -FTEMX, " " EM equity and bond
    -FAGIX, Fido's highest risk junk bond fund with a solid long term record; and generally (during normal times :) ) will track up/down about 80% of the movement in the SP-500 index. May also range from 5-15% of equity holdings.
    -SPHIX, less aggressive than FAGIX; but still in the high yield bond area, with a decent long term record
    -PAUDX, a Pimco fund of funds, with a respected manager
    -LSBRX, global bonds of all flavors and generally 15-20% equity exposure, too. Status on this fund for us, which we hold; would be the retirement of Dan Fuss, the long time, 79 year old manager.
    Outside of Fido, I would look at any of Pimco's funds, keeping in mind that I consider their funds to be using what is likely the "new normal" for many equity and bond funds, being the steroid tools of options, futures, derivatives and all other known tools in an attempt to manage a fund's direction and stablity. I do not have a problem with this; but that those who choose any fund should be aware of potential added risk, using such tools, in the hands of the unskilled. ALSO, including non-Fido funds from Investor's list.
    This is a nice tool to use at Fido Fidelity compare; and one doesn't need an acct. to use this area.
    This will already be set with one fund, PAUDX. You may overwrite this ticker with another and add others for a quick and dirty scroll down list. For details about any fund, after entering a ticker symbol, click "GO". Once the fund name is loaded (blue lettering), you may then click onto the fund name to obtain more details about a fund, including prospectus info.
    Pimco mutual funds list. This page may load showing "A" shares. Change the "FILTER" to "D" shares in the drop down menu to the left side of the page. Clicking upon a ticker symbol will take you to a most inclusive list of data to select about a particular fund. Lots to read, if you choose.
    Okay, this is all for now. If something else pops up this weekend, I will add a separate post at this thread.
    Take care and good fortune with the homework, eh?
    Regards,
    Catch
  • The burning leaves of the equity market place......
    Yo, Ted. What's up wit dat? Catch 22 has shared his portfolio here and explicitly told us that it's a portfolio intended for capital preservation in retirement. He's holding so MANY different funds, it would leave me overwhelmed. But forget that. I don't see why he should not be able to just come in here and contribute whatever he feels like offering, or asking, or evaluating or sharing or..... whatever. If you're just trying to get a giggle out of the rest of us, you're being much too blunt.
  • The burning leaves of the equity market place......
    I think there will be down days after the recent rally, but the direction continues to be up, despite negatives.
    I was a little astonished to read that someone like CNBC frequent guest Dennis Gartman, who's so vanilla (which makes him perfect to be on CNBC constantly) and doesn't usually make more extreme statements said this yesterday: "Owning stocks at this point is rather like owning stocks in Zimbabwe several years ago – but remember as the Zimbabwean dollar plunged, the stock market soared. We may have the same sort of thing,"he said."
    I don't think we're going to go full Zimbabwe (and I doubt Gartman does either), but - over at least the short and medium term, there's going to be volatility but I think the market heads higher as the current easy monetary policies around the world (I mean, look at Japan - I think Japan has a lot of negatives unfortunately - demographics, etc, but if they are going to "reflate at all costs", their market is going higher and I continue to own a little Japan really only due to that theme, not on a fundamental basis) continue and equities (not across the board, but some sectors especially) will stay ahead of inflation as currency debasement continues.
    I'll also highlight something that Marc Faber said not that long ago and that - with the way things are - I agree with: "Look at the history, for example, of Germany, for the last 100 years. They had World War I. They had the hyper-inflation in World War II. The bond-holders got wiped out three times. If you owned Siemens, and you still own Siemens today, it was not a fantastic investment, but at least you still have something. You were not wiped out. I think that in equities you will be better off because you have an ownership in a company, than by being the lenders to companies, and the lenders, especially, to governments."
    I understand the risk and volatility involved is not appealing, but I think there are lower volatility ways for conservative/retired investors to have some equity exposure, such as the low volatility S & P ETF (SPLV), which also provides a monthly dividend. Not a recommendation, but you can own a Walgreens (WAG) that is generally boring and will serve an increasing population getting to retirement age (and which yields 3% or so.) Or the core Abbott Labs (ABT), which just spun-off the R & D portion. I'm not saying invest in Abbott, but that's a good example of an enjoyably dull stock that would be a good choice for a more conservative and/or retirement age investor. P & G and Unilever would be other ideas.
    Boring stuff that provides core needs and are stable businesses that have been around for ages and one reinvests the dividends.
    Marketfield (MFLDX) remains a successful long-short offering, as well. It's going to lose money in a 2008 style situation, but has displayed skill at dialing up and down risk.
    ...and not saying that everyone should be 100% equities, either. But I think even those in retirement age should have *some* exposure, and how much is up to them.
    "Also, that those holding short positions were forced to unload those positions."
    And you're going to continue to get rolling short covering because you get instances where a rumor comes out and the market is lifted 200 points or the fiscal cliff "deal", which I don't think is really all that good for many people, but the market was thrilled something was done and the market zips higher. If people want to short to hedge a bit and maybe are successful in doing so, great, but I wouldn't short heavily into continued easy monetary policy and any hedging should be short-term in nature. Overall though, some of the last few days is short covering, but there will be more instances of it as the can will continue to be kicked whenever problems come up and rumors suddenly take markets higher (only to be denied right after the close.)
    "Today was a real rip-tear for equity markets and one may suspect a further transistion to Asia again."
    I'll continue to move more investment to EM.
    "Or do some feel there will be a straight line rally for the month of January and beyond?"
    Nothing investment-wise moves in a straight line, certainly. There will be volatility and down periods. However, you have this mentality that debt doesn't matter and massive spending as far as the eye can see is fine. If you believe that politicians - once on that path - will get off of it (Sen. Schumer to Bernanke: "Get to work, Mr. Chairman" - http://www.zerohedge.com/news/chuck-schumer-ctrl-p-get-work-mr-chairman-benefit-my-donors), I'll respectfully disagree. In this environment, I want to have a significant allocation to real assets and companies that provide core needs (and companies that provide a value to consumers and/or businesses - even something like Costco.)
    Additionally, I continue to think that people have to be diversified globally.
  • Portfolio Construction Help
    Reply to @Investor: The retirement accounts remain in our individual names, whereas the non-retirement accounts were consolidated into one joint account. However, all of these accounts are now in the same place, meaning we need only one user name and password to access our entire portfolio and see everything rolled up together.
  • Portfolio Construction Help
    Well, he did say that both retirement and non-retirement accounts were involved.
  • Portfolio Construction Help
    AFAIK, You cannot consolidate Retirement accounts (IRA, 401k) etc. under joint-accounts. These accounts are personal. You can only have joint accounts for taxable accounts. Am I missing something?
  • Portfolio Construction Help
    Hello folks. I recently consolidated several retirement and non-retirement accounts for both myself and my wife into a new joint Fidelity account. Now that we have everything under one roof, I am considering making some major changes (almost starting over) in order to get things right and build a thoughtful portfolio for the yrs ahead. I have some good ideas of what I'd like to do based on my own investment experience, David's writings and the great dialogue on this discussion board. Nonetheless, I'd love to hear how some of you would construct a new retirement portfolio based on a hypothetical $100,000. We are 35 yrs old. Assuming a clean slate and a 20 yr horizon, how would you allocate this money? Many thanks in advance!
  • Our Funds Boat, Year-End, + 13.04%, 12-31-12
    Reply to @catch22:
    Hi Catch,
    FLPSX is about 5% of my total retirement portfolio. I have not made any changes to this position. I'm happy with the fund.
    I've made several changes to my portfolio at year end.
    I've sold PRPFX to buy 1/2 PONDX, 1/4 SUBFX and 1/4 RWGFX.
    I've reduced FDGRX to add more to RWGFX.
    I've reduced ARTKX and FMIJX and added the proceeds to create roughly equal allocation to ARTHX, ARTRX, GPGOX and GPIOX.
    There are some other small changes at the margin that does not change the overall character.
    I think RWGFX is similar to FDGRX in terms of asset style (growth stocks) but on down quarters it seems to have better downside performance.
  • Our Funds Boat, Year-End, + 13.04%, 12-31-12
    Howdy,
    A thank you to all who post the links, start and participate in the many fine commentaries woven into the message threads.
    For those who don't know; I ramble away about this and that, at least once each week. The perspectives and investments are based, not upon a formal economic studies background; but from the "School of Hard Knocks & Studies", in which, we are still enrolled.
    NOTE: This portfolio is designed for retirement, capital preservation and to stay ahead of inflation creep. This is not a buy and hold portfolio, and is subject to change on any given day; based upon perceptions of market directions. All assets in this portfolio are in tax-sheltered accounts; and any fund distributions are reinvested in the funds. Gains or losses are computed from actual account values.
    While looking around....."The bells are ringing for me and my bonds" or perhaps "Bonds on the Run" (from; Me and My Gal, Judy Garland/Gene Kelly, 1942, & Band on the Run, Paul McCartney/Wings, 1973). Numerous bond death announcements continue; and causes one to wonder whether they may awake from a deep sleep to find a neat stack of paper bonds upon their bed with blood streaming down the paper edges, not unlike hot chocolate poured upon one's favorite cake top. There has been a 10% increase in the yield of the 10 yr Treasury during the past few weeks. Is this a sign from the great bond gods? I don't know. All of us enjoy a well thought critique of an investment area. Whether I read a report about the equity or bond sectors; and an author states that this or that is go'in to hell in a hand basket, I will surely expect supporting details. Be as critical and watching of supporting evidence as possible; not just a statement from a perpetual equity bull. Yes, I include myself in this, too; be it equity or bond articles. I am picking on bonds and related stories now, because of all of the banner chat and headlines recently.
    A few data trinkets related only to Fido funds and year 2012: U.S. oriented equity funds (51) returns ranged from +11.3 through +29% (avg.=+17.4%), Int'l equity funds (29) returns ranged between +4.1 through +36% (avg.=+19%) and Fido's select sector funds (39) ranged between +2.4% through +38% (avg.=+17.2%) (excluding their gold fund).
    Equity or bond; there will be the happy and not so happy among them.
    In the end, some bond funds will be happier than others with a sustained yield increase. Too many variables exist among active managed funds, etf's or indexes to determine the winners today.
    As to the bond fund choices for us and their resulting managers, or lack of management; the range is far and wide, not unlike the equity world. Would you prefer government, corporate, muni or high yield? Where on the planet would you like the bond mix; U.S., Europe, Japan, perhaps emerging market debt? Quality. Would that be investment grade or down the ladder of qualilty into the junkiest stuff around? The same questions have to be asked of equity investments. For a taste of each area, one could get a little of each. Buy Verizon equity for quality of the stock and bond issues. Buy Frontier Communications (who bought, among other stuff; the throw aways of Verizon) and get a bit junker equity and bond offering. The same applies between Comcast and Charter Communications (cable provider). Comcast is in cruise mode at the time, more or less. Charter is playing in bankruptcy land. One pretty good and the other is trying to dig out of a hole. Combining the four, one may find a comfort zone between the stock and bond issues.
    Stock etf list
    Bond etf list
    Perhaps a fully happy list of funds blended between bonds and equities; with the selected funds having their own balance, too; bond and equity funds with the full flexibility to "go with the flow" for their given mandate. Make a list of 10 each; to compensate for management problems here and there, and plant the money.
    Lastly, as to the death of some bonds via a substantial and continued yield increase. I can not add anything further to what I or others have already detailed here during the past several months.
    The futures have a real equity fire going as of Jan. 1, 5pm EST and perhaps some bonds will get burned tomorrow or for the remainder of this week, month or year.
    Added note: Our 529 educational account is a straight forward 50/50 of VITPX and VBMPX, and managed an average of 10.4% for 2012. Our house will have to continue to review the more laggard funds we have, potential impacts and the hardest part; whether and/or what to sell and where to move the monies.
    As to the funds list below, I had added after the tickers; the year return data. As to be expected with any holdings; there were some helpers and some laggards.
    Good fortune to you, yours and the investments.
    Take care,
    Catch
    ---Below is what M* x-ray has attempted to sort for our portfolio, as of Nov. 1, 2012 ---
    From what I find, M* has a difficult time sorting out the holdings with bond funds.
    U.S./Foreign Stocks 1.9%
    Bonds 93.9% ***
    Other 4.2%
    Not Classified 0.00%
    Avg yield = 3.99%
    Avg expense = .57%
    ***about 18% of the bond total are high yield category (equity related cousins)

    ---This % listing is kinda generic, by fund "name"; which doesn't always imply the holdings, eh?
    -Investment grade bond funds 28.2%
    -Diversified bond funds 22.4%
    -HY/HI bond funds 14.5%
    -Total bond funds 32.4%
    -Foreign EM/debt bond funds .6%
    -U.S./Int'l equity/speciality funds 1.9%
    This is our current list: (NOTE: I have added a speciality grouping below for a few of fund types)
    ---High Yield/High Income Bond funds
    FAGIX Fid Capital & Income +16.4%
    SPHIX Fid High Income +14.9%
    FHIIX.LW Fed High Income +14.3%
    DIHYX TransAmerica HY +14.9%
    ---Total Bond funds
    FTBFX Fid Total +6.5%
    PTTRX Pimco Total +10.4%
    ---Investment Grade Bonds
    ACITX Amer. Cent. TIPS Bond +6.1%
    DGCIX Delaware Corp. Bd +14.9%
    FBNDX Fid Invest Grade +6.2%
    FINPX Fidelity TIPS Bond +6.5%
    OPBYX Oppenheimer Core Bond +10.2%
    ---Global/Diversified Bonds
    FSICX Fid Strategic Income +10.9%
    FNMIX Fid New Markets +20%
    DPFFX Delaware Diversified +7.1%
    LSBDX Loomis Sayles +15.1%
    PONDX Pimco Income fund (steroid version) +21.9%
    PLDDX Pimco Low Duration (domestic/foreign) +5.9%
    ---Speciality Funds (sectors or mixed allocation)
    FRIFX Fidelity Real Estate Income (bond/equity mix) +18.9%
    ---Equity-Domestic/Foreign
    NONE outright, with the exception of equities held inside some of the above funds.
  • Ordinary Americans Are Losing Faith In Stocks
    Reply to @MikeM/BobC:
    You folks are probably right. I think there could be a large corrections coming soon/or crash . If I was few years out from retirement, I would consider waiting for the rally to start, then probably sell everything/change my portfolio to 70s% bonds/ 30s% stocks. This would work for your buy low and sell high. I think we are at a somewhere past the past 3rd or start of 4th quarter of the rally.
    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/trader-advice-expect-rally-then-115954948.html
  • Ordinary Americans Are Losing Faith In Stocks
    Reply to @BobC: Right on Bob. It's well documented that your typical investor sells low and buys high. I've certainly been guilty of that myself. It's been a learning experience for me to look longer term when you find your assets have dropped.
    I also think the "general" American is getting older and closer to retirement. That would make them more conservative and likely to reduce equity holdings.