Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. If you want to get involved, click one of these buttons!

Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Vanguard GNMA (VFIIX) or Fidelity GNMA (FGMNX) eeny meeny miny mo....
    Thanks everybody for your suggestions. Catch, I don't hold any bond funds yet, only allocation funds, (Oakmark Equity Income (OAKBX), Vanguard Wellesley (Vwinx), FPA Crescent (FPACX), James Balanced (GLRBX), Pimco All Asset (PASDX) and Permanent Portfolio. I am almost 54 and have some cash that I would like to start earning some income for retirement. I was thinking in a short term bond fund, intermediate term, Gnma, and Global and/or Municipal, putting 25% in each. The Gnma fund is supposedly a low risk option. I don't want bond funds with a lot of volatility, since I also own stock funds and individual stocks.
  • Our Funds Boat, Week + .27%, YTD + 9.74%, Fund Tools, 9-9-12
    Howdy,
    A thank you to all who post the links, start and participate in the many fine commentaries woven into the message threads.
    For those who don't know; I ramble away about this and that, at least once each week.
    NOTE: For those who visit MFO, this portfolio is designed for near retirement, capital preservation and to stay ahead of inflation creep. This is not a buy and hold portfolio, and is subject to change on any given day; based upon perceptions of market directions. All assets in this portfolio are in tax-sheltered accounts; and any fund distributions are reinvested in the funds. Gains or losses are computed from actual account values.
    While looking around..... Fund Tools, here at MFO and Google Finance. MFO's Accipiter has graciously provided 2 wonderful tools for our use. Both tools, Falcon's Eye and Navigator may be found at the main, large, blue title bar at the top of each page here, but I will only define my use of Navigator. At "Resources", hover the mouse for a drop down menu, and select "Navigator". Accipiter has written a nice "how-to" at this page. This note regards finding funds by name title, to help sort a fund list for special fund types of interest. A good example, which will allow you to discover the value of this tool; is to type the word "unconstrained" in the "fund" box. This word example is used to find any fund that is likely an "unconstrained bond fund" by vendor name. You will discover a full list to be generated, at which point you may click upon the fund name, which will allow you to study this fund via a number of selectable sources (M*, etc.). NOTE: If one uses a very generic name, as "total"; the generated list may be too large, and can not fill to the end of the alpahbetic naming list. Also, as you begin to type a naming; you will likely find an intuitive list begin to generate; which may or may not be what you intended to search.
    Google Finance: You do not need to be signed in or a registered user of any Google function to use this method.
    At the search box, try "high yield" for a test of this feature. An intuitive drop list will begin to form. Ignore this list and click the "blue spyglass" to generate a list of the words searched. Upon loading your search, you will discover a "company" and a "mutual fund" header list generated. As you scroll down, the "company" list may contain various types of funds (etf's, index, etc.). Further scrolling will provide the "mutual fund" list. IN BOTH LISTS, if the list is large, you will find a "more" highlighted at the end of the list. For high yield, 100's of mutual funds are noted; but keep in mind, and not unlike "Navigator", some of these are redundant listings for various classes of a same fund. After selecting more, arrow keys appear at the list end to move through the list.
    I believe all of these procedures are proper steps. If I missed something, please let me know.
    The data/numbers below have been updated.
    As to sector rotations below (Fidelity funds); for the past week: (Note: any given fund in any of these sectors will have varing degrees of performance based upon where the manager(s) choose to be invested and will not directly reflect upon your particular fund holdings from other vendors.)
    --- U.S. equity - 2.4% through + 3.8%, week avg. = + 2.4% YTD = + 16%
    --- Int'l equity - .4% through + 4.0%, week avg. = + 2.5% YTD = + 11%
    --- Select eq. sectors + .9% through + 5.6%, week avg. = + 2.7% YTD = + 15%
    --- U.S./Int'l bonds - 2.4% through + .6%, week avg. = - .26% YTD = + 3.2%
    --- HY bonds + .2% through + 1.1%, week avg. = + .65% YTD = + 10.3%
    An Excellent Overview, M* 1 Month through 5 Year, Multiple Indexes
    You may consider our portfolio to be quite boring, but you may be assured that it moves and bends each and every day; from forces beyond our control. We retail investors will find many interesting investment periods to ponder, as usual, in the coming years.
    I have added a few blips related to our portfolio and market observations at the below SELLs/BUYs and Portfolio Thoughts.
    SELLs/BUYs THIS PAST WEEK: = NONE

    Portfolio Thoughts:
    Our holdings had a + .27 % move this past week. Sidenote: The average return of 200 combined Fidelity retail funds across all sectors (week avg = + 1.75%, YTD + 12%). The equity markets, while having been very happy recently, still appear a bit on edge; so our portfolio will stay in place for now. This coming week may indicate any further actions by the Fed. Reserve, relative to "stimulus". We will review one particular holding (PLDDX) based upon a Fed. plan going forward. As for Europe's grand plan to buy every sovereign bond in sight to help stablize some country bond issues; well, I am not waving a victory flag for this project just yet. Still plodding along, and we will retain the below write from previous weeks; as what we are watching still applies.
    --- commodity pricing, especially the energy and base materials areas; copper and related.
    --- the $US broad basket value, and in particular against the Euro and Aussie dollar (EU zone and China/Asia uncertainties).
    --- price directions of U.S. treasury's, German bunds, U.K. gilts, Japanese bonds; and continued monitoring of Spanish/Italian bond pricing/yield.
    --- what we are watching to help understand the money flows: SHY, IEF, TLT, TIP, STPZ, LTPZ, LQD, EMB, HYG, IWM, IYT & VWO; all of which offer insights reflected from the big traders as to the quality/risk, or lack of quality/risk; in various bond sectors. These areas may also reflect towards directions of various equity sectors; as if some bond types get the cold shoulder, so will some equity areas, regardless of perceived quality or value.
    The Funds Boat is at anchor, riding in the small waves, watching the weather and behind the breakwater barrier. To the high praise of MFO and the members, it is very difficult to find a topic to note here that has not been placed into the discussion boards. Excellence, as usual.
    I have retained the following links for those who may choose to do their own holdings comparison against the fund types noted.
    The first two links to Bloomberg are for their list of balanced/flexible funds; although I don't always agree with the placement of fund styles in their categories.
    Bloomberg Balanced
    Bloomberg Flexible
    These next two links are for conservative and moderate fund leaders YTD, per MSN.
    Conservative Allocation
    Moderate Allocation
    A reflection upon the links above. We attempt to establish a "benchmark" for our portfolio to help us "see" how our funds are performing. Aside from viewing many funds within the balanced/flexible funds rankings (the above links), a quick and dirty group of 5 funds (below) we watch for psuedo benchmarking are the following:
    ***Note: these week/YTD's per M*
    VWINX .... + .2% week, YTD = + 8.56%
    PRPFX .... + 2.05% week, YTD = + 7.01%
    SIRRX ..... + .13 % week, YTD = + 5.29%
    TRRFX .... + 1.24% week, YTD = + 9.39%
    VTENX ... + .95% week, YTD = + 8.56%

    Such are the numerous battles with investments attempting to capture a decent return and minimize the risk.
    We live and invest in interesting times, eh? Hey, I probably forgot something; and hopefully the words make some sense. Comments and questions always welcomed.
    Good fortune to you, yours and the investments.
    Take care,
    Catch
    ---Below is what M* x-ray has attempted to sort for our portfolio, as of June 1, 2012---
    From what I find, M* has a difficult time sorting out the holdings with bond funds.
    U.S./Foreign Stocks 1.9%
    Bonds 93.9% ***
    Other 4.2%
    Not Classified 0.00%
    Avg yield = 3.72%
    Avg expense = .55%
    ***about 18% of the bond total are high yield category (equity related cousins)

    ---This % listing is kinda generic, by fund "name"; which doesn't always imply the holdings, eh?
    -Investment grade bond funds 28.2%
    -Diversified bond funds 22.4%
    -HY/HI bond funds 14.5%
    -Total bond funds 32.4%
    -Foreign EM/debt bond funds .6%
    -U.S./Int'l equity/speciality funds 1.9%
    This is our current list: (NOTE: I have added a speciality grouping below for a few of fund types)
    ---High Yield/High Income Bond funds
    FAGIX Fid Capital & Income
    SPHIX Fid High Income
    FHIIX.LW Fed High Income
    DIHYX TransAmerica HY
    ---Total Bond funds
    FTBFX Fid Total
    PTTRX Pimco Total
    ---Investment Grade Bonds
    ACITX Amer. Cent. TIPS Bond
    DGCIX Delaware Corp. Bd
    FBNDX Fid Invest Grade
    FINPX Fidelity TIPS Bond
    OPBYX Oppenheimer Core Bond
    ---Global/Diversified Bonds
    FSICX Fid Strategic Income
    FNMIX Fid New Markets
    DPFFX Delaware Diversified
    LSBDX Loomis Sayles
    PONDX Pimco Income fund (steroid version)
    PLDDX Pimco Low Duration (domestic/foreign)
    ---Speciality Funds (sectors or mixed allocation)
    FRIFX Fidelity Real Estate Income (bond/equity mix)
    ---Equity-Domestic/Foreign
    NONE outright, with the exception of equities held inside of some of the above funds.
  • Who Said 'Sell In May And Go Away' ?
    I would hate to think how much smaller my capital (aka retirement nest egg) would be had I adhered to this ridiculous maxim over the past 25 years+.
  • Kiplinger's quoting Edward Jones
    Err...I'm sorry but this is first paragraph in the page at the url i linked...
    By now, you've probably amassed a decent sum in your retirement accounts and another hefty sum in the college fund. You haven't? Join the club. A survey conducted in 2009 by Edward Jones, the financial services firm, showed that 20% of respondents ages 45 to 54 had saved nothing at all for either retirement or college. A recent survey showed that 62% of respondents had never heard of a 529 savings plan, much less contributed to one.
    So when you say "About" Edward Jones, I mean the fact that if Edward Jones did it, its meaningful, important, whatever. I don't think Edwards Jones does anything out of the kindness of their heart.
    Also I also decided to be lazy on the URL thing. On Friday's I'm allowed ! :-)
  • Fake Inflation Fighting Funds
    Reply to @BondInvestor: I like this topic. Thanks for throwing it out there. On one point, must say that a major objective of all these companies is selling their funds and raking in $$ for the Mother Load. So, the vast assortment of funds to some degrees is designed with that goal in mind. Think of it as an ice cream parlor adding more and more flavors, or an auto manufacturer having half dozen different models, each with 3 or 4 levels of trim. It sells. -
    As to your question "should (one) allocate a portion of your portfolio to a commodities fund?" Put that way (as a simple "yes" or "no" proposition) I'm inclined to say no - it's not an absolute necessity. So much depends on your situation and temperament. Maybe ya own some farm land or standing timber somewhere. Or collect rare art and coins. Or own half dozen rental units. Those are also good inflation hedges. ... Or, maybe you're 40+ years to retirement and don't have time or temperament to screw around with half dozen funds. And high fees make ya sick to your stomach. Throw some $$ in a low fee S&P index fund and the rest in an international index fund. I don't think you'll be disappointed 40 or 50 years out. Think of it this way: over time the value of the businesses you own will rise along with cost of living. If they own real estate, buildings, rails, timber, etc. that stuff will rise in value. So equities do offer some protection. -
    On the other hand, some like myself (1) have shorter time frames (I'm 66) and (2) enjoy tracking & allocating funds. So I have for 15 years kept a small % in commodities funds and also allocate to many other types ... Yep, it feels good, but can't honestly tell you it's helped my returns any - maybe just a bit due to frequent rebalancing. ... Been listening during a long drive today to a nice James Last orchestration of "Games that Lovers Play." Beautiful stuff ... so I'm tempted to put some of these niche funds into a category called: "Games that Investors Play." (-: FWIW - Sorry so long & take care.
  • ICI Fund Flows - Week 8/29
    Reply to @Hiyield007: Well, if that does happen, they'll go from fixed income to equities at the wrong time and then, if they weren't already upset enough with stocks, they'll be really pissed. They'll be upset at equities and if fixed income isn't doing well either, they'll be upset that that is no longer working "for some reason".
    I think the financial industry would be against the second one in some regards, but I really think:
    1:) There's a missed opportunity that the psychology of the retail investor in the last few years in particular is not being studied. Instead, we get dopey Smart Money articles that scold and scream "You're MISSING IT!" and really help no one.
    2:) Obviously this isn't scientific, but I think the last few years really highlights the need for investor education and I think a more educated class of retail investors will lead to greater stability over time and other benefits to both markets and the economy. How many retail investors would have been interested in Facebook if they understood how to value it instead of just knowing that they "liked" it? As I said in the other post, if schools aren't going to offer it, young people have to educate themselves and I just think there's a fairly large portion who aren't - and as I noted with this link: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/retirement-reality-full-frontal-why-every-30-year-old-must-risk-it-all-be-able-retire
    They may want to figure out how to to invest at least at a level they feel comfortable with and start learning if they haven't.
  • ICI Fund Flows - Week 8/29
    ...and today will most likely be seen as another opportunity to sell more equity funds. As much as I am what you may call "big picture negative" in many ways, I do think there's a lot of specific areas to like - mobile (I think what a number of companies are doing is fascinating, such as Gemalto - which I don't own - http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/1bf77e52-f29b-11e1-ac41-00144feabdc0.html), infrastructure (BIP), ag. I am more than respectful of someone's low risk tolerance, but there are options to get *some* lower-risk exposure (in order to maintain some sort of diversification in asset classes) such as the SPLV S&P 500 low-volatility ETF, which also provides a monthly dividend.
    Again, I think it really goes back to the concept of financial education in high school - I'm younger, I make mistakes, but I've learned a lot the last 5 years or so - although what I've learned is entirely from experience and from sitting down and going through it and researching. That's really the only investing education that's available to most people - the education they give themselves in it. It's unfortunate.
    Lastly, in terms of younger people and investing, the reality regarding potential retirement - http://www.zerohedge.com/news/retirement-reality-full-frontal-why-every-30-year-old-must-risk-it-all-be-able-retire
  • Edward P. Owens, co-manager of Vanguard Health Care fund is retiring.
    http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/734383/000093247112005436/healthcare.htm
    497 1 healthcare.htm 497 VANGUARD HEALTH CARE FUND
    Vanguard Health Care Fund
    Supplement to the Prospectus and Summary Prospectus dated May 29, 2012
    Important Change to Vanguard Health Care Fund
    Wellington Management Company, LLP, has announced the retirement of Edward P. Owens effective December 31, 2012. Mr. Owens is a co-manager of Vanguard Health Care Fund.
    Jean M. Hynes, who serves as co-manager with Mr. Owens, will remain as the sole manager of the Fund upon Mr. Owens’ retirement. The Fund’s investment objective, strategies, and policies remain unchanged.
    © 2012 The Vanguard Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
    Vanguard Marketing Corporation, Distributor. PS 52 092012
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Vanguard Specialized Funds
    Supplement to the Statement of Additional Information dated May 29, 2012
    Important Change to Vanguard Health Care Fund
    Wellington Management Company, LLP, has announced the retirement of Edward P. Owens effective December 31, 2012. Mr. Owens is a co-manager of Vanguard Health Care Fund.
    Jean M. Hynes, who serves as co-manager with Mr. Owens, will remain as the sole manager of the Fund upon Mr. Owens’ retirement. The Fund’s investment objective, strategies, and policies remain unchanged.
    © 2012 The Vanguard Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
    Vanguard Marketing Corporation, Distributor. SAI 051 092012
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  • Ouch...biting commentary on Edward Jones
    I'm going off on a bit of a tangent on Financial Advisor scams versus poor Sales practice --- but Financial Advisory issues of all sorts happens with large firms and small firms too. Recent article in Chicago Tribune about a small independent financial advisor who scammed clients and even a client who was a very close family friend for many years.
    http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2012-08-12/business/ct-biz-0812-bf-elder-abuse-20120812_1_financial-exploitation-financial-abuse-abuse-cases
    ***************************************
    Elder financial abuse in Illinois on rise
    Retiring baby boomers, many with high equity and savings, becoming ripe target for financial predators, officials say
    ***************************************
    Downers Grove retiree Robert Govenat was on the computer every day, watching prices of his stocks go down.
    It was November 2007, and a bear market was threatening.
    "He was about to have a nervous breakdown or a heart attack," recalls his wife, Jan, a retired third-grade schoolteacher.
    Over lunch at a hot dog place in Darien, a longtime friend and financial planner Algird Norkus told Govenat that he had an alternative investment for select people: It would keep the couple's principal safe and pay 13.5 percent annual interest.
    Norkus pleaded guilty to one count of mail fraud. In March, he began serving 63 months in prison. He also was ordered to pay $4.6 million in restitution to nearly 70 victims, many elderly, including Robert and Jan Govenat, and Robert's mother. His plea agreement said he commingled investors' moneys, in part to make payments to other investors and in part to benefit himself.
    "Don't trust anyone," Jan Govenat, 71, said Tuesday when asked what she learned from the experience. "I can't tell you how many times I've said that to friends since this happened." She also regretted not sharing their change in investment strategy with their two adult children.
    Robert Govenat, 72, gets choked up discussing what happened with the savings of his mother, now 99 and living in a retirement community. "I'm not proud of what I've done to my mom," he said last week with a quivering voice.
    "You were trying to help," his wife replied.
    Govenat said he lets few people get close to him, but Norkus was one of them.
    "I don't trust anyone now, except my wife," he said.
    The couple's two children never bring up the ordeal.
    "It's the silent death," Robert said.
    The couple, who once felt secure about their retirement years, now worry constantly about finances.
    "We don't sleep well," Jan said.
    {...}
    Robert said he had "blinders" on because Norkus was a friend; he and his wife dined with Norkus and his wife. They went to the wedding of Norkus' son. "He came to our daughter's wedding," Jan recalled. "He didn't go to our son's wedding but he sent a box of Cuban cigars."
    Jan said she doesn't blame Robert for trusting Norkus. "Think of someone you've known a long time who you think is a nice person, who you'd trust with anything," Jan said. "That's how we viewed this man."
  • Pimco Total Return Took in 1.3B Last Month
    Another thing to remember is that PIMCO Total Return is sometimes the ONLY decent bond option available in some very large corporate retirement plans. They have done one heck of a marketing job over the years. Given the choice between PIMCO and a typical long-term bond fund, PIMCO is an easy choice. I'm not saying folks should be putting all their money in bonds now, but since most plan participants have no investment knowledge and are scared of everything having to do with the stock market, PIMCO is where they gravitate, once they see the long-term numbers.
  • Mutual Fund Research Newsletter: Looming Policy Warfare ... Ignore at Your Own Peril!
    Investors should look for volatility during the coming weeks. Read all about it below:
    http://funds-newsletter.com/sept12-newsletter/sept12-steve.htm
    An update (Wednesday 09/05/2012 6:00 Am EDT) ...
    Yesterday was a rush, rush, rush day for me after coming off a long weekend from being at the coast and now back in town with duties at the office. Through most of the summer I was able to take much time off and enjoy the summer as I wished. I spent some time looking for things that I'd like to do in retirement and came across a small tourist business opportunity. Thinking on it hard. I have about another year before my planned exit and there is no rush for me to leave ... and besides, I'll make more if I stay put than if I pursue the small business retirement opportunity at the caost with some of my now retired high school class mates.
    And, there is my love for investing. That is what brought me to write this update. As many know, I have booked some recent profit form my spiff positions as I have sold equities down in anticipation of the looming policy warfare as noted in the above article. I am probally not by myself in doing that as I am finding from my research and study that money seems to still be leaving my market proxy while its price line has been in a slight decent for a couple of weeks. By the middle of September the market should be feeling the efects of the political climate ... and, then there is Europe plus all the stuff Congress will have to deal with before year end with the Bush era tax cuts, etc. Looks kinda stormy does it not? I've been at the coast off-an-on through the years to feel a good storm formation brewing ... and, folks I feel one's on its way. The barometer is dropping and now showing "change."
    I have taken notice of the barometer drop and put plenty of cash on the side line ... enough to pursue a small business opportunity if I so choose. But, with this I am still faced with the daily grind. Think I'll continue to putter around with investing. Best part time high return opportunity I have found where I can allocate my time by my choice and not by the demands of others (customers) and still have to deal with other business headaches that now calls me in early today.
    Time to get to the office ... my desk is calling. Besides, my boss says ... You have enjoyed the summer; and, now I am going to enjoy the fall.
    Have a good day ... and, I wish you "Good Investing."
    Skeeter
  • ASTON/River Road Independent Value Fund to reopen.
    I just spoke with a representative at River Road Asset Management. She stated that the management had reserved $200M in capacity for an unspecified initiative for the SCV strategy managed by Mr. Cinnamond, and recently decided not to pursue this initiative. (A thought that crossed my mind: it is possible that they were anticipating $200M in private accounts like retirement plans and endowments, and this money never materialized.) That freed up capacity for Mr. Cinnamond to manage. She stated that he currently manages about $800M ($622M in ARIVX per M*), which will be allowed to grow to a top capacity of $1B.
    I had called RRAM in late 2011, and they reported a top capacity of $800M prior to the soft-close of ARIVX. Smells like asset gathering to me, especially since the fund has lots of cash, currently at 52.77%. Do they really need to be managing more cash at ARIVX, and charging 1.47% to do so ?
    Kevin
  • Bernanke: More QE, More ZIRP
    Reply to @hank: I agree with you, but I think there's a fairly large audience (and probably larger since 2008) that's near-retirement that just is thinking that they - after 2001-2002 and 2008 do not want to go through that again. The downside of that is really what Old Joe said (quite perfectly!), but I don't think those people are going to leave fixed income anytime soon.
    Additionally - and this is definitely a risk - I rather like the MLP management companies (Kinder Morgan and Enbridge), where the company is entirely invested in the MLP - owning an MLP and getting dividends (in shares only, not cash, but the benefit is no tax hassle. ) See - http://seekingalpha.com/article/741151-how-to-earn-tax-free-dividends-on-2-quality-mlps
    There's a lot out there where one can have investment in things like real assets and still get a very nice yield, although things like REITs have admittedly run up a lot.
  • Some Artio Global funds to close. (Updated 9/13/12)
    http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/887210/000093041312004979/c70887_497.htm
    ARTIO GLOBAL INVESTMENT FUNDS
    Artio US Multicap Fund
    Artio US Midcap Fund
    Artio US Smallcap Fund
    Artio US Microcap Fund
    Supplement dated August 30, 2012 to the Prospectus dated March 1, 2012
    On August 30, 2012, the Board of Trustees (the “Board”) of Artio Global Investment Funds approved this supplement to close the following series to new investors: Artio US Multicap Fund, Artio US Midcap Fund, Artio US Smallcap Fund and Artio US Microcap Fund (together the “Funds”) upon recommendation by Artio Global Management LLC (“Artio”), the Funds’ investment adviser. In the interim, Artio Global will work with the Board of Trustees of Artio Global Investment Funds to ensure the orderly disposition of the assets of the US Equity Funds.
    Please note that you may redeem your shares of the Funds at any time. You also may exchange your shares of the Funds at net asset value at any time for shares of another Artio Fund. No sales charges, redemption or termination fees will be imposed by the Funds in connection with such exchanges and redemptions. In general, exchanges and redemptions are taxable events.
    If you own shares of any of the Funds in a tax deferred account, such as an individual retirement account, 401(k) or 403(b) account, you should consult your tax adviser to discuss your redemption and determine its tax consequences.
    The Funds reserve the right to further restrict sales of each Fund’s shares.
    For more information, please contact a customer service representative at 1-800-387-6977.
  • Whitebox featured in Barron's this week (LIP)
    Here is what Fido has posted for ASFYX:
    Minimum Initial Investment $100,000
    Minimum Retirement $2,500
    Minimum Additional Investment $250
    Minimum Automatic Account Builder $100
    Simple IRA No
    I tried to purchase ASFYX in my non-taxable Fido account, one order was less than $2,500 and the other for more than $2,500. Both orders was cancelled for no reason. Best thing is to run a test trade to see it the order is cancelled. I don't always believe what is posted for minimums.
    TDA has WBMIX with no initial minimum plus T/F in non-taxable accounts, so far.
    Minimums for Whitebox Tactical Opportunities fund:
    Investor Shares:
    Minimum Initial
    Investment
    $5,000 for all accounts
    except:$1,000 for tax deferred
    accounts.
    Advisor Shares
    Available to clients of
    registered investment
    advisors and participants in
    certain employee benefit
    plans. No minimum initial
    investment for qualifying
    investors.
    Institutional Shares:
    $5 million for institutions
    and individuals. Also
    available to clients of
    registered investment
    advisors and participants in
    certain employee benefit
    plans with collective
    investments of at least $5
    million.
    Minimum Additional
    Investment
    $1,000 for all accounts
    except:
    $200 for tax deferred
    accounts.
    No subsequent minimum. No subsequent minimum.
  • Buffett's Move Raises a Red Flag
    Morn'in Coffee,
    From the article: " Paul Ryan is also opposing any form of state or local government bailout. [16 large cities facing bankruptcy]:
    "We can't do a bailout. If we bailed out one state, then all of the debt of all of the states is not just implied, but almost explicitly put on the books of the federal government. [Some states] are already telling us [about their dire circumstance]. But should taxpayers in frugal states be bailing out taxpayers in profligate states? … Should taxpayers in Indiana, who have paid their bills on time, who have done their job fiscally, be bailing out Californians, who haven't? No, that's a moral hazard we are not interested in creating."

    I recall writing a similar note more than a year ago regarding whether North Dakota would be willing to put up money to bailout NJ or some other states. I suspect North Dakota citizens and their state gov't. would wholly object.
    One may point a finger to whom or whatever about the monetary conditions that exist for any state or local government; but past this, and no unlike what we all have to factor into our investment decisions, is the fact that many budgets for especially local/city governments are a serious problem area. Our U.S. states/cities/communities and their monetary problems are not unlike the similar problems with some of the EuroZone states. While the Fed/Treasury reportedly will not back bailouts of states and related, directly; the function is already in place by actions of congress and monies going to states and related for 1,000's of programs and grants. The problems do cross borders for an overall impact, regardless how weak or strong a neighbor state may be. Our states have their own rules, regs. and tax laws to attempt to satisfy what those in charge perceive as a best path to a "better way of life for the citizens of their state".
    Government functions, desires and abilities are night and day if one compares California to North Dakota.
    All of us are impacted by any and all problems from the federal to the local levels. We here are all aware of the serious impact of the low interest rate policy upon many who are retired or near retirement and choose to remain frugal; but can not earn enough interest with a relatively safe CD to even offset inflation. Many of these people are the grandparents and parents of many here at MFO; let alone some of the participants at MFO.
    To place everything into the most simple words: "The monetary turd pile, while perhaps dried and not so smelly on the top and outside layers, reveals a continued nasty smell when one turns over some of the underlayers."
    I really wish that "things" were better and perhaps the monetary unwinds will be slow enough for many to not cause serious problems; but many areas that have been accepted as a normal circumstance over the past several decades will have continued re-do's for many years to come; and there will be problems in various areas of the economy, not in the least; state, city and other municipalities.
    My inflation adjusted 2 cents worth.
    Regards,
    Catch
  • User Guide
    Hello Chip,
    Please bear with my sense of humor regarding PST; I think the ticker look-up is great!
    Is there a current link function to associate a meaningful name with a URL. I notice in "What would you do with a large inheritance?" there is a link " Fido Personal Retirement Annuity, Main page". Is this functionality supported by MFO, by Vanilla, or only by included html?
    Last question: Can I change my "hawleyl" handle to some other name, e.g. "Larry"?
  • Our Funds Boat, Week - .59%, YTD + 8.11% .....As Good As It Gets..... 8-19-12
    Howdy,
    A thank you to all who post the links, start and participate in the many fine commentaries woven into the message threads.
    For those who don't know; I ramble away about this and that, at least once each week.
    NOTE: For those who visit MFO, this portfolio is designed for retirement, capital preservation and to stay ahead of inflation creep. This is not a buy and hold portfolio, and is subject to change on any given day; based upon perceptions of market directions. All assets in this portfolio are in tax-sheltered accounts; and any fund distributions are reinvested in the funds. Gains or losses are computed from actual account values.
    While looking around..... Is this "As Good As It Gets" for bonds going forward? For some bond sectors, perhaps.Flip a coin, eh? Goldman Sachs (GS) noted in early 2010 that the 10 year note was going to a 5.5% yield and later kinda apologized for that notation. Course, "As Good As It Gets" applies to all investment sectors, too. Are some equities overbought? I sure don't know, but a likely guess would be, yes. GS has a year end number on the SP-500 at 1250. Should I trust that number any more that the other 100 market fortune tellers spouting any day of the week?
    I suppose the best two words I read recently about the markets were "we are defensively bullish". Okay, how about "optimistically bearish", too. Perhaps this house just needs to select a broad base of the100 best funds or etf's, set the tickers upon a large sheet of paper, stand back 15 feet and let rip with 12 darts. Done and finished.
    Per David Rosenberg, July 27, 2012........
    *****Markets were thrilled yesterday when European Central Bank president Mario Draghi said he would "do whatever it takes to preserve the euro. And believe me, it will be enough".
    But Gluskin Sheff economist David Rosenberg said these were Draghi's famous last words, much like when Hank Paulson had said in August 2008, "If you have a bazooka in your pocket and people know it, you probably won't have to use it."
    Or when Ben Bernanke said in June 2008, "the financial crisis appears to be mostly behind us, and the economy seems to have stabilized and is expanding again."
    Rosenberg said Draghi's words were pure rhetoric and he called Draghi a "leader of NATO - No Action, Talk Only - instead of a central bank".
    Draghi's comments were widely interpreted as a return to the Securities Markets Program (SMP) which involves purchases of Italian and Spanish bonds. But Rosenberg said if this was in fact costless it would have been activated already.
    He also poured cold water on talk about granting the European Stability Mechanism a banking license. "Frankly, this is likely to be a political decision in the end, which is beyond the purview of the central bank." And said a third LTRO (long-term refinancing operation) would do nothing more than buy some time.
    Rosenberg argued that the underlying problem of Europe's sovereign and banking sector would ultimately hinge on its fiscal and regulatory policy and that there isn't much Draghi can do about it. *****
    Personal note to the above: Mr. Draghi only mentioned saving the "euro"; nothing about saving any countries. Perhaps the "euro" will remain only in Belgium, the home of the ECB; into the future.
    The data/numbers below have been updated.
    As to sector rotations below (Fidelity funds); for the past week: (Note: any given fund in any of these sectors will have varing degrees of performance based upon where the manager(s) choose to be invested and will not directly reflect upon your particular fund holdings from other vendors.)
    --- U.S. equity + .3% through + 2.4%, avg. = + 1.5% YTD = +13.8%
    --- Int'l equity - 2% through + 1.6%, avg. = + .4% YTD = +9.2%
    --- Fido Select. sectors - .8% through + 3.8%, avg. = + 1.3% YTD = +13%
    --- U.S./Int'l bonds - 2.9% through + .12%, avg. = -.70% YTD = + 2.2%
    --- HY bonds - .52% through + 0%, avg. = - .2% YTD = + 8.8%
    An Overview, M* 1 Week through 5 Year, Multiple Indexes
    I have added a few blips related to our portfolio and market observations at the below SELLs/BUYs and Portfolio Thoughts.
    SELLs/BUYs THIS PAST WEEK:
    NONE
    Portfolio Thoughts:
    Our holdings had a - .59 % move this past week. We'll stay where we are at for today; to find what the new week and perhaps the end of the month with Mr. Bernanke brings to the plate.
    Sidenote: The average return of 200 combined Fidelity retail funds across all sectors (week avg = + .63%, YTD + 10.3%). I will retain the below write from previous weeks; as what we are watching still applies.
    --- commodity pricing, especially the energy and base materials areas; copper and related.
    --- the $US broad basket value, and in particular against the Euro and Aussie dollar (EU zone and China/Asia uncertainties).
    --- price directions of U.S. treasury's, German bunds, U.K. gilts, Japanese bonds; and continued monitoring of Spanish/Italian bond pricing/yield.
    --- what we are watching to help understand the money flows: SHY, IEF, TLT, TIP, STPZ, LTPZ, LQD, EMB, HYG, IWM, IYT & VWO; all of which offer insights reflected from the big traders as to the quality/risk, or lack of quality/risk; in various bond sectors.
    I have retained the following links for those who may choose to do their own holdings comparison against the fund types noted.
    The first two links to Bloomberg are for their list of balanced/flexible funds; although I don't always agree with the placement of fund styles in their categories.
    Bloomberg Balanced
    Bloomberg Flexible
    These next two links are for conservative and moderate fund leaders YTD, per MSN.
    Conservative Allocation
    Moderate Allocation
    A reflection upon the links above; we attempt to establish a "benchmark" for our portfolio to help us "see" how our funds are performing. Aside from viewing many funds within the balanced/flexible funds rankings (the above links), a quick and dirty group of 5 funds (below) we watch for psuedo benchmarking are the following:
    ***Note: these week/YTD's per M*
    VWINX .... - .41% week, YTD = + 7.67%
    PRPFX .... - .02% week, YTD = + 3.32%
    SIRRX ..... - .13 % week, YTD = + 4.67%
    TRRFX .... + .25% week, YTD = + 8.05%
    VTENX ... + 0% week, YTD = + 7.13%

    Such are the numerous battles with investments attempting to capture a decent return and minimize the risk.
    We live and invest in interesting times, eh? Hey, I probably forgot something; and hopefully the words make some sense. Comments and questions always welcomed.
    Good fortune to you, yours and the investments.
    Take care,
    Catch
    ---Below is what M* x-ray has attempted to sort for our portfolio, as of June 1, 2012---
    From what I find, M* has a difficult time sorting out the holdings with bond funds.
    U.S./Foreign Stocks 1.9%
    Bonds 93.9% ***
    Other 4.2%
    Not Classified 0.00%
    Avg yield = 3.72%
    Avg expense = .55%
    ***about 16% of the bond total are high yield category (equity related cousins)

    ---This % listing is kinda generic, by fund "name"; which doesn't always imply the holdings, eh?
    -Investment grade bond funds 28.2%
    -Diversified bond funds 22.4%
    -HY/HI bond funds 14.5%
    -Total bond funds 32.4%
    -Foreign EM/debt bond funds .6%
    -U.S./Int'l equity/speciality funds 1.9%
    This is our current list: (NOTE: I have added a speciality grouping below for a few of fund types)
    ---High Yield/High Income Bond funds
    FAGIX Fid Capital & Income
    SPHIX Fid High Income
    FHIIX.LW Fed High Income
    DIHYX TransAmerica HY
    ---Total Bond funds
    FTBFX Fid Total
    PTTRX Pimco Total
    ---Investment Grade Bonds
    ACITX Amer. Cent. TIPS Bond
    DGCIX Delaware Corp. Bd
    FBNDX Fid Invest Grade
    FINPX Fidelity TIPS Bond
    OPBYX Oppenheimer Core Bond
    ---Global/Diversified Bonds
    FSICX Fid Strategic Income
    FNMIX Fid New Markets
    DPFFX Delaware Diversified
    LSBDX Loomis Sayles
    PONDX Pimco Income fund (steroid version)
    PLDDX Pimco Low Duration (domestic/foreign)
    ---Speciality Funds (sectors or mixed allocation)
    FRIFX Fidelity Real Estate Income (bond/equity mix)
    ---Equity-Domestic/Foreign
    NONE outright, with the exception of equities held inside of some of the above funds.
  • Some divergence will be tolerated.
    Have used TRBCX & like it - but a bit high octane for these into-retirement years. Yep, PRMTX's been bit of a rocket over the years ... So, Son really thinks market's goin in the gutter before election? Can't buy that. Worry more about afterward. BTW, Price is good at showing in prospectuses yearly performance figures going back 10 years. Can be eye-opener. TRBCX - I'd venture a guess - has probably experienced years of 25+% on both the up and down sides, probably more than once - what I meant by high octane. Take care.
    Checked it for ya. TRBCX Four most volatile past decade: 2002 -24%, 2003 +30%, 2008 -42%, 2009 +42%
    http://quote.morningstar.com/fund-filing/Prospectus/2012/5/1/t.aspx?t=TRBCX&ft=485BPOS&d=59ede8f1d78accddfabc0a27db08704d
  • Who is mess'in with your bond funds and why?
    Reply to @hank: Well put. I think you're seeing institutional investors look for other sources of income beyond fixed income, as well - infrastructure continues to seem as if it's getting increasing interest, and at least that's a combination of cash flow and real assets. Take a look at Brookfield Infrastructure (BIP), which was discussed in a thread a couple of weeks ago.
    Brookfield thread:
    http://www.mutualfundobserver.com/discussions-3/#/discussion/comment/13384
    Two year chart of BIP:
    http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=BIP+Interactive#symbol=BIP;range=2y
    I do continue to think that there should be some attention paid to inflation protection, even for those who are more conservative and closer to retirement age. I do think money will continue chasing yield in fixed income for longer than anyone could expect, and that that will probably not end well.