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I wanted to indulged your chart a bit further. 1990 was about the time when I first invested in Vanguard Healthcare, VGHCX. Here are LEXCX, FCNTX, and VGHCX over the last 25 years:. All three seem to have great market cycle performance (30ish years).I charted an investment in FCNTX on the day Will Danoff became the funds manager (09/17/1990) vs. LEXCX.
Nice problem to have. With long term persistent smooth upward momentum (something Junkster would be proud to own) why not monitor for a 20 or 50 day crossovers to the 200dma. No sell signals over this last three years using this method.I am really conflicted....VGHCX hit a dollar threshold where it's due for a 30% haircut per my established portfolio guidelines. The problem is, it's been on fire and I may look back on this as a foolish and profit limiting re-balancing exercise. I am thinking about just letting the year-end distribution go to cash, and then direct that to the divi payors I had earmarked for the larger allocation.
Frankly, I admit this is not the worst problem to have.
For me, this is where charts can be a handy tool to monitor smaller components (in this case HC) in a more diversified holding (VTI):"The bigger question might be at what point does an investor have too much in healthcare? "
When Health care investments start earning less than the Stock market as Whole, that would be a good time, if we live long enough to start seeing declines in Health Care costs, my guess...we won't
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