The New 'Rising Rates' ETFs FYI: Copy & Paste 4/11/14: Joe Light WSJ
Regards,
Ted
Asset managers have created exchange-traded funds for just about every investment trend—from commodities to emerging markets to mortgage-backed securities. The latest idea: bond ETFs designed to insulate investors from rising interest rates.
Companies including BlackRock BLK -0.76% and WisdomTree Investments WETF -3.32% have launched or filed plans for at least 17 such ETFs in the six months through March, according to investment research firm Morningstar. That is as many as in the prior three years combined, and the new ETFs now hold about $430 million. They come on the heels of a stellar year for actively managed bond mutual funds that use similar strategies to hedge interest-rate risk.
If successful, the new bond ETFs, some of which are known as "zero duration" or "negative duration" ETFs, would be an important driver for an industry whose product engine has slowed. In 2013, fund companies launched 158 ETFs, the fewest since 2009.
Zero-duration funds and ETFs typically buy longer-term bonds but then "short" Treasurys or use Treasury futures contracts to counterbalance losses that would have otherwise occurred if rates rose. Negative-duration funds take the strategy a step further and seek to make money if rates rise, though they lose money if rates fall. Bond prices move in the opposite direction of yields.
"Duration" is a measure of funds' sensitivity to interest rates. The price of a fund with a duration of five years, for example, would fall 5% if interest rates rose one percentage point immediately, before factoring in yield.
Yet experts caution that some of the funds carry risks that investors may not anticipate and have costs that aren't readily apparent
Fears of further bond-market losses are on the mind of many small investors.
The Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, a broad index of corporate and government bonds, lost 1.92% last year, its worst loss since 1994.
"It's probably the main question we get from clients: 'How will you protect me from rising rates?'" says Jason Gunkel, a senior financial analyst at Sherpa Investment Management in West Des Moines, Iowa, which manages about $370 million.
During economic downturns, interest rates tend to fall, which helps traditional investment-grade bond funds rise in price. On the other hand, many of the new ETFs use "short" strategies that cause them to either not move in price or to fall in price when rates fall.
That could lead to unpleasant surprises for investors who expect bond funds to protect them during a stock-market drop, says Dave Nadig, chief investment officer at fund tracker ETF.com.
The new ETFs tend to have annual expense ratios of less than 0.5%, or $50 per $10,000 invested, compared with about 0.3% for typical bond ETFs.
However, depending on how the fund or ETF hedges its interest-rate exposure, certain costs might not appear in the expense ratio, Mr. Nadig says. If a mutual fund shorts Treasurys to hedge interest-rate risk, the cost of taking the short position gets included in the fund's expense ratio, he says. However, if the fund or ETF uses derivatives, the cost isn't included and is instead embedded in the fund's performance, he says.
The shorting expenses of interest-rate-hedged funds is directly tied to the yields that Treasurys pay, which means the costs of the funds will rise if interest rates do, Mr. Nadig says.
The complexity of the funds makes some financial advisers wary.
"We're concerned that some of these negative-duration funds are highly complex and have characteristics that aren't easily discerned," says Antonio Caxide, chief investment officer at Hamilton Capital Management in Columbus, Ohio, which manages $1.3 billion.
In addition to the zero-duration and negative-duration ETFs, recently launched funds include more-conventional ones that hold short-term bonds, and "floating rate" funds, whose yields can rise with interest rates.
BlackRock's iShares unit, the largest manager of ETFs, hopes to launch a zero-duration investment-grade corporate bond ETF and a zero-duration high-yield bond ETF in the second quarter, pending Securities and Exchange Commission approval.
Since September, the New York-based company already has launched five ETFs that target short-term or floating-rate bonds. One such ETF, iShares Short Maturity Bond, NEAR -0.04% has garnered more than $200 million since its September launch. The fund, which has an annual expense ratio of 0.25%, has returned 0.45% this year through Thursday.
WisdomTree in December launched four zero-duration and negative-duration funds that use derivatives to protect against interest-rate risk or to profit from rate increases.
It remains to be seen whether the new funds, most of which still have little in assets, will catch on. However, investors have shown a huge appetite for bond funds that won't be damaged by rate increases.
"Interest rates will rise,'' says John Otte, a 63-year-old writer in Urbandale, Iowa, who says he plans to retire in a couple of years and recalls large bond losses when interest rates spiked in the 1970s and 1980s. "It's inevitable."
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Most Investors Have No Idea What They're Doing Here Here!
"DALBAR pins the blame squarely on financial-services firms, which speak an arcane lingo that simply hasn’t registered with most Americans."
It's a racket folks. "Obfuscate" is the correct word. Make things so complex that average investors are unable to understand what you're actually doing and why your excessively high fees are justified. I'll toss most market neutral and LS funds into this category. (Am sure there are many others).
My simple advice: Read the latest annual fund report and look at the manager's allocation to various assets, his/her justification, what changes in that allocation have been made recently, and what the reason(s) were. If you can't figure out what the #*!* they're talking about, get the *#!# out. No - you're not dumb. They're just hoping you are. :-)
I'm starting to think this is why many ratings by M* and others appear to make so little sense. The obfuscation by the fund's managers in their description and prospectuses have misled the rating companies into thinking the fund belongs in some "unique" category where it somehow rises to the top. It's not what it seems - but more likely a good job gaming the system and exacting higher fees from we unwary investors.
Put another way - If I was going to start a new fund, before designing it, I'd look to see which M* "categories" charge the highest average fees. Than, I'd shape the fund, prospectus, etc. to qualify for inclusion in that category. If presented as simply an "equity" fund, a .90 ER probably would make it non-competitive among some of its finer peers. But, if I could somehow "sell" the fund as "market neutral", that .90 ER would look darned nice against the competition. My new fund might even vault to the top of the stack.
And, if you haven't read Ed Studzinski's on-the-mark comments about fees in David's latest (April) commentary, be sure to do so!
Most Investors Have No Idea What They're Doing More of the flawed metrics being propagated.
It serves everyone's purpose though.
Financial industry likes it hoping investors will just hold under any conditions and let them siphon off fees regardless of what happens to the markets.
Average investors like it for the same reason people liked to watch trash shows like Geraldo or whatever is the equivalent these days. Makes them feel good about themselves that they are not as bad as the "average" rather than suffer through the feeling that others are doing better than themselves.
John Waggoner: Bank Stocks Good Bet For Recovery "Let's start with the big banks. On Thursday, Ally Bank — once known as the General Motors Acceptance Corporation — went public with a $2.38 billion IPO. Proceeds went to the U.S. Treasury, which spent $16.2 billion bailing out GMAC in the wake of the financial crisis. The Treasury, which once owned as much as 74% of the company, now owns about 17%."
LOL. Happy talk about how a terrible financial company that had to be bailed out (and was rebranded with a cheery, cheesy name - "Hey taxpayers, we're your Ally - especially when we need to get bailed the bleep out again.") was able to be dressed up and sold to a market that....didn't much seem to care for the IPO.
"JPMorgan Chase (JPM), for example, has a 2.7% dividend yield, and sells for 1.1% of book value per share."
And hey, after today's selloff after JPM earnings weren't taken well, it's even cheaper.
I continue to like Financial Technology, which is dominated by two similarly named companies, FIS (FIS) and Fiserv (FISV). Necessary products and services for the industry and two names dominate the sector.
Who Wins When 'Activists' Invest ? Not You Notion of activism has broadened significantly from the earlier stand on principle to influence the company to the more recent increase my return in capital via financial shell games. The latter is an off shoot of too much cheap money allowing individual bets to dominate average investors.
Looking for thoughts on Davenport & Company Funds Anyone have experience with this financial management company out of Richmond, VA? They have three in-house funds. The oldest is DAVPX. Two new ones recently got their first morningstar ratings: DEOPX and DVIPX. All fairly small ($100-300M) and 30-50 holdings. Styles are LG, LV, and MG (which looks more all-cap).
First Eagle Flexible Risk Allocation Fund in registration "I was lucky to get into the institutional class share without meeting the $1 million min"
How were you able to do that?
I know that for those with an account at discount broker TD Ameritrade, there are a limited number of institutional share class funds that can be invested in without the high initial amounts.
Regarding Loads: I think it's a real shame that load funds don't routinely have no load share classes for those who do not use a financial adviser or full service broker.
True Grit Picking up on some of hank's thoughts... Investing and accumulated wealth, in part, stems from Saving. Savings stems from income minus spending. A budget attempts to priorize spending (into needs and wants) against cash flow (income).
I believe Savings (no matter how small) are a need not a want.
To me, financial "true grit" is developing and sticking to a "goal based budget' that, over a life time, provide finanacial independence, financial opportunities and life style experiences that would not have been possible otherwise.
To me, It starts with Savings being thought of as a need, not a want.