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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • What would you do with a large inheritance?
    If it was me (and keep in mind this comes from the perspective of someone younger trying to put themselves in the shoes of someone older)
    No particular order:
    1. Pay off debt (if any).
    2. This is going to depend probably on age (in terms of what approach), but make sure you are well set with insurance - whether it be long-term care insurance or otherwise. So many people these days run into a medical issue and then the costs spiral out of control. In other words, invest in yourself.
    3. I would not put it all in mutual funds or other such investments. A portion of the money should go towards tangible investments - land, art, prec metals, rental property, any number of things could be within this category.
    4. Do not put all the money to work - do leave some cash for unknowns or just the ability to be opportunistic if things come along.
    5. If you give to younger family members, maybe have a family gathering where you can discuss investing and get them started. There needs to be financial education in this country and there just isn't in schools, so helping someone understand at a younger age investing is definitely a good thing.
    6. What's something you've always wanted to do? A special trip? Again, some investment in yourself.
    7. Definitely look for a fee-based (family members work with a planner whose fees are partly performance-based, which has been a tremendous improvement over when they were at a broker) adviser if you go that route.
    Others will be able to discuss tax-free investments such as munis better than I, but I do like as a low-key, fairly low-tax fund Pimco Unconstrained, which is a bond fund that focuses on absolute returns rather than yield. Its yield is 1.97%, but the fund has done reasonably well in all environments, including 2008. Pimco Unconstrained can also bet on rising interest rates and remains an interesting alternative fixed income product. Many stock funds generally do not create large tax issues in terms of dividends/distributions, but there's no way to know that a particular fund won't have an unusual distribution at year-end one year. However, the choices when it comes to individual stocks and funds are so broad that it becomes a matter of what would be your risk tolerance and other such factors.
  • What would you do with a large inheritance?
    To reintroduce myself, I occasionally posted on FundAlarm. I have tried to follow the MFO discussion board, however, being the eldest child and niece of many ‘senior’ seniors took much of my time. The last of that generation recently passed. I may soon have time for myself.
    So herein lies my concern. I knew I would receive an eventual distribution and will within a few months. Since learning the hard way many years ago and ‘investing’ money with a financial ‘salesperson’, I learned to take care of my own financial investments. The majority of our assets are in IRA rollovers; I am pleased with them. My husband started collecting his RMD’s this year; I will in two years. Our emergency fund is covered. The inheritance isn’t money I need.
    Herein is where I am asking for your thoughts as I make a decision on investing a large sum. The ‘salesman’ where most of the funds are coming from ‘told me’ years ago he wanted me to buy life insurance (from him) on myself for estate planning with my eventual distribution. Of course!
    My Uncle was the eldest of 11 who grew up during the Great Depression. It was a very difficult time for him. He worked very hard and was very careful with his money, and I want to protect what he left me. I may give some to younger family members; I may take a very small amount each year for – at this time - unknowns. I am looking at tax free or tax friendly investments. I know nothing about purchasing individual bonds. I know how to research and purchase muni bond funds, but this area is new to me. I know there are tax friendly stock funds or individual stocks as well as ETF’s. Maybe even a balanced fund or two?
    Should I not try to do this by myself? Should I be looking for an adviser who doesn’t sell a product but may give me direction on how to invest this distribution? I checked out local members of Napfa, and there are base fees of $5000, $10,000, 1% of 2m. I did have a conversation with a Vanguard rep and was going to visit the local Fidelity office as well as T. Rowe Price. My bank wants to talk with me, too – caution! I’m just looking for input on what others would do. I learned much in the past from FA posters. Now I’m hoping the MFO posters will assist me. Before releasing the funds, I will take my notes to a CFP that is provided to me at $150/hr as a member benefit thru where I have my 403b, T. IRA rollover, and Roth. Just trying to do my homework.
    I remember awhile back Will came to FA when his Father passed, and Will was looking for investments to protect a 1m inheritance in memory of his Father. He would sometimes post his investments. I believe it was Catch who posted here when he was trying to help a relative who received a large inheritance, but I don’t know what the eventual decision was.
    I look forward to learning from you. Thank you.
  • Using EFTs to monitor your mutual funds during the day?
    I also do a Yahoo portfolio as you have done. In it I have about a dozen ETFs that I use as tracking indicators for my open end funds. Like you, I have made some buy or sell decisions for that day based on the tracking indicator ETFs .
    I also have a Yahoo portfolio with the top 10 holdings for each fund so that I can quickly switch to those and see how they are doing as well.
    These two methods help me have a good sense of what the NAV is likely to settle at or around that day.
    With a fund like PETDX that tracks an index my caution is to be sure that you are comparing apples to apples by choosing an ETF that tracks the same index. In PETDX's case it is the Dow Jones U.S. Select REIT Index (index ticker: DWRTFT). So I also use the DWRTFT ticker as a tracker. In REITS that's important because there is a world of difference between an index like the Dow Jones U.S. Select REIT Index which is comprised
    of companies whose charters are the equity ownership and operation of commercial real estate and an index like the FTSE NAREIT All Mortgage Capped Index which could be tracked by the iShares ETF REM.
    So, from this I hypothesize that PETDX's interests are (but held as derivates) seen in the DWRTFT's top 10 stocks:
    Simon Ppty Group Inc New 11.71%
    Public Storage 5.16%
    Hcp Inc 4.87%
    Ventas Inc 4.67%
    Equity Residential 4.61%
    Boston Properties Inc 4.19%
    Prologis Inc 3.89%
    Vornado Rlty Tr 3.75%
    Avalonbay Cmntys Inc 3.38%
    Health Care Reit Inc 3.25%
    REM's holdings are quite different since its index follows the mortgage REITS:
    ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN 20.62%
    AMERICAN CAPITAL AGENCY CORP 18.53%
    TWO HARBORS INVESTMENT CORP 5.56%
    CYS INVESTMENTS INC 4.89%
    STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST INC 4.57%
    INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL 4.49%
    MFA FINANCIAL INC 4.23%
    HATTERAS FINANCIAL CORP 4.07%
    CHIMERA INVESTMENT CORP 3.98%
    ARMOUR RESIDENTIAL REIT INC 3.78%
  • Is Working Past Age 65 a Realistic Option?
    Reply to @MJG: Truthfully I just like rattling your cage. Interesting that you have once again adopted the Michele Bachmann style of debate but not surprising since you have always been consistent in that regard i.e. "Here's my sermon for today kids - blah, blah, blah, data set, blah, blah, data set blah, blah, blah." When someone challanges you or disagrees with you, even to the point of offering an alternative data set you pat them on the head, insinuate that they are merely misguided fools for failing to see your wisdom or point of view and refuse to engage them any further ala "I’m finished here now so I will allow you the last word." You have done this time and time again, at least twice to me before on those rare occasions where in need of self abuse I was actually able to wade through your writings. Frankly most of the time I ignore you but the topic of elderly people needing to remain in the work force concerns me since so many boomers (me included) are now reaching the age and time in their lives when they should be able to just sit back and watch the grass grow and the paint dry rather then worry about whether they are going to open up a can of Alpo or a bag of Meow Mix for that days meal.
    However, mealtime, investment decisions, spending habits and work habits are not strictly germane to the original topic of whether or not it is reasonable to expect to work beyond the age of 65. Pertinent possibly but not "the" issue. Your initial response referenced a data set and you, not me, also included classifications such as gainful/meaningful, life's choices, procrastinators/lazy, elite/mundane topped off with your CA aside and ending with how great you are because you avoided all of that senior employment nonsense because you worked hard, changed jobs or locations, made the smartest investments known to mankind and felt quite smug in doing so. Geez, how could I not shoot at that target as none of that belonged in the discussion.
    So out of my response to your posting all you could focus on was me calling you an ignorant slut, whining about how I had attacked you personally and why did I feel the need to do so. Even after I explained that it was not a personal attack but merely an inference that you were out of touch you chose to ignore your misperception of my writing style and felt the need to dwell on it in your follow-up. At this point all I can do is quote you "Too bad'" You expect others to perceive your writing style as something they just misunderstood or plainly don't understand but those who disagree with you are not allowed the same leeway in their writings. I challenged your data set, you said nothing. I challenged your hypothesis, you said nothing. All you could do was be concerned about why I attacked you on a personal level followed with your own labels arrogant, insidious, handcuffed to my computer, in need of more diversified hobbies, morbidly curious, a personal slam at Old Joe near as I can tell and "I'm done here." . The pot calling the kettle black? Do as I say not as I do? You tell me.
    The medical catastrophe was mentioned as one example of how even the hardest working, smartest people could get thrown for a financial loop by just one single event. I had no interest in your personal condition. Go reread the sentance in its context.
    Finally my work anecdote had nothing to do with my level of experience it has to do with the degree of perfection I bring to my craft. As soon as those employers find someone who will do the job cheaper at the same quality level my experience will not matter and I'll be back in my cardboard box under the overpass.
    Backatcha, I'm done here.
  • Artio Funds struggling mightily, ending domestic equity efforts
    Reply to @msf: I would move on, and not wait to do so. There is no indication that the horrible performance numbers will improve any time soon. And if Artio Funds is truly having financial problems, this could eventually be a disaster. You do not want to be among the last to exit a fund.
    Take a look at Harbor International, Sextant International, Ivy International Growth, Ivy International Core Equity, First Eagle Overseas, even ETF index fund EFA. Some of these might not be available with your IRA's custodian. Don't get hung up on style boxes, especially when it comes to international and emerging market funds.
  • Is Working Past Age 65 a Realistic Option?
    Reply to @Mark:
    Hi Mark,
    So, you have been reduced to calling me a slut. As a minimum, it is gender inaccurate. If you wish to slander me, perhaps a pimp would be more appropriate. Of course, I reject either description.
    Over 250 years ago, Samuel Johnson reportedly stated that patriotism is the last refuge of a scoundrel. A more modern version of that famous proclamation is that name-calling is the last refuge of a scoundrel.
    I had no idea that my innocent posting would provoke such charged emotions or tense replies. My simple observation is that a senior citizen can find useful employment. I took an especially positive perspective to encourage some folks who might be in that stressful position. I believe it is true.
    The Internet is a great resource, but it does have a few shortcomings. One of those shortcomings is the reliability and the trustworthiness of the sources themselves. That is one of the major reasons why I try to include references from credible sources that support my assertions. The bottom-line is that statistics help establish credibility and a baseline for differing interpretations and honest debate. I would hope that you seek and use economic and financial statistics when making investment decisions. I do.
    The statistics I referenced dealt with employment levels for three worker age groupings. They directly addressed your original posting that questioned employment possibilities for senior citizens. The statistics you elected to cite dealt with recent class wage rate levels of change, some positive, some negative. These more clearly illustrate the stagnant nature of our present economy than the employment problems that a senior citizen currently faces. Your data set more properly reflects the recent supply-demand tradeoffs of our capitalistic economic structure.
    Your fine anecdotal story about being consulted to assuage the complaints of a few angry customers reinforces my position that experience matters greatly. Sure businesses work to keep costs down to improve their bottom-line. But smart businesses hire experienced task leaders to direct and control the efforts of lower salaried and less experienced workers. That’s a win-win-win scenario for the boss, for the seasoned high priced problem solver, and even for the lowest man on that totem-pole who gets an opportunity to improve his skill set and move up the compensation ladder.
    I am always amazed by the presumptive assumptions that an irate forum member documents with unsubstantiated hypothesis. Somehow you perceive me as unconnected to worldly events, unfamiliar with life’s common struggles, and unsympathetic to the unwashed lower classes. I suppose the basis for that very personal assessment is my writings. You certainly are free to disagree with my judgments. I do change them myself as new information is revealed. But you have no insights into my personal relationships with any class or group of people. You make an ad hoc, uniformed, and incorrect judgment.
    I am from the lowest of the lower classes. I worked every single day that I was in college. I served in the military and experienced, cold, mud, and fear. My wife worked her way through college, and did not eat on Sundays to make her restricted budget work. Early in their careers, two of my sons worked in the home construction industry, one as a carpenter and the other as an electrician. I respect the work that every man and woman does; I do not respect those slackers who are on the public dole by design.
    So, I totally reject and dismiss your misguided missile. It is wrongheaded and wrongly targeted.
    By the way, have a grand time in the Florida Keys. The sport fishing is superb and the folks are friendly, especially if you have a little money to spend. That’s the nature of our capitalistic system. The conch is great too. Give it a try.
    Best Wishes.
  • Is Working Past Age 65 a Realistic Option?
    Reply to @MJG:
    MJG said: "Even in the best of times, many folks are procrastinators; others are lazy; still others just want the good times to roll."
    I am an BS/MSEE working as Software Engineer in a major multi-national technology company. I am in my 40s and right now we do not have anyone as far as I can see older than 55 still doing real engineering work and believe me 50+ is rare. Last year, the older ones were offered early retirement packages and many took as if they did not, they were likely to be laid off. I spend a lot of time trying to keep up to date in technology in my field which is very rapidly changing and increasingly outsourced to overseas but I am afraid time will catch up some time.
    Hopefully, by that time I have either had enough saved/invested or at least have transformed into some other post that the company still needs but I do not see a lot of 60+ in other business units in this company or similar companies that I have worked. It is probably the curse of being involved in such a dynamic field. I cannot blame the company much on that either. I do not have the energy of 20-30 year olds anymore. I used to sit down one night and finish major projects. Not any more. If you consider that laziness, I guess I am becoming lazier as I get older.
    I understand you are retired now. From earlier posts, I understand you have spent some time in government/military related posts where job security is/was higher. The times and corporate culture has changed. There is no loyalty from employers towards employees anymore and we do not have any pensions and the only thing that is pension like, Social Security, may or may not survive my retirement. Tell me about stress and stress related illnesses which can potentially be another reason why I might not be able to work. Aging related disability is real.
    In short, just because human life is extended by the use of modern medicine does not mean everything is OK now. I might be living longer but unable to do meaningful gainful work. Perhaps lifespan extension made things worse because the working life might not have extended enough to compensate for the financial implications of longer life span. Then there is the problem of finding jobs for younger generations. If the older generations somehow could stick around, then as a nation we would have to address the problem of unemployment for newer college graduates etc.
    In short, I am a bit disturbed with your categorization of many folks as procrastinators and lazy or just wishing for good times to roll. At some point, it is the reality of life and being alive that kicks in even if we are not procrastinators, lazy or day dreaming.
  • Is Working Past Age 65 a Realistic Option?
    Reply to @MJG: In formulating my reply the one thing I couldn't get out of my mind was Dan Aykroyd's point-counterpoint admonition to Jane Curtin "Jane, you ignorant slut."
    MJG, with all due respect, you need to come down off your lofty perch along with your data sets and mingle with regular folks once and awhile because you are obviously oblivious to their existance. You show it in your disdain for their education and employment, doctors, scientists and engineers are ok but the rest of you are of little value, to your seemingly pinched nose toward the Spanish speaking population of your state. Ever heard "There but for the grace of god go I"?
    If I told you that I was a carpenter there's no doubt in my mind that we would have little to talk about and most certainly wouldn't socialize. If I told you that I have a PhD in the biological sciences from UC Berkeley at California and was a well respected expert trial witness I might have a slightly better chance although neither approaches being an 'engineer'. Truth is that I am both. the former because it is what I love to do and the latter because I wanted to know all that I could about what I do. I don't view my choices as being either better or worse than you and yours. They are just different. For all we know that greeter at Walmart might just enjoy smiling at people and saying "Hi".
    However, I wanted to address your challange to "identify a legitimate business endeavor where experience is not crucial to success." Without defining, or at least knowing your definition of success I give you the latest MN (2005-2011) data on a select group of experienced workers who are not seeing that success reflected in their economic positions as it relates to average hourly wages.
    Assemblers & fabricators up 0.88%
    Computer controlled machine tool operators down 9.69%
    Cutting, punching and machine setters up 11.36%
    Machinsts up 0.36%
    Welders down 2.26%
    Near as I can tell the extra six years of experience did little to improve their financial positions. Many on the higher end of the scale were let go to be replaced by younger (read: cheaper) workers. Employers reported for the most part that experience wasn't what mattered in hiring or maintaining a labor force any more but the adaptability of the worker to think and learn new ways of doing things. I'm no fan of labor unions but how many have been busted because the wages for experienced workers were cutting into the ridiculous profit margins (read: paychecks) of the company CEO.
    These are not isolated cases, I've even dealt with it myself. I still get calls from other contractors to service the picky or prone to anger customer but otherwise they are content to use younger workers for the most part. Each readily admits that they get two or three of them for one of me so they make more money faster.
    I apologize for my lack of statistical data sets. I just live it, day in and day out. Since I know a little bit about them maybe I should write a paper, peer reviewed of course.
  • Lesson One, boys and girls. Don't shoot yourself in the foot. (LIP)
    Yeah, its weighing how much money it thinks the Fed is going to print over the short term, medium term and long-term.
    Many of the retail investors who are gone aren't coming back for years, so the financial media can stop wasting energy trying to scold them. It's nice not having watched CNBC in a couple of months so that I don't hear "WHERE IS THE RETAIL INVESTOR?" over and over and over again. Writing articles like "Main Street's "$100B Stock Market Blunder" (another Smart Money article) is not educating anyone, it's just trying to shame them and scold them, it would seem. It's completely unhelpful. ("Hey, lets write an article and not help anyone who has not participated and instead just write an article not-so-subtly acting like they're morons.")
    I think people have to stay globally diversified as a priority and there are ways to bring down volatility (alternative funds, etc.) People have to have some strong belief in their investments - what do you feel strongly about? Someone may have strong feelings or insights on a particular theme. To some degree, there's the Peter Lynch advice of invest in what you know or at least feel strongly about - that's not going to always lead to an investable thesis/outcome, but it's a good place to start for at least a portion of a portfolio.
    People also have to be willing to do the homework, and I think people are either unwilling or unable or a million other issues. I find it completely understandable. I think a lot of people are going through a tough period and I think there has to be some degree of understanding and sympathy of that. Articles like this really just go, "You're missing the rally!" There's little insight into the mentality that people have when it comes to investing today and the reasons why people have been taking money out of the market.
    Facebook didn't quite see the retail participation that people thought it would, but it still was a terrible experience for a lot of retail investors both in terms of the technical issues and the sheer losses, but it speaks to the lack of financial education in this country when a lot of people probably really like facebook and that is the extent of their research. How many of them know about P/E ratios? It would be great if financial education was a part of high school, but that's extremely unlikely.
  • Is Working Past Age 65 a Realistic Option?
    I think in this day and age you might not even be able to count on your company pension plans. Like Delphi, Delta, World Com, Enron Guberment Motors, and many others. Also good pension plans are being changed as I write, along with what pension plan raiders have also done in the past on company buy outs and mergers. Companys have always preached "all is well - dont worry be happy" we'll take care of you - when you retire. We'll promise you something in the future that way we dont have to give it to you now. Too many chislers trying get in between you and your retirement as they have done with health insurance.
    The goverment pension plan that has been set up for bankrupt corperations is a farce at best!!!
    It will behove all of us that are able to remain working as long as we can. I have always tried to save as much as I can even to the extent of teaching financial management lessons to my childrin......... (You're much younger - get a Job).
    Will turn 65 soon you should see all of the mail I get on medicaid!!!!!!!! Funny thing they all want MONEY!!!
    End of My rant!!!!!!
    Gary
  • Is Working Past Age 65 a Realistic Option?
    Hi Guys,
    Experience is never out of style.
    I was somewhat taken aback by the many replies that emphasized the difficulties of securing gainful employment for older workers. Note that I included the qualifier term “gainful”. I certainly concur that being a greeter at WalMart is less than a gainful and meaningful job. Of course, I recognize and respect those at the lowest end of the wealth distribution curve who must do this task for basic survival necessities.
    Life is not necessarily fair, but surely some suffer this dire predicament because of their own life’s choices.
    Catch22 opined that “ For several decades, from the very large and well paid middle class in MI; this state was far ahead of any other states for the number of registered motorcycles, boats, snowmobiles, travel trailers/campers….”. Further, he observed that “The big money was coming into these households and headed right back out the door via a payment book.”
    This is a recipe for disaster in any state, especially in my high cost state of California. But this is a financial sin of the first magnitude that is not restricted to middle aged or senior citizens. It is pervasive throughout society, in particular a defect that government promulgates and practices.
    As a little aside, this reminds me of a description of California that I received recently from an East Coast friend. On July 4th 1850 California became a state. People had no electricity; the state had no money. Almost everyone spoke Spanish. Gunfights erupted in the streets. Not much has changed in the last 161 years.
    Even in the best of times, many folks are procrastinators; others are lazy; still others just want the good times to roll. These folks will likely, unless they win the lottery gamble which they frequently play to excess, never approach the magic Number that permits a safe and worry-free retirement. They are typically debt gluttons.
    I have very little empathy for such misguided souls. Some folks make poor decisions their entire life. You and I are not responsible for these decisions. They were always free to choose. Of course, I exclude from this grouping the truly unfortunate folks who suffered tragic, personal Black Swan events none of which were their design or doing. Bad stuff happens. I have great empathy for this unlucky cohort.
    I strongly believe that experience matters a lot in the business world. Not only does experience matter for the elite worker classes (doctors, scientists, engineers), but also for the more mundane, but essential, groupings (bakers, electricians, lumberjacks, plumbers, gardeners). The list whereby experience contributes to superior performance and outcomes is endless. I’m prepared to challenge you naysayers to identify a legitimate business endeavor where experience is not crucial to success.
    Daniel Kahneman acknowledged the experience factor in his book “Thinking, Fast and Slow”. He gave numerous illustrations of how experience permits a worker to develop recognition skills and solution approaches. He used chess masters as one of his examples. In summary, he concluded that at last 10,000 hours of practical experience is needed to gain proficiency in many working assignments. Malcolm Gladwell also highlighted the 10,000 hour rule in his writings.
    Growing old is neither apocalyptic nor is it a Golden Age. Education, experience, prudent savings, and wise investing enhance the odds towards Golden and away from apocalyptic. Successful seniors adjust, adapt, and survive. Sometimes events force the retiree to reenter the employment marketplace. I agree that it is not an easy task, but it is doable and the national statistics support that assertion.
    Here is a Link to a government study that was completed in 2010:
    http://www.bls.gov/opub/ils/summary_10_04/older_workers.htm
    The reference report shows employment data dating from 1948 to 2008.
    Yes, the over-55 unemployment rate has recently escalated, but it’s at a relatively low, single digit level (see figure 2). Yes, it does take an older worker a longer time to find a new position. But he does. Figure 3 demonstrates that the senior workforce participation rate has been increasing recently while the participation rate for the youngest cohort has been decreasing. Note the trendlines. I’m sure a part of that trendline is caused by poor investment decisions and a shrinking retirement nest-egg. Too bad.
    Please visit the reference and form your own interpretations of the data sets.
    There is little doubt that aging erodes most skill sets. Youngsters work faster; seniors work smarter. Youngsters work creatively; seniors work with consistency. Tradeoffs are plentiful that naturally include wage and benefits considerations. Some firms now seek senior employees. It is a shifting marketplace. When Bell telephone initially hired an operator staff it was all male. They soon learned that females were better and more reliable at that job and adapted accordingly.
    I have sympathy for those individuals who lost positions that reflected both economic realities and age discrimination. It is equally hard on the ego and hard on the pocketbook. I appreciate that it does happen. I never faced that stressful circumstance. I like to think that I avoided that forlorn scenario by planning ahead. I did work for outfits that suffered layoffs. I escaped by working harder, by working cheaper, by changing positions, by moving to other locations, and by continuing my education. I survived by being proactive, by being flexible, and, admittedly, by being a little lucky.
    Persistence can and often does win the day. There is some truth to the observation that “Those who know better don’t always do better”. Like Woody Allen remarked: “Eighty percent of success is showing up”. Just don’t abandon the hunt.
    Loads of great discussion and diverse viewpoints. I enjoyed all of them. Thank you.
    Best Wishes.
  • RiverPark Short Term High Yield: an opportunity for MFO members to speak directly with the manager
    Reply to @Hiyield007:
    In a sense, many bonds in this fund are third cousins to (muni) pre-refunded bonds. If you read the linked description, you'll find many of the same attributes as claimed for the RiverPark fund, for similar though not identical reasons. Short duration, price stability, reduced credit risk, etc.
    I think you mean the junk bond decline at the end of September (JNK declined from a price of 38+ in September to 36.19 at the end of the month, and maybe another percent or so into early October). Last Sept/Oct, RPHYX declined from 9.93-9.94 down to 9.86 in early October, before recovering through October. A whopping swing of 0.8% on a fund that yields 3-4%. I can live with that.
    A question I have is with the use of cushion bonds (see current fund commentary). I like cushion bonds, I own them, I seek them out. But not for junk. They're good because they let you buy long term bonds (with commensurate higher yields) with the expectation that they'll get called early (since the coupons are high) - higher yields on shorter term bonds. A risk is that when the time comes for the bonds to get called, the issuer may not be able to refinance (bad credit risk) and thus the bonds really do become long term bonds. In a rising rate environment, the higher coupon protection only goes so far. IMHO it's more the likelihood of call that makes these attractive than the long term yield. And issuers of junk bonds strike me as less likely to be able to call bonds, even if it makes numeric sense for them to do so.
  • Dynamic Canadian Equity Income Fund DWGIX

    This all-cap fund focuses on Canadian businesses. Excellent performance since inception in 2009 with low volatility, high alpha, and high Sharpe. Portfolio focus is real estate and energy. OK expense ratio after waivers through early 2013. A no load, no fee offering at Schwab. The portfolio managers are Oscar Belaiche and Jason Gibbs. Mr. Belaiche is senior member, and he has been with the Fund's subadvisor, GCIC US Ltd., since inception. GCIC is a subsidiary of DundeeWealth Inc., specifically for its Dynamic Funds line-up. DundeeWealth is owned by The Bank of Nova Scotia.

    Here is link to Fund's website:
    image

    Performance Summary (from Morningstar): DWGIX has outperformed Canadian S&P and Foreign Large Blend indices, with a 19% annualized return, and it has done so with a smooth ride. It is up 8.4% YTD.

    image
    Sector Weightings (from Morningstar):
    image
    Top Holdings (from Fund fact sheet):
    image

    Investment Strategy (from Fund prospectus): The Fund invests, under normal market conditions, at least 80% of its assets in the equity securities of companies located in Canada. The Fund invests primarily in dividend or distribution paying Canadian equity securities and real estate investment trusts (“REITs”), as well as in other types of Canadian equity securities, including limited partnerships. In addition to its Canadian equity investments, the Fund may also invest in other foreign and U.S. companies of any size, including small and mid capitalization companies, as well as in U.S. While the Fund will not concentrate its investments in any one industry, the Fund will focus on equity securities in the energy, real estate and infrastructure sectors.
    The Fund evaluates an equity security’s potential for capital appreciation, employing a Quality at a Reasonable Price (QUARPTM) philosophy and uses strict fundamental analysis and due diligence measures to assess potential investments. In conducting fundamental analysis of companies that are being considered for purchase in the Fund, the management team evaluates the financial condition and management of a company, its industry and the overall economy. The team may 1) analyze financial data and other information sources, 2) assess the quality of management, and 3) conduct company interviews, where possible.
    The Fund invests in businesses with sustainable cash flow distributions, dominant positions in their respective industry sector, and management that holds a significant equity stake.
    Bottom-line: DWGIX currently enjoys a 5-Star Rating at Morningstar. The Fund's size is small compared to most other DundeeWealth Dynamic Funds offerings with only $4.2M in assets. Suspect it will not stay small for long, as it is hard not to be attracted to this fund.

  • Is Working Past Age 65 a Realistic Option?
    Hi Mark,
    Yes, working beyond age 65 is indeed a realistic option. Unfortunately, for some reluctant non-savers and some reckless spendthrifts, it is mandatory. The other side of that coin is that they can work and recover. As our life expectancy has increased, so has our potential for workplace longevity.
    Technology and the Information miracle offer positions that are less demanding manually, but more demanding mentally. Age need not be a handicap while experience becomes more highly rewarded. Education and continued learning is a paramount and sometimes decisive factor.
    Chasing the Holy Grail, the magic Number (net total wealth that permits a reasonable likelihood that your resources will survive you) can be illusive, given the housing meltdown, a nervous investment marketplace, an uncertain economic environment, and high unemployment levels. These are challenging times, especially when preparing to make a retirement decision.
    For many folks, their 401(k) contributions have been reduced to a 201(k) plan, and their home values have been substantially slashed. But alterative options exist. Especially if we subscribe to what Greek philosophers advised: Know Thyself. Identify and capitalize on what you do best while acknowledging and honoring your shortcomings.
    The Number is an ever-changing target. If much of that Number is dominated with investment portfolio holdings, diversification is a prerequisite for ultimate success. Conscientious savings, both in good times and bad times, must be considered a compulsory task. To accomplish this, the pre-retiree needs to be flexible in his spending habits. If already in retirement, the retiree needs to adjust downward his planned withdrawal rate when anticipated returns are not realized.
    I have completed a mountain of Monte Carlo simulations that demonstrate the survival robustness of a portfolio when minor drawdown adjustments (like don’t cover inflation rate increases) are exercised during spotty investment periods. In the final analysis, it returns to the Know Thyself axiom. Patience and persistence are also useful attributes that permit the making of lemonade from bitter lemons. The conventional wisdom of the baseline 4 % annual drawdown rule requires constant monitoring and some fine-tuning that is situational and event dominated. By adroitly adjusting to a poor period, that withdrawal rate could be stretched by an additional 1 %.
    The major mutual fund houses have invested a fortune to develop programs and tools that will help plan and achieve a comfortable retirement. Of course they aim to profit from client accumulation and fees. It can be a win-win game for everyone.
    To illustrate, Fidelity saw the future, and developed an organization and a definitive set of private investor-friendly tools in 2002. Today, its 401(k) division is huge and services millions of customers, both individual and institutional.
    On an anecdotal level, I retired before this impressive array of financial planning tools became commonly available. Hence, I did much of the heavy lifting myself. I remember arguing with a financial planner with respect to the merits of Monte Carlo simulations before they were popularly recognized. I was a believer, he was not. About a year later he called and apologized for his shortsightedness. I never did do business with him.
    For those still struggling with the retirement decision, I would encourage you to stay the course. Keep learning and keep the information exchange network active.
    Age alone does not demand any specific retirement date. Again, on an anecdotal basis, incremental retirement is an attractive option, especially if you enjoy work interactions. For the first five years of my retirement, I worked as a paid aerospace consultant. Since that time, I still consult; however, now I do the consulting on a volunteer freebie basis.
    The outfits that still seek my service offer to pay for that service, but I reject the monies. I am financially secure and want to give-back to the industry and, yes, even to the Country. I enjoy teaching the younger engineers who benefit from my experience. I feel good about being a “lamp of history” that lights the way and mostly avoids costly pitfalls.
    As I age, I do not wish to be judged by how much I made, but more importantly, how much of a difference I made. Everyone sets his own measures of performance. Don’t be shocked that they change over time.
    This topic has endless avenues to explore that demand an eternity of time. But for now, enough from this quarter.
    Best Wishes.
  • Oakmark Equity and Income Fund Reopens to New Investors
    Two well respected value shops at odds:
    “We see many opportunities in equities,” says Clyde McGregor, manager of the Fund. “By reopening, we hope to better balance the fund’s daily cash flows and also accommodate the many long-term investors who fundamentally believe in Oakmark’s value-investment approach, but have been restricted from buying shares in the Fund.”
    http://www.fiduciarymgt.com/funds/shrpt/qly_shrpt_063012.pdf
    Overall valuations remain strangely elevated. Typically when the media and Wall Street are rife with negative macro commentary, stock market valuations reflect this. Normal contrarian indicators, like the May Financial Times piece saying the “cult of equities is dead,” harken back to the “Death of Equities” Business Week cover in 1979. Markets are generally swayed by big swings of emotion (fear and greed) and for a number of years the media has blared a steady tune of very significant negative realities.
    One could argue that the prevailing macro concerns are as wide and deep as have possibly existed since the early to mid-1970s. Yet valuations remain well above average from a long term historical basis and miles away from valuations that persisted in the 1970s. Each quarter we analyze approximately 48 different valuation measurements for the stock market, with most of the data series going back multiple
    decades. We’ve discussed these valuation parameters numerous times in previous letters. The median valuation decile of these 48 measures as of March 31 (there is always a quarter lag) was 7.5 (10 being the most expensive decile and 1 being the cheapest). After years of choppy stock markets and all of the negative publicity this must be an astonishing figure to casual observers.
    One thing is almost certain: Only one will be correct
  • Oakmark Equity and Income Fund Reopens to New Investors
    Yes, David Herro wrote this piece about 2 months ago....
    Europe and Global Equity: It’s Better Than You Think
    http://oakmark.com/opennews.asp?news_id=594&news_from=h
    So maybe the Oakmark international team has convinced the OAKBX fund manager, Clyde, that they should be ready to start picking up some European bargains including European financial stocks?
    In fact, in March of this year --- Spain's Banco Santander was a top 10 holding in OAKIX....a bold move that even I wouldn't be able to stomach. I like Banco Santander and Telefonica but I would rather wait things out longer while things shake'n bake in Spain including the recent downward spiral and volatility we've seen over there. Let the hurricaine winds and clouds hit and pass thru first before dipping the toe back into the waters.
  • Yale’s David Swensen on Asset Allocation
    Reply to @catch22:
    Hi Catch,
    Thanks for your thoughtful contribution.
    Your recall that David Swensen is a reluctant trader and typically recommends very rare portfolio rebalancing is spot on-target. In another lecture at Yale, Swensen advised a Robert Shiller student class that assessing a mutual fund manager based on a single quarterly performance record was “ludicrous”. I specifically put ludicrous in quotation marks because that was his exact word choice and it impressed me.
    Swensen often impresses me; that is probably why he is one of my investment heroes. Relative to other portfolio managers, he trades rather infrequently, and when he does adjust his holdings, it is done incrementally. That’s a nice fit with my portfolio management philosophy.
    I suppose that is one of the reasons why I like Swensen; we share some common operational rules. The behavioral wizards observe that we all exhibit a confirmation bias; although I attempt to battle that disability, I too am guilty of falling into that Siren’s song trap.
    But I also respect Swensen’s frankness and honesty. When he initially attempted to write an investment book for individuals, he recognized that private investors do not have the resources to duplicate his institutional strategy because of time horizon, goal, and research constraint disparities. He completely rewired his “Unconventional Success” book accordingly. In that book, Swensen essentially endorsed a Lazy-man portfolio, rather passive Index approach for private investors. That recommendation dramatically departs from his institutional asset allocation which is dominated by alternate (hedge funds, timber, venture capital) investment categories.
    While preparing my reply to you, my thoughts shifted to a one-on-one meeting I held with a financial advisor a decade or so ago. She offered two distinct selling points to justify her extra 0.50 % fee above other management costs. She had assembled a list of superior portfolio managers who would specifically be selected for separate parts of my portfolio. She would review them on a monthly basis and replace poor performers if they failed to satisfy benchmarks either in a single or in two consecutive quarters. Swensen would not be comfortable with that hurdle.
    She and her partner, an economist with impressive academic credentials, would assess the overarching economic environment monthly, and would make adjustments that would reflect that review on a semi-annual basis. Economists are notoriously poor trend forecasters. They tend to be overly linear and do not include enough feedback loops in their analyses.
    I did not buy into their program. Their decision time scale was wrong for me; it likely would have been wrong for Swensen too.
    As the California professors said in their landmark research paper “Frequent Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth”.
    Best Wishes.
  • Vanguard/Bogleheads Wiki Main page......topical info links.....LIP
    Think of it as a resource on many financial topics. It does not have to be all or none.
  • Yale’s David Swensen on Asset Allocation
    Hi Guys,
    You all are familiar with Yale’s renown endowment fund manager David Swensen. His over two decade performance record approaches legendary status. His integrity and honesty matches that superb investment outcome. His advice is to be trusted. On March, 2011 he delivered an asset allocation talk in Korea.
    David Swensen possesses an amiable personality and is an engaging financial speaker. His style is humble, uses numbers sparingly, and full of commonsense wisdom. The lecture examines the impacts of asset allocation, market timing, and specific stock selection on portfolio returns. His commentary and conclusions validate earlier work by a host of financial researchers. When Swensen talks, the investment community listens. So should we.
    Access to the lecture is available in a 2-part series, each of which is about 20 minutes in duration. Here are the Links to the presentations:


    I enjoyed the lecture; I suspect you will too. Please take advantage of this opportunity to better focus your own personal investment policy.
    In many ways, Swensen’s conclusions are similar to the observations reported by Scott Burns in an article that Ted recently referenced. Here is a revisit to Ted’s fine Link:
    http://assetbuilder.com/blogs/scott_burns/archive/print/2012/07/27/lazy-portfolios-beat-professionally-managed-portfolios.aspx
    The Lazy-man’s portfolios do it again. Scott Burns’ commentary reinforces the futility of active fund management from a statistical perspective. His research suggests that owning a passively managed fund offers a higher likelihood of superior performance than a randomly selected actively managed fund. Of course, the linchpin to the selection process is not to randomly choose; research like that executed by many MFO members does tilt those odds somewhat in the favorable direction.
    Today, CXO Advisory Group also addressed some issues of the debate with a very short term survey of the success of active mutual fund management with respect to their market timing acumen. Their results again disappoint, and fit nicely into the dismal record accumulated on average by market timers.
    Here is the reference to the brief CXO study:
    http://www.cxoadvisory.com/7922/sentiment-indicators/investment-managers-and-market-timing/
    CXO concludes as follows: “In summary, evidence from simple tests on NAAIM survey data does not support a belief that the money managers as a group successfully time the U.S. stock market over the short term.”.
    This rather tepid summary is consistent with the limited time scope of the simple study. But it adds yet another nail to the market timers coffin.
    I recognize that I provided a whirlwind reference tour, but please visit and enjoy these Links. I anticipate that your portfolios will benefit from the tour.
    Your comments are welcomed.
    Best Regards.
  • PIMCO's Gross prophesies death of equities in August outlook
    I don't think Gross is saying the end of equities, simply that expectations should not be what they once were, and even moreso for bonds. Additionally, that a large portion of the population has soured on what he calls the "cult of equities" and that that may continue. You have an older generation that does not want to take the same risks and a younger generation that is not going to take the baton fully - "“Boomers can’t take risk. Gen X and Y believe in Facebook but not its stock. Gen Z has no money." (from Gross's letter) Pensions expecting real returns of 7-8% minimum should think again, etc.
    As Gross has said recently, the letter ends expecting inflation as the end result.
    "The problem with all of that of course is that inflation doesn’t create real wealth and it doesn’t fairly distribute its pain and benefits to labor/government/or corporate interests. Unfair though it may be, an investor should continue to expect an attempted inflationary solution in almost all developed economies over the next few years and even decades. Financial repression, QEs of all sorts and sizes, and even negative nominal interest rates now experienced in Switzerland and five other Euroland countries may dominate the timescape. The cult of equity may be dying, but the cult of inflation may only have just begun."
    Additionally, at the core, a fair amount of what Gross is saying feels quite similar to what Rob Arnott is saying, although Arnott is more to the point.
    I'll also note separately that Coach is down nearly 20% on the day, and Starbucks got creamed the other day - there's been a few other noteworthy momentum plays going in reverse and whatever one believes about the long-term status of equities, short-term caution would certainly appear to be warranted.