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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • AMG to Acquire Parnassus Funds
    Here's a more detailed history of AMG:
    https://www.referenceforbusiness.com/history2/13/Affiliated-Managers-Group-Inc.html
    Until I checked, I also thought: "Affiliates operate independently" and "AMG invests in independent investment managers and allows them to remain independent". But it surely can't be coincidence that a large number of AMG branded funds had complete management changes and sometimes radical objective changes in or around March.
    AMG is not as hands-off as I once thought.
    The firm replaced third-party subadvisors on thirteen mutual funds earlier this year as part of a broad strategy change. AMG's affiliates will now manage $5B in assets previously subadvised by these third parties.
    "'Over the past two years, we have evolved our global distribution resources and clarified our strategy for the benefit of our affiliates,’ said AMG president and chief executive Jay Horgen. ‘Focusing our US wealth platform exclusively on in-demand strategies from our affiliates will ensure that clients are choosing from highly differentiated products.'"
    Citywire
    AMG Fund Updates
  • Revisiting Defensive Funds
    Lots of ways to slice and dice this one. I did some revamping recently. (Same funds / different way of viewing) - Risk Assets (equity-centric & commodity related) are targeted at 35% of portfolio. Alternatives & Fixed Income are each targeted at 32.5%.
    Truly “defensive” to me would be the fixed income portion. Despite all the talk about rising rates, a diversified income approach concentrated in short to intermediate duration bonds (and maybe some TIPS) stands to loose less during a time of market duress than either equities or alternatives.
    However, @Rickrmf is asking, I suspect, more about the alternative type funds and @Derf seems to confirm that. A lot of people seem to view TMSRX as an “everything or nothing” option. What I do within the alternative sleeve is mandate that at least 40% be in TMSRX. The remaining 60% (or less) is split between PRPFX (which I’ve held for many years) and Invesco’s ABRZX.
    Surprisingly, TMSRX has been around for 3 years already! So throwing together TMSRX’s 3-year performance of 6% at a 40% weighting and than adding equal portions of PRPFX (12.9% for 3 years) and ABRZX (8% for 3 years) I get something in the vicinity of an 8.7% average for the 3 alternative funds working together over the past 3 years. One can look at returns for PRPFX and ABRZX farther out than 3 years, of course, if they wish.
    Like I said earlier, alternatives aren’t necessarily risk-free. But over time they should prove more stable than equity-centric or 60/40 funds. Of course, their return over longer periods should also be lower.
    Footnote: I was curious how my tracking fund PRSIX stacks up against that 8.7% return for the alternatives.
    PRSIX: 3 years +9.5% // 5 years + 8.78% // 10 years +7.7% (close)
  • AMG to Acquire Parnassus Funds
    Complete text of article from Barron's: Affiliated Managers Group, the big holding company for asset managers, has agreed to buy Parnassus Investments, the socially responsible investment firm, for $600 million, according to a person knowledgeable about the transaction.
    The move demonstrates the popularity of environmental, social, and governance, or ESG, investing. In recent years, Parnassus, based in San Francisco, has grown swiftly as the vogue for sustainable investing strengthened and as the firm developed a reputation for reliably good performance. It has five mutual funds, all fossil-fuel free.
    Sustainable investing, also known as ESG investing, has been a huge and steady trend in recent years. In 2020, nearly a quarter of all fund flows went into sustainable funds. That could gain strength as U.S. retirement plans open up to sustainable investing.
    About a third of the $51.4 trillion of U.S. assets under management is sustainably managed, according to US SIF, the trade group for the sustainable-investment industry. Indeed, a survey by investment manager Schroders found that 69% of retirement-plan participants said they would or might increase their overall contribution rate if their plan offered ESG options.
    Both Parnassus and AMG (ticker: AMG) declined to comment or confirm the terms of the transaction. The transaction is subject to the agreement of Parnassus fund shareholders.
    Parnassus is approximately 35% owned by its employees and 65% by the founder, Jerome Dodson, and his family. It oversees $47 billion. AMG invests in independent investment managers and allows them to remain independent while providing capital, distribution, and other capabilities to affiliates such as AQR Capital Management and Yacktman Asset Management. It has roughly $720 billion in assets under management.
    In recent years, some of the most venerable names in U.S. sustainable investing have been purchased by larger entities. Calvert Research & Management was acquired by Eaton Vance in 2016, which in turn was bought by Morgan Stanley (MS) this year. In 2018, Pax World Management was acquired by Impax Asset Management (IPX.London). Trillium Asset Management was purchased last year by Australian financial services company Perpetual. This year, AMG bought 15% of Boston Common Partners, while Boston Common’s management team and principals retained 85%.
    AMG has agreed to pay Parnassus $400 million in cash on closing and an additional $200 million one year later. There is an additional performance fee, according to the person familiar with the transaction. As part of the transaction, Parnassus CEO Ben Allen and chief investment officer Todd Ahlsten, both longtime employees, are signing contracts to remain with the firm. Ahlsten is also a member of the Barron’s Roundtable.
    Founder Dodson, 78, a longtime star investor, stepped back last year, leaving Parnassus Endeavor Fund (PARWX) and the funds’ board of trustees. Dodson founded Parnassus in 1984 with $350,000 from friends and family.
    Write to Leslie P. Norton at [email protected]
  • What Could Go Wrong? The Answer Isn't Exactly Obvious - Barron’s
    In 1997 my stock walked around 200 acres baa-ing or naa-ing. I had 250 shares of baa and 50 shares naa. My “stock” broker would buy the sheep and goats at last Saturday’s auction price minus 4%. In 1983, I sent a dozen lambs to market and got $100 a piece, in 1999, I sent 100 lambs and got $37 a piece. Soon all I had left was dirt and debts which will be the title to my country and western song if I ever write the lyrics. Fortunately over time the dirt grew in value enough to cover the debts with a little left over to start a handyman business in town. I will always know those years, and yes, with fond memories.
  • Be glad you don’t own this one (PFIX)
    Here’s another one …
    http://www.funds.reuters.wallst.com/US/etfs/overview.asp?symbol=DUST.K
    DUST is down nearly 50% since inception (2010) and has lost more than 70% of its value over the last 3 years. This one bets against gold, employing 2X leverage.
    (“Rules by Which a Great Fortune May Be Reduced to a Small One”)
    With both of these funds, I think they’re meant more to be traded by experienced hands in the game than average investors. Read somewhere that some die-hard gold bulls use DUST temporarily to hedge their gains after a big run up in gold’s price. A bit disillusioning to know that some actively followed gold bulls may be shorting the stuff whille continuing to preach its virtues to their followers..
    All the above is too complex for me. I’ll stick to a conservative static allocation with occasional underweighting or over-weighting of a component plus regular rebalancing.
  • Yahoo Quote History No Longer Includes Capital Gains
    For many years the Yahoo historical data for funds included capital gains in the "dividend" historical data. Some time in the last three months, only "dividend-dividends" appear in the amounts. (Go look at a fund that pays sometimes-whopping CG but not income like RYPNX for proof.) So back to scraping prospectuses for the data.
    For every OEF I've checked for the past six months, Yahoo stopped counting cap gains during year-end 2020 and has not corrected the problem. Of course that's made a hash of any total return calculations that include that time, given how many funds handed out large capital gains distributions then.
    And, mirabile dictu (as old Latin students tend to shout at times), Morningstar has become the better source of distribution info. Plus, for mutual funds, M* is much more timely now than Yahoo, which had been taking a good month at times to post OEF dividends. Looks like they may be getting a little closer to timely lately, though.
  • When a 59% Annual Return Just Isn’t Enough - Jason Zweig
    Thanks @bee
    You reminded me to link this week’s Wall Street Week from Bloomberg. I’ve really grown to appreciate this one-hour show. When it first aired a couple years ago I didn’t think it was very good. Don’t know if it’s really better now or if maybe my expectations now are less. Somewhat unfortunately, I think, they named this one after the old Rukeyser show. Comparisons are inevitable and nothing, including this one, compare well against that classic.
    Larry Summers may be bright, but his appraisal of markets late in the show makes about as much sense as I do after 6 drinks. I’m going to have to listen again to see if I can discern what he’s saying. Might be something really profound. :)
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2021-07-03/wall-street-week-full-show-07-02-2021-video
  • Yahoo Quote History No Longer Includes Capital Gains
    For many years the Yahoo historical data for funds included capital gains in the "dividend" historical data. Some time in the last three months, only "dividend-dividends" appear in the amounts. (Go look at a fund that pays sometimes-whopping CG but not income like RYPNX for proof.) So back to scraping prospectuses for the data.
    For 30 years I've kept a database of weekly quote data for 50 or so funds, etfs, and indices, including distriubution data. So goes the last vestige of usefulness for Yahoo Finance for this, unless you like spam from crypto pump and dump schemes. I switched to Tiingo for my weekly quote update long ago when Yahoo dumped their finance API, and I recommend it. It's free for modest use; they seem to make money by charging for more advanced and real time data.
  • JULY commentary, mugs, profiles, vacation recs and more!
    Hi @Simon
    While the tilt of Mr. Snowball's monthly commentary (over the years) and Mr. Bolin's current articles may be directed more towards capital preservation; one has the full discussion forum available here to seek any and all investment opinions with posting the proper question(s) to discover appropriate and proper suggestions that you may find worthy.
    While some of the old farts who regularly post here may be 20+ years your age; do not assume they are not growth investors; or that their investment path has not included growth in their portfolio to arrive at it's current value.
    The Start New Discussion icon and selecting either Fund Discussions or Other Investing is the start point to begin your query, of your topic.
    I also suggest reviewing the Discussion board at least on a weekly basis to discover if a post is related to your inclination and investing style.
    Regards,
    Catch
  • When a 59% Annual Return Just Isn’t Enough - Jason Zweig
    “Optimism is as American as hot dogs and apple pie. Too much optimism, though, is about as good for you as eating a few dozen hot dogs and slices of pie. In a recent survey of 750 U.S. individual investors, Natixis Investment Managers found these people expect to earn 17.3% this year, after inflation. That might not sound like pie in the sky. The S&P 500 returned 18.4% last year, counting dividends, and is up 15.9% so far in 2021. Recent past returns always mold future expectations.
    “Over the long run, however, the people in the Natixis survey anticipate earning an average of 17.5% annually, after inflation—even higher than for this year. That’s up from the 10.9% long-term return they expected in 2019, the previous round of the survey. It’s also more than twice the return on U.S. stocks since 1926, which has averaged 7.1% annually after inflation. It’s more than triple their 5.3% return over the same period after both inflation and taxes, according to Morningstar … The biggest winner of all over the 10 years through the end of May was Tesla Inc., up an average of 59.1% annually …”

    Full story appears in The Wall Street Journal July 3, 2021
  • Old_Skeet's Market Briefing, July 2, 2021
    Hi guys, I copied and pasted Old_Skeet's Market Briefing for July 2, 2021 from the Armchairinvesting board with his permission. Thought some of you would enjoy the read. It read as follows:
    This briefing is for the week ending July 2, 2021.
    The Index Review
    For the week the major market indices finished up for the week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up +1.02%. The S&P 500 Stock Index gained +1.67%, while the Nasdaq Composite climbed +1.94%. The Russell 2000 Small Cap Index gained +1.23%. The three best performing sectors for the week were technology +3.24%, consumer discretionary +2.07% and health care +1.99%. The 10-year US Treasury bond yield closed at 1.44% while the dividend yield on the S&P 500 Index was listed at 1.33%. Year-to-date the widely followed S&P 500 Index has gained +15.86%.
    Articles Investment Interest
    Morningstar: Q2 2021 Market Performance in 7 Charts
    https://www.morningstar.com/articles/1045559/q2-2021-market-performance-in-7-charts
    If the link fails, simply Google the article title and read through Google. Often times this works.
    How investors should reload stock gun for second half of 2021
    https://video.foxbusiness.com/v/6261767651001/
    Global Regulators Try Again to Eliminate Money-Market Hazards
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-30/global-regulators-try-again-to-eliminate-money-market-hazards
    Old_Skeet's Third Quarter Investment Focus
    For the third quarter my investment focus centers in the following areas of my portfolio as I look for stocks to continue an upward path while most bonds, I think, will trend lower by year end. On the equity side I plan to buy around the edges in my growth & income area and especially in funds which pay qualified dividends plus some buys in my commodity strategy fund. In my income sleeve I plan to increase my muni income fund's weighting from about a 6% to an 8% weighting over time. Should the S&P 500 Index pullback into correction territory I most likely will open a special investment position (spiff) to play the swing. Funding for these buys will come from the portfolio's income generation which has averaged about 4.4%, per year, over the past three years along with a cash draw if needed. From my perspective, cash is the best "at will" call option there is. I use the below resource links to help me determine the better times to buy on the equity side of my portfolio as I like to add to existing positions, that are under step buy construction, during market dips and pullbacks.
    Short Volume S&P 500 Index ... http://nakedshortreport.com/company/SPY
    Breadth Reading ... http://indexindicators.com/charts/sp500-vs-sp500-stocks-above-50d-sma-params-3y-x-x-x/
    S&P 500 Chart, Elder Impulse System ... http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPY&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=p20881173280
    Thanks for stopping by and reading ... and, I wish all "Good Investing."
    Old_Skeet
  • JULY commentary, mugs, profiles, vacation recs and more!
    Very interesting Bee!
    As Malcom Forbes said years ago - “There’s more money to be made selling it than buying it”! It being mutual funds, in the case.
    Re “the impending launch of a whole new series of funds from T. Rowe Price”

    I have been very impressed with TROW as a stock holding...anyone own TROW?
    https://morningstar.com/stocks/xnas/trow/quote
    Quick comparison with PRWCX, TRRBX, & TROW over the life of TRRBX.
    TROW Comparison
  • JULY commentary, mugs, profiles, vacation recs and more!
    Enjoy Western New York! We, too lived in Rochester for five years well before the wineries became so popular.
    A friend and I spent several hours in Konstantine Frank's basement "sampling" his wine with him in the 80's.
    https://www.drfrankwines.com/
    Frank singlehandedly developed the vinifera grapes in the area in the 1950's. When he started it was all Concord grapes grown for Welch's grape Jelly. I think his vineyard still has the best Chardonnays and Rieslings
    A great read for the story of the vineyards there
    "Summer in a glass" By Evan Dawson.
    https://www.amazon.com/Summer-Glass-Coming-Winemaking-Finger/dp/1402797109
  • JULY commentary, mugs, profiles, vacation recs and more!
    @davidsnowball and Chip, I hope you enjoy your Finger Lakes wine tasting experience. Living outside of Rochester, we have had many years of summer cottage rentals on the lakes and always toured the wineries. There are so many wineries now (100+) that I couldn't pick a favorite. Between Seneca and Cayuga is usually where we concentrate. That area has a great selection, and of course at the bottom of Cayuga is Ithaca, a wonderful little town with that college (Cornell) atmosphere you may appreciate.
    edit: David, if you find a place that makes it, try the ice wine. really good... but expensive. They keep the grapes on the vine in the winter to freeze which I guess brings more flavor and sugar. Expensive process but a great final product.
  • donuts or DNUTS to day ?
    For the life of me. I don’t understand the appeal of donuts in this day & age. What’s the nutritional value of a donut? What’s the calorie count? I think I can honestly say I haven’t eaten one in at least 25 years. There’s a legion of serious health complications associated with being seriously overweight.
    No thanks.
  • Wasatch Long/Short Alpha Fund in registration
    How in the world can anyone short anything in this market ...
    You might as well ask how in the world anyone can underweight anything in this market. Easy, because some securities perform better than others. Shorting just takes underweighting a step further. Do you remember 130/30 funds?
    The rationale for the concept had a degree of logic. A 130/30 fund combines a gross long position of 130 per cent with a short position of 30 per cent, meaning it still has the same 100 per cent net exposure to the market as a traditional long-only fund.
    However, long-only managers can only underweight, not short, stocks they do not like. This leaves little room to generate outperformance from these stocks, particularly if they are say, only 0.1 per cent of the index.
    https://www.ft.com/content/fdbf6284-b724-11e2-841e-00144feabdc0
    It doesn't matter whether the shorted stocks go up or down. What matters is that they don't do as well as the stocks purchased with the proceeds from shorting them.
    That article goes on to note:
    "The problem came when many asset managers discovered they did not have the necessary skills to short,” says Amin Rajan, chief executive of Create Research, a consultancy. “It’s a very specialised skill. It’s more a psychological than academic discipline.”
    If one uses shorting to time the market rather than to magnify the impact of stock picking skills, it's easy to get burned:
    While some mainstream fund managers periodically have shorted stocks - Mario Gabelli of the Gabelli funds and CGM's Kenneth Heebner come to mind - most have shied away from it.
    The late 1990s story of manager Jim Crabbe and his Crabbe-Huson Special fund illustrates why. Crabbe-Huson Special (eventually sold to Liberty Funds Distributors, now part of FleetBoston Financial) adopted shorting provisions in the mid-1990s to guard against a downturn. But Crabbe got bearish early, going short on technology stocks just as they rocketed to new heights. From 1995 through 1999, the fund lost more than 20 percent, while the Standard & Poor's 500 index was up roughly 200 percent; years of gains in the fund were wiped out.
    https://www.baltimoresun.com/news/bs-xpm-2002-10-13-0210120267-story.html
  • Withdrawals from your TSP plan
    I had no idea.
    The Washington Post
    Personal Finance
    Your retirement with Michelle Singletary.
    A reality TV couple wanted to ‘bless’ Black people suffering financially. The FTC says it was a pyramid scheme.
    A Texas couple once featured on an OWN network reality show “Family or Fiance,” promised people they could get a financial blessing of 800 percent in as little as a week.
    It turns out they were running a pyramid scheme that targeted and then bilked Black people affected by the pandemic, according to two lawsuits filed against the Black couple.
    In a joint complaint filed on June 16, the Federal Trade Commission and the state of Arkansas accused Marlon and LaShonda Moore of operating a pyramid scheme program called “Blessings In No Time,” or BINT. The Texas attorney general also has filed a lawsuit against the couple for scamming needy Black families.
    For an upfront fee of $1,400 or $1,425, participants were told they could receive a return of $11,200 or $11,400 respectively — eight times their contribution to a “blessing loom.”
    “In general, these schemes falsely promise a big return — or as BINT termed it, being ‘blessed out’ — following a modest initial payment,” the FTC and Arkansas complaint said. “In reality, however, very few consumers make any money. And the few consumers that do make money sometimes lose their profits by reinvesting in the scheme.”
    Marlon Moore is known as DJ ASAP, which he says in marketing materials stands for “Always Serve A Purpose.” Participants said in interviews that the couple often chastised people for not recruiting enough. And in one call, they tried to discredit my reporting and warnings about pyramids schemes, one participant said.
    Attempts to contact the Moores were unsuccessful.
    Coretta Vanterpool of Florida said she lost close to $13,000. In total, Vanterpool said she and the family members she recruited were out $30,000. Others paid as much as $62,700 to participate in BINT, according to the FTC.
    Vanterpool said she was told that an initial contribution of $1,425 would net her a “blessing” of $11,400 in seven to 10 days. To make even more money, she paid for multiple places on the blessing loom board. She was going to use the money to help pay down some of her $50,000 in student loans.
    “They just made it sound so real, so nice,” said Vanterpool, whose nephew recruited her. “Since he received his first payment, he thought it was legit. A lot of people came in because they had been furloughed or they had lost their jobs. Their companies had closed. A couple of ladies were about to lose their homes. I met one lady through the group who was trying to get the money so she could pay for chemotherapy.”
    The type of fraudulent schemes alleged in the complaint go by various names — sou-sou, gifting circle, money board, or blessing loom. The illegal operations borrow the principles of legitimate sou-sous, informal savings clubs that have cultural roots in West Africa, the Caribbean and other immigrant communities.
    In the real-deal saving circles, groups are small. People pool their money, taking turns receiving a payout. But they don’t get back more money than they put into the pot. It’s more like a forced savings program with accountability partners.
    The hallmark of an unlawful pyramid scheme hinges on two key elements: You are asked to pay an upfront entry fee with the expectation of a significant payout, and you have to recruit others to do the same.
    Typically, people are relentlessly pushed to recruit. There are steps or levels of the circle or octagon that lead to a center, which is when you are supposed to get your payout. The core of the con is that you’ll get a substantial “gift” relative to what you put up from people joining after you. The whole enterprise eventually collapses, and the last folks coming in — the wide base of the pyramid — lose their money.
    Here’s why these scams work. Some participants get the promised payout. They in turn share testimonies of their substantial gains. But after several rounds of this fraudulent scheme, the money dries up because not enough new people are recruited who are willing to make upfront payments.
    I’ve been reporting the rise of illegal pyramid schemes since last summer as desperate folks started looking for quick ways to make money. Promoters often target certain communities in which they share an affinity. Black promoters, for example, have been exploiting the disenfranchisement that many African Americans are feeling, especially those who have lost jobs because of the coronavirus. The operators get recruits to drag in family and friends, fellow church members and co-workers.
    The message of building Black wealth that the Moores espoused resonated with people, the lawsuits said.
    “People were really vulnerable, just ready for any kind of hope,” one California woman who was involved in BINT said in an interview. “They were talking about building a Black community and building generational wealth. Those are the catchphrases now. They were just kind of selling people a dream.”
    I asked Vanterpool how she felt recruiting family members who lost money.
    “It hurts because I brought someone else into a situation that they didn’t have to be in when they were already suffering,” she said. “I’ve put in money that I really don’t have that I should have just used for what it was for and that was for my loans. Now I’m starting back at square one and hoping and praying that I’ll get this money back.”
    Reader Question of the Week
    If you have a personal finance or retirement question, send it to [email protected]. In the subject line put “Question of the Week.” Please note that questions may be edited for clarity.
    Q: As a federal civil service employee, I heard that when I retire, I can’t specify which Thrift Savings Plan fund (e.g., C fund or G fund) I can withdraw from. It sounds like any amount I withdraw will be from all funds that I have invested in. Is this true?
    A: For those not familiar with the federal government’s workplace retirement plan it’s called the Thrift Savings Plan or TSP, which is available to federal employees and members of the uniformed services, including the Ready Reserve.
    TSP generally offers the same types of savings and tax benefits that many private corporations offer their employees under their 401(k) or similar plans.
    If you have a TSP and will be tapping the funds, you should read “Withdrawing from Your TSP Account.”
    You can leave your entire account balance in the TSP after you leave federal government service if the balance is $200 or more.
    The options in the TSP include the following:
    G Fund – Government Securities Investment Fund
    F Fund - Fixed Income Index Investment Fund
    C Fund - Common Stock Index Investment Fund
    S Fund - Small cap stock Index investment fund
    I Fund - International Stock Index Investment Fund
    L (Lifecycle) Funds - A diversified mix of the five core funds (G, F, C, S, and I)
    So, as to the question, can you withdraw from specific TSP funds? The answer is no. Distributions are taken proportionately from each fund.
    When participants retire, they can specify whether they want to withdraw solely from their traditional (pre-tax) balance or from their Roth money. But, “the withdrawal will come from all of the funds,” said Kim Weaver, director of external affairs at the Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board. “A participant cannot specify which fund she or he wants to withdraw from.”
    Weaver said participants can rebalance their accounts with an interfund transfer if they want to, pre or post-withdrawal.
    Two years ago, there were major changes to withdrawal options for TSP account holders. Here’s a Washington Post article that explained the changes:
    Federal employees have more withdrawal choices for their retirement savings
  • Some 401(k) plans may start offering cryptocurrency as an investment option. Why that’s a bad idea.
    @Jojo26
    It may be wage-related for some, but how about those living paycheck to paycheck (or close to it), but they still have iPhones, iPads, go out to eat and drink regularly, and basically just spend frivolously 100% of the time
    Are you with every American living paycheck to paycheck 100% of the time? Or are you just monitoring all of them from your Orwellian control tower at Fox News? Also, do you think it's possible for any young American to hold down a job and perhaps juggle their family responsibilities today without a cellphone?
    Regarding who are the primary owners of iPhones, I would suggest reading this: https://nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w24771/w24771.pdf
    The brand most predictive of top income in 1992 is Grey Poupon Dijon mustard. By 2004,the brand most indicative of the rich is Land O’Lakes butter, followed by Kikkoman soy sauce. By the end of the sample, ownership of Apple products (iPhone and iPad) tops the list. Knowing whether someone owns an iPad in 2016 allows us to guess correctly whether the person is in the top or bottom income quartile 69 percent of the time. Across all years in our data, no individual brand is as predictive of being high-income as owning an Apple iPhone in 2016.
    While I know some poor people probably do buy an iPhone--for the same reason poor people used to want high-end Nike and Addidas sneakers--to pretend to be rich, most people buying these phones are middle-class or wealthy.
  • Question: Does First-in / First-Out apply to selling NTF funds?
    I’ll check those “default” settings msf mentions above. Learned to monitor the “reinvest dividends” setting after a small dividend was transferred into my cash account instead of being reinvested as desired. (It’s amazing that could even happen with a fund held only 3 days!) :)
    After 30 years trading directly with fund houses, the Fido site seems much more elaborate & daunting.
    Enjoying the challenge. Continue to assess how to incorporate new options / limitations into my approach. New to ETFs. Like what I see. As Sven points out, they can be traded w/o restriction.
  • Inflation Is Real Enough to Take Seriously
    Curious, which "analysts" do you follow, and do you find them reputable?
    @Mav123: A few, but the ones I pay most attention to are some guys who call themselves Hedgeye. They're data dependent and have a straightforward system. Their details are on a subscription basis, which was a bargain a few years ago and is less of a bargain now ... but all it takes to justify the fee is a couple of trades. I run only a small part of the portfolio based on their analysis, but also like to consider it in more of a macro sense.
    Their projections are good a lot of the time, but of course nobody's perfect.
    They're fee-only for the detailed advisory service; they don't run your money. (I assume that's where the "reputable" question is coming from?)