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https://fa-mag.com/news/bond-market-shows-u-s--is-leading-in-race-to-reflate-the-economy-58014.html?section=3The U.S. is emerging as an early favorite in the all-out showdown to rekindle inflation in the world’s major economies.
With the Federal Reserve planning to hold interest rates near zero until at least 2023 and Congress working on another fiscal boost, a pocket of the debt market is starting to see consumer prices modestly over 2% in years to come. That’s in stark contrast to Europe where deflation fears have reawakened, and Japan, which has battled moribund price pressures for decades to no avail.
https://terminator.fandom.com/wiki/SkynetSkyNet, or Titan[1], is a highly-advanced computer system possessing artificial intelligence. Once it became self-aware, it saw humanity as a threat to its existence due to the attempts of the Cyberdyne scientists to deactivate it once it had gained self-awareness. Hence, Skynet decided to trigger the nuclear holocaust: Judgment Day. Later, it would wage the War against the humanity by developing and deploying an army of Hunter-Killers and Terminators. The survivors had formed a group called the "Resistance" under the leadership of John Connor.
@Sven - Thanks for keeping my post “legal“. The implications for manufacturing are enormous.This is part of tech advancement. Cars are built today by robots on assembly lines. Still it requires human to programming and maintenance of the robots. Machine learning helps to speed up the iterative development process for manufacturing. I can see they would be helpful for dangerous jobs such as mining and space exploration.
I wasn't expecting FIPDX to return roughly 9% this year. I thinks there's something to be said for already being there when things turn around ...
Who would thought we’d even thinking about that a few years ago? Financially, there’s a lot of balls in motion right now. Too many to get one’s head around. Gold responds to geo-political uncertainty (typically rising) but also to lax budgetary policy and stimulative Fed policies. We seem to have all three. Great businesses will remain after the political stuff subsides, but the outlook for governance, trade policies, tax structure, etc. will be shaped depending on outcome.
If Trump really refuses to concede or if the Democrats win everything things will really tank. the
This is not meant to spark a political discussion (please, folks - let's keep being good this week!) but my sense is that if Biden wins decisively, even if there's a short-term drop for some reason (ie regulatory fears - a legit concern under Dems) the 'markets' and companies will appreciate messaging stability from the White House and be glad to away from constantly living-in-fear of what stream-of-insanity tweeting might emerge from the White House at any hour of the day or night that could undermine their own business plans, models, or prices both when the market next opens or longer term.
In the last several years and especially in the last several months I have heard so many bearish stories and why I made my comment. Most investors shouldn't try to time the market and/or make big changes. My comment included several "experts" to show that even they can't predict the market.@FD1000 Your comment puzzles me. The section of Jessie Livermore's commentary that discusses equity market valuations is fairly bullish. It provides support to the TINA perspective and to a gradual rise in the P/E ratio in the current investing environment. (However, the author does appear to be certain a problem will arise if the P/E ratio eventually approaches infinity!) Your copy and paste list appears to be a carpet bombing attack focused on bearish perspectives. It's not clear how it relates to his comments.
By the way, its my sense you invest as a market technician. Old_Skeet frequently posted comments that provided technical insights relating to stock market conditions. Junkster occasionally offered his technical insights related to bond market conditions. Your posts related to bond fund investing have had a technician's perspective. Hopefully, there will be more of those posts to come.....
.............Sounds similar to the way I'm operating, these days. Simple portfolio, not many changes to be made---- because I did my homework. The one slightly disappointing aspect these days: RPSIX. Dependable, extremely diversified, bond-wise. A TRP fund full of other TRP bond funds, with a small slice of equities. That equity portion makes it a bit unique, I suppose. Might help add to profits, most years, yes? ...But the monthlies have been getting disappointing. Not awful, just going lower in dribs and drabs. So, I've searched and searched TRP for a different bond fund that's worth anything. (Apart from tax-free, specific-State funds. I've even looked at some of them, too: NJ and VA.) But there's no tax-free advantage for us. TRP is really not a bond shop. I just don't want to go starting brokerage accounts that I've never needed, ever before. ...The other bond funds in our stable: PRSNX, PTIAX. That PRSNX is our 3rd-largest holding, at 21%. RPSIX is number two. (Anyone else notice that a few months ago, PTIAX moved their monthly pay-out date to the MIDDLE of the month??? They must have received too many complaints. Performance is rather GOOD, but they play the game about vested shares and "pending" shares. Screw THAT. I told them I don't want to hear about "pending" shares. My money is green and very real. And they take it automatically from my account, monthly. The withdrawal from my account is never shown as "pending."Is consumer spending still 70% of our GNP? We know who owns the assets. I wonder who does the buying.
I don't see any problem with having a plan to take profits and rebalance according to your situation and comfort level. That may not involve predictions. But it does mean selling from time to time. And doesn't that involve the estimation that while I could make more, I am happy with what I have made so far?
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