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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Perils of Chasing Star Managers + Other Fund Stories from Barron's
    I agree with respect to the zillion share classes at AF. When we were investing there I just stayed with the "A" class. Fortunately after a few years we were able to invest there with diminishing loads, and finally without load. Load funds were not uncommon in those days, but I never did think that charging 5% or so to buy into a fund was really justified.
    We knew nothing about funds then, but fortunately we had a very good AF advisor who helped us understand the ins and outs, and what the whole thing was all about. Part of that 5% paid his salary, and I have to concede that he was a big factor in our present financial well-being in retirement.
  • Perils of Chasing Star Managers + Other Fund Stories from Barron's
    I'm not a big fan of American with so many funds and create confusion. The funds that are available at Fidelity have ER of 0.64% to 0.96% which isn't cheap. Their stock funds are better than bond funds. They use many financial advisers which I'm not fond of.
  • California Is Going to Drop a Liquidity Bomb on The Stock Market
    So an unknown number of Californian tax filers are going to have a big tax bill coming due on Oct. 16, 2023, as they have to file their 2022 returns plus put together what would have been all of their quarterly estimated payments that they have not had to make thus far during 2023. That is going to be one giant windfall in October 2023 for the Treasury Department.
    But here is why this event matters to the rest of us. Those California late payers are going to have to raise the money to make sure that their big October 2023 checks to the IRS clear. That is going to mean selling some stock, cashing out of money market funds, shifting money from savings to checking, and otherwise generally sending waves through the banking system to get their money organized so that they can cover those deferred payments. Writing a check to the IRS means that a bank then has to cover that check, and move money all around the system as the IRS cashes those checks.
    The entire financial system has grown accustomed to that type of turbulence taking place in April every year. But this anomalous Oct. 16 for rich taxpayers in the most populous state is a non-standard type of ripple in the liquidity stream.
    There is no way to quantify how much of an effect this will have, as we cannot see into the hearts and the bank accounts of all of those delayed filers in California. But it is going to have some meaningful effect that is an irregular feature of the normal calendar for banking and liquidity. By late October, all of the dust should have settled, and all of that moving around of money to cover tax payments will have simmered down, so stocks can get back to their normal seasonal strength starting by late October.
    Background to this upcoming event (October):
    california_is_going_to_drop
  • Anybody use any hedging or shorting?
    Point taken @FD1000. You have said that your timing method isn't for everyone. That is true. And you have said that most should be diversified. But that begs the question, why do you keep posting about your system and trumpeting the great results you have achieved if the majority will lose money with timing. Are you trying to sway them to try when most will lose. Or, are you self-promoting? I have no doubt it works for a small minority. But the majority will never get it right.
    Some of your advice is cookie-cutter good. Some, I'm not so sure.
    MikeM, please reread my post, I didn't mention or promoted my system.
    This site is about all kind of investors. From cookie cutter to advance. From very conservative to all stocks with different goals.
    What you or I think is good, others don't agree so much.
    2 Easy examples:
    1) If you ask Buffet what stocks you should hold, he will say you just the SP500. Ask 100 financial advisers and none will tell you it's correct. Ask posters on this site and none will say, only the SP500.
    2) Tell 100 financial advisers that you hold over 40% of your equities in Apple and they will tell you, it's unacceptable. This is what Buffet holds.
  • quick reminder: please don't be a troll
    Re @David_Snowball ‘s “Please don’t be a troll “ - I am aware from time to time of a few posters supplying links to other discussion boards. Aside from thinking that a bit “cheap” or trite and non-productive from the standpoint of this board’s well being, I have never, and don’t intend to, visit or participate on any other investment discussion boards.
    I’ve gone a step further since this thread went up and decided to no longer name the two subscription-based financial websites sites I visit for market analysis & information. Neither is a discussion board in the normal sense. One does allow readers to email questions to the host who usually responds on his board. Out of an abundance of caution I will no longer refer to either by name.
    Folks have expanded, I think, the original intent of this thread to address a current ongoing issue involving personalities. I get it. There used to be (probably still is) a mission statement from David in which the bottom line states that members shall interact among one another “with good cheer.” ISTM adherence to that goal would do a lot to sooth ruffled feathers among members. I will add here, I think MFO is big enough to tolerate a few braggarts. I don’t think it should ever tolerate meanness.
  • quick reminder: please don't be a troll
    So we've come to this: let's allow a couple of self-important brats to shut down entire threads by tolerating their ill-tempered juvenile behavior, which they have imported to MFO from other financial sites that banned them.
    How about dealing with the source of the problem instead of allowing them to determine what the rest of us are confronted with?
  • Reorganization at Grandeur Peak Global Advisors (similar to Rondure post)
    update:
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/915802/000139834423013179/fp0084407-1_497.htm
    497 1 fp0084407-3_497.htm
    FINANCIAL INVESTORS TRUST
    Grandeur Peak Emerging Markets Opportunities Fund
    Grandeur Peak Global Contrarian Fund
    Grandeur Peak Global Explorer Fund
    Grandeur Peak Global Micro Cap Fund
    Grandeur Peak Global Opportunities Fund
    Grandeur Peak Global Reach Fund
    Grandeur Peak Global Stalwarts Fund
    Grandeur Peak International Opportunities Fund
    Grandeur Peak International Stalwarts Fund
    Grandeur Peak US Stalwarts Fund
    (each, a “Fund”)
    Supplement dated July 17, 2023
    To the Summary Prospectus, Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information,
    each dated August 31, 2022, as supplemented
    The Funds’ Reorganization date, as previously announced in the Supplement dated June 16, 2023 to the Funds’ Summary Prospectus, Prospectus and SAI, has been extended to on or about October 6, 2023.
    For additional information regarding the Funds’ Reorganization, see the Supplement dated June 16, 2023 to the Funds’ Summary Prospectus, Prospectus and SAI.
    *********
    Please retain this supplement with your Summary Prospectus, Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information.
  • Reorganization at Rondure Global Advisors
    update:
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/915802/000139834423013179/fp0084407-1_497.htm
    497 1 fp0084407-1_497.htm
    FINANCIAL INVESTORS TRUST
    Rondure New World Fund
    Rondure Overseas Fund
    (each, a “Fund”)
    Supplement dated July 17, 2023
    To the Summary Prospectus, Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information,
    each dated August 31, 2022, as supplemented
    The Funds’ Reorganization date, as previously announced in the Supplement dated June 16, 2023 to the Funds’ Summary Prospectus, Prospectus and SAI, has been extended to on or about October 6, 2023.
    For additional information regarding the Funds’ Reorganization, see the Supplement dated June 16, 2023 to the Funds’ Summary Prospectus, Prospectus and SAI.
    *********
    Please retain this supplement with your Summary Prospectus, Prospectus and Statement of
    Additional Information.
  • Anybody use any hedging or shorting?
    Yes, @Mark. You’ve identified the problem. (But neglected to mention the high expenses). I haven’t seen any reputable financial advisors recommend it for individuals. One noted professional / experienced short seller I follow on his subscription site advises against individuals playing the game. And AFAIK he is not doing much shorting now. Prefers to “jump on the back” of things that are already falling.
    I’ve never considered the folks at TRP idiots. Some here have held stakes in TMSRX in the past (including myself). The numbers on FT show very heavy % in shorts. So heavy I don’t trust them. I’ll attempt to link their page, but doubt it will pull up without a subscription.
    https://markets.ft.com/data/funds/tearsheet/summary?s=TMSRX
    BTW - What @Mark said about small amounts not being enough to make a significant impact on overall performance is true. One reason I don’t mess any more with small spec stock positions. A lot of extra headache with little to show for the effort.
  • Need a solid, good, consistent, un-flashy AA fund. (Closed thread.)
    @msf- Thanks- like hank, I was thinking along the lines of bond funds. Odd that we couldn't find the info in the usual "financial terminology" sites.
  • Grandson in a quandry
    Gosh, this is a stodgy old board!
    The grandson is young and time is on his side. If those stocks drop, he can wait on them to bounce back.
    The real strength of his financial position is a steady monthly income, sufficient to cover his expenses and loan payments. My advice would be to add to his portfolio by using dollar cost averaging -- select a dividend-paying stock or fund or ETF which is more value oriented than AAPL and META and initiate a purchase plan on automatic pilot with dividend reinvestment.
    Watching something grow is a wonderful incentive to be interested in investing. That's how he'll gradually build knowledge or markets and investments.
    I'd bet that if he divests now, it will be a long time before he makes the decision to step back into the market.
    David
  • Grandson in a quandry
    The other question, which is more personal and Bobpa does not have to answer is does he need an emergency fund? While I worked hard to wean my kids off my checkbook, and they happily followed thru when they had jobs, in a true financial emergency involving several thousands of dollars, we would gladly help.
    It is important at young ages to adapt responsible budgeting, a savings plan and to be able to swing emergency car repairs for example, but a new roof might be beyond that funds capacity.
    I would agree with paying off student loan.
    Having received similar equity inheritances, I would also suggest keeping a little bit of at least one position as a sentimental reminder of someone else’s largesse.
    I have a few shares of Exxon that “were” originally my grandfathers in 1920s. They are only electrons but they are still a reminder of his life and career.
    Great idea about keeping the reminders. I have my Grandfather's tax forms from the beginning of the income tax. Much heavier than electrons, but interesting to contemplate from time to time.
    He could keep a 1000 bucks each, pay off the student loan, and still have some left over for the emergency fund/IRA/HSA account.
  • Grandson in a quandry
    The other question, which is more personal and Bobpa does not have to answer is does he need an emergency fund? While I worked hard to wean my kids off my checkbook, and they happily followed thru when they had jobs, in a true financial emergency involving several thousands of dollars, we would gladly help.
    It is important at young ages to adapt responsible budgeting, a savings plan and to be able to swing emergency car repairs for example, but a new roof might be beyond that funds capacity.
    I would agree with paying off student loan.
    Having received similar equity inheritances, I would also suggest keeping a little bit of at least one position as a sentimental reminder of someone else’s largesse.
    I have a few shares of Exxon that “were” originally my grandfathers in 1920s. They are only electrons but they are still a reminder of his life and career.
  • Bank of America to pay $250 million for illegal fees, fake accounts

    The following is a current NPR report:
    Bank of America, the nation's second largest bank, has been ordered to pay more than $100 million to customers for double charging insufficient fund fees, withholding reward bonuses and opening accounts without customers' knowledge or permission. The bank is also on the hook for an additional $150 million in penalties for the same violations.
    The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau announced Tuesday that an investigation found that Bank of America harmed hundreds of thousands of customers across multiple product lines over a period of several years through a series of illegal practices. As a result, Bank of America was ordered to pay over $100 million to customers and another $90 million in penalties. A separate $60 million fine has been ordered by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency for violating laws around overdraft fees.
    CFPB Director Rohit Chopra said in a news release that Bank of America's double-dipping on fees, opening accounts without customer consent and withholding rewards "are illegal and undermine customer trust," practices he said the CFPB will put an end to across the banking system.
    Bank of America's "double-dipping scheme"
    According to the CFPB, Bank of America utilized a "double-dipping scheme" to "harvest junk fees" from customers. It did so by charging people $35 whenever they didn't have enough funds available, but repeatedly charged customers for the same transaction, which the CFPB said generated "substantial additional revenue".
    Chopra told NPR Business Correspondent David Gura, "Building a business model by double dipping on fees is simply not legal, and that's why we've sanctioned Bank of America and ordered them to pay back the customers they cheated."
    The OCC said it found that the bank charged "tens of millions of dollars" in fees in resubmitted transactions, in violation of Section 5 of the Federal Trade Commission Act, which prevents financial institutions from using unfair or deceptive acts and practices.
    "Overdraft programs should help, not harm, consumers," Acting Comptroller of the Currency Michael J. Hsu said in a news release. "Today's action demonstrates the OCC's commitment to protecting consumers and promoting fairness and trust in banking. We expect banks to conduct their activities in compliance with all applicable laws and standards, and when they don't, we will act accordingly."
    Bank of America Senior Vice President of Media Relations Naomi R. Patton told NPR that the bank voluntarily reduced overdraft fees and eliminated "all non-sufficient fund fees" in the first half of 2022. She said the changes have resulted in a drop in revenue from these fees of over 90%. The bank also dropped the overdraft fee from $35 to $10 in May 2022.
    Withholding credit card cash and point rewards
    The CFPB said Bank of America targeted potential-customers by offering special cash and point rewards if they signed up for a credit card, a common signing bonus used by competing credit card companies. However, according to the CFPB, Bank of America illegally withheld those bonuses from tens of thousands of customers.
    Chopra said Bank of America has been ordered to follow through on those promises.
    "We know in the U.S. many people are really closely scrutinizing which credit card they sign up for based on rewards, whether it's cash, bonuses at enrollment, or airline points, or other proprietary point systems," Chopra said. "The fact that Bank of America advertised these signup bonuses and then did a bait and switch completely undermines the the fair market and consumer choice."
    Bank of America employees opened accounts without consumers' knowledge
    As far back as at least 2012, Bank of America employees illegally applied for and enrolled consumers for credit cards without their knowledge or permission to reach sales-based incentive goals and evaluation criteria, according to the CFPB. Employees illegally signed up customers by using or obtaining consumers' credit reports and completed applications without their permission, which resulted in unjust fees and negative impacts to customers' credit scores.
    "That's essentially taking over someone's identity and exploiting it financially, and it's totally improper," Chopra told NPR. "It's totally inexcusable. So, whether it is happening to just a handful to thousands or to millions, we find this extremely serious."
    Bank of America is a repeat offender
    This isn't the first time the bank has been penalized for conducting illegal practices. Bank of America shelled out $727 million to the CFPB in 2014 for illegally deceiving roughly 1.4 million customers through deceptive marketing products. The bank was also ordered to pay a $20 million civil money penalty for charging 1.9 million consumers for a credit monitoring and credit reporting services they never received, according to the CFPB.
    The bank was also slapped with two other penalties in 2022 totaling $235 million: a $10 million civil penalty for unlawfully processing out-of-state garnishments--removing customer funds for debts--against customer bank accounts; a $225 million fine for automatically and unlawfully freezing customer accounts with a fraud detection program during the COVID-19 pandemic.
    "Bank of America is a repeat offender. Being a household name that has been punished before didn't stop it from allegedly cheating customers out of tens of millions of dollars in fees and credit card rewards and opening up accounts without their authorization," U.S. Public Interest Research Groups Consumer Campaign Director Mike Litt said in a statement Tuesday. "The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's strong enforcement action shows why it makes a difference to have a federal agency monitoring the financial marketplace day in and day out."
    Comment: B of A must be trying to catch up with Wells Fargo in the "screw the customer" department.
  • CD Renewals
    @MikeM- Hi there Mike- For a U.S. bank the main difference would be FDIC coverage for a CD vs the lack of coverage for a bond. I'm uncertain as to insurance for Canadian bank deposits, but it would likely be the same for a Canadian bank bond.
    Given that the financial situation in banking can sometimes be very volatile (look at what just happened to First Republic here in the U.S.), personally I wouldn't be interested in bank bonds, especially with the world now facing an uncertain financial situation because of Central Banks trying to dial down inflation.
  • Wall Street Soothsayers Bewildered
    (This Article First Appeared in Bloomberg)
    “UP AND down Wall Street, forecasters were caught flat-footed by how the first half of 2023 unfolded in financial markets. That seems to have rattled their faith in what the winning playbook for the rest of it should be. Heading into the year, a handful of predictions dominated strategists’ annual outlooks. A global recession was imminent. Bonds would trounce stocks as equities re-tested bear-market lows. Central banks would soon be able to stop the aggressive rate hikes that made 2022 such a year of market misery. As growth stumbled, there’d be more pain for risky assets.
    “However, that bearish outlook was shattered as stocks rallied even as the Federal Reserve continued to ratchet up interest rates in the face of stubbornly elevated inflation. And what was supposed to be the year of the bond fizzled: US Treasuries have nearly wiped out their tiny gain for the year as yields test new highs and the economy remains surprisingly resilient in the face of the Fed’s monetary policy onslaught. As a result, financial soothsayers have rarely disagreed more about where markets are headed next.
    “There’s a 50 per cent difference between the most bullish one from Fundstrat (which sees it rising nearly 10 per cent more to 4,825), and the most bearish call from Piper Sandler (down some 27 per cent to 3,225), according to those compiled by Bloomberg. The mid-year gulf hasn’t been that wide in two decades. “

    https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/wealth/wall-street-soothsayers-have-rarely-been-so-bewildered-about-whats-next
  • Larry Summers and the Crisis of Economic Orthodoxy
    Quote from the article linked by @LewisBraham:
    "Unless Congress can find a way to agree on an extension of the expanded child tax credit — and cost is a big concern for many of its critics — the policy now reverts back to its previous iteration.
    This also means much of the progress achieved with the monthly benefit, including dramatic reductions in child poverty and food insufficiency, could be just as short-lived as the policy itself."
    Well we can't have that now can we. I mean what if we need those funds to bail out more banks and financial institutions, or cut corporate taxes, or help millionaires and beyond not pay their fair share of taxes. Those kids, our kids in the land of America should just go out and get a damn job if they want to eat or not live in poverty.
  • "the dash for trash"
    James Mackintosh today warns of investors' "dash for trash."
    ...the riskiest part of the bond market has performed the best. The CCC-rated borrowers closest to default have returned 10% this year. The worst-performing are safe investment grade borrowers ... Just as junk-bond investors like the trashiest investments, big stocks with the weakest balance sheets ... are beating those with stronger balance sheets ...
    Why? No recession which kept the marginal firms afloat and forced continuing high interest rates which plagued investment-grade borrowers. Even without a recession, refi is going to knife many of those companies which will ripple out. Mr. Mackintosh identifies three tiers of likely victims, starting with "the obvious disasters: super-speculative also-rans that financed themselves in the final stages of the post pandemic boom, mostly using SPACs, plus some debt-financed zombies that should have gone bust but were saved by zero interest rates."
    A companion article, by Jon Sindreu, walks through the size and timing of the debt threat. Two special notes. First, ratings firms have not kept up with re-rating issuers in light of interest rate changes (some "marginal" firms might, in light of higher rates, below in the "dumpster fire" box). Second, the poop will hit the propeller in 2025 with the peak of the refinancing wave. ("Higher-for-Longer Rates are Debt Threat")
    Debt investing makes my head spin but these struck me as useful yellow- or red-flags for prudent long-term investors.
    On a marginally related note, Mr. Sherman's CrossingBridge Pre-Merger SPAC ETF (SPC) is a top 25% performer YTD in Morningstar's calculation, which considers it a financial sector equity fund with a return of 3.55%. Last year it was a top 1% performer when Morningstar called it as small-growth fund, with a 2% gain against its average competitor's 14% loss.
  • CD Renewals
    OldJoe:"Absolutely. Lots of stuff to choose from- whatever works best for you. At 84, with wife not into financial stuff, I'm keeping it simple. Just trying to maintain a little income to offset inflation (at least partially). About half in CDs/Treasuries, half in MMKT. Income (from SS & pensions) exceeds expenses. Works for us."
    The importance of maintaining a "simple" portfolio for my wife, (both of us are older and retired), is a factor that may not be important for other investors. My wife understands CDs, even brokerage CDs, and MMs, but not much else. I consult with her in detail about CDs maturing, renewal options, rate of return, etc. and she offers her input before the purchase. She does not understand bond oefs, so I quit attempting to talk to her about those investments in the past. At the age of my wife and me, I don't have the luxury of time, to overcome significant portfolio losses, so we are both embracing the relative simplicity of CD investing. If CD rates start falling anytime soon, the ability to do that may not be as feasible.