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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Norway's Sovereign Wealth Fund puts TD on watch. News item, pay-wall WSJ
    https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/norway-oil-fund-puts-td-bank-under-observation-4cd41a12
    Key Points
    Norway’s sovereign wealth fund is observing Toronto-Dominion Bank for 4 years.
    TD may be linked to multiple cases of financial crime in the past 10-15 years.
    TD settled with U.S. authorities last year, pleading guilty to anti-money-laundering failings.
  • Kopernik Global All-Cap Fund will close to new investors
    The recent chart on KGGAX looks impressive, probably due to the fund’s 29% allocation to metals. However, BISAX has clocked it in the international SMID value category over just about any period. The manager, David Iben, has been in the business for 44 years!
  • “No Worries: How to live a stress free financial life” - by Jared Dillian
    @Hank - Thanks for your Audible list. I have a subscription to as well, with a number of *banked* audible books. Were there any where the narrator added or subtracted from the content in a significant way?
    I’m happy if the list leads even one individual to an interesting read. I’ve been with Audible 5 years or longer. So it’s hard to recall what even half on the list were about or how good. Strictly very late night listening (11:00 PM - 2:00 AM). Last year i got hung up on Meb Faber’s podcasts (like 50 episodes going back 5 years) which are available (free) with the Audible subscription - so didn’t listen to many books.
    Very well narrated (adds to enjoyment)
    *** John Mack - “Up Close …”
    *** Warren Buffett (“The Snowball”)
    *** Longo (“The Art of Investing”)
    *** “The Fund” (about Dalio)
    *** Housel “The psychology …”
    *** Bob Pisani (does his own narration)
    Middling narration
    ** Templeton “Keys to to Investing Success” (with Sir John speaking in interviews)
    ** Dillian “How to live stress free …”
    ** Ben Graham
    ** Templeton’s Way …” - Nairn
    Poorly narrated / Hard to stay awake
    * Howard Marks (very redundant content & dry reading)
    * “Principles” (By Dalio)
    * “The Humble Investor” (complex material & dry reading)
    Of course, Audible allows a free preview of about 3 minutes before buying. So you can get an idea of the narration. I’ve had reasonable success returning ones I didn’t like for a credit. But there’s a cut off point.
  • The PCE(personal consumption expenditures) price index + Atlanta's Fed Q2 estimated GDP
    You want inflation info from the Wall Street Journal?? OK- here's this:
    The Canned-Food Aisle Is Getting Squeezed by Rising Steel Tariffs
    Key Points-
    • New Trump administration tariffs on imported steel may cause canned goods to become more expensive for consumers.
    • The Consumer Brands Association warns that 20,000 U.S. jobs in food could be at risk if the tariff on tin-plate drives consumers away from canned goods.
    Steel used in cans is mostly imported—and subject to the Trump administration’s new 50% levy. Edited excerpts from the Wall Street Journal report:
    Cans used for food require tin-coated, ultrathin sheet steel made from molten iron. Not much is produced in the U.S., where domestic producers have been scaling back production for years.
    The Trump administration’s new 50% duty on imported steel could increase store prices for items in steel cans by 9% to 15%, according to the Consumer Brands Association, a trade group. Tariffs are likely to drive up prices for domestic-made steel, too, as U.S. producers raise their own prices.
    Can manufacturers say they will continue to buy lots of imported tin-coated steel, known as tin-plate—because there isn’t enough of it made in the U.S. to supply them. “I would love nothing more than to allocate more purchases to the United States, but the overall production capacity is not there,” said Robert Gatz, general manager of Can Corp. of America, a Pennsylvania-based maker of food cans.
    Tin-plate is made with steel derived from molten iron, but most steel in the U.S. is now made from melted scrap, and that doesn’t measure up to the can industry’s exacting quality standards. Cans are prized for enabling long shelf lives for vegetables, fruit and other ready-to-eat foods, able to keep for years without spoiling. But can manufacturers worry that higher can costs will discourage their use.
    The Consumer Brands Association said as many as 20,000 U.S. jobs in food-can manufacturing could be at risk if the tariff on tin-plate causes consumers to shy away from higher-priced canned goods and food companies migrate to alternative packaging.
    Free link to the Wall Street Journal report-
    Comment: Yet another well-thought-through brute-force Trump dictum. But then, he doesn't do much grocery shopping himself, does he?
  • Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum.
    @Observant1, We were Flagship clients for over 30 years and used those privileges. We are not frequent traders and did not found them to be as useful as it sounded. There were a host of challenges we had, but I digress from this thread. Fidelity’s overall fee schedule, customer support, and planning tool fit our needs better. There are few transaction-fee funds we use, and the rest are either ETFs or OEFs. By the way, we received 1% bonus from transferring asset to Fidelity, but you need to ask first. With that I am okay to pay the $100 for D&C and Vanguard funds.
  • Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum.
    At Fidelity, selling transaction-funds is free. It is the buying OEF on Transaction-fee platform will cost $49.95. I believe it was @msf who I learned awhile back in Fund Alarm days where it cost $5 to add. Here is the steps:
    1. Select Transfer (upper left hand corner) ,
    2. Select Manage recurring transfer,
    3. Select create new activity (upper right hand corner),
    4. Select investment, and this open a dialogue box,
    5. Select fund symbol, account, $ amount you wish to buy, and the day of transaction. I usually pick a few days later once I set up the purchase. In the past, Fidelity likes the customers to make two purchases, but it is not necessary. You may cancel subsequent purchases without penalty.
    Not sure what Schwab does with their fee schedule. At Vanguard, they provide free trading on Transaction-fee funds depending on the total asset you hold with them. The free part goes for buying and selling of that fund. This is really good for long term investors. The downside that Vanguard has a smaller set of OEFs to choose from. We consolidated to simply our life and Vanguard’s human service has declined in recent years.
  • Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum.
    I was able to transfer “in kind” all my D&C money to Fido without paying a commission. But the ability to add / sell / rebalance would have been compromised. A frequent poster (who always replies) has explained before how Fidelity does allow some type of systematic / ongoing purchase of D&C funds for a small ($5-$10) ongoing fee. Not sure how often or how that is assessed. But it is supposedly one way around their normal commission. It also, I think, supposes you’ve done an in-find transfer or paid the initial charge.
    I spent a lot of time on the decision to buy OAKBX, looking at their holdings, considering the return on bonds today, and examining the fund’s 2022 & 2008 behavior. I might be wrong, but consider it currently somewhat less risky than PRWCX. Hard to compare it to DODBX because that fund has been significantly revamped over past 2-3 years.
  • Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum.
    @hank, I thought you are holding D&C Balance fund
    @Sven - For about 20 years beginning around 2000 I did have money directly at D&C and owned various funds there including DODBX. I got completely out a year or so after moving everything to Fidelity (around 2020-21). Fidelity makes it difficult to buy & sell D&C funds w/o commission.
    What you are probably remembering is I recently posted that one reason I never got seriously into PRWCX (owned a bit in a traditional IRA) was my investment in DODBX (inside a Roth) at the same time.
    Thanks for comment.
  • Rare-Earth Minerals
    History suggests that recycling efficiency is often over-stated. I support recycling, up to the point that it becomes inefficient. t this point, I assume most of my personal recycling is ending up in landfills. The energy & labor component to certain recycling efforts can be a limiting factor.
    In the end, having a huge nation with nearly unlimited labor and disregard for their environment may be very beneficial to us. In 50 years, China will be spending vast amounts on their own "Superfund" or living with the toxic results.
    I have not seen any data on rare Earth recycling limitations or costs.
  • Small-Cap Stocks
    I held OTCFX at TRP for decades. Until I realized that the long term gains that I had accrued were in danger of washing out. I began selling several years ago and am now down to zero. I exited while my annualized gains were still ~17%. It was a good run.
    Not sure I will ever wade back in. Can we even predict how tariffs will impact small caps?
  • Rare-Earth Minerals
    Trade talks between the U.S. and China are scheduled on Mon, 6/9 at an undisclosed London location.
    Rare-earth mineral exports will surely be one of the main discussion topics.
    China can leverage it's near-monopoly in rare-earth processing against our country.
    It's imperative that we eliminate our reliance on China for these elements which are vital for national security.
    It appears we are making progress in that regard.
    The following info is from a recent WSJ email I received.
    Q: America invented rare-earth magnets. Can it make them again?
    The first rare-earth magnets were discovered in the 1960s in a U.S. Air Force laboratory.
    The U.S. was one of the top producers into the 1990s.
    But over several decades, China took over.
    Now it has a stranglehold on a crucial component of much of the world’s modern technology.
    Reporter Jon Emont spoke to us about how the industry shifted and where it’s headed.
    A: It was only four decades ago that the U.S. was a global leader in churning out rare-earth magnets—
    needed in everything from car motors to F-35 fighter jets.
    But since then China has come to dominate the industry,
    thanks to its world-leading rare-earth mines and low-cost but sophisticated industrial base.
    Allowing this highly strategic industry to leave the U.S. and move to China now looks like
    one of the most confounding strategic errors of the 1990s and 2000s.

    But what can be built once can be built again.
    Since 2020 the U.S. government has poured hundreds of millions of dollars into grants to U.S. companies
    seeking to refine rare earths and turn them into magnets.
    Progress is being made. In the coming year or two, new U.S. magnet plants are expected to crank up,
    which should provide more independence from Chinese suppliers.
    But there are still gaps that need to be filled, including expanding non-Chinese production of a certain class
    of rare earths—known as “heavies”—which China is currently restricting and which are difficult to produce elsewhere. As the current industry panic over China’s export restrictions has shown,
    Beijing’s dominance of rare earths will likely give it real leverage over the U.S for years to come.
  • Small-Cap Stocks
    Our exposure is limited to mid-cap funds due to the large cap dominance in the last 10 years. This is unusual period where Mag 7 stocks provide a sizable earnings for S&P 500 index. Can this continues in the near future?
  • “No Worries: How to live a stress free financial life” - by Jared Dillian
    HI WABC
    I’m sorry you found this thread a waste of your time. I hope the moderators do not consider book reviews or discussions tantamount to advertisements, which are against board rules. Should this thread be determined to constitute an Ad, I’ll take it down.
    My Audible library contains a dozen or more other investing books I’ve purchased and listened to over several years - or am in the process of listening to. Some get repeated. I’ll listen to a book by Howard Marks, John Templeton or Ray Dalio at least once yearly. It’s a fascination with hearing and learning about as many different viewpoints as possible that keeps me motivated. Below is the complete list from my Audible library. I’m hopeful you’ll find one or a few worthy of your time & consideration. Perhaps you’ve read some yourself and would care to comment?
    Rating these authors for investment merrit:
    1. Ben Graham
    2. Howard Marks
    3. John Templeton
    A FEW NOTES:
    - ”The Snowball” by Alice Schroeder is a lengthy and engaging biography of Warren Buffett - timely one might say.
    - The one by Bob Pisanni is “light” on investment wisdom but does an excellent / colorful job depicting legendary investor Art Cashin, who recently passed away.
    - The book by Andrew Tobias (The Only Investment Guide …) is the first investment book I ever read. A simple yet comprehensive introduction to the investment process with plenty of cautionary notes for novices.
    - Copeland’s The Fund is a somewhat sensationalized look at Ray Dalio’s unorthodox management style and questionable relationships / morality very early in his career.
    THE LIST:
    Templeton's Way with Money
    By Alasdair Nairn and Jonathan
    Keys to Investment Success
    By John Templeton
    Fundamental Analysis, Value Investing, and Growth Investing
    By Roger Lowenstein and Janet Lowe
    The Millionaire Next Door
    By Thomas J. Stanley Ph.D. and William D. Danko Ph.D.
    The Intelligent Investor Rev Ed.
    By Benjamin Graham
    The Fund
    By Rob Copeland
    The Only Investment Guide You'll Ever Need
    By Andrew Tobias
    Gold, Hard Money, and Financial Gurus
    By Michael Ketcher and Gary L. Alexander
    What Works on Wall Street
    By James P. O'Shaughnessy
    No Worries
    By Jared Dillian
    The Humble Investor
    By Daniel Rasmussen
    The Most Important Thing
    Howard Marks
    Principles
    By Ray Dalio
    Crashes, Booms, Panics, and Government Regulations
    By Robert Sobel and Roger Lowenstein
    The Snowball
    Alice Schroeder
    The Psychology of Money
    By Morgan Housel
    Guide to Financial Markets (6th edition)
    By Marc Levinson
    Bargain Hunters, Contrarians, Cycles, and Waves
    By Janet Lowe and Ken Fisher
    The Art of Investing: Lessons from History's Greatest Traders
    By John M. Longo and The Great Courses
    Shut Up and Keep Talking
    By Bob Pisani
    Up Close and All In
    By John Mack
  • Bloomberg Wealth: Greenlight Capital’s David Einhorn
    "Greenlight Capital Founder and President David Einhorn discusses the challenges of value investing
    in the current market environment, his investment approach, and the performance of his fund over the years.
    Einhorn expresses concern about the US government's fiscal and monetary policies,
    which he believes are fundamentally inflationary.
    He speaks with David Rubenstein on this week's episode of Bloomberg Wealth."

    Chapters:
    00:02:48 - Greenlight Capital
    00:09:06 - USD
    00:10:54 - US Decoupling with China
    00:12:40 - Warren Buffett
    00:13:27 - Einhorn's Background
    00:19:27 - Poker
    00:21:09 - Advice
    00:22:21 - Investing $100k
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48In79LWrio
  • “No Worries: How to live a stress free financial life” - by Jared Dillian
    "Knowledge of DIY for whatever may prove to be a wonderful source of money (money not spent, eh?)"
    For sure. Being able to DIY in my younger years has been a major factor in accumulating enough to be able to pay others now that I''m 85. I do have to say that I find it very painful though, to pay obscene amounts to have stuff done that I used to be able to do for free. G'rrrr...

    Yup... I just gave up going on the roof this year to trim trees or clean gutters. In the back of my mind I'm thinking you're going to feel real stupid in the hospital with all the money you have in the bank. Talking to myself -> Use your brain, it's time to pay somebody else to do this stuff.
  • “No Worries: How to live a stress free financial life” - by Jared Dillian
    "Knowledge of DIY for whatever may prove to be a wonderful source of money (money not spent, eh?)"
    For sure. Being able to DIY in my younger years has been a major factor in accumulating enough to be able to pay others now that I''m 85. I do have to say that I find it very painful though, to pay obscene amounts to have stuff done that I used to be able to do for free. G'rrrr...
    I agree and well said.
  • Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum.
    Been de-risking (mostly age / situation related). Sold off some more aggressive holdings. Surprised myself by opening a core position in OAKBX - a staple many years ago. Clyde McGregor has retired. The new team appears more conservative. The fund hasn’t done much lately. While I generally don’t hold bonds or bond funds, I’m OK when managers incorporate them as part of an overall approach.
  • “No Worries: How to live a stress free financial life” - by Jared Dillian
    OJ - You mean connecting 12-2 inside a gang box isn’t as easy with arthritic hands and fingers as it was 25 years ago?
    Re The book - It does appear the author has a chapter devoted to his “simple and highly effective” way to invest. I dozed off listening last night. Will try again tonight and eventually share his “secret” in an update to the OP. Yes - he is beginning to resemble a resident poster.
    Somniferous
  • “No Worries: How to live a stress free financial life” - by Jared Dillian
    "Knowledge of DIY for whatever may prove to be a wonderful source of money (money not spent, eh?)"
    For sure. Being able to DIY in my younger years has been a major factor in accumulating enough to be able to pay others now that I''m 85. I do have to say that I find it very painful though, to pay obscene amounts to have stuff done that I used to be able to do for free. G'rrrr...
  • When Does the National Debt Become Genuinely Bad?
    I have always thought that if the % return on debt, either by increasing GDP, national income, etc was greater than the interest rate, debt made some sense. We are only having this conversation because interest rates have increased, (and for some reason nobody floated 30 Yr Treasuries when interest rates were very low).
    Both parties are at fault, but GOP more than Dems.
    https://www.investopedia.com/democrats-vs-republicans-who-had-more-national-debt-8738104
    I believed Reagan when in the 1980s the GOP defended the dramatic debt increases then as an effort to "kill the beast" ( Government).
    Rather than return tax rates to anything approaching their previous averages, and support the IRS in collecting what is legally owed, the GOP believes it can "cut" it's way out, by cutting very popular programs and taxes.
    In addition to their insanity of gutting the IRS, they want to spend $45 Billion on ICE ( aiming to eliminate $100 Billion in tax revenues that immigrants pay), but only $27 Billion on the NIH which increases productivity by adding years to lives.
    I suspect we may find out sooner than later how much debt is too much. Certainly, our reputation as a reliable international partner is in shambles and will decrease foreign interest in Treasuries