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Dex, STHBX a dog of a dog. In the same short term junk arena it is completely outclassed by ASHDX and OSTIX.
I was going to suggest a combination of OSTIX and WHIYX.
ASHDX has a short history from what I have researched.
STHBX is for 'near cash' it was bought about 2 years ago and is down 1.3% from my purchase price. A fund with a stable price and some interest is better then a fund with a volatile price and higher interest. The interest has more then offset the loss - so the fund did the job.
When doing the comparison you have to look at the interest rate at time of purchase and change from purchase price.
What did those fund pay for interest 2 years ago and how did the share price change +/-%?
I'm looking at taking SS at 63.5. That would give me 13 years where I don't have to touch my dividends/interest/principal. If I buy a new truck it is 8-9 years. This is another, example of what we both said before - How do people without a pension or a large investment account pay their bills??????????
Edit: You are lucky to have a pension. Shouldn't you be just fine once you begin taking SS? You may still have a little out of pocket but not much. I assume that will come from your nest egg?
Seems like a reasonable approach.A while back I bought into a income fund that is multi asset in nature. My thinking on this was a place to park money for the short term before it goes into cash instead. For example, if I keep 12 months cash available, I would have 3-5 years in this fund to temper any hiccups in the markets.
Anyone else use a similar strategy? It could be a form of bucket or sleeve investing of sorts.
Bee, I was in (and out) of WHIYX many times over the years. But it has never been the same since they lost their high profile fund manager. Now I am in and much prefer PHYTX. It has been a nice steady performer year in and year out compared to its peers. RIMOX is an interesting junk/bank loan fund. It has been an outperformer since they shook up their management team by adding several new ones. Everyone pretty much hates junk and have been warning of their high risks. But YTD some are up close to 5%.Dex, STHBX a dog of a dog. In the same short term junk arena it is completely outclassed by ASHDX and OSTIX.
I was going to suggest a combination of OSTIX and WHIYX.
ASHDX has a short history from what I have researched.
The length of time is determined by your risk tolerance and individual cash flow.
@Dex got me thinking about what he called "near cash". I interpret this "near cash" as the portion of my portfolio that is available to supplement yearly income and the occasional emergency. @Dex mentioned this amount should help bridge a four year time frame. Many MFOers ( @MJG and @davidmoran) admitted to not maintaining anywhere near four years of "near cash".
So where does one turn to secure a (2% - 4% return with little of no downside risk) that can weather market shocks, interest rates rising (inflation), and yet perform well if de-leveraging pressure persist (deflation)?
Have no idea how smooth it will be.....but have a very good idea that it won't be as profitable...........as interest rates have fallen for 34 years, making bonds a good investment.Will the next 30 be as smooth?
The generalities you write about, do not apply once you are given specifics i.e. my examples in this thread.
The analysis is a simple money flow balance usually done on an annual basis. To oversimplify, portfolio value at the beginning of the year plus annual incomes plus/minus portfolio returns minus total expenditures equates to an end balance. It is a money balancing equation done yearly. If the bottom line goes negative, the portfolio does not survive.
But let's assume you are right. Adding another constraint to the global money balance (what you termed cash flow) will only lower portfolio survival probabilities. My second 6 set of simulations included your entire resources and represents a maximum survival rate likelihood. Any other money transfers within those resources will only contribute to failure. Sorry, but that is the analyses outcome.
In the 185K value - the total value should have been the 51,888 and 185,000 plus some contingency amount at least - you pick the number.Hi Dex,
For your convenience, I’ll repeat them here. I did 12 simulations in about 5 minutes with a $13K drawdown schedule. I did 6 cases for a 185K initial portfolio value. My baseline was a 7% average annual return with parametric standard deviations of 10%, 14%, and 18%. I repeated the same standard deviations for a 6% annual portfolio return rate. Portfolio survival rates were atrocious.
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