Silver Howdy folks,
@shipwreckedandalone Interesting discussion as I have been a silver fan since the Hunt Brothers tried to corner the market in the late 70s early 80s.
I've always been an advocate of everyone having a small percentage of physical gold and silver bullion as an investment - let's say 5-7%. More than this is speculation and while that's fine, it's different.
You mention the g/s ratio and it's about 77 to
1 which is extremely favorable for silver relative to gold. I also like silver because the leverage is much greater than with gold.
Different ways to play: bullion or the miners. Different markets and while they track each other over time, they can deviate a lot in the short term. With silver, the pure play bullion ETFs are taxable at the higher rate. Nasty. Make SURE you keep them in a deferred account. Of these, I prefer the Sprott offerings like CEF and PSLV. Then there are the miners. This is where the vast majority of the mutual funds invest - in the mining stocks for gold, silver, etc. Then there are the ETF miners and there are bunches. In silver, you have SILJ, SIL, and SLVP. I like the first because I like the junior silver miners. They're fun and a bit like a roller coaster ride at time. These are penny stocks and the leverage here can get insane.
http://www.kitcosilver.com/equities.htmlAs for physical bullion, you have to watch the premium, or vigorish. It's getting very nasty as I type. This is because demand for physical silver is very strong right now and the paper price is suppressed. This results in higher premiums. Here's my local dealer and their price quotes for various types of bullion, from plain vanilla to ASE. You want to buy top shelf bullion because it's more fungible.
http://libertycoinservice.com/wp-content/uploads/quotes/daily_quotes.pdfgood luck,
peace,
rono
LOGOX FUND What screen found this tiny (for 12/2012 inception), high-ER, high-minimum multi-asset fund LOGBX /LOGOX? It isn't in Stockcharts database, but is in M* (4* and Neutral-Q rating) and Yahoo Finance databases. It had a large yearend distribution - Yahoo Finance price-chart made me look for that.
I compared it to FMSDX.
M* -- Bond Investors Facing Worst Losses in Years
M* -- Bond Investors Facing Worst Losses in Years No where to hide. Timely look at bond market conditions....
``It's unclear what the neutral rate is,” Vataru says. ``It's a slightly untethered market.”
Worst Losses in Years
AAII Sentiment Survey, 3/23/22 For the week ending on 3/23/22, there was a significant improvement in the Survey but bearish remained the top sentiment (35.4%; above average) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (3
1.7%; average); bullish became the middle sentiment (32.8; below average). With all sentiments in 30s, ordering flip-flops are expected. Russia-Ukraine WAR has entered the 4th week & it has reached a stalemate stage on the ground & in negotiations but dislocations, injuries, deaths & property/facility destructions continue. There are hastily arranged extraordinary meetings of the NATO, G-7 & EU on Thursday (today). The developments may negatively affect the status of DOLLAR as the global reserve currency, & some currencies- & commodities- weighted basket may evolve in the near future. The FED has been talking VERY aggressively & that has significantly increased the rate hike expectations but the Fed may not follow through (that may be a new strategy). The stock market action was positive during the Survey week (Thursday - Wednesday).
https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/post/545/thread
Best Target-Date Funds (TDFs) for 2022
VWINX Thanks for the link. Looks like IWB + ITM beat the others with a little higher volatility than VTMFX.
This is even more interesting because of the higher expense ratio in the ETF (0.24 and 0.15% vs 0.09% for VTMFX)
Interesting after all the fuss Vanguard makes over their expenses
VWINX VTMFX may be easy to replicate. Its equity is R
1000 with lower dividends to simulate R
1000 itself and bonds are munis, so ITM or MUB should do. I am using phone to link to PV run (
1/
1/08 - 2/28/22), so let see if that works.
IWB + ITM
IWB + MUB
LI NK
There's gotta be a Natgas ETF I don't know about... bee +1
There's gotta be a Natgas ETF I don't know about... On the mutual fund side there is GASFX, The last 10 years it has either been one of the best or one of the worst in its category.
“Faster is Better” Fed’s James Bullard “I think faster is better,” Bullard said, in an interview on Bloomberg Television. “ The St. Louis Fed president has advocated getting the Fed’s policy rate up to 3% this year. Bullard dissented last week when the Fed decided to raise interest rates rates by 25 basis points to a range of 0.25% to 0.5%. Source Conway Twitty disagrees …
Morningstar Portf. Manager speed You're not alone, I'm finding it excruciatingly slow.
+
1.
Powell Says Fed Is Ready to Raise Rates Faster If Needed Powell wanted to see what his jawboning could accomplish. He knows the Fed SHOULD be raising rates quicker, but since that could crash markets......he can't bring himself to do it. So slow and steady we go.
Meanwhile we deal with high Negative real interest rates.
Cannot trust this Fed to actually follow through until its too late. I believe that is what happened from 1979-1981 with Volcker at the helm (the Prime rate rose to around 21.5%). Imagine locking up a CD at 20%+ per year? Shoot, I can't imagine rates over 5% ever again.
U.S. inflation rate climbs again to 7.9%, CPI shows / MarketWatch Article +1 Mark ...bookmarked article for future reference !
VWINX +1 YBB For me, if I can replicate performance of VWINX with VG etfs, it means I probably don't need my Vanguard account any longer !
Silver As best I can tell, it looks like all in sustaining costs were above $18 on average in 2008. So it traded below costs for a bit. Cost varies widely from mine to mine as to be expected as many variables are involved.