U.S. High-Yield Bond Funds See Record Inflow After Exodus https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-02/u-s-high-yield-bond-funds-see-record-inflow-of-7-09-billion/U.S. High-Yield Bond Funds See Record Inflow After Exodus
GOLDMAN SACHS GP
149.93USD+4.64+3.
19%
IVZ
INVESCO LTD
8.22USD+0.2
1+2.62%
TDG
TRANSDIGM GROUP
284.47USD+
11.93+4.38%
Investors poured a record amount of cash into U.S. high-yield funds this week as the junk-bond market recovered from its worst slump in more than a decade.
The funds added $7.09 billion in the week ended Wednesday, according to data from Refinitiv Lipper. This reversed a course that had seen almost $20 billion withdrawn from those same funds over the last six sessions, including $2 billion last week.
‘Tremendous Opportunity’
As U.S. junk bonds started to find a floor, investors including Goldman Sachs and Invesco are seeing reasons to buy.
“There are tremendous opportunities out there,” said Ashish Shah, co-chief investment officer of fixed income at Goldman Sachs Asset Management. He estimates junk bonds will return about 20% this year as growth rebounds in the fourth quarter and fallen angels outperform.
High-yield lost
11.5% last month and is down
13.6% this year. The market fell almost
16% in October 2008. Last year’s total return was
14.3% and high-yield hasn’t been up more than 20% since 2009, when it surged 58%./
Article discussed positives movements in junk bonds areas past few days. Maybe time to reconsider adding to corp junk bond positions. The curve may appears revived for junks past wk or so. Will it remains stable over next month?...who knows
https://www.google.com/search?q=jnk+stock
Towle Deep Value Fund to reopen to new investors https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318342/000139834420007430/fp0052470_497.htm497
1 fp0052470_497.htm
Towle Deep Value Fund
(Ticker Symbol: TDVFX)
A series of Investment Managers Series Trust
Supplement dated April 3, 2020 to the
Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information,
both dated February
1, 2020, as supplemented,
and the Summary Prospectus dated February 3, 2020 as supplemented.
IMPORTANT NOTICE ON PURCHASE OF FUND SHARES
Effective as April 6, 2020, the Towle Deep Value Fund is publicly offered to new investors.
Please file this Supplement with your records.
Oil crash poses severe test for OPEC+ after Moscow, Riyadh miscalculate Trump announced that he has word from Russia and Saudi Arabia that they will make large cuts in production. Maybe, maybe not -- he's made pronouncements in the past. But oil stocks predictably jumped up: Chevron up 11% today, Exxon 8.4%.
If I were a suspicious person, I'd wonder who might have known what he would say.
Of course, he knew.
David
Oil crash poses severe test for OPEC+ after Moscow, Riyadh miscalculate
FMIJX = OUCHX I know little to nothing about this fund but looking at the holdings Equity/Other as
@LewisBraham noted you will see a significant dollar amount of currency hedges primarily the large allocation ($
1.9B) to the British Pound. I wonder if they got caught leaning the wrong way on one or all of these. I won't even attempt to analyze this as it's totally out of my ballpark and I have no clue what game they are even playing.
USD/GBPEdit to add: I guess I should have noted that the holdings were dated as of December 3
1, 20
19 so my comments are more useless than normal. Who knows what they may be holding now.
transferring shares of closed funds to different accounts Just got confirmation from Schwab that 1 share of PRWCX will be transferred into my account from outside account on 4/8.
The Selling Has Been Merciless ... @MikeW ... Thank you for your question on how I'm fairing. I am much in line with my conersative asset allocation funds which make up better than 25% of my overall portfolio. My best performer year to date in my hybrid income sleeve is CTFAX -
1.72% while the worst one is FRINX -28.62%. Overall, this sleeve is down ytd a little under
15% and overall my portfolio as a whole bubbles being down a little above the
15% mark. So, I am running a pretty close to my conserative asset allocation funds which hold 30% to 50% equity.
The income yield on my portfolio is a little shy of 4% with capital gain distributions factored in the distribution yield moves north of 5%. With this, I plan to keep buying with my portfolio's income gerneration while things are on sale. My current asset allocation is
15% cash, 40% income and 45% equity.
The Selling Has Been Merciless ... @Old_Skeet. At least I will never criticize you for holding "too many funds". Frankly, nobody's business.
I manage independent portfolios with different goals/intents with different brokerages which also have different funds NTF. At any given point in time I probably own 70 - 80 different funds across several brokerages, then my IRAs, 40
1ks (
1 for me,
1 for wife), plus a very small number of funds I own direct. I really don't see why I have to use the SAME funds in all portfolios. First off, hard to keep track, second may not be available.
I own only ONE fund in taxable and IRA. Its FMIJX, absolutely wrong fund to have in both places as it turns out.
The futures of the indices are up Market's been especially irrational
@Crash, That is a good one. How about investors being irrational ? Case in point, several months ago
@Catch22 posted a topic "Charles Bolin, MFO commentator. Funds that do well; with falling $/rising inflation write" and a new poster, Simon, who disagree with Mr. Bolin's viewpoints and among other thing. I quote his reply
Simon
January 13 Flag
I fundamentally disagree with a lot of Charles's viewpoints (for example he believes the economy is in the "latter stages of an expansion" whereas I think the exact opposite is true) but his articles are some of the finest on the web and I always read them. As Catch said - remain curious about life. Thank you Charles.
There were few more unpleasant exchanges between Simon and several experienced MFO posters here. He promptly disappeared from this board. Question is who is rational or irrational if his perspective is on? I ran across Charles Bolin articles awhile back in Seeking Alpha and I found his articles are well articulated and supported with data. Mr. Bolin also contributes to our monthly Commentary. I will repost my earlier posting to
@Charles on
Escape Plan and it listed several very informative articles from Charles Bolin (Seeking Alpha) on risk and current market condition.
https://mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/comment/123803/#Comment_123803 Several low risk portfolio models were posted in his latest article in Seeking Alpha, the loss was modest, -
11% as of March 2
1st which is excellent in light of what is happening today with S&P500 loss at >30%.
The Selling Has Been Merciless ...
Manager insights: Bulls, bears, and bond markets From Emily Shanks in the article:
"However, the market is pricing in the probability that more than 10% of single-A-rated corporate debt would be downgraded to triple-B, and more than 10% of triple-B corporate credit would be downgraded to double-B or to high-yield status."
This aspect of the bond market, as well as other areas discussed in the article have been chatted about here; too the extent that BBB ratings (pre-melt) for corps. were already considered "good" junk status, at best.
Be safe.
Regards,
Catch
The Selling Has Been Merciless ... @charles, things happen but you will be a better investor in the future. Perhaps your portfolio is down today but time will allow it to fully recover, perhaps a year or two. Mine did during 2008 and I was scare as hell. Unless you are in total cash at the market peak as of Feb
19th, everyone is down to various degrees if they hold any stocks. So you are in good company with rest of us. Remember that market timing seldom work since you have to be right twice in a row, and the probability is low (at least for me). So cheer up. You have many great posters here.
The Selling Has Been Merciless ... Please remind me in 10 years!
The Selling Has Been Merciless ... Really brutal. That's what happens after 11 years of bull market returns. Never want to get complacent again! c
The Selling Has Been Merciless ... @VF - The article mentioned one, "An investor who bought MFA financial five years ago was up 70% as of February 20th. Now they’re down 73%. It went from $8 to $
1.28 in 28 days. Unbelievable move."
Others include NRZ (-68.9%), TWO (-73.9%), LADR (-73.7%), WMC (-77.8%) and ABR (-65.9%). In addition there are several more with YTD losses of between -50 to -60%.