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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • M *: It's Flowmageddon!
    FYI: Something big is happening.
    A striking 18 Morningstar 500 funds suffered outflows of at least 40% of assets under management in the trailing 12 months ended February 2016, 61 shed 25% or more, and 168 had outflows of 10% or more.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://news.morningstar.com/articlenet/article.aspx?id=747879
  • RPHYX downgraded by Morningstar (to three stars)
    Right, the change simply reflects the fact that the average high-yield bond fund made 2.5% in the first quarter while RPHYX made 1%. As it turns out, this fund has virtually nothing in common with the average high-yield fund (the correlation between the two is 0.09), so its star ratings - high or low - are perpetually misleading.
    David
  • Snowball's great commentary
    A curious juxtaposition - a completely liquid MMF (even more liquid than a savings account) and a CD with a redemption fee (except at maturity).
    Personally, I prefer I-bonds to 1 year CDs. What I give up in short term liquidity (no redemptions in the first year) I gain in a better rate, inflation protection, state tax exemption, potential to defer taxes for years (until redeemed), and greater safety (theoretical only) than an FDIC-insured CD.
    - I bonds have no redemption fee once held for 5 years, so if one is expecting to roll over CDs, holding the I bond is slightly easier and more liquid over the long term.
    - The FDIC is not officially backed by the full faith and credit of the US government; savings bonds are treasury securities that have this backing.
    One can purchase $15K of I bonds/year per SSN. Current yield is 1.64%.
  • Any thoughts on High Yield Muni Funds?
    https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/puerto-ricos-house-approves-moratorium-052018350.html
    I just saw this. I think this is priced into the market. And I think ETFs like HYD and mf like NHMAX do not have any Puerto Rico exposure.
  • Any thoughts on High Yield Muni Funds?
    Aren't you a little late to the party? They have been on a tear since January 2014. That is when they were a buying opportunity and returned in the mid to high teens. The trend continued into 2015 and remains intact YTD. If you think Treasury yields will stay low or go lower junk munis will be fine. They may even be fine if Treasury yields rise a bit here. I have about 35% in NHMRX in an overall scattered (for me) nest egg of junk corps, emerging markets debt, and bank loan. Since I have never met a rich technician I don't have much use for most technical indicators. But on a short term basis, the 14 day RSI on the junk munis (and for that matter the bank loans) is severely overbought. If oil is to continue it's move up and equities hit new all time highs I would think that junk corps and emerging market debt would be the place to be.
  • Snowball's great commentary
    Good clear questions. Let's see if I can provide equally clear answers ...
    1. Here's a three part answer:
    a) Core funds (see also answer #3 below for explanation of core accounts):
    • Vanguard gives no choice, there's only Vanguard Fed MMF (VMFXX)
    • Fidelity. Pick the highest yielding one. They're all government paper, so I don't see a great virtue in getting a pure-treasury one (unless state taxes come into play).
      • Grandfathered core funds: FDRXX was converted to a government fund[video link]; not available as a core fund for new accounts. 6x the yield of Fidelity's other options (0.06% vs. 0.01%).
      • Non-grandfathered core funds: Pick SPAAX (non-Treasury) over FZFXX (Treasury). Both yield 0.01%, but there's still a microscopic difference; last divs were $0.000008592 vs. $0.000008494.
    b) Non-core funds:
    • Vanguard: You've got a choice of two: Fed MMF (see above), and Treasury MMFVUSXX. As explained above, I'd go with non-Treasury (slightly higher yield, virtually no risk).
    • Fidelity: Cash Reserves FDRXX; as above, 6x the yield of other options.
    c) Link to outside banks:
    Internet banks yield around 1% with no redemption fees, and my experience with EFT transfers to Fidelity (at least with some banks) is that I have access in 24-48 hours, which may or may not be sufficient. Note that bank savings (and MM) accounts come with a legal requirement (Fed Regulation D) that they can hold your money for up to seven days. This rule has been around for decades.
    2. Money in a brokerage account (from sale of securities or anything else) first goes to your core account (see #3), so in this sense, the possibility of the cash "automatically" going into a non-government fund or similar is nonexistent.
    That aside, I think you're too concerned about what will happen with prime funds. Stock prices (crashing or otherwise) don't directly affect a company's ability to service its debt. If the company is sound, cash flow positive, it will be servicing its bonds regardless of what the company is worth.
    What happened with Reserve Primary Fund (breaking a buck) was a confluence of several factors, plus mass panic (bank run):
    - The fund was aggressively managed for yield and loaded up on Lehman Bros. paper, creating a single point of failure. Fidelity and especially Vanguard funds are conservatively managed.
    - The Reserve (the fund company behind Reserve Primary) did not have assets to prop up its MMFs (since these were its whole business).
    Many fund families have provided financial support to prevent their funds from breaking a buck. (NYTimes: "[In 2008 alone] big banks and fund management companies have pledged more than $10 billion to rescue affiliated money funds that were caught holding mortgage market securities that were deteriorating rapidly in value.")
    Fidelity and Vanguard certainly have the resources and motivation to do so if it comes to that.
    - Institutions started pulling money out of Reserve Primary as soon as they got a whiff of trouble, and others followed. This exacerbated the situation. The Treasury stepped in an guaranteed existing cash in MMFs (but not new cash) to stanch flows at other funds,; in 1929 FDR imposed a four day bank holiday.
    Liquidity constraints (redemption fees and redemption gating) are now in place to serve the same purpose of preserving order and liquidity. Fidelity's video on fees and gates.
    3. A core/settlement/transaction account is the place through which all your money flows. Think of it as your checking account at a brokerage. That core account may have a sweep feature, where spare cash is "swept" nightly into one or more other accounts. That could be simply for greater protection (e.g. Fidelity's sweeps into banks yield just 0.01%, even less than some of their core MMFs), or it could be for yield. The receiving account could be one or more banks, or a different MMF.
    For example, Schwab has a sweep option to move cash into MMFs. It is eliminating this option as of June 1. Your cash (i.e. your core account) will now remain as a general liability of the brokerage (Schwab One Interest, SIPC coverage), or get swept into banks. Fidelity's equivalent to Schwab One Interest is called Fidelity Cash FCASH.
    Fidelity's CMA brokerage account (here's the account agreement) will not sweep money into bank accounts if you reside outside the country. For these accounts, the cash remains a general liability of Fidelity. Similarly, some other types of accounts such as inherited IRAs cannot sweep into banks (but do provide core MMF options).
    Lots of possibilities and combinations. The basic distinction remains - core is "checking", sweep is "automatic shadow account'.
    I'd also mentioned a sweep-like feature that Fidelity provides. It will use your "position" (non-core) MMFs as sources of money for expenses (check writing, purchasing securities, etc.). Same idea as banks using savings accounts as a "checking plus" feature. So there's a sweep, but it's only one way. Here's Fidelity's video on how this works.
    4) No conspiracy theories allowed :-) The recent changes don't have any obvious effect on Treasury MMFs, so whatever they were yielding before is what they'll yield going forward. MMFs tend to charge management fees around 30-40 basis points, which is why these MMFs yield nothing. (The fund companies have been waiving fees to keep the net yields above zero.)
    If anything, the fund companies have been fighting the new regulations (as they typically fight any regulation, not appreciating that sometimes eating your vegetables is good for you). There was strong lobbying against these changes.
    5) Interesting question. I haven't looked into it.
  • David Snowball's April Commentary
    Hmm. I too assumed it must be plain hard, but when I just compared IWM with FLPSX and FCNTX over 1/3/5/10/15y, plus start 02 and 08, it sure looks like a piece of cake.
  • T Rowe Price Health Sciences Fund
    Mike: Here's a Barron's article from a year ago that offers insight into this PM. As an owner of PRHSX, I'm confident in the abilities he brings to the portfolio. JMHO.
    http://www.barrons.com/articles/SB50001424053111904703704579507953523415572
  • DoubleLine Global Infrastructure Fund
    Thx, heezsafe for the useful info and your work on this. And your spot on re difference between this DL product vs. GLFOX, which I happen to own, as do others here. The N class BTW is BILTX.
    Concerning the fund macro, here is how the separate account strategy was constituted at the end of the 4th qtr. 2015 based on the pitch book and portfolio strategy I was able to obtain. It may offer some idea of how the OEF might be invested --FWIW.
    Portfolio Strategy
    36% project bonds
    28% structured products
    23% corp. bonds
    8% loans
    5% cash.
    Portfolio Sectors
    Electric Utilities & Power 29%
    Transportation Equipment 22%
    Renewables 14%
    Transportation 9%
    Energy 8% (E&P - Upstream Assets 23%; Pipelines - Midstream Assets 77%)
    Hospitals 7%
    Water Utilities 4%
    Telecommunications 4%
    Credit Quality
    Investment Grade 84%
    High Yield 11 %
    Cash 5%
    Geographic Region
    North America 73%
    Latin America 18%
    Western Europe 2%
    Middle East & Africa 2%
    Cash 5%
    (The geographic allocations are significantly different than that of GLFOX.)
    Keep us posted with any info you come across.
  • Snowball's great commentary
    Thanks. Combining both threads.....
    1. Which Money Market would you recommend if I choose to have a fund a)with no liquidity constraints and b)that is not required to float for both Fidelity and Vanguard?
    I assume FDRXX for Fidelity ? For example, does Vanguard Fed MM yielding 0.30% meet both of those requirements? It is not classified as prime in the link you provided.
    2. My thoughts are that if these two requirements are NOT met, that during market melt downs it is probable (for anyone selling stocks) the proceeds from the stock sale in a retail brokerage account will be placed into a MMF whereby a dollar put into that MMF might only give you back .96c. IOW's stock market distress would equal MMF distress and possibly too late to convert without taking a loss in the MMF (the investor knows at the point of sale of the stock that his MMF is in trouble too). Double whammy.
    3. What is difference between a core account and a sweep account?
    4. Usually these type changes are profitable for some unknown party with strong lobbying support. How could there be no MMF available that meets the two requirements in my #1 above that would not yield closer to the current 3 month Treasury at .29% if that treasury is supposedly the safest investment known to mankind?
    This assumes your answer to #1 provides no other option other than FDRXX at 0.03%.
    5. I would assume all 401k accounts with an Income Fund MMF option will need to add those two requirements as an option for ultra conservative investors? Some 401k's held Reserve Fund in 2008-09 as their supposedly safe Income Fund option when they broke the buck. Reserve ended up eating the loss but for some time it was undecided which party was going to take the loss. Bad business.
  • Vanguard Admiral Class
    Some time ago, it seemed that Vanguard stopped offering Admiral shares through all brokerages. Since then, Admiral shares have started reappearing at some brokerages, e.g. TDAmeritrade.Scottrade.
    Keep in mind that some Vanguard funds may be closed unless purchased directly through Vanguard, e.g. Wellington.
  • DoubleLine Global Infrastructure Fund
    @bee no, this will be an infrastructure debt fund, not a stock eq. fund. Not comparable but might (might) make for a "nice pairing." :)
    @openice Thanks for keeping eye out. DoubleLine did a post-filing amendment to their original SEC application, basically moving the proposed date at which the prospectus would be activated out to March 30, so I've been watching for it and no news on the DL sites yet. Maybe it's not such a bad thing they're making us wait? You just know they've been running it in separate accounts for about a year, so why the tease? I'm most interested in seeing the macro of the fund (esp. credit distribution, US vs. non-US) and not so much a holdings list.
    Looks like M* has things all set up and ready to roll for the fund. BILDX is symbol for the I shares; Damien Contes and Andrew Hsu listed as co-managers, with an inception date of 4/1/16. Pretty reasonable e.r. of circa 0.65 for BILDX and 0.90 for the N shares when they're offered (difference being the beloved 12b-1).
  • AMG SouthernSun Small Cap Fund to reopen to new investors
    I've owned this fund for several years - you have to have a strong stomach for it since it's a concentrated fund and has huge up and down swings - it'll go a year or two as the top ranked fund in its category, then it'll have a year or two where it's the worst. It was ranked 96th in 2014 and 98th in 2015; year to date 2016 it is 1st - go figure!
  • David Snowball's April Commentary
    Some mutual funds have done well in the 90's, but it's been just plain hard outperforming the Russell 2000 index ( IWM = ETF equiv. ). Maybe it's because they get too big, their management style stops working, or the market "complexion" has changed over the last 15 years ? Try plugging symbols mentioned in commentary here ( https://portfoliovisualizer.com/backtest-portfolio#analysisResults ) and select the Russell 2000 as "benchmark". I like to use 2002 and 2008 as dumb luck / Murphy;s law starting points ...
    even BRK-A loses out.
  • AMG SouthernSun Small Cap Fund to reopen to new investors
    http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1089951/000119312516529205/d162847d497.htm
    497 1 d162847d497.htm AMG FUNDS
    Filed pursuant to 497(e)
    File Nos. 333-84639 and 811-09521
    AMG FUNDS
    AMG SouthernSun Small Cap Fund
    Supplement dated April 4, 2016 to the Prospectus, dated February 1, 2016
    The following information supplements and supersedes any information to the contrary relating to AMG SouthernSun Small Cap Fund (the “Fund”), a series of AMG Funds, contained in the Fund’s Prospectus, dated February 1, 2016.
    Effective April 15, 2016, the Fund will reopen to new investors.
    Effective April 15, 2016, the Prospectus will be amended as follows:
    With respect to the sub-section “Buying and Selling Fund Shares” in the section “Summary of the Fund”, the first paragraph will be deleted in its entirety.
    With respect to the sub-section “Other Important Information About the Fund and Its Investment Strategies and Risks” in the section “Additional Information About the Fund”, the heading “Fund Closure” and the subsequent two paragraphs will be deleted in their entirety.
    PLEASE KEEP THIS SUPPLEMENT FOR FUTURE REFERENCE
    ST322
  • David Snowball's April Commentary
    The Share Price segment laments the overabundance of share classes and their various associated fees. I'm going to try approaching this from the other end - what services do you get and how should they be paid for?
    There are account servicing costs (statements, tax info, etc.) that are pretty constant per account. Funds can cover these costs by charging everyone the same rate (single share class, large investors subsidize small ones), or by creating a tiered structure (multiple share classes), so that each investor pays a somewhat similar dollar amount for the servicing portion. Phrased that way, cheaper Vanguard Admiral shares, or Selected Funds class D shares don't sound like a bad thing.
    Where I think tiered accounts makes little sense is at the institutional level. Why should a $5M account pay double what a $200M account pays?
    Transactions (buying/selling) have costs. It is cheap but not free to push paper around. Very cheap for funds, less so for brokerages. Thus they skim 40 basis points/year to make it seem you're not paying anything (NTF), or let you pay a la carte (TF). If a fund wants to give you a choice, it uses multiple share classes.
    Advice has its costs, too. Pay via a wrap account (typically 1%/year), or at point of sale (front end load), or on the installment plan (skimming a percentage each year), or a la carte (fee only). Regardless, you will pay. Different methods, different share classes.
    18 shares classes is absurd, but with choice of service and payments method comes choice of offerings (share classes).
    Much of this is done to obfuscate, and that is not a "good thing". Even funds with single share classes may be doing this. Sequoia charges a flat 1% management fee and the management company pays for everything. In reality, you're paying, you just don't know how much (and how much is going to actually manage the fund) because it's all rolled up into a single number. But hey, it looks good, no 12b-1 fee.
    I have the same issue with FPA. Crescent is marketed as a noload fund, but its expenses (for a balanced fund) are out of line with its siblings (formerly loaded funds). You're virtually paying a load or transaction fee or whatever you want to call it, you just don't know it because it's buried.
    In contrast, look at a fund like American Century Ultra (TWCUX). As with Sequoia it rolls all the expenses into a single management fee. But it reduces that fee on institutional shares by 20 basis points. That gives you a reasonable idea of how much extra it costs to service retail customers.
    Personally, I'm glad I can buy cheaper Admiral shares and pay TFs for cheaper shares that save me money in the long run. The commentary suggested that this was inequitable. I respectfully disagree. I see the issue as clarity not fairness.
  • David Snowball's April Commentary
    On the question of Crescent's benchmark: their objective is to produce "equity-like" returns with reduced volatility over the course of a full market cycle, so it does make some sense to hold their FMC performance to some all-equity benchmark. In their estimation, MSCI World is likely to be a bit closer going forward than the S&P 500. In the short term and especially in down markets, it will certainly be a misleading comparison.
    On the question of Ed's reservations: institutional culture and identity are fragile things, so when there are personnel transitions there are also likely to be culture transitions. Those are hard to get right. T Rowe pulls it off because the fund-level changes occur within the context of firm-level continuity. When you look at boutique managers, fund-level changes are often coincident with firm-level changes. Messrs. Ende and Geist have left. Mr. Rodriquez hasn't managed funds since 2009 or 2010 and is now 65. Mr. Atteberry, Mr. Rodriquez's successor at New Income, is 62. There's no evidence that either is leaving but, by the time you're in your 60s, empire-building is more typically in your past than in your future.
    The effects of these generational changes can be profound and, occasionally, positive. The problem is that, as outsiders, we're pretty much clueless about a firm's internal decision-making and dynamics. One reason we haven't talked more about it is that we don't have more to say; that is, in principle concern is warranted but we have little to work with in individual instances. So, we try to stick with what we can document.
    For what that's worth,
    David
  • David Snowball's April Commentary
    We still have Crescent on our watch list. For them to suggest that the MSCI ACWI Index is a good benchmark is impossible to swallow. FPACX's make-up is 37% cash, 43% U.S. stocks (mostly very large cap), 8% international stocks, 5% bonds, and 6% Other. The ACWI Index is basically 55% U.S. stocks and 43% international stocks. Where is the comparison? It is just too convenient.
  • Federated Strategic Value Dividend Is No. 1 (SVAAX)
    FYI: The last time dividend investing was really in favor was back in the mid-1980s—long before the era of the smartphone and the MP3 player. Laptops had just made their debut; the Internet as we know it today remained merely a gleam in the eye of Silicon Valley geeks.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.wsj.com/articles/federated-strategic-value-is-no-1-fund-1459735515
    M* Snapshot SVAAX;
    http://www.morningstar.com/funds/XNAS/SVAAX/quote.html
    Lipper Snapshot SVAAX:
    http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/Fund/SVAAX
    SVAAX Is Ranked #23 In The (LCV) Fund Category By U.S. News & World Report:
    http://money.usnews.com/funds/mutual-funds/large-value/federated-strategic-value-dividend-fund/svaax