Munis suffer worst month since 2008
S&P's index of municipal bonds fell 3.46% in November, writes Amey Stone in Barron's. That's the worst month since September 2008, when it fell 4.83%.
That interest rates rose sharply in November isn''t news, but S&P Dow Jones' J.R. Rieger says
potential tax reform in which the highest marginal tax rate could be cut lowers the attractiveness of municipals.http://seekingalpha.com/news/3228362-munis-suffer-worst-month-since-2008PTIAX
Performance Trust Strategic Bond Fund
POST ELECTION 2016 COMMENTARY
Key Themes
Continued Strong Exposure to Seasoned Non-Agency Residential Mortgage Backed Securities and Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities
We believe both sectors still provide the best relative defense in a rising rate environment as well as strong cash flows from coupons..
Further Decreases to Taxable Municipals
From first quarter to second quarter, the team decreased the Fund’s allocation to taxable municipals by nearly 7%...
Increased Exposure to Tax-Exempt Municipals, With an Emphasis On
5% Coupon Bonds For Potential Rates Down Offense
We continue to believe that the overall municipal sector offers strong potential cash flows
and total returns, as well as being a more credit worthy substitute to investment grade
corporates.
http://ptiafunds.com/documents/ptiax_commentary.pdfPTIMX
Performance Trust Municipal Bond FundPOST ELECTION 2016 COMMENTARY
Why has the bond market reacted negatively to the election of Donald Trump?
Many investors have been confused by the municipal bond markets’ negative reaction to the election results. After markets took time to digest the potential effects of a Trump Administration, they made the speculative determination that many of President-elect Trump’s policies are pro-growth, and thus inflationary, which could lead to higher rates. ...our investment approach,..is that market “experts” cannot
consistently predict the direction of markets or interest rates. At this point, bond markets are merely speculating on potential government policy and its possible impact on rates. Policy actions should speak louder than words, and substantive direction may take weeks or months to materialize. The recent spike up in rates may or may not be short-lived, and we believe --based on experience-- that
chasing predictions does not lead to outperformance over time..
http://ptiafunds.com/documents/ptimx_commentary.pdfAnd High Yield InvestorsOil Gains 14% On OPEC Deal – Analysts See Further Gains
Banks are also happy with OPEC. Another constituency pleased with higher oil prices is the banking sector, which will benefit from improved prospects of loan repayment to energy companies. Banks have had to set aside cash reserves to cover from expected defaults on their loans. Earlier this year, 1
5 of the largest U.S. banks stockpiled $6 billion in cash to cover energy losses, however, as the WSJ reports, defaults have not been as bad as expected. Higher oil prices will likely mean that most banks will emerge in decent shape from the two year oil bust.
http://us2.campaign-archive1.com/?u=ed58b19f2b88e4a743b950765&id=90f27389ac&e=41e04eb3d1The top performer for the year so far among the major asset classes: US high-yield bonds (iBoxx High Yield Index), which is ahead by a strong 14.2% in total-return terms.
http://www.capitalspectator.com/major-asset-classes-november-2016-performance-review/