What the heck does "Templeton Global Bond ($100bn in total, $
59bn in mutual funds)" mean? That Templeton Global Bond has $100B AUM, of which $
59B are invested in other funds? I doubt that.
The $100b is not Franklin Templeton's AUM (Wiki
reports $844B - even if this is stale data, it shows that F-T has a lot more than $100B).
Maybe it's talking about total AUM that the Global Bond team is managing, of which $
59B are in mutual funds (the rest being in SMAs, collective trusts, etc.) It then goes on to talk about retail outflows - does retail mean "mutual funds" (including institutional share classes), or what?
That outflow ($7.6B
YTD) is then reported to be 13%
annualized. But it looks like the 13% came from dividing $7.6B by $
59B (12.9%). Problem is that this would represent 13% pulled out YTD, which would mean an annualized rate of 14% or so.
It says that the fund is underperforming its benchmark by 4.6% YTD. The prospectus says that its benchmark is Citigroup World Government Bond Index (Citi WBGI USD). M* reports the fund is outperforming its benchmark by almost 3.
5% YTD.
Okay, so the numbers (whether this is a quote of Goldman, or zerohedge's creative accounting) are suspect. The fact remains that Templeton Global Bond has likely had sizeable outflows. Zacks, citing M*,
claims $6B in
fund outflows between Aug 2014 and Aug 201
5.
But so what? M* also reports that TPINX/TGBAX is roughly
50% cash. (To M*, cash includes debt that matures in under a year.) That means that the fund could sustain a massive stampede without having to dip into illiquid securities. Nor does ZeroHedge discuss the fund's holdings, or what percentage is high yield.
It just mentions this EM fund next to HY funds, and expects you to jump to conclusions.
What I see is an EM fund that is still performing above its peers (43rd percentile YTD). People who are fleeing the sector would jump from whatever fund they owned (so shouldn't the blog be looking at EM funds with less liquid holdings?). People who might flee weaker funds (but not the sector) will be hanging around.