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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Why own turkey now

    You beat me by two seconds....
    Why own Turkey? Depends why a person would want to own the country, I guess. Down 41% may lead some to try a mean-reversion trade, but I have no compelling reason/idea/need to own it (or many countries) myself.
    For Thanksgiving (be sure to freeze it, though). It's delicious.
  • The Right Way to Add Bonds to Your Portfolio
    https://www.kiplinger.com/article/investing/T052-C016-S002-the-right-way-to-think-about-bonds.html
    The Right Way to Add Bonds to Your Portfolio
    When markets are choppy, bonds add ballast to your portfolio, offering stability no matter what interest rates do.
  • Why is this market not lower?
    Per MarketWatch article:
    Economists polled by MarketWatch said they expect the U.S. economy to add 185,000 new jobs in May. For junk bonds, a weaker-than-expected jobs reading might just be the tonic the sector needs for a more sustained rally.
    “If jobs start to go to 100k or below, it could possibly force the hands of the Fed sooner,” Thanos Bardas, portfolio manager at Neuberger Berman, told MarketWatch.
  • Why own turkey now
    https://seekingalpha.com/article/4268396-turkey-now
    Tur
    Summary
    Turkey was the worst performing country ETF of 2018 down -41%. Yet, perhaps counter-intuitively, data suggests this is a good sign.
    Turkey is no stranger to being the worst-performing country, but on the 3 occasions it's happened recently, the average subsequent 1-year annual return is 280%.
    This strategy is volatile. For example, in 2010, Greece lost -45% only to lose -63% the following year. However, the results of this strategy historically outperform global indices.
    Turkey appears to be a strong candidate for robust expected returns in 2019 and beyond driven by a general re-rating of the market from 6x earnings and export-led growth.
  • M*: 3 Top Mid-Cap Funds: Text & Video Presentation
    @bartab,
    MC of course is M*'s designation for FLPSX, also its benchmark, and has been as long as I am aware, I think (did not check).
    By market cap I meant (the usual definition) the average size of the companies owned in the portfolio. It is an average and as you indicate parsing the holdings is interesting.
    VMWX's benchmark and category are both quite different, so not sure why you would argue, and any MC article, almost, is going to include Tillinghast's long work and history. Indeed, what would be genuinely strange would be not to, and also to include the way younger VMVFX, whose aim nominally is different, per its name (also a GO, fwiw).
    Perhaps you can explain, though, how the MFOP Cap Avg $M is given as 36 (>150% of the Vanguard) whereas the M* Avg Market Cap is just under $8M (60% of the Vanguard). I must be misunderstanding something here.
    Their Lipper scores oddly are identical except for FLPSX having higher consistency.
  • Health Care Sector Has Many Angles
    John said "health care etf maybe one of the top vehicles going forward 10-20 yrs from today especially in bio-micro-tech fields"
    I believe that's been said quite regularly about the healthcare sector for the last 10-20 years if not longer. The sector ebbs and flows pretty much like any other.
  • M*: 3 Top Mid-Cap Funds: Text & Video Presentation
    Hi Derf,
    Only have a few notes.
    They were first for me, but here they are Christmas lows. Should hold four quarters......who knows how many mid caps outperform first 2 quarters.
    Healthcare is a buy 10yr - 2.9% to 3.00%. By summer, growth is a buy. After mid terms, market is generally good. That's about all I have. Again, most of it was general after the Dec. crash. If you said, "buy!," how could you be wrong?
    God bless
    the Pudd
  • Josh and Barry Tweet Like Crazy. Are They Revolutionizing RIA Marketing — Or Just Wasting Time?
    FYI: Country club chatter, fake laughs, and phony shoulder slaps don’t matter to a new generation of investors glued to their phones. Instead, authenticity, popularity, and the ability to entertain reign supreme.
    Enter Josh Brown, co-founder, CEO, and public face of New York–based investment advisory firm Ritholtz Wealth Management
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.riaintel.com/article/b1fn730zgdqvf9/josh-and-barry-tweet-like-crazy-are-they-revolutionizing-ria-marketing-or-just-wasting-time
  • 3 Big Dividends The IRS Can't Touch
    of the 171 muni-bond CEFs tracked by my CEF Insider service [WARNING: product placement], 141 are beating the index for 2019. In other words, over 82% of the actively managed municipal-bond funds are crushing the "dumb” index fund.
    You might wonder how this is possible. ...
    The answer: ...
    Because muni bonds aren’t traded as frequently as stocks, and because average investors don’t have the same access as big players, the muni-bond market has a ton of inefficiencies money managers can—and do—jump on.
    Or ... it might just be that these funds are highly leveraged (a word that doesn't appear anywhere in the column), and that bond yields have been dropping precipitously this year.
    That means that bonds have been appreciating; something that is magnified by leverage. The same leverage that puts these funds at risk when yields (and prices) reverse direction.
    Nor is there any discussion of relative discounts, i.e. how much of a discount these funds are selling at vs. their normal discount. Viewing these funds' discount percentages over time, it looks like the magnitude of discount has increased almost linearly from the middle of 2016 to the end of 2018. Though it has receded a bit this year. They are trading at larger than average discounts; this results in somewhat inflated yields for the moment.
    People here probably know I'm not a fan of leverage, so keep that in mind in reading my comments. If you're comfortable with around 40% leverage, fine, go for it. But don't go for the numbers without checking what's behind the curtains.
  • Understanding the Role of Municipal Bonds in Your Portfolio and Potential Risks
    https://www.municipalbonds.com/risk-management/risks-of-municipal-bonds-in-your-portfolio/?utm_source=Municipal+Bonds&utm_campaign=4cbf8ffc7f-ExpTrial_Weekly_Bulletin_Engage_06_06_2019&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_d7427882c9-4cbf8ffc7f-48657085&goal=0_d7427882c9-4cbf8ffc7f-48657085
    Understanding the Role of Municipal Bonds in Your Portfolio and Potential Risks
    Investment%20risks
    Municipal Bonds Risk Management
    Municipal debt instruments have always played a crucial role in the overall composition of investor portfolios. Many investors gravitate toward muni debt instruments for their triple tax-exempt status (federal, state and local) and knowing that these securities are often backed by strong tax revenue streams.
  • R.I.P. John Neff: (VWNPX)
    FYI: John Neff, the legendary investment manager and a long-time member of the Barron’s Roundtable, died this week at 87. Neff favored deeply unloved stocks with hidden potential. And he bought them by the truckload for the Vanguard Windsor Fund, which he managed for 31 years, through 1995. The fund posted a cumulative total return of 5,546% on his sensible watch, nearly two-and-a-half times the performance of the S&P 500.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.barrons.com/articles/john-neff-51559786060?refsec=income-investing
    Philadelphia Inquirer Article:
    https://www.inquirer.com/business/john-neff-obituary-vanguard-windsor-funds-university-pennsylvania-endowment-fidelity-20190605.html
  • Health Care Sector Has Many Angles
    health care etf maybe one of the top vehicles going forward 10-20 yrs from today especially in bio-micro-tech fields
  • Health Care Sector Has Many Angles
    FYI: Health care has taken a beating this year, lagging the other sectors by significant margins.
    That said, it remains a crucial component in an investor’s portfolio, and the choices to consider are vast, with many subsectors available, such as biotechnology and pharmaceuticals. However, looking at the large cap, broad-based, U.S.-focused funds, there are just nine to consider.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.etf.com/publications/etfr/health-care-sector-has-many-angles?nopaging=1
  • 10 Safe Investments to Protect Your Money - investing 101
    @Derf, I though about the very same that you bring up ... and, I guess indirectly I do through owning item #10 which is a bond fund. By having a good number of income generating positions within my portfolio I suspect that I do own most of the items noted in the article plus a few others as my commodity strategy fund has a yield of better than 10% and my real estate income fund has a nice yield of about 4.0%. Granted, they have more risk; but, they also generate a higher income stream. And, they don't offer protection of principal in the same way the items covered in the article do.
  • Chou Opportunity and Chou Income Funds to liquidate
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1486174/000143510919000260/497chou.htm
    497 1 497chou.htm
    CHOU AMERICA MUTUAL FUNDS
    Supplement dated June 5, 2019 to the Prospectus dated May 1, 2019
    On June 5, 2019, the Board of Trustees (“Board”) of Chou America Mutual Funds (the “Trust”) approved a Plan of Liquidation and Dissolution (the “Plan”) pursuant to which the assets of the Chou Opportunity Fund and the Chou Income Fund (the “Funds”) will be liquidated and the proceeds remaining after payment of or provision for liabilities and obligations of the Funds will be distributed to shareholders. The Funds’ investment adviser (the “Adviser”) has recommended that the Board approve the Plan and the Board has concluded that it is in the best interest of each Fund’s shareholders to liquidate the Fund pursuant to the Plan.
    In anticipation of their liquidation, the Funds stopped accepting purchases on June 5, 2019. Reinvestment of dividends on existing shares in accounts which have selected that option will continue until the liquidation. Shareholders will be permitted to redeem from the Funds prior to the Liquidation Date, according to the ordinary procedures for redemptions from the Funds described in this Prospectus. Francis Chou, the Portfolio Manager to the Funds and Chief Executive Officer of the Adviser, owns and controls a company that owns shares of each Fund. Mr. Chou intends for this company to remain invested in each Fund in an amount that would enable each Fund to have sufficient cash to satisfy any redemptions by the other shareholders.
    The Funds will begin the process of winding up and liquidating their portfolio assets as soon as reasonably practicable. As a result, the Funds are no longer pursuing their respective investment objectives and strategies.
    Each Fund will seek to complete the liquidation on or around the close of business on July 31, 2019 (the “Liquidation Date”). The Adviser anticipates that there may be certain portfolio holdings that will not be sold for cash prior to the Liquidation Date, such as the 1.75 Term Lien Loans of Exco Resources, Inc. (“Exco”) owned by each of the Funds. As further background, Exco is involved in an insolvency proceeding and, those loans have been deemed to constitute illiquid investments.
    On the Liquidation Date, each Shareholder shall be entitled to receive its liquidating distribution(s) in the form of a pro rata interest in (1) the non-cash assets of the Fund or, at the Shareholder’s election, the cash equivalent of such assets (the “Cash-Equivalent Distributions”), and (2) the cash remaining after the Cash-Equivalent Distributions. However, a Shareholder will be required to receive Cash-Equivalent Distributions if there are any restrictions on the transferability or ownership of any non-cash asset that would prohibit an in-kind distribution of such asset or make it impracticable. Any transfers of the Exco loans, for example, are subject to the written consent of certain banks that are parties to the credit agreement.
    If you own Fund shares in a tax deferred account, such as an individual retirement account, 401(k) or 403(b) account, you should consult your tax adviser to discuss the Fund’s liquidation and determine its tax consequences.
    * * * *
    For more information, please contact a Fund customer service representative toll free at
    (877) 682-6352.
    PLEASE RETAIN FOR FUTURE REFERENCE.
  • 3 Big Dividends The IRS Can't Touch
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelfoster/2019/06/01/3-big-dividends-the-irs-cant-touch/#14b8a0d2eb85
    What if I told you I’d found a way to protect your portfolio from this twitchy market without giving up big gains (and income)?
    My guess is you’d be interested—if a little skeptical.
    VMO
    Mub
    Nim
    Pml
    Nad
    mca
  • 10 Safe Investments to Protect Your Money - investing 101
    10 Safe Investments to Protect Your Money
    Don't think article posted
    -All safe investments come with a catch. They, alone, will never make you Bezos billions. They can, however, earn a little while serving another purpose such as being fairly liquid or balancing a portfolio. This roundup of safe investments explains their pros and cons to help you determine which investments best fit your needs. For even more detailed information, you may want to consult a financial advisor.-
    https://smartasset.com/investing/safe-investments
    Cd
    Saving accts
    Tips
    Good grade bonds
    Good grades munis
    Bonds funds or etf