Crossing Wall Street >>> Weekly Market Review >>> Earnings? Stalling Out! Hi Tampabay, Ted, JohnChisum and others,
If you are of the camp that domestic equities are cheap you might wish to visit the links that I have provided below.
The first one is Morningstar’s Market Valuation Graph. It is showing that stocks in general are currently, as of Friday’s market close, four percent overvalued.
http://www.morningstar.com/market-valuation/market-fair-value-graph.aspxThe second one appears in the WSJ and is titled P/E’s & Yields on the Major Indexes. It reflects that the S&P
500 Index is selling on a TTM of 20 where as a year ago it was selling at 17. So from a TTM P/E Ratio S&P
500 stocks have gotten more expensive over the past year by better than fifteen percent.
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3021-peyield.html?mod=wsj_mdc_additional_ustocksAnd, another link that might be of interest is by Doug Short. It is titled … Is the Stock Market Cheap? Mr. Short's findings are that it is expensive with TTM earnings stalling out since September of 2014.
http://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/PE-Ratios-and-Market-Valuation.phpI believe that I will stay with my thoughts to reconfigure my asset allocation by reducing domestic equities by about ten percent and raising my other asset area within my portfolio by a like amount. When done my asset allocation will bubble somewhere around 20% cash, 20% income, 20% domestic equity, 20% foreign equity and 20% other assets. To me, domestic stocks are expensive and bonds are not a bargin either.
Have a grand weekend … and, most of all … I wish all … “Good Investing.”
Old_Skeet
4 ETFs You Can Hold Forever FYI; The trend of money flowing towards robo-advisers and passive asset allocators is one that is likely to continue in the current market environment. Amid the more recent backdrop of low volatility capital appreciation in stocks and bonds, it seems that the natural evolution is to put your portfolio on auto-pilot or give it to someone who is just going to rebalance it quarterly.
Regards,
Ted
http://investorplace.com/2015/02/vti-vxus-bond-gaa-4-etfs-can-hold-forever/print
Barron's Fund Of Information: Create Your Own Pension Plan
Guinness Atkinson conference call, Monday, February 9, noon Eastern Why is there only one share class? Do they market the fund to any 401k plans or pensions or 529 administrators?
Junk (corporate) bonds up 15 consecutive trading days 15 days up and 1.35% gain?
hmmm....
1.35% gain every 15 tradings days...
that is pretty good.
at 252 trading days per year, that's eye-watering!
me?
today i watched one long-term holding go up 3% and two others down 3%.
a different world.
c
Junk (corporate) bonds up 15 consecutive trading days
Markets are perverse and anticipatory. There was something more than meets the eye going on this week in the Treasuries/munis and the junk corporates. And it was all bad for the former and all good for the later.
the undoing of the deflation trade: oil up/treasuries (and other investment grade) are down, all interest rate related stocks (utes and reits) down and risk is up - equities higher, junk spreads are tighter. goldman's short basket is up 5.4% - called short squeeze. i wonder if this persists.
Spot on and a very crowded trade. The 1% yield scenario suddenly became a little too embraced. And as you said "I wonder if this persists"
Crossing Wall Street >>> Weekly Market Review >>> Earnings? Stalling Out! And keep on reading:
"For the next few quarters, I think overall corporate profit growth will be low but positive. Think 2% to 5%. Of course, some companies will manage themselves better than others during a flat environment. In fact, we’re starting to notice that with the results of our Buy List stocks." CWS
stick with the "some companies" He does...
Junk (corporate) bonds up 15 consecutive trading days
Markets are perverse and anticipatory. There was something more than meets the eye going on this week in the Treasuries/munis and the junk corporates. And it was all bad for the former and all good for the later.
the undoing of the deflation trade: oil up/treasuries (and other investment grade) are down, all interest rate related stocks (utes and reits) down and risk is up - equities higher, junk spreads are tighter. goldman's short basket is up
5.4% - called short squeeze. i wonder if this persists.