U.S. Existing Home Sales Reach 10-Year HighBY TOM MOELLER,Haver Analytics JANUARY 24, 20
17
During all of 20
16, sales of existing homes increased 3.8% to 5.452 million, the highest level since 2006, when sales reached 6.478 million.
The total inventory of homes on the market declined 6.3% y/y to
1.650 million. The months' sales supply of homes fell to 3.6 months, the lowest point since January 2005.
The median price of all previously owned homes improved 4.0% versus December 20
15 to $232,200. The average price of an existing home rose to $274,000 (3.0% y/y).
http://www.haver.comWalking Away From Commercial MortgagesWith the continued rise of e-commerce punishing retailers, and in turn, those who rent space to them, some mall landlords are deciding it's best to walk away from struggling properties, writes Esther Fund in the WSJ.
The lenders, in turn, are then forced to sell the distressed properties at fire-sale prices.
In the first
11 months of 20
16, 3
14 loans secured by retail property were liquidated, up
11% from the same period a year earlier. "There have been some draconian losses for the enclosed mall business," says James Hull, whose firm purchased five malls out of foreclosure last year.
Simon Property Group (NYSE:SPG) .. last year defaulted on a loan secured by Greendale Mall in Worcester, MA.
Washington Prime Group (NYSE:WPG) late last year said it was considering turning malls in Grand Junction, CO and Lancaster, OH back to lenders
CBL & Associates (NYSE:CBL) has rid itself of
14 malls since 20
14, with six of those handed back to lenders.
http://seekingalpha.com/news/3237097-mall-owners-turning-jingle-mail
Howard Davidowitz, chairman of the New York City-based retail consulting and investment banking firm Davidowitz and Associates, has been warning of a retail disaster for some time
We're likely going to see large numbers of retail locations and malls close, he added. Store sizes have to shrink and we need fewer stores in general. We'll also have more urban stores and fewer suburban locations.
"This is going to be traumatic because there's $47 billion of shopping-centered debt coming due in the next
18 months," Davidowitz said. "Neiman Marcus is not viable. They can't operate with this much debt. Neither can J Crew. They're overwhelmed. Sears, the largest department store in America, is in liquidation. Kmart is in liquidation."
What we're seeing is an absolute train wreck, Davidowitz stated, and we're going to need massive restructuring in the retail space.
http://seekingalpha.com/article/4038163-davidowitz-brick-mortar-retail-absolute-train-wreckLisa Abramowicz@Bloomberg Gadfly Looks for more pain ahead in retail
It’s been a bad couple of months for Neiman Marcus.But the already beaten-up Neiman Marcus notes plunged substantially further on Monday without an obvious explanation. While prices on bonds maturing in 202
1 had dropped more than
19 percent from Dec.
12 through Friday, they fell an additional 6.7 percent on Monday for the biggest one-day loss in more than a year.Still, this isn't a new development. Bond investors can't exactly have been taken by surprise by this sea change in consumer behavior, away from shopping at stores and buying goods and toward shopping online and purchasing vacations and experiences.
https://www.bloomberg.com/gadfly/articles/2017-01-24/neiman-marcus-bond-pain-points-to-more-junk-sinkholes-gadfly