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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Lewis Braham: Vanguard's Climate-Change Dismissal
    To paraphrase: Vanguard knows better than its shareholders what is in their best interest.
    How patronizing.
    When Vanguard says that it must maximize returns, is that returns over the next quarter, or over the next decade? Penny wise and pound foolish comes to mind.
    Vanguard seems to be saying that it is required to vote this way to meet its fiduciary duties. It is thus tacitly accusing Allianz, Wells Fargo, DWS, Schroeder (which submanages VINEX and VWIGX), and others of breach of fiduciary duty.
    http://www.ecowatch.com/is-your-mutual-fund-a-climate-change-denier-or-climate-champion-1882190571.html
    (The figures in the article linked to above show that exact voting percentages depend on how you count. Nevertheless, the split among fund companies is clear. Thanks to Lewis for the info on Blackrock's change of heart, since its 2015 voting performance was 0%.)
    It gets worse. From a 2014 article (writing about 2014 and earlier votes):
    "Industry giant Vanguard remains sole mutual fund to ignore climate-related resolutions for 11th-straight year. ... Vanguard ... has failed to cast a single vote in support of a climate-related resolution in 11 years."
  • How TIAA-CREF Bond Fund Beats Competition
    Thanks, but I'll take BCOIX over this fund.
    Nearly identical in most metrics (duration, credit quality, credit breakdown, number of bonds/bonds in top 10%, country breakdown). TIORX is long and short in cash, but with same net cash as BCOIX (no shorts).
    Differences that pop out include:
    - TIORX has more securitized bonds and less corporate (as discussed in article)
    - TIORX has high turnover (308%, mentioned in article) vs. 34%
    - TIORX costs twice as much (0.62% vs. 0.30%)
    - TIORX has lower SEC yield (2.31% vs. 2.61%)
    With the notable exception of 2008, BCOIX generally outperforms. In 2008 it underperformed by 4.64%, but made that up and more with its 2009 9.08% outperformance. In all other recent years, performance figures were much closer.
    It is fair to look back this far, as BCOIX's management started in 2000. Though the article implies that Higgins (starting in 2011) is the only manager of TIORX, the prospectus says: "The following persons manage the Fund on a day-to-day basis: ...Higgins ... since 2011 [and] ... Cerra ... since 2003." Both are listed as "Managing Directors". Neither the prospectus nor M* says anything about 13 managers.
  • Lewis Braham: Vanguard's Climate-Change Dismissal
    FYI: (Click On Article At Top Of Google Search)
    Quietly, without fanfare, the Vanguard Group has become one of the most powerful forces in Corporate America. The mutual fund company has $3.6 trillion in its mutual and exchange-traded funds—greater than the national net worth of India or Brazil. Look at the top owners of any blue-chip company, and chances are Vanguard is No. 1 or No. 2. That gives it tremendous influence. When Vanguard talks, CEOs listen.
    The money manager especially can flex its muscles during proxy season, when shareholders of companies vote on proposals to change corporate policies. But when it comes to proposals related to climate change, Vanguard has chosen the sidelines.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.google.com/#q=Vanguard’s+Climate-Change+Dismissal
  • Neuberger Berman Sued For Excessive 401(k) Fees
    Thanks for the post.
    My employer's 401k added that Marvin Straus-managed fund to our 401k ~ 18 months ago. Never understood why. It made huge overweight bets in certain sectors (energy, at exactly the wrong time). And there is no real-time info on the fund. A website that provided quarterly updates disappeared. Expenses were high. And, pardon this "ageist" statement, an investment professional who started in the biz in 1961.. should he be a lead portfolio manager in 2016?
    I assumed that Marvin Schwartz was a friend/relative of someone who sits on my employer's 401k committee (or the CEO's wife), or that 'consideration' was provided under the table to add the fund to our menu of choices.
    My 401k has better choices Vanguard equity and PIMCO bond funds, so I've not forced to contribute to good-ole Marvin's estate, but found it annoying that with so many decent, even superior choices which could have been added to our plan, my employer's investment committee, presumably acting in a fiduciary capacity, chose Marvin.
  • Small-Cap Stocks Are On A Roll
    MSCFX +13.19 YTD. I always trim and consolidate just after the New Year. This one has been a good one for me. I bought it first in 2012 at $12.59. (Edit: Friday, 05 Aug: up +14.78%.)
  • MFO Ratings Updated Month Ending July 2016
    Updated MFO ratings and fund risk/performance metrics through July 2016 have just been posted on our Premium site.
  • Small-Cap Stocks Are On A Roll
    Hi @MikeW,
    Thanks for the question.
    For me, I am thinking of again rebalancing my portfolio and trimming back my allocation in equities. According to last Friday edition (July ending) of the WSJ the S&P 500 Index is selling at a TTM P/E Ratio of 25.0. For me, most equities are too richly priced for me to even think of adding to current positions (much less opening new positions) as I am in the trim mode keeping equities at about 45% of my asset allocation.
    Now, if we should get a good pullback (10% range) in the near term I most likely will become a buyer in equities and add to some current positions; and, then perhaps after the rebound lighten up in some other positions. With this, a rebalance within my equity allocation itself.
    Thus far, PMDAX has been a great fund for me; and, one that I have owned for about five years. It makes up about 60% of my small/mid cap sleeve found in the growth area of my portfolio. The other two small/mid cap funds that I own in this sleeve are ABSAX and PCVAX.
  • Bond-Fund Correlations Increase Interest-Rate Risk
    @Ted,That would be 2333 @ a 7% rise from 1:00 PM C D T SP 500. Your Cubs have you dreaming of a once every 100 year event !! That would approximate 3 deviations in Jeremy Grantham's view of reversion to the mean. Mr Grantham agrees with you on your optimism towards a continued rise in U S market.
    Last World Series title.108 long years ago.
    1908 Chicago Cubs Won World Series (4-1)over Detroit Tigers
    Cubs Franchise History
    http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/CHC/
    image image
    Immigration and Brexit
    Jeremy Grantham
    July 2016
    [On the investment front the equation remains the same: pushing stock prices higher are the twin forces of the Fed’s policy and corporate buybacks. Trying to push prices down is an impressive array of everything else: disappointing productivity, growth, and profit margins together with all
    our domestic and international political uncertainties. And now Brexit! It is a testimonial to the strength of those two bullish forces that they can steady the US market near its high, regardless, apparently, of what is thrown at it. I therefore remain, on the basis of those two remarkable pillars of support, for at least one more quarter where I have been for the last two years; despite brutal and
    widespread asset overpricing, there are still no signs of an equity bubble about to break, indeed
    cash reserves and other signs of bearishness are weirdly high. In my opinion, the economy still has
    some spare capacity to grow moderately for a while. All the great market declines of modern times
    1972, 2000, and 2007 – that went down at least 50% were preceded by great optimism as well as
    high prices. We can have an ordinary bear market of 10% or 20% but a serious decline still seems unlikely in my opinion. Now if we could just have a breakout rally to over 2300 on the S&P 500 and a bit of towel throwing by the bears, things could change. (2300 is our statistical definition of a bubble
    threshold.) But for now I believe the best bet is still that the US market will hang in or better, at least through the election.

    P.S.: Having admitted my error in commodities, I would like to clock in the
    seventh anniversary of my “7 Lean Years” prediction for the economy back in 2009. The speed of the
    recovery, and particularly productivity gains, has been very lean indeed.]
    https://www.gmo.com/docs/default-source/research-and-commentary/strategies/asset-allocation/immigration-and-brexit.pdf?sfvrsn=11
  • Small-Cap Stocks Are On A Roll
    Old_Skeet
    11:33AM edited 11:35AM Flag
    One of my small/mid cap funds, PMDAX, is indeed on a year-to-date roll ... up 16.6% ... plus, it sports a nice dividend!
    MikeW
    11:44AM Flag
    thanks for the heads up Ted and Skeet. Is there a way to get the load waived on PMDAX? Any thoughts on Wasatch Core Growth? curious if you are adding funds to this asset class...
    PMDAX.lw NTF at Schwab: $100 basic, same for IRA. But PMDIX with .86 ER at Scottrade for same amounts but $17 TF. Haven't looked at other third parties.
  • Small-Cap Stocks Are On A Roll
    @MFO Members: In afternoon trading the S&P SmallCap 600 is up 1.40% , and the Russell 2000 1.50%. The trend is your friend !
    Regards,
    Ted
  • Small-Cap Stocks Are On A Roll
    One of my small/mid cap funds, PMDAX, is indeed on a year-to-date roll ... up 16.6% ... plus, it sports a nice dividend!
  • Bond-Fund Correlations Increase Interest-Rate Risk
    FYI: If the direction of asset flows out of stock funds and into bond funds this year is any kind of guide, investors are seeking shelter and yield in fixed income. But they could be getting neither.
    Through the end of June, U.S. equity mutual funds experienced $56.2 billion worth of net outflows, while U.S. bond funds added $73.5 billion in net inflows.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.investmentnews.com/article/20160804/FREE/160809953?template=printart
  • Small-Cap Stocks Are On A Roll
    FYI: Risk has been in style recently. And that’s been good for companies with small market values.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2016/08/04/small-cap-stocks-are-on-a-roll/
    The S&P 600 is up 4.01% YTD
    Counterpoint: "Stop Carrying The Torch For Small Caps — No Matter What Payrolls Tell Us":
    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/stop-carrying-the-torch-for-small-caps-no-matter-what-payrolls-tell-us-2016-08-05/print
  • High Yield Closed End Bond Funds question for the learned
    Based on my initial investment of 7000 shares at $7/sh = $49k I would be getting $9800 each year in dividends. My cost basis would never change and my dividends would never change. The interest earned is not reinvested in shares. All income is held in cash in money market yielding zero.
    I think the area we are ignoring that would have the biggest impact is that if I sold at $17, I would be able to buy more shares (deriving more income) from the new fund purchased although at lower yields, but all of that would be at risk of loss if the share price dropped below my newly established cost basis. The chance of a capital loss at cost basis of $7 is near zero so from a portfolio management standpoint risk is greatly reduced and makes the decision not to sell my $7 investment much more attractive regardless of any compounding calculation. Theoretically, my portfolio value always goes higher although risks always abound.
  • High Yield Closed End Bond Funds question for the learned
    Yes, but it's built on a dubious assumption - that returns continue at 20%/year.
    The 20% yield was based on a price of $7/share and a dividend of $1.40/year (20%). As stated above, the price now never drops below $10/share, and the dividends (dollar amount) remains fixed "for the foreseeable future".
    That means that the best yield one can achieve on the earnings is 14% (reinvesting dividends at a min of $10/share, getting $1.40/share). So while the initial shares continue to yield 20% (based on initial purchase price, disregarding appreciation), compounding occurs at a much lower (blended) rate.
    Rule of 72 assumes that returns can be reinvested at the same rate of return. By hypothesis that's not the case here.
  • Bond Funds That Complement Each Other
    Added 8/06/16
    PTIAX
    Performance Trust Strategic Bond Fund
    Symbol: PTIAX
    No Transaction Fee No Transaction Fee 1 @ Fidelity 5000/500
    1 No Transaction Fee funds are available without paying a transaction fee. No Transaction Fee funds will also be offered without a load or on a load waived basis. However, the fund may charge a short term trading fee or a redemption fee
    From PTIAX
    What Sets Us Apart JUNE 30, 2016
    ■ Flexible multisector bond fund designed to shift among a broad
    range of fixed income sectors
    ■ Managed by a team with expertise in complex and niche fixed
    income sectors, which has resulted in a distinct portfolio
    ■ Seeks best risk adjusted opportunities through interest rate
    agnostic investment process
    Ten Largest Multisector ( Bond ) Funds Holdings in Common with PTIAX
    Number Percentage
    1. Pimco Income 19 4.63
    2. Loomis Sayles Bond 0 0.00
    3. Loomis Sayles Strategic Income 0 0.00
    4. Lord Abbett Bond-Debenture 0 0.00
    5. Fidelity Advisor® Strategic Income 0 0.00
    6. Fidelity® Strategic Income 0 0.00
    7. Franklin Strategic Income 0 0.00
    8. Alliance Bernstein High Income 4 1.58
    9. T. Rowe Price Spectrum Income 0 0.00
    10. Pioneer Strategic Income 0 0.00
    Average 2.3 0.62
    http://ptiafunds.com/documents/ptam-difference_ptiax_final.pdf
    Bond-fund correlations increase interest-rate risk
    August 4, 2016 http://www.investmentnews.com Aug 4, 2016 @ 1:32 pm
    By Jeff Benjamin
    Financial advisers should diversify into credit-risk strategies.
    ...K.C. Nelson, who manages $3 billion worth of fixed-income portfolios at Driehaus Capital Management, said bond fund investors who aren't careful could be hit hard by an interest rate hike, or just hit less hard by continued low rates.
    “Investors are drawn to bonds because they're afraid of all the macro risks out there, and they also believe interest rates are not going up anytime soon, but they're making a mistake by looking in the rearview mirror at the performance of bonds,” he said.
    When interest rates were at more normalized levels, diversification across the fixed-income spectrum was more straight forward, and could be accomplished through a blend of corporate, municipal, government bonds, and mortgage-backed strategies.
    But with the Federal Reserve setting its overnight rate at 0.25% and the 10-year Treasury yielding just 1.5%, the bond world has essentially morphed into a singular blob of rate-risk.
    Consider, for example, the various correlations to the SPDR Barclays Intermediate Term Treasury ETF (ITE).......
    http://www.investmentnews.com/article/20160804/FREE/160809953?template=printart
    From one of the story's links from Thornberg
    Bond Correlations and Interest Rates,
    Not Always a Straight Line
    Josh Yafa | Director,Thornberg Client Portfolio Management
    JUNE 2016
    When discussing investing, a standard rule applies: bring up bond correlations if your audience needs a nap.
    That axiom,however, suddenly becomes less tiresome when investors begin to worry about rising interest rates. Not surprisingly, the
    thought of losing significant principal from bonds—an inexplicable combination of terms for investors accustomed to fixed
    income’s ballast—tends to pique the attention of even the most seasoned and skeptical.
    http://www.thornburg.com/pdf/TH3621_BondCorrelation_C.pdf
    A look @ the Tax Excempt Market
    https://secure.wasmerschroeder.com/UserPages/1038185.pdf
    Quarterly Bond Market Overview
    June 30, 2016
    Wasmer, Schroeder & Company Wasmer Schroeder High Yield Muni Instl WSHYX
    “ISMS” & CENTRAL BANKS
    As we have pointed out in this publication on numerous occasions, multiple
    secular trends are at work across the globe keeping growth low and central bankers active.
    Political polarization in this country and others continues to put the burden squarely on central
    banks as the ability of lawmakers to make any meaningful contribution is non-existent. Even in
    the U.S., where our central bank has slowly begun the process of tightening monetary policy,
    the Federal Reserve has seemingly used Brexit as an opportunity to push additional moves
    further into an uncertain future. Clearly Europe and the U.K. will be in full accommodation mode
    now; and Japan, the unfortunate recipient of the risk-off trade in currency markets, continues
    to be in a very bad place on multiple fronts. So, higher asset prices, lower interest rates, and
    continued economic malaise are likely to continue.
    https://secure.wasmerschroeder.com/UserPages/1037492.pdf
    Hercules Capital, Inc. :HTGC
    Q2 2016 Earnings Call
    Manuel Henriquez – Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
    August 4, 2016 5:00 PM ET
    Mark Harris – Chief Financial Officer in final Q & A
    ..As you know, the yield curve is flatting dramatically when you go further out.
    So, I think that the short term of the curve is mispriced. We're hoping that as the market stabilized, that we'll see tightened yield spreads over the five-year rates. And once that occurs, I think that you'll definitely see us actively go out and refinance those 7% bonds you've been referring to which as I'm sure you'll realize in the event of refinancing those 7% bonds, that alone can be a 1 to 3 – sorry, $0.01 to $0.015 in quarterly earnings and prove it by resizing those bonds. But we'll make sure people understand this comment. The five-year treasury rate is acting like an Internet stock. Today alone, the five-year rate dropped nearly 4% to 1.03%. This is a five-year treasury rate. It's not supposed to be that volatile. That tells you what is going on. The 10-year rate is only 47 basis points wider than the five-year rate. That means I can borrow 10-year at 47 basis points higher plus the spread. That tells you that there's no incentive to the short-term borrowing in the capital markets right now.
    http://seekingalpha.com/article/3996111-hercules-capitals-htgc-ceo-manuel-henriquez-q2-2016-results-earnings-call-transcript?part=single
  • Bond Funds That Complement Each Other
    Hi @willmatt72
    What % of your total portfolio include the above funds? Are all of these funds tax deferred (IRA, 401K, etc.)
    Lastly, one has to consider that active managed funds may not always hold the bond types currently in place, eh?
    Regards,
    Catch
  • A $500 Billion Stampede In Money Markets Even Before New Rules Hit
    Source of that info was email from Vanguard.
    Interesting that Vanguard is not moving the cash from the prime account to the new Federal MMF settlement account.
    Does Vanguard let you make trades in a cash (non-margin) account if you don't have cash in the settlement account at the time of the trade? If it doesn't, and if you keep your cash in VMMXX, you'll need an extra day to trade. You sell VMMXX first (settles in a day), and then make the trade the next business day.
    Fidelity operates differently. It will draw from position (non-settlement) MMFs for trades once the cash in the settlement account is depleted. No one day lag. The downside is that if the position MMF has a redemption fee in place, you'll automatically get charged that redemption fee. At least that's the way I understand things. I believe Fidelity is still working through all of this.
  • Neuberger Berman Sued For Excessive 401(k) Fees
    FYI: Another financial services company has been targeted for costly proprietary investments in its 401(k) plan, leading to allegations of self-dealing at the expense of employees.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.investmentnews.com/article/20160804/FREE/160809954?template=printart
  • How are you investing in gold?
    @Bobpa: Suggest you look at Central Fund Of Canada (CEF), you get a twofer, gold and silver bullion, and a 15% tax rate. For you information I'm linking the fund's website for a straight foward look at what you getting. The funds is up 45% YTD
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.centralfund.com/