Mak'in a 65/35 portfolio into a 50/50 or less..... Hi Catch,
Indeed, the markets might move in the direction that you suggested. Then again, it just might generate results in the opposite direction. It's just statistics, but statistics do yield the probability likelihoods, and these offer decision making guidance.
The odds are important and I would never make an investment without some estimate of the payoff probabilities. "The future is uncertain, so investors should always think in terms of probabilities, never guarantees.". There is terrific wisdom in that single sentence. I copied it from an article referenced immediately below:
http://awealthofcommonsense.com/2015/11/playing-the-probabilities/The historical odds summarized in the opening table of this article provide the encouragement to stay in the market for the long term. On a daily basis, it's only slightly more positive for a rewarding day than a fair coin toss. But as the timeframe increases those odds become more and more attractive.
Stay strong, Catch. I will.
Best Wishes
Sovereign Funds Pull $18.4 Billion From Global Markets In First Quarter 2017 FYI: Sovereign wealth funds pulled $
18.4 billion from global stock and bond markets in the first quarter of 20
17, notwithstanding robust equity gains in this period, data from research firm eVestment showed on Thursday,
Oil-backed sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) have been under pressure since oil prices LCOc
1 tumbled from their mid-20
14 highs of $
115 to around $52 a barrel, with governments tapping state funds to close budget gaps
Regards,
Ted
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-swf-flows-idUSKCN18E14U