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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • No Script incompatability with MFO [Resolved]
    @Maurice
    (1) Isn't there some way of turning the No-Script plug-in off for websites you would designate as "Safe"? I'm also not familiar with this add-on (but would be interested in learning more).
    (2) All my checkers tell me it is as chip says it is. There is only one tracker running on MFO, called Site Analytics, which has been thoroughly vetted and approved by Ghostery as a tracker that does what it claims to do and no more (and if it tried to do more, chip would be able to see it happening, wouldn't she?).
  • No Script incompatability with MFO [Resolved]
    Hi, Maurice.
    We use Google analytics for tracking basic site visitor information only. We get overall number of sessions, browser and OS stats, visit duration, and so on, but only on an aggregate level. At no time are we able to identify any specific visitor to our site (unless you happen to login and post here).
    We use the information we do gather to monitor site traffic, to see which pages people spend time on (the discussion board is #1), and to make sure we're keeping our page design accessible for the greatest number of our readers.
    We have not made any recent changes to our site or discussion board software, but I'd be happy to try to work with you to ensure that you continue to be able to post and edit correctly. Please be aware, though, that this is not my area of expertise. You may have to be patient while I muddle my way through it.
    Chip
  • Best Emerging-Market Funds This Year? The Riskiest
    The "best" fund in any category can be a moving target, but especially so with actively-managed EM funds. YTD vs. 3 Yrs? Does 10 years even matter? Some say yes, some say no. Because EM stocks carry higher volatility than developed international stocks (for the most part), there may be a reason to make relatively low volatility a key screen. If that is the case, Seafarer SFGIX is worth a look, even though it only has a 4 year record. Its 3-yr Sharpe ratio is ahead of the other EM funds we track. If you value management that separates itself from the index, Driehaus DREGX and Wasatch WAEMX might fit the bill, since they are small-cap focused. If high Sortino ratio (performance compared to downside risk) is important, SFGIX once again comes through. Just because an entire asset class tends to have high volatility does not mean you have to accept that in the funds you select. ODYMX has the best 10-year record (Leverenz having run the fund for 9 of the 10 years). American New World NWFFX has a darned good record, too. But understand it only has about 35% in EM stocks. And Seafarer is only 57% EM stocks, both of which explain the lower volatility. So there you go.
  • Stratus Fund, Inc. to liquidate two funds
    @MFO Members:
    Rank in Category: Government Securities Portfolio (STGSX)
    89 84 99 99 98 94 98 99 92 97
    1Day, 1-Wk, 1Mo, 3Mo, YTD, 1, 3, 5, 10, 15 Yrs.
    Rank In Category: Growth Portfolio: (STWAX)
    81 23 74 66 13 49 60 77 89 76
    Regards,
    Ted
  • Stratus Fund, Inc. to liquidate two funds
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/870156/000087015616000085/s497.htm
    497 1 s497.htm
    STRATUS FUND, INC.
    Supplement dated May 11, 2016 to the Prospectuses, dated October 31, 2015,regarding the Retail Class A Shares and the Institutional Class Shares, respectively, of the Government Securities Portfolio and Growth Portfolio (the “Portfolios”) of Stratus Fund, Inc.
    The Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Stratus Fund, Inc. (the “Fund”) has determined that it is in the best interests of the shareholders of the Fund to liquidate and terminate the Fund. The laws of the Fund’s state of incorporation require the approval of a majority of the shareholders of each Portfolio to effect such a liquidation and termination. As such, the Board intends to call for a Special Meeting of Shareholders to be held on or about June 7, 2016.
    If the liquidation of the Fund is approved by a majority of the shareholders of each Portfolio, the Fund will cease accepting purchase orders from new or existing investors, except for the reinvestment of dividends, effective as of the close of the New York Stock Exchange on that date. The liquidation is expected to be effective on or about June 10, 2016, or at such other time as may be authorized by the Board (the “Liquidation Date”). Termination of the Funds is expected to occur as soon as practicable following liquidation.
    The Fund anticipates making a distribution of any income and/or capital gains of the Portfolios in connection with its liquidation. The liquidation distribution may be taxable. The tax year for the Fund will end on the Liquidation Date.
    Purchasers of Fund shares who purchase from the date of this notice and before the liquidation date may be subject to liquidation expenses that they would otherwise not bear, and also may incur short-term capital gains on losses on those shares upon liquidation.
    Shareholders of the Fund may redeem their shares at any time prior to the Liquidation Date.
    If a shareholder has not redeemed his or her shares as of the Liquidation Date, the shareholder’s account will be automatically redeemed and proceeds will be sent to the shareholder at his or her address of record. Liquidation proceeds will be paid in cash for the redeemed shares at their net asset value.
    If a you are a retirement plan investor, you should consult your tax advisor regarding the consequences of a redemption of Fund shares, or the receipt of a liquidating distribution. If you receive a distribution from an Individual Retirement Account or a Simplified Employee Pension (SEP) IRA, you must roll the proceeds into another Individual Retirement Account within sixty (60) days of the date of the distribution in order to avoid having to include the distribution in your taxable income for the year. If you receive a distribution from a 403(b)(7) Custodian Account (Tax-Sheltered account) or a Keogh Account, you must roll the distribution into a similar type of retirement plan within sixty (60) days in order to avoid disqualification of your plan and the severe tax consequences that it can bring. If you are the trustee of a Qualified Retirement Plan, you may reinvest the money in any way permitted by the plan and trust agreement. If you have questions or need assistance, please contact your financial advisor.
    If the liquidation is approved by shareholders, the Fund’s portfolio managers will likely increase the Fund’s assets held in cash and similar instruments in order to pay for Fund expenses and meet redemption requests. As a result, as of the date of shareholder approval of the liquidation, the Portfolios...
    (more information on the link)
  • Charles Royce Passes CEO Baton To Clark; Will Continue Stockpicking
    FYI: Small-company stockpicking legend Charles “Chuck” Royce announced Thursday morning that he is stepping down as CEO of the eponymous asset management firm he founded in 1972. Co-chief investment officer Chris Clark will succeed him in July.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://blogs.barrons.com/focusonfunds/2016/05/12/charles-royce-passes-ceo-baton-to-clark-will-continue-stockpicking/tab/print/
    M* Royce Fund Family:
    http://quicktake.morningstar.com/fundfamily/royce/0C00001YTG/fund-list.aspx
  • Oppenheimer Commodity Strategy Total Return Fund to liquidate
    @MFO Members: For your information.
    Regards,
    Ted
    FYI: (Click On Article Title At Top Of Google Search)
    Money management firm OppenheimerFunds Inc. is shutting down its nearly two-decade-old commodities fund, the firm said, following years of losses and underperformance.
    Oppenheimer plans to liquidate the Commodity Strategy Total Return Fund “on or around” July 15, the firm said last week in a supplement to the fund’s prospectus.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.google.com/#q=OppenheimerFunds+to+Shut+Down+Nearly+Two-Decade-Old+Commodities+Fund+
    M* Snapshot QRAAX:
    http://www.morningstar.com/funds/XNAS/QRAAX/quote.html
  • Oppenheimer Commodity Strategy Total Return Fund to liquidate
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1018862/000072888916002536/commoditystrategysticker.htm
    497 1 commoditystrategysticker.htm
    Oppenheimer Commodity Strategy Total Return Fund
    Supplement dated May 2, 2016 to the Supplements dated April 29, 2016 to the
    Summary Prospectus, Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information
    This supplement amends the supplements dated April 29, 2016 to the Summary Prospectus, Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information (the “April Supplements”) of the above referenced fund (the “Fund”), and is in addition to any other supplement(s).
    1. The Liquidation Date, as defined in the April Supplements, is changed from on or about June 29, 2016 to on or about July 15, 2016.
    2. The third sentence of the second paragraph of the April Supplements, regarding the date the Fund will no longer accept new investments, is deleted entirely and replaced with:
    Effective as of the close of the New York Stock Exchange on April 29, 2016, the Fund no longer accepts new purchases, except that existing shareholders can continue to purchase in the following types of retirement plans: defined contribution plans including 401(k) (including “Single K”), 403(b) custodial plans, pension and profit sharing plans, defined benefit plans (including “Single DB Plus”), SIMPLE IRAs and SEP IRAs. The Fund reserves the right, in its discretion, to modify the extent to which sales of shares are limited prior to the Liquidation Date.
    May 2, 2016 PS0735.047
  • Keeping Track Of Fixed Income: Key Fixed Income ETFs
    FYI: If you manage fixed income investments or have them as part of your portfolio as most investors do, you may have a hard time keeping track of what’s going on across the extremely large and diverse universe of fixed income products. To help, we publish our Fixed Income Weekly on Wednesdays to Bespoke Institutional subscribers. The 6-page report features a page of ad hoc commentary on topics related to fixed income, charts of major fixed income returns, yields, prices, and spreads, and a weekly update on a variety of yield curves including the Bespoke Global Yield Curve, our PPP-GDP weighted benchmark for the 15 largest local currency bond markets. We also summarize fixed income trends via ETF performance. This week’s ETF grid is presented below. Recent performance has been driven by duration, with long-term corporates and Treasuries outperforming. Since bottoming in February high yield bonds and bank loans have also done well on a total return basis. The only way to lose so far in 2016? Being short. Inverse ETFs that short Treasuries are deep in the red
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.bespokepremium.com/think-big-blog/keeping-track-of-fixed-income/
  • Sometimes Moving Averages Are Just Lines On A Chart
    Yep, I'll tell you how the moving averages worked out 10 years from now!
  • Sometimes Moving Averages Are Just Lines On A Chart
    FYI: There’a an ominous looking chart going around the internet that shows a stock market on the verge of collapse. As with many scary market charts, what you choose to show–or leave out–can change the picture immensely.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2016/05/10/sometimes-moving-averages-are-just-lines-on-a-chart/
  • S&P 500 Sector Performance Since The 5/21/15 All-Time High
    Thanks Ted,
    Here's another 1 year chart that is a little more global:
    image
    reference:
    sps-seasonal-change-value-china-vietnam/
  • Matthews Asia Announces Launch Of Asia Credit Opportunities Fund
    Very cool. Here's Teresa's performance with MAINX/MINCX since inception ...
    image
  • S&P 500 Sector Performance Since The 5/21/15 All-Time High
    FYI: We’re quickly approaching the one-year anniversary of the S&P 500’s all-time closing high made last May 21st. Below is a look at the performance of the S&P 500 and its ten sectors since that day. As shown, the S&P 500 as a whole is currently 2.4% below its all-time closing high. Since 5/21, four sectors are positive, while six are down. Utilities is up the most with a gain of 10.56%, followed by Consumer Staples at +8.79% and Telecom at 5.69%. All three of these sectors are defensive in nature, which speaks to the type of market we’ve been in over the last 11.5 months. The only other sector in the green since 5/21 is Consumer Discretionary, but nearly all of that gain is due to Amazon.com (AMZN) and Netflix (NFLX). On an equal-weighted basis, the Consumer Discretionary sector would be down as well.
    The Energy sector is the main reason why the S&P 500 is still below its 5/21/15 all-time high. Energy is still down 16.56% since then even though it has rallied back 25% from its lows. Materials is down the second-most at -9.3%, followed by Health Care at -6.24% and Financials at -5.91%. The Technology sector is down 2.99%, which is just a bit more than the S&P 500 as a whole.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.bespokepremium.com/think-big-blog/sp-500-sector-performance-since-the-52115-all-time-high/
    Sector Tracker: (Click On Selected Timeframe):
    http://www.sectorspdr.com/sectorspdr/tools/sector-tracker
  • Jeremy Grantham GMO Quarterly Letter: 1Q 2016
    Part I: Always Cry Over Spilt Milk
    (An Admission of a Past Mistake on Resources)
    Jeremy Grantham
    Part II: Updates
    Equity Markets
    The tone of the market commentators back in January, when I was writing my last quarterly letter,
    seemed much too pessimistic on global stock markets, particularly the U.S. market, and I said so.
    This relative optimism was an unusual position for me and the snapback in these markets has validated,
    to a modest degree, my thinking at the time. I still believe the following: 1) that we did not then, and
    do not today, have the necessary conditions to say that today’s world has a bubble in any of the most
    important asset classes; 2) that we are unlikely, given the beliefs and practices of the U.S. Fed, to end
    this cycle without a bubble in the U.S. equity market or, perish the thought, in a repeat of the U.S.
    housing bubble; 3) the threshold for a bubble level for the U.S. market is about 2300 on the S&P 500,
    about 10% above current levels, and would normally require a substantially more bullish tone on the
    part of both individual and institutional investors; 4) it continues to seem unlikely to me that this
    current equity cycle will top out before the election and perhaps it will last considerably longer; and 5)
    the U.S. housing market, although well below 2006 highs, is nonetheless approaching a one and onehalf-sigma
    level based on its previous history.
    https://www.gmo.com/docs/default-source/public-commentary/gmo-quarterly-letter.pdf
    PS
    @Ted Don't sell the farm ! From the letter..
    Farmland is likely to outperform most other assets. It is still my first choice for longterm
    investing.
  • Matthews Asia Announces Launch Of Asia Credit Opportunities Fund
    FYI: )--Matthews Asia has announced the expansion of its fixed income offerings today with the launch of the Matthews Asia Credit Opportunities Fund (MCRDX, Investor Class; MICPX, Institutional Class).
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20160510005433/en
    Matthews Website:
    http://us.matthewsasia.com/our-funds/f-32/matthews-asia-credit-opportunities-fund/investor/overview.fs
  • 31 Index Funds That Are Robbing You Blind
    I'd looked at that. Google doesn't tell you this, but these are on different dates. The NASDX list of top holdings is as of 3/31 (see M* summary page), and the USNQX list is three months older.
    USNQX uses the e-mini NASDAQ 100 futures contract " to reduce any performance discrepancies between the Fund and its respective Index" (from prospectus). This is what I meant when writing that the funds use different techniques for tracking the index and managing cash flows.
    The use of futures and other derivatives makes comparing stock percentages (even if calculated on the same date) nontrivial. One needs to add back the percentage contribution from each of the derivatives to know what the "effective" percentage of each stock is for a fund.
  • REITs Are Coming Of Age
    FYI: On Aug. 31, major market indices will no longer bundle REITs inside of "financials" as an industry classification. Instead, they will reside in a new category called, surprise, surprise, "real estate."
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.bloomberg.com/gadfly/articles/2016-05-09/reits-are-coming-of-age-for-investors
  • 31 Index Funds That Are Robbing You Blind
    The top 10 holdings in NASDX and USNQX as per Google:
    Nasdx
    Security Net Assets
    Apple Inc (AAPL) 9.51%
    Microsoft Corp (MSFT) 6.39%
    Facebook Inc A (FB) 5.09%
    Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) 4.70%
    Alphabet Inc C (GOOG) 3.50%
    Intel Corp (INTC) 3.04%
    Comcast Corp Class A (CMCSA) 3.03%
    Alphabet Inc A (GOOGL) 2.92%
    Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) 2.86%
    Gilead Sciences Inc (GILD) 2.66%
    Usnqx
    Security Net Assets
    Apple Inc (AAPL) 10.17%
    Microsoft Corp (MSFT) 7.68%
    Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) 5.49%
    Alphabet Inc C (GOOG) 4.55%
    Nasdaq 100 E-Mini Mar16 Xcme 20160318 4.20%
    Facebook Inc A (FB) 4.12%
    Alphabet Inc A (GOOGL) 3.93%
    Intel Corp (INTC) 2.82%
    Gilead Sciences Inc (GILD) 2.53%
    Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) 2.39%
  • How To Fed-Proof Your Bondholdings Now
    Global bond yields touch new all-time low
    May 9 2016, 11:37 ET | By: Stephen Alpher, SA News Editor
    Global bond yields have fallen to 1.28%, according to a Bloomberg index. The high over the past decade was the 4.84% hit in July 2007 as the financial crisis was beginning to unfold.
    image
    https://twitter.com/lisaabramowicz1/status/729628794936512512
    Probably will be discussed Here
    image
    Please join us for a live DBL/DSL audio webcast hosted by:
    Jeffrey Gundlach
    Mr. Gundlach will discuss his outlook on the markets and what he believes may be the best investment stratgies and sector allocations for the closed-end funds; DoubleLine Opportunistic Credit (DBL) and DoubleLine Income Solutions Fund (DSL).
    Thursday, May 12, 2016
    1:15 pm PT/4:15 pm ET/3:15 CT
    Register
    https://event.webcasts.com/starthere.jsp?ei=1085522