Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. If you want to get involved, click one of these buttons!

Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Replacement for RSIVX Multi sector bond fund. in a Roth ira fund purchased about a year ago.
    The strategic income bond fund moniker probably ought to be outlawed - as it tends more to obfuscate than enlighten. That term can refer to a wide variety of approaches. As heezsafe notes, this fund invests largely in lower quality bonds rated BBB and below. While BBB technically denotes investment grade, these are considered "speculative" - having some characteristics of investment grade and some of non-investment grade. The holdings in AAA (likely U.S. government backed) is designed to hedge against the risks of all those lower rated bonds. That's probably where the strategic part of the name originates.
    Andy's link (below) puts the non-investment grade portion at 68%.The 1.24% ER is a tad high - but not unusual for funds investing in lower rated bonds. Apparently, more intensive research is required on the manager's part.
    I don't have any wisdom to offer or bone to pick here. Like Ralph I've chosen to hold a substantial amount of income producing assets in my older Roth IRA - seeking to protect some of the big gains from equities following the '07-'09 meltdown. FWIW, these 3 have filled the bill for me: RPSIX, DODIX, DODLX. (The last one has fared even worse, however, than RSVIX, being exposed to international bonds.). If I were to recommend one to Ralph it would be RPSIX - along with a healthy dose of patience!
    (Earlier posted bond quality ratings removed per Andy's helpful note below.)
  • Portfolio Review
    Hi @ bee,
    Sorry I missed your flag or I would have commented earlier in the thread. It is interesting to read how others follow and manage their portfolio(s). I think what is important is that each that has commented has a system that works well for them. With this I thought I'd post my sleeve management system again in hopes it will add to the venues already posted and might help someone find their way along the pathway of investing.
    Old_Skeet's Sleeve Management System
    Here is a brief description of my sleeve system which I organized to help better manage the investments that were held in five accounts. The accounts consist of a taxable account, a self directed ira account, a 401k account, a profit sharing account and a health savings account plus two bank accounts. With this I came up with four investment areas. They are a cash area which consist of two sleeves … an investment cash sleeve and a demand cash sleeve. The next area is the income area which consists of two sleeves. … a fixed income sleeve and a hybrid income sleeve. Then there is the growth & income area which has more risk associated with it than the income area and it consist of four sleeves … a global equity sleeve, a global hybrid sleeve, a domestic equity sleeve and a domestic hybrid sleeve. An finally there is the growth area, where the most risk in the portfolio is found and it consist of four sleeves … a global sleeve, a large/mid cap sleeve, a small/mid cap sleeve and a specialty sleeve. Each sleeve consists of three to six funds (in most cases) with the size and the weight of each sleeve can easily be adjusted, from time-to-time, by adjusting the number of funds and the amounts held. By using the sleeve system one can get a better picture of their overall investment picture and weightings by sleeve and area. In addition, I have found it beneficial to xray each fund, each sleeve, each investment area, and the portfolio as a whole monthly. Again, weightings can be adjusted form time-to-time as to how I might be reading the markets and wish to weight accordingly. All funds pay their distributions to the cash area of the portfolio with the exception being those in my 401k, profit sharing, and health savings accounts where reinvestment occurs. With the other accounts paying to the cash area builds the cash area of the portfolio to meet the portfolio’s monthly cash disbursement with the residual being left for new investment opportunity. In addition, most all buy/sell trades settle from or to the cash area with some nav exchanges taking place.
    Here is how I have my asset allocation broken out in percent ranges, by area. My neutral targets are cash 15%, income 30%, growth & income 35%, and growth 20%. I do an Instant Xray analysis of the portfolio monthly and make asset weighting adjustments as I feel warranted based upon my assessment of the market, my risk tolerance, cash needs, etc. Currently, I am heavy in the cash area at 25%, light in the income area at 20% and neutral in the equity area at 55% with 5% of the 55% being allocated to other assets as classified my Morningstar but included as part of the overall equity allocation.
    Cash Area (Weighting Range 5% to 25% with target weighting at 15%)
    Demand Cash Sleeve… (Cash Distribution Accrual & Future Investment Accrual)
    Investment Cash Sleeve … (Savings & Time Deposits)
    Income Area (Weighting Range 20% to 40% with target weighting at 30%)
    Fixed Income Sleeve: GIFAX, LALDX, THIFX, LBNDX, NEFZX & TSIAX
    Hybrid Income Sleeve: CAPAX, CTFAX, FKINX, ISFAX, JNBAX & PGBAX
    Growth & Income Area (Weighting Range 25% to 45% with target weighting at 35%)
    Global Equity Sleeve: CWGIX, DEQAX & EADIX
    Global Hybrid Sleeve: BAICX, CAIBX & TIBAX
    Domestic Equity Sleeve: ANCFX, FDSAX, INUTX, NBHAX, SPQAX & SVAAX
    Domestic Hybrid Sleeve: ABALX, AMECX, DDIAX, FRINX, HWIAX & LABFX
    Growth Area (Weighting Range 10% to 30% with target weighting at 20%)
    Global Sleeve: AJVAX, ANWPX, NEWFX, PGROX, THOAX & THDAX
    Large/Mid Cap Sleeve: AGTHX, IACLX, SPECX & VADAX
    Small/Mid Cap Sleeve: PCVAX, PMDAX & VNVAX
    Specialty Sleeve: LPEFX, PGUAX & TOLLX
    Total Number of Mutual Fund Positions = 46
    Trailing Note: I have found Dr. Mandell's Newsletter "Mutual Fund Research Newsletter," which you make reference to above, to be both informative and good reading. Notice, I am not too far off from his second quarter target allocations for his moderate allocation portfolio model of 25% cash, 25% bonds, 50% stocks. At this point in time, I have elected to remain cash heavy and utilize special investment positions (spiffs) form time-to-time over reducing my cash allocation and raising my allocation to bonds as he did in his third quarter call. I feel it is better to have some extra dry powder on hand during these most uncertain market conditions and use it from time-to-time in spiffs. Thinking of giving Kathleen Gaffney another go in her EVBAX (of course not the whole wad) as this is an income fund and it does hold about 50% in bonds plus some other income generating securities. To me, it is more of an income generating tactical allocation fund rather than a traditional bond fund. It will probally perform well in an upward moving market and poorly in downward trending market. At this time, just pondering.
  • Portfolio Review
    @bee: Your question on tracking a portfolio is thought provoking. Here’s my 2 cents.
    I am retired, thus I am in the withdrawal stage, not the accumulation phase. I use a Lazy Portfolio Scheme to implement an asset allocation of 50/50 stocks to bonds.
    I use Excel worksheets as follows:
    A “Portfolio” worksheet tracks the portfolio (I also have a “Temp” and “Rebalance” worksheets described later). At the top are today’s date, current value, value at end of last year, and YTD percent gain/loss. My current YTD is a loss of 2.114% that includes all drawdowns to date including most of my Minimum Required Distribution (MRD).
    NEXT is the “Assets” table of current price, shares owned, value and category (Domestic Stock, International Stock, Fixed Income, and Cash) for each asset. It is arranged in alphabetic order to accommodate brokerage watch lists and Excel LOOKUP functions.
    I use the following categories:
    Domestic Stock
    International Stock
    Fixed Income
    Cash
    NEXT are details for each account in my portfolio (Rollover IRA, TIAA Traditional, A-Trust, B-Trust, Individual, Experimental, and Credit Union). For each account the Price, Shares, Value and category of each asset are listed. A summary by category shows the value, and percent of each category in the account.
    LAST is a Consolidated Details for all accounts. I use a separate table for each of the categories. For each asset I list Price, Sum of shares from all accounts, Value, Current Allocation, and Target Allocation.
    Thus I can visualize my portfolio in terms of assets, assets in each account, and assets sorted by category.
    A “Temp” worksheet provides an intermediary for specifying current asset prices. I copy values from a Watchlist in my Fidelity account. I paste the values from the watchlist into the Temp worksheet and then copy the price column to the portfolio worksheet. (Note that I have arranged my assets in alphabetical order for this to work.) The Temp worksheet can be used for general calculations with the restriction that no other worksheet should link to any cell in the Temp worksheet.
    A “Rebalance” worksheet calculates buys and sells when I rebalance my asset allocation portfolio. In general I compare the current allocation of an asset to a target allocation and do buys and sells to rebalance to target values.
    First I create a “Target Allocation Table” that shows target allocations for each of the four categories and the assets in each category. I initially set the target values in collaboration with a fee-only Financial Advisor. The values by major category:
    29% Domestic Stock ETFs
    21% International Stock ETFs
    45% Fixed IncomeS
    5% Cash
    I won’t go into details of this worksheet, but have the following remarks:
    1. There will be a variety of account types: As one gets older different financial situations occur, e.g. trust accounts, retirement, death/divorce of spouse, marriage, etc. There needs to be flexibility to handle financial resources that are not mutual funds or ETFs. My situation has accounts:
    Trust-A
    Trust-B (with its separate tax-ID)
    Rollover IRA
    Individual (used as a conduit between other accounts and my bank)
    Experimental
    Credit Union
    Life can become more complicated in retirement!
    2. I fine-tune allocations between accounts: Although my Rebalance worksheet does an initial calculation of buys and sells, I manually fine-tune the allocations for the following reasons:
    a. I want to have sufficient cash in the IRA to fund my MRD from that account.
    b. I want to take capital gains in tax deferred accounts, not taxable accounts.
    c. In the Trust-B account I want to minimize taxes so I over allocate a muni-bond fund.
    d. The Experimental account is exempt from buys and sells of a rebalance operation.
    3. I combine two or more assets into a “Combined Asset”. For example I am taking a Minimum Required Distribution (MRD) from a TIAA Traditional account that does not allow me to trade this asset. (There are other options I could have selected, but immediately liquidating the entire asset was not available.) I have solved this by combining the TIAA with my BND ETF and allocate a percentage to the combined quantity that I call “Total Bond Market/Long-Term Fixed Income” Within this combined asset, I assign TIAA’s target allocation to its current allocation, and the BND target allocation to the difference of the target allocation assigned to the Combined Asset and the TIAA current allocation. Another example might be a $10,000 T-Bill that can only be sold in its entirety. Yes, I know this is a forum about mutual funds and ETFs, but stuff happens and we need to adapt.
    4. I rebalance based on a calendar event, not a market event or a difference between current and target asset percentages. I have chosen the middle of August and February. I want to avoid any semblance of market timing.
    I hope you find this useful.
  • "Revised" Prospectus... really??
    Summary prospectuses typically state that the statutory prospectus and SAI are incorporated by reference. So these more complete documents are an integral part of what you are reading.
    The change here concerned the closing and opening of funds. Rather than avoiding funds that make such changes (that affect their prospectuses), funds that diligently manage their level of assets would seem to be desirable.
    Statutory prospectuses AFAIK always include the supplements (revisions) explicitly, so you can see clearly exactly what changed. For example, the Artisan Global Value statutory prospectus starts with a two page supplement (dated September 21st). Here's a copy of that supplement.
    (In case you think you're seeing double in this SEC filing, the reason why the two pages appear twice is that the filing includes the supplement for the Investor/Institutional share class prospectus, and the supplement for the Advisor share class prospectus. Aside from the share class names and prospectus page numbers, the two versions appear identical.)
  • "Revised" Prospectus... really??
    @Alban
    It seems to vary from company to company. The specific revision which triggered my post says this at the top:
    Summary Prospectus
    February 1, 2015,
    as supplemented September 21, 2015

    It is a presumably revised or "supplemented" version, but contains all of the information in the previous version, with no highlighting to indicate which portions have been revised or supplemented.
  • "Revised" Prospectus... really??
    Hi Old_Joe,
    I am not sure I understand this very well. When you say "revised" prospectus, do you mean that the fund filed another prospectus after it filed its annual prospectus? I thought that funds are required to file one prospectus every year. So, if they file more that one prospectus per year, that means that the later prospectuses are revised. Is that correct?
    I know about the restatements or revisions that companies make to their 10-K reports, and I was wondering whether what you are referring to is similar to the restatements of 10-K-reported data.
    Thanks,
    Alban
  • Replacement for RSIVX Multi sector bond fund. in a Roth ira fund purchased about a year ago.
    I wouldn't think of RSIVX as a multi-sector bond fund, even though M* puts it there (IMO, incorrectly). [If it is multi-sector, then where are the sectors (PLURAL) that you see, M*? All I see is elevated cash and corp bonds, most of them being below investment-grade.... sort of like OSTIX, which you list as HY, and which has an even lower duration than RSIVX]. Viewed as a short-intermediate HY bond fund, I think its YTD performance would still rate a middle-range disappointment.
    For alternatives, see other funds mentioned here:
    http://www.mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/comment/67243/#Comment_67243
    For recent discussion, see:
    http://www.mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/22813/nathan-s-famous-hot-dogs-and-rsivx#latest
    @Ralph If you aren't incredibly yield-hungry, are more of a total return kinda guy for this one, and are looking for something more in line with what you thought you'd be getting with RSIVX, I'd take a serious look at what willmatt72 suggested with ASHDX (if you can get the D class in your Roth). The lead manager, Douglas Forsyth, has taken on some additional administrative duties recently, but everything he has done at Alliance has turned out very well for investors for quite some time.
    For comparative purposes, go to this Compare graph from the Fidelity site I have set up for you, and fiddle with the YTD and 1 yr performance. You might find the results interesting/helpful. If you have other funds in mind and want to remove one on the list, simply click the big X next to the one you wish to vanquish, then enter your new one in the Add Symbol window. [remember to click on the various Tabs; a lot of additional info there]
    https://www.fidelity.com/fund-screener/compare.shtml#!&fIds=RSIVX,ARTFX,PRHYX,ASHDX,OSTIX&tab=ic
  • Replacement for RSIVX Multi sector bond fund. in a Roth ira fund purchased about a year ago.
    Disappointed in RISVX PERFORMANCE-- YR. TO DATE =MINUS 1.67 % -- 12 MONTHS = DOWN 1.70 %
    -- EXPENSE RATIO =1.24 %
    I'am aware from M* 'QUICK RANK' TOOL OF A NUMBER OF MSB Funds that are in the BLACK for the same time frames,
    and with lower.ER
    However, I would appreciate any suggestions & advice from the pros here @ MFO.
    Thanks
    Ralph
  • Barron's Oct 17 2015: Lewis Braham - Five Great Overlooked Funds (quotes David Snowball)
    https://www.google.com/search?q=barron's snowball funds Oct 2015 Overlooked
    There are 173 funds with less than $100 million in them that have outperformed more than 80% of their peers in the past five years, according to Morningstar... (here are five)
  • small value: HUSIX vs TDVFX
    Hi @expatsp,
    I thought about this same question on several occasions and I've landed with TDVFX.
    The lower expense ratio and smaller asset base were part of that and I also appreciate that David said the Towle family has over 90% of their net worth invested in the strategy. I hadn't paid attention to what you noticed about the team approach, but if I had that would have been a plus as well even though I suspect the elder Towle's opinion carries a good deal more weight than any of the others. Aside from the mutual fund, the Towle strategy has a history dating back to the early 1980s and if you believe what's on their website the performance has been fantastic. Even though I don't give full credit to performance outside of the mutual fund structure, I appreciate the longevity of their approach and the track record.
    One other thing I've noticed, which I realize can change at any time, is that Towle has a much higher percentage of "value" holdings according to M* than Huber. When I put that together with David's comments that Towle is one of the few who's willing risk the pain of pursuing the full potential of deeply undervalued stocks, I decided that TDVFX was the better way to go for me.
  • interesting scenario: hybrid funds as a contagion bridge from a bond crisis to an equity sell-off
    Since reading this thread I've pinned the word "liquidity" to a few of my remaining brain cells. Here's David Fuller of Fullermoney commenting on the concept of "liquidity" and the recent closure of a highly leveraged etf:
    "Generally speaking, a high level of liquidity reduces volatility because institutional investors can enter or exit that market more easily. You can see this when comparing a chart of the S&P 500 Index (arguably the most liquid stock market index in the world), over the medium to longer term with indices of most smaller developed countries such as Denmark or Ireland, not to mention any emerging markets such as Brazil or India.
    However, the proliferation of hedge funds and particularly high-frequency trading (HFT) in many liquid markets certainly increases the intraday volatility, while producing occasional meltdowns, such as we last saw on 24th August. The HFT promoters and apologists frequently mention their contribution to liquidity. Yes, but on days when they account for most of the volume, and other investors are temporarily frightened into inactivity, we get either small meltups or much bigger meltdowns, usually caused by front running."

    Related Bloomberg article he referenced:
    world's biggest leveraged etf halts orders on liquidity concern
  • small value: HUSIX vs TDVFX
    I'm considering swapping one MFO-profiled fund (HUSIX) for another, TDVFX. I can do this without tax consequences. Both have performed poorly over the past year, but I expect that now and then from a deep value fund, that doesn't bother me (much.)
    My thoughts are: TDVFX has a lower expense ratio (1.20% vs 1.85%) and smaller asset base (about $500 million vs. $1 billion, including separate accounts), plus it seems more of a team-managed effort than one based on a star manager, and I rather prefer the idea of a management team based in St. Louis instead of Southern California.
    HUSIX is overweight is financials and basic materials. TDVFX is overweight in energy and industrials. I'm not capable of deciding which overweight is a more likely bet.
    One advantage to HUSIX is that it's remarkably tax efficient, only 3 basis points (0.03%) over the last 5 years, as opposed to TDVFX's still modest, but higher 0.73%, according to M*.
    HUSIX also had a record of bouncing back really well from bad years like the one it's been having.
    Any thoughts?
  • FAIRX composition
    Yesterday (10/15/15), BAC was up 3.52% , AIG was up 2%, SHLD was up 3.89%
    Meanwhile, FAIRX was only up .97%
    May we fairly deduce from this that the portfolio must look a lot different now than it did when it was last reported?
  • WSJ: Are you ready to buy stocks from your grocery store?
    I believe there are some venture capital firms who are letting individual investors invest in private companies for a fee. This is like shadow trading if you think about it.
    What Bitcoin doing to traditional currencies, this shadow trading in illiquid private companies is doing to the stock market. Taken to the extreme, companies do not have to go public. Effectively they are now like a CEF with fixed number of shareholders.
    Just like with a currency - especially today when everything is by fiat - it is all about confidence. If 10 venture capitalists feel comfortable trading a companies "equity" amongst themselves, who's to stop them? If the company founders get the necessary capital they need and keep share of profits, that's all that matters.
  • Lower gas prices means no Social Security increase next year
    @hank You have that profligate seniors problem, too? Just looking at the way they drive tells you all you need to know about 'em, hogging 2 lanes instead of one whenever they take a hank-ering. :)
    http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/15/us-retirement-medicare-cola-idUSKCN0S925S20151015?feedType=nl&feedName=PersonalFinance
  • Lower gas prices means no Social Security increase next year
    Health care plan monthly premium at this house will increase by 7.1% as of April 2016; per recent written notification.
  • Proposed reorganization of Royce European Small-Cap & Global Value Funds
    Old wine, new wine, boxes and bottles. Drink up, Chuck !
    Oh, the memories. Box wine at a Jimmie Buffet concert, 1990. My wife was pissed...