M* JR Defends Standard Deviation (SD) M* JR Defends Standard Deviation (SD)The notion of SD is so ancient (and independent of the MPT) that many write it off too easily. M* JR offers 3 points in the defense of SD:
1. JR's own comparative study of Downside Capture and SD concluded that both provide quite similar information. But the SD is much easier to calculate.
2. Don't blame SD for missing hidden risks, black swans, etc. Only deep fundamental analysis can detect those, if at all. Anyway, TR misses that too, so what?
3. SDs moderate over long periods of time. So, 1
5-yr SD should be lower than 3-yr SD. This is useful in portfolio design.
So, JR seems to be saying that there are more positives than negatives for SD, so quit complaining.
Finally, JR is implicitly referring to the SD of returns, not of prices (used for Bollinger Bands, BBW, etc).
https://www.morningstar.com/columns/rekenthaler-report/standard-deviation-is-an-imperfect-measure-not-useless
Thoughts on PSTL, O and PFE? Are they considering large positions and what % of total assets? I would be cautious, as an individual investor, putting a lot of money in individual stocks. Why not pick a good dividend fund, a REIT fund and maybe a bond fund like OSTIX.
I would also do a lot more digging and look for a well diversified income portfolio. Why take on the risk of individual stocks when treasuries pay 4.5 to 5% ?
BYW my parents owned PFE all the way up to 50 and now down to 28. Hard to think it will go down more but even as an MD I cannot predict what their drug pipeline will do. They used to be top of the class, but no more
Federal Reserve Hacked by LockBit Ransomware Another day, another disclosure....
I saw the writing on the wall 15 years ago -- very glad I'm not in operational cybersecurity anymore!
Thoughts on PSTL, O and PFE? Long term shareholder of O here and it's been a very satisfactory investment. Excellent management team. Nothing glamorous, has it's ups and downs with the share price depending on the economic cycle (read: interest rates) but through it all it keeps delivering the same steady dividends with dividend growth to boot. It's one investment I rarely ever have to look at. I add whenever it goes below $50/share because it generally doesn't stay there for long.
In the past 6 months I've considered both PFE and PSTL. I believe in the PSTL concept, just haven't pulled the trigger yet because I own other REIT's. My only issue with PFE is that I aside from ABBV I have a horrible track record in the healthcare segment. Price fluctuations are my biggest concerns.
Vanguard Website Yup, can't log into VG 6/25/24 @ 10:15am ADD: working now 10:22am
Thoughts on PSTL, O and PFE? My parents are retiring soon and want some additional income to help fund their retirement. They're considering these options: PSTL yields 7.28% and pays quarterly, O yields 5.9% and pays monthly, PFE yields 5.85% and pays quarterly.
Please let me know what board members think of these options? Any other suggestions for a fairly dependable yield?
Thanks in advance for any and all replies!!
Rising Auto & Home Insurance Costs @gman57 : Why not checkout policies for this year ? Are you short on time ?
Rising Auto & Home Insurance Costs Ouch, just got my insurance policies
auto +5%
home +28%
umbrella +3%
28%!!!! WTH!!! I did have a roofing claim a couple years ago. I had a local broker research all my policies about 5 years ago. Saved me about 1k/yr. I think next year it's time to review all policies again.