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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • off to Morningstar!
    I'd be curious what Choi from Parnassus has to say - I've always liked their Equity Income Fund despite the WFC issue some years ago. I bailed out a few years ago when the fund was getting more growthy than I wanted. (Would be nice if they made an ETF of PRBLX/PRILX.) Maybe see how they're doing post their assimilation by AMG?
    Interestingly, the Centre Global Infrastructure reads a *lot* like my Schwab income portfolio, though it's doing better and without the 1.57 ER, so yay me.
  • M* JR Defends Standard Deviation (SD)
    M* JR Defends Standard Deviation (SD)
    The notion of SD is so ancient (and independent of the MPT) that many write it off too easily. M* JR offers 3 points in the defense of SD:
    1. JR's own comparative study of Downside Capture and SD concluded that both provide quite similar information. But the SD is much easier to calculate.
    2. Don't blame SD for missing hidden risks, black swans, etc. Only deep fundamental analysis can detect those, if at all. Anyway, TR misses that too, so what?
    3. SDs moderate over long periods of time. So, 15-yr SD should be lower than 3-yr SD. This is useful in portfolio design.
    So, JR seems to be saying that there are more positives than negatives for SD, so quit complaining.
    Finally, JR is implicitly referring to the SD of returns, not of prices (used for Bollinger Bands, BBW, etc).
    https://www.morningstar.com/columns/rekenthaler-report/standard-deviation-is-an-imperfect-measure-not-useless
  • Thoughts on PSTL, O and PFE?
    Are they considering large positions and what % of total assets? I would be cautious, as an individual investor, putting a lot of money in individual stocks. Why not pick a good dividend fund, a REIT fund and maybe a bond fund like OSTIX.
    I would also do a lot more digging and look for a well diversified income portfolio. Why take on the risk of individual stocks when treasuries pay 4.5 to 5% ?
    BYW my parents owned PFE all the way up to 50 and now down to 28. Hard to think it will go down more but even as an MD I cannot predict what their drug pipeline will do. They used to be top of the class, but no more
  • Federal Reserve Hacked by LockBit Ransomware
    Another day, another disclosure....
    I saw the writing on the wall 15 years ago -- very glad I'm not in operational cybersecurity anymore!
  • Thoughts on PSTL, O and PFE?
    Long term shareholder of O here and it's been a very satisfactory investment. Excellent management team. Nothing glamorous, has it's ups and downs with the share price depending on the economic cycle (read: interest rates) but through it all it keeps delivering the same steady dividends with dividend growth to boot. It's one investment I rarely ever have to look at. I add whenever it goes below $50/share because it generally doesn't stay there for long.
    In the past 6 months I've considered both PFE and PSTL. I believe in the PSTL concept, just haven't pulled the trigger yet because I own other REIT's. My only issue with PFE is that I aside from ABBV I have a horrible track record in the healthcare segment. Price fluctuations are my biggest concerns.
  • Vanguard Website
    Yup, can't log into VG 6/25/24 @ 10:15am ADD: working now 10:22am
  • Thoughts on PSTL, O and PFE?
    My parents are retiring soon and want some additional income to help fund their retirement. They're considering these options: PSTL yields 7.28% and pays quarterly, O yields 5.9% and pays monthly, PFE yields 5.85% and pays quarterly.
    Please let me know what board members think of these options? Any other suggestions for a fairly dependable yield?
    Thanks in advance for any and all replies!!
  • Rising Auto & Home Insurance Costs
    @gman57 : Why not checkout policies for this year ? Are you short on time ?
  • Rising Auto & Home Insurance Costs
    Ouch, just got my insurance policies
    auto +5%
    home +28%
    umbrella +3%
    28%!!!! WTH!!! I did have a roofing claim a couple years ago. I had a local broker research all my policies about 5 years ago. Saved me about 1k/yr. I think next year it's time to review all policies again.
  • ⇒ All Things Boeing ... NASA may send Starliner home without its crew
    It is odd that a company like Boeing could fall apart while others like Toyota can continue to build very reliable products, but I think it is due to a common factor GREED
    The same ongoing disasters are very common in health care where the bean counters and private equity have been allowed to take over, putting profits as their only priority
    Barron's article on HCA is a good example, but even non profit hospitals have thrown the professionals out of the window and make decisions based on margins only also
    Doctors are told what to do, how many patients to see, what medical devices to use or not use based on economics.
    Occasionally they object and get fired. But this whistleblower won.
    https://www.capecodtimes.com/story/news/2024/05/16/cardiac-procedure-medicare-claims-cape-cod-hospital-richard-zelman-tavr/73721900007/
    Patients ( ie customers) suffer
    My wife and I are going nuts tying to ensure our daughter's procedure at a major Medical Center is authorized and paid for. It has been almost a month and we are both experienced health care professionals and know what to ask.
    And the CEOs of these crappy places make thousands of times more than the workers
  • Things I'm Watching....
    Similar to @Mark, I’m “comfy” where I am. Never been one to play around in the S&P index funds or much in tech. Nice that people have made a ton there - just not for me. Very diversified. Just 1 stock. That one’s in the consumers staples area that I view as a defensive holding likely to hold its own or even rise when the high-fliers fall to earth (but not true of the broader sector).
    I’m a bit high on cash. Nearly put a bit to work this morning on GHC which I sold late last year for $685-$690. Currently back down to $700. Naw. Not worth the gamble.
    Thanks @MikeM and @Tarwheel for the beer suggestions. Will give ‘em a try. Still searching for the perfect scotch. Both the Glenfiddich 12 I’m working on now and the Glenlevit 12 that preceded it are pretty decent. But not sold on either. Tried JWB Double-Black once and couldn’t see that it’s any better than their regular. But I’ve noticed another JWB on the shelves that’s more expensive than Double Black. May give it a try next.
  • XMHQ Large Distribution 6/24
    @BenWP, XMHQ shows a very large dividend payment toady, 6/24. $4.58 per share. I noticed the drop in the market value in my account also at the start of the day and was a bit startled. But if you look at the ETF daily return, it is actually up about .9%. I think the drop in share price to compensate the distribution just hasn't caught up yet.
  • XMHQ Large Distribution 6/24
    @BaluBalu, it should be no surprise that M* got it wrong. The numbers are as @BenWP reported.
    I'm guessing some percentage would have been Super Micro, which graduated to the 500. There were probably others.
    I'll grieve about it during the long winter nights.
  • Things I'm Watching....
    Doing more waiting than watching, waiting for a correction of sorts so I can put my accumulating cash to work in my perpetual watch list. I tend to be 75-85% invested in equities at all times but nothing looks appealing at this juncture. In the meantime my income pays the bills and 5-5.15% interest in a MM account is satisfactory.
  • Current CDs are Compelling
    When I first started buying CDs for a ladder in early 2023, I bought a bunch of callable CDs, not realizing the distinction. So far, only one has been called in, and I was able to reinvest at the same or a higher rate. So, I’ve been benefiting from the higher yields all this time, roughly 0.3-0.5% higher.
  • Current CDs are Compelling
    JPMorgan callables are sucker bait. They will be called, and as soon as possible.

    I reserve the term "sucker bait" for introductory high yield bank CDs that automatically roll over to some lower rate before you can get out. Even if you get a free toaster.
    I have several Capital One CDs, paying over 5%. When I set those up, I was given choices of what happens to the maturing CDs, and my choice was for them to be deposited into a High Yield Savings Account, currently paying over 4%. When those proceeds are placed into my Savings Account, I will decide whether I want to re-invest in future CDs at Capital One, or transfer them to my Schwab Account for options there, including CDs or MMs or open end Mutual Funds, etc etc.
  • Current CDs are Compelling
    JPMorgan callables are sucker bait. They will be called, and as soon as possible.
    Respectfully disagree. I was looking for a good 1 yr cd. I found a new 5 yr cd paying 6% (Goldman Sachs, better than any 1yr rate I could find) which is callable in 1 year. If it gets called in a year I'm happy as that was my target, if not I'll let the 6% cd ride.
  • Current CDs are Compelling
    @Old_Joe said:
    JPMorgan callables are sucker bait. They will be called, and as soon as possible.
    Only sucker bait if you don't expect the call, Dan. I've bought quite a few CDs and Gov. Agency bonds that have been called, but you can play that game to eek out a couple more dollars, I think. The purchase description will tell you when the "next callable date" is and the call schedule thereafter. So if you buy a 10 year bond with a 6% rate and it lasts a minimum of 3 or even 6 months, that seems better to me than getting 5% or less return on a 3-6 month non-callable CD.
    Maybe I'm missing something with this logic. If so, I am a sucker. Been there many times :).
  • Current CDs are Compelling
    JPMorgan callables are sucker bait. They will be called, and as soon as possible.
    As the reputedly French adage goes, all generalizations are false including this one.
    Speaking as one of those suckers, I'll see what happens with my JPMorgan CD, possibly called in two days. It's still being quoted at 0.003% below purchase price, let alone price plus accrued interest.
    I picked it up at the end of last year to hold cash in my inherited Roth for this year's RMD. It locked in a good rate (5.35%) for at least six months (if called) and at most 9 months (maturity). I'm still expecting it not to be called, but if it is I can pick up a 3 or 4 month CD (non-callable) at 5.45%.