Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. If you want to get involved, click one of these buttons!

Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Grandeur Peak 3Q Commentary
    If this study can be believed, 90% of mutual funds assets are held by households and 10% is institutional. But this varies widely from one fund to another.
    http://www.icifactbook.org/fb_ch6.html
  • Best L/S Fund
    @Vintage Freak
    You are actually paying an 8.13% expense ratio according to the most recent prospectus and confirmed with a telephone call I just made to TFS Capital.
    Dang.
  • Best L/S Fund
    @Vintage Freak
    You are actually paying an 8.13% expense ratio according to the most recent prospectus and confirmed with a telephone call I just made to TFS Capital.
  • Why High Yield? Why Now?
    This is so true, Andy. the spreads snapped back with the vengeance: if one were to annualize the HY performance over the last couple of days, it would have been 106%! kind of telling how desperate market participants are for investment opportunities.
    It's breathtaking how quickly traders jump on any 'oversold'-like opportunity. That article was published today, apparently written a few days ago (it's a little stale on the HY spread peak, which happened last Wednesday per the FRED calculation). While the spread's still in decent 4+ territory, the data FRED uses says it's 58 basis points off the peak already, at 4.50% as of yesterday.
  • Catching falling knives
    >>>>>I think a lot of this lengthy discussion stems from Scott's "What are you buying ... selling ... pondering" threads. While I find the comments in those threads interesting, I've never seen them as meant to give actionable advice. If that's the intent, it might be a good idea for future contributors to include (1) an explanation of why they took the action, (2) the percentage of their overall holdings so invested and (3) the specific time frame (measured in weeks, months, or years) before which they expect to realize a profit. For my part, I'll refrain from mentioning any sales or purchases I've made in those threads in the future. <<<<<
    Couldn't agree more Hank!!! Some here have a seemingly unlimited bankroll and hold just about every listed stock and fund in the universe.
  • Why High Yield? Why Now?
    It's breathtaking how quickly traders jump on any 'oversold'-like opportunity. That article was published today, apparently written a few days ago (it's a little stale on the HY spread peak, which happened last Wednesday per the FRED calculation). While the spread's still in decent 4+ territory, the data FRED uses says it's 58 basis points off the peak already, at 4.50% as of yesterday.
    Best, AJ
    P.S. #1: The article referred to a different source for the spread.
    P.S. #2: Put the FRED chart at 1 year to be able to see the very recent movement in the spread clearly.
  • Catching falling knives
    "On this board, I look for well reasoned actionable advice."
    There's lots of advice here. Most I dare say sounds reasonable. Do I consider it "actionable"? Emphatically No. That's unless your time horizon is measured in decades. (Some of the best actionable advice in that regard pertains to buying low cost index funds.)
    Shorter term? ... Nobody really knows what will happen tomorrow or next month. Even a great house like T. Rowe Price cautions us in writing that the fund we're about to purchase may lose money. And the big fellas earning millions a year at the hedge funds don't get it right every time either.
    I admire Ol Skeet's willingness to spend so much time explaining his approach and trying to make it understandable. I'd never be able to articulate mine so clearly. As many know, Skeet's father was a long time investor and taught him much. So he's literally spent a lifetime watching markets. I'm sure many things he does are second nature to him, in the same way we learn to drive.
    I think a lot of this lengthy discussion stems from Scott's "What are you buying ... selling ... pondering" threads. While I find the comments in those threads interesting, I've never seen them as meant to give actionable advice. If that's the intent, it might be a good idea for future contributors to include (1) an explanation of why they took the action, (2) the percentage of their overall holdings so invested and (3) the specific time frame (measured in weeks, months, or years) before which they expect to realize a profit. For my part, I'll refrain from mentioning any sales or purchases I've made in those threads in the future.
  • M*: Updated Ratings On 18 Pimco Funds
    Moving over to Janus opens another can of worms as Janus has had their issues with ethics and SEC investigations.
    I don't see this as opening another can of worms. PIMCO made its own deals with Canary (for $25M) to allow Canary rapid trading while barring "regular" investors from doing that.
    That resulted in a $50M settlement between PIMCO and the SEC.
    Here's the SEC's notice of distribution of settlement money to shareholders (in 2011!).
    Best description of what PIMCO was doing I found in a quick search is in a WSJ article (as usual, follow this google link, click on first story: Scandal Tags Pimco Funds Run by William Gross
    And there were other misdeeds - Stephen Treadway (the former Chairman of the Board of Trustees of many of PIMCO's funds) personally settled with the SEC for failing to disclose a conflict of interest in setting up shelf space deals for funds handled by PIMCO's distributor.
    When using broad brushstrokes (PIMCO "has had their issues with ethics and SEC investigations"), a lot of families get tarnished. Details on Janus, like details on PIMCO, show that there were multiple subsidiaries and fund groups in each family, and only some of them were involved.
    (Though in PIMCO's case, while the bond funds weren't directly involved in the market timing, some were used to park the trading money - including Gross' funds - Total Return and Low Duration.)
  • Why High Yield? Why Now?
    This article has some good points on why high yield bonds are a good buy now even though investors have been pulling out of them.
    http://www.etftrends.com/2014/10/advisorshares-why-high-yield-why-now/
  • Quantitative Value ETF Launches Today
    Under symbol QVAL...
    here's opening price action on SA:
    image
    I enjoyed Dr. Gray's talk at recent Morningstar conference, summarized in October commentary.
    The fund employs a Benjamin Graham based value philosophy.
    Implemented in systematic quantitative fashion.
    Actively managed.
    No index.
    80% US stocks, typically.
    50 stock portfolio, typically.
    er = 0.79%.
    An international version is pending.
    Fact sheet and investment philosophy found on ValueShares by Alpha Architect's web site.
    And also described conceptually in good book by same name: Quantitative Value.
  • Midcap Stock Funds Feel Effects Of Pullback
    Yep,
    I usually try to keep about 35% of my equities in small & mid caps. Currently, I am now at about 25% combined based upon my most recent Instant Xray analysis. Seems some of my hybrid funds have reduced their allocation to them. I have considered doing some buying in the small/mid area since thier vauations have pull back. Ytd my small/mid cap sleeve has had positive returns at 1.7%. My best performer is PMDAX which is up 4.4% ytd.
    Old_Skeet
  • Best L/S Fund
    Hmmm...not sure how you are getting 8.13% ER for TFSMX. Also your suggestion for owning conservative allocation funds with bonds make sense, but wouldn't that be for a different part of the portfolio?
    TFSSX I will not buy unless the market really tanks. I'm not in love with it. I am actually cured of falling in love with any and all inanimate objects including mutual funds.
    FWIW I own VWELX @ Vanguard along with VTAPX. Someday it would make sense to move to VWIAX assuming more bonds is less risky proposition. With TFSMX and TFSHX I'm not looking to shoot the lights out. I'm treating them like cash substitutes. Now, on that front if we say they are not good funds, I get it. However if we are comparing them with L/S funds that are directional in nature, then I am not getting it. IMHO TFSMX and TFSHX are fulfilling their mandates.
  • Grandeur Peak 3Q Commentary
    Howdy @Roy and @JohnChisum
    The noted distribution of shareholders:
    Our client base is now comprised of:
    • Institutional Advisors/Consultants 43%
    • Institutions 19%
    • Retail Advisors 17%
    • Individuals/Retail Shareholders 13.5%
    • Family Offices 7.5%

    Our house holds non-Fidelity funds through our brokerage accounts at Fido, which includes GPROX.
    There are others at MFO who have similar holdings via brokerage accounts.
    Wondering where these accounts fit into the above list complied by Grandeur? Are we in the Individuals/Retail Shareholders category?
    I'm also in agreement that most retail/individual investors are not aware of Grandeur.
    Take care,
    Catch
  • Catching falling knives
    Hi Derf,
    Thanks for the question.
    In checking my weekly valuation log, I ended the third quarter about even with where it began but slightly up by only a couple of grand. So over those 13 weeks my pay was only a couple of thousand from investing if one were to choose to look at it in this light. I guess that is better than being down a couple thousand.
    However, my year-to-date total return through the third quarter was about 6.7%. As you may have guessed my production came during the first and second quarters.
    How about you? … After being down <3% for the third quarter ... How did you fair ytd?
    Old_Skeet
  • Catching falling knives
    Hi rjb112, Blitzer, John Chisum, V/F and others,
    Thanks again for your comments.
    If you were to look back through the historical postings here and at fund alarm you will find that in the past I go heavy in equities around fall and usually start to lighten up during the first quarter and on into and through the second quarter as we move from winter into and through spring. I am never all out of the markets as my allocation range for equities allows for a low range at 40% and a high at 70%. A neutral allocation in equities would be somewhere around 55%. I am currently about 5% heavy from neutral since equities are currently selling pretty close to fair value but we are now moving into the season where I have trended to go heavy equity. The recent pullback came at a time that I believe will add good value to my traditional seasonal move.
    Generally, when equities are oversold I’ll carry a greater allocation to them and when they have become overbought I’ll reduce my allocation in them. In addition, I follow a seasonal investment strategy and tend to overweight them based upon the calendar (STS) around fall and then let my capital gain distribution pay to cash thus automatically reducing my equity allocation (an automatic rebalance of sorts). Should I need to reduce equities farther I do it in steps as the market advances (selling into the advance) until my desired allocation is reached and/or my cash allocation has reached its upper range. Naturally, if things move against me, in a big way, I'll reduce my equity allocation in a defensive move down towards its low range.
    I call this a walking allocation because my asset allocation resets from time-to-time based upon market valuation, the calendar, and other considerations I feel that should influence its weighting.
    I hope this provides some insight as to how Old_Skeet governs as it does allow for some flexability based upon certain variables. However, since I am totally never out of the market I consider myself a long term investor that employees some special strategies form time-to-time.
  • Catching falling knives
    I think strategy like sts will work if we repeat a 15 year market like from 1998. So will a simp,e strategy around 10 month MA. Wonder why sts uses DJIA.
  • Catching falling knives
    @rjb112 Thought provoking comments, indeed. On this board, I look for well reasoned actionable advice. @Old_Skeet 's comments as reasoned from the streetsmartreport.com commentary seem to qualify, but I didn't take any action as that commentary doesn't reflect my investing strategy.
  • The Breakfast Briefing: U.S.
    FYI: Has fear already turned to greed? That’s the question at least one market watcher is asking now.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2014/10/22/morning-moneybeat-what-a-difference-a-week-makes-2/tab/print/
    Current Futures http://finviz.com/futures.ashx: