Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. If you want to get involved, click one of these buttons!

Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Things I'm Watching....
    Doing more waiting than watching, waiting for a correction of sorts so I can put my accumulating cash to work in my perpetual watch list. I tend to be 75-85% invested in equities at all times but nothing looks appealing at this juncture. In the meantime my income pays the bills and 5-5.15% interest in a MM account is satisfactory.
  • EGFIX (EDGEWOOD LARGE GROWTH FUND..BUY, SELL OR HOLD
    I don't like it. Its one of those funds that doesn't pay off the amount of risk you take. Overall I believe large growth is tough to outperform even on a risk adjusted level. especially using expensive funds. (2% outperformed the LCG index over the last 10 year period) and its tough to figure out which one is going to do it but your best shot would be focusing on lower cost active but to be completely honest, it could be more prudent to just focus on the large cap growth indexes and find active management elsewhere.
    It seems a lot of people have their favorites here and those could be worth looking into. contrafund, fidelity bluechip (non diversified technically), TR AllCap, Fido OTC, all seem to this point to have decent management going on.
  • Current CDs are Compelling
    JPMorgan callables are sucker bait. They will be called, and as soon as possible.
    Respectfully disagree. I was looking for a good 1 yr cd. I found a new 5 yr cd paying 6% (Goldman Sachs, better than any 1yr rate I could find) which is callable in 1 year. If it gets called in a year I'm happy as that was my target, if not I'll let the 6% cd ride.
  • Current CDs are Compelling
    @Old_Joe said:
    JPMorgan callables are sucker bait. They will be called, and as soon as possible.
    Only sucker bait if you don't expect the call, Dan. I've bought quite a few CDs and Gov. Agency bonds that have been called, but you can play that game to eek out a couple more dollars, I think. The purchase description will tell you when the "next callable date" is and the call schedule thereafter. So if you buy a 10 year bond with a 6% rate and it lasts a minimum of 3 or even 6 months, that seems better to me than getting 5% or less return on a 3-6 month non-callable CD.
    Maybe I'm missing something with this logic. If so, I am a sucker. Been there many times :).
  • ⇒ All Things Boeing ... NASA may send Starliner home without its crew
    For sure, they are safe. …. The old Kingston Trio song came to mind and couldn’t resist.
    In the same vein is this cover of David Bowie's Space Oddity recorded in the ISS a decade ago.

  • ⇒ All Things Boeing ... NASA may send Starliner home without its crew
    Thanks @Old_Joe for the technical details.
    For sure, they are safe. …. The old Kingston Trio song came to mind and couldn’t resist. Always there is at least 1 spare craft attached to the ISS as a safety precaution. Sometimes there are 3 or 4 different craft docked there. Pretty sure that’s the case today.
    However … it could prove somewhat embarrassing for Boeing were the Starliner deemed unfit for crewed reentry and the Boeing pilots forced to hitch a ride home on a SpaceX vehicle. Just noticed last evening one of my fixed income managers is holding an awful lot of Boeing paper. I hope he knows what he’s doing.
    -
    PS - An AI generated search says there are currently 8 docking ports on the ISS - 4 in the Russian segment and 4 in the U.S. segment. So, a maximum of 8 craft could dock at once. Keep in mind that some of these ports are used for uncrewed supply ships.
  • Longevity ETFs
    These are TDF ETFs (bond portfolios) with the option at target-dates (around 80) to change into CEFs (to be launched in future with term-structure & liquidation in 20 years) or remain in the ETF.
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1559992/000119312524164330/d822834d485apos.htm
    https://www.stoneridgefunds.com/
    https://x.com/ETFhearsay/status/1805011351401558498
    Edit/Add: 2 problems - 1) Long-term income from bond/Treasuries-only portfolio, 2) end-stage option with CEFs may not be popular and those may not even be launched on/after 2048. So, it's a very conditional product that may keep investors in bond-only portfolio for life. It does have catchy "Longevity" in its name.
  • Current CDs are Compelling
    Fed fund rate has been 5.25-5.50% since July 2023. But expectations of Fed actions have changed.
    The 3-mo T-Bill yields peaked at 5.348% in October 2023, and have recently dropped to 5.215%. M-mkt funds track 3-mo T-bills closely, with most of the differences coming from their ERs. Comparable government m-mkt funds are SNVXX (Schwab), SPAXX (Fido), VMFXX (Vanguard); there are better m-mkt funds with higher min and/or other restrictions; see a nearby thread by @msf.
    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$IRX&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p79674660313
    FRNs that reset weekly to 3-mo T-Bills have variable rate at 5.32%. FRN ETFs are USFR, TFLO.
  • Things I'm Watching....
    I am watching my Tech stocks as they are +10% of portfolio. How long can they keep going up. NVDA and AVGO lead the way for me. Do you take profit or not?
  • Capital Group’s Gitlin (Interview) // How do their offerings compare to others?
    Capital Group/American Funds is the class champion. It has up to 19 OEF classes - load, no-load (529, taxable, Retirement), and now has several ETFs. It has funds for many price points.
    I have had some lowest ER R6 classes in 403b.
    ....Which is why I've steered clear. How many stinking fund-classes do ya NEED? Nothing should be that complicated.
  • ⇒ All Things Boeing ... NASA may send Starliner home without its crew
    Charlie On The MTA. Yes, indeed. Apparently, the astronauts are safe for the time being inside the ISS.
    To paraphrase "Crash" Davis in Bull Durham: "Boeing couldn't hit water if they fell out of a f*****g boat."
    This is a dreadful state of affairs. I remember Apollo 13. THOSE boys responded to a huge problem and got the space-guys back home. Quality control EVERYWHERE has fallen into the toilet. On the earlier missions, was it all NASA guys who manufactured the parts and pieces? Seems to me we can't AFFORD to have the whole thing done in-house anymore, due to enormous deficit spending. Thus, oversight and quality control just suck. Like the food at school, my first two years in Spokane.
  • Capital Group’s Gitlin (Interview) // How do their offerings compare to others?
    Capital Group/American Funds is the class champion. It has up to 19 OEF classes - load, no-load (529, taxable, Retirement), and now has several ETFs. It has funds for many price points.
    I have had some lowest ER R6 classes in 403b.
  • Johnathan Clements
    I too have enjoyed his writings over the years. He seemed to be the type of person who would be willing to sit and have a few cups of coffee with you.
    Indeed, sad news.
    His 'C' page write, from June 15, is here.
    ADD: there is a comments area below his page write.
    Respectfully,
    Catch
  • ⇒ All Things Boeing ... NASA may send Starliner home without its crew
    Starliner Return Delayed by Leaks / Technical Issues
    ”Boeing … succeeded in getting NASA astronauts to the International Space Station, following weeks of delays. Returning them to Earth on the same spacecraft is proving another challenge. Problems with leaks and thrusters emerged after Boeing's Starliner vehicle launched this month with the astronauts Barry Wilmore and Sunita Williams on board …
    “With the latest postponement, the astronauts would spend about 20 days in space, more than double the roughly eight days originally planned. Starliner has been pinned down by two main issues: a series of helium leaks in a propulsion system and problems with several thrusters that are used to maneuver the vehicle. NASA and Boeing teams have been studying both issues before they permit Starliner to attempt to leave the station with Wilmore and Williams …”

    Excerpted from The Wall Street Journal June 20, 2024
  • Range-bound portfolio. Anyone else? Comparing notes
    @crash
    I cannot say there is a lot of rhyme my reason. I have always gravitated to value metrics, but have been burned many times for refusing "pay up" for stocks with high PEs. Using some of the classic "Value funds" over the years has precipitated some blow ups too especially with funds that remained concentrated in one bad position.
    A 50/50 value/growth spilt would have been much more productive.
    We have used the advisor for three years and other than the fact we disagree on selling a a stock down 25 to 30%, I am reasonably pleased with his "Buffet light" approach. It is well articulated and he knows the companies very very well. WIth a current P/S ratio 2/3s of market an P/FCF 50% of market, it is hopefully more resistant to the upcoming downturn. HEmanages about 45% of our equities. BKB.B is another 17%
    With this as a base, I chose my own other more growth oriented ideas. I am convinced for example that inflation will be sticky and energy use will be driven by electricity demand and industrials will respond to global warming mitigation ( and repair efforts). Thus we are overweight Energy and Utilities and Industrials.
    I am content plodding along, without huge gainsor big losses. I would reduce our equity % some more, but I hate paying taxes.
  • Seafarer Funds has filed a registration to offer retail class of its funds
    "A few families refuse to pay even the 10 basis points charged for TF funds."
    Dodge & Cox and Vanguard have refused to "pay to play."
    There are probably some other fund families that have also taken this stance.
  • Seafarer Funds has filed a registration to offer retail class of its funds
    The fees are definitely significant. A few families refuse to pay even the 10 basis points charged for TF funds. This is why Schwab and Fidelity have started charging TFs of $74.95 and $100 respectively for a few fund families such as Vanguard.
    Most TF funds pay Schwab an annual asset-based fee, typically 0.10% annually of the average fund assets held at Schwab, although the fee can range up to 0.25% annually.
    ...
    Most NTF funds pay Schwab's standard OneSource/NTF fund fee of 0.40% per year; however, the annual fee can range up to 0.45% of the fund assets held at Schwab.
    ...
    The information on this website was last updated May 1, 2024 and is subject to change without advance notice.
    https://www.schwab.com/legal/financial-and-other-relationships#panel--text-49651
  • Seafarer Funds has filed a registration to offer retail class of its funds
    For some reason, I thought Schwab and Fidelity typically charged ~25 bps for shelf space in their fund supermarkets. A 35 bps - 45 bps fee is a significant percentage of most mutual funds' expense ratios.
    The median expense ratios for equity mutual funds, hybrid mutual funds, and bond mutual funds were
    1.01%, 1.05%, and 0.72% respectively in 2023. The asset-weighted average expense ratios for equity
    mutual funds, hybrid mutual funds, and bond mutual funds were 0.42%, 0.58%, and 0.37% respectively in 2023.
    Please refer to Figure 2 (Tab 2) of the Excel spreadsheet below for additional information.
    http://www.ici.org/info/per30-02-data.xlsx
  • Seafarer Funds has filed a registration to offer retail class of its funds
    Seafarer may be creating this Retail share class to replace its Investor class shares. SFGIX has been closed since Sept 30, 2016.
    The Investor class was the class sold NTF. It carries a 0.15% fee to pay for the shelf space. Not as a 12b-1 fee. Funds can add these charges in other ways. Seafarer adds it as a "service plan" fee. Other funds burry these charges even deeper, adding them to the catchall bucket of "other fund expenses."
    The retail shares will retain the 0.15% service fee and add an additional 0.20% 12b-1 fee for a total of 0.35%. It thus circumvents the expectation that one won't pay more than 0.25% in extra expenses for an NTF no-load share class.
    This is not surprising as supermarkets like Schwab and Fidelity typically charge 35-40 basis points for shelf space. In its own way, Seafarer is to be commended for stating these fund expenses explicitly.