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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Getting off the sidelines - when?
    Missed opportunity. Could have laid all your money on ARKK Friday and cashed out today with a nice 9.5% overnight gain. Shucks!
  • International Version of PRWCX
    I own a substantial share of my IRA and Roth IRA in PRWCX. I'm looking for a similar fund which invests in the same fashion and falls into the same Allocation range 50 -70%, but which invests Internationally. I would also be open to a combination of funds if it follows the same approach. I'd appreciate any suggestions - clear
  • Federal Open Mouth Committee
    At 1.25% (from the current 0.25%) is still a way below the 2% when the pandemic started in March 2020. In combination with tapering, perhaps it may contain the 6% inflation.
  • A Bond ETF With An Equity Feel: (CWB)
    **EDIT**
    I edited my compare post and added JABAX to all periods. JABAX performance during GFC stands out.
    @yogi
    During Period 5, ANNPX co-relation with PRWCX is 0.91 and 0.89 with IWM.
  • Federal Open Mouth Committee
    “Fed's Daly supports rate liftoff in March, interest rates at 1.25% by end of year ” (1/31)
    Source
    Excerpt from Reuters - The U.S. Federal Reserve should start raising interest rates from near zero in March and can comfortably raise them to 1.25% by the end of the year, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly said on Monday.
    "If you get to that point, so say that's the reality, that's quite a bit of tightening, but it’s also quite a bit of accommodation left in the system because the terminal rate of interest is 2.5%, so you are supporting the economy, not pulling away the punchbowl completely and causing disruptions, but you are taking away some of the extraordinary accommodation we have been providing," Daly said in an interview with Reuters Breakingviews. "I think that balance is the appropriate thing to do with the uncertainty we face."

  • A Bond ETF With An Equity Feel: (CWB)
    @staycalm :
    One question if I may ?
    #1 has 4 entries.
    #2-#5 have 3 entries
    #6 has added VONE
    Possible no info for missing data (fund) ?
  • A Bond ETF With An Equity Feel: (CWB)
    I find yogibear explanation on recent performance of ANNPX co-related to small cap reasonable.
    A three month(or even 1 year) stretch of underperformance does not bother me within the context of solid longer term performance.
    Regards benchmarks, while ANNPX has performed well compared to SP500, I see a moderate allocation benchmark as more appropriate (PRWCX, VWELX, VBINX).
    Simplistically I see ANNPX performance close enough to PRWCX during periods 1-5 but significantly outperforming PRWCX by 10 points during period 6 which is impressive imo. As cherry on top, ANNPX even outperformed VONE during this period.
  • Federal Open Mouth Committee
    Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic told The Financial Times over weekend that the Fed may impose a 50 basis point rate hike in March.
    Saw that too in other sites and that could have sizable impact on the long bonds. Mid March is timeframe when it starts.
  • A Bond ETF With An Equity Feel: (CWB)
    davidrmoran said,
    What do you think has happened the last 3mos to underperform those four so significantly? Not that it matters.
    I have zero interest in the fund, but I am interested in the answer to David's question (maybe I missed it?). In fact, over the past 1 year convertibles as a group look horrendous compared to the S&P 500, the bench mark I see it compared to. S&P 500= +19%, ANNPX= -9%. ANNPX is slightly worst than the convertibles category the past year.
    In any case, sure looks like one would need a whole lot of conviction and long term staying-power to own this fund. I know I do not.
  • Cathie Wood Boosts Robinhood Dip Buying With Stock at Record Low
    What else peaked in February 2021? The EMs. Although ARKK doesn't have any EM stocks, the same speculative fervor that drove the EMs to February 2021 peak also drove ARKK. But then the Nasdaq peaked in early-November and ARKK was crushed again. So, there were 2 selloffs in ARKK, post-February and post-November (still continuing?).
    https://stockcharts.com/h-perf/ui?s=ARKK&compare=EEM,QQQ&id=p81561262402
  • Federal Open Mouth Committee
    Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic told The Financial Times over weekend that the Fed may impose a 50 basis point rate hike in March. Bostic is a FOMC participant and would have been covered by the aforementioned blackout.
    (Excerpt) The Federal Reserve could opt to raise its benchmark rate by 50 basis points if a more aggressive approach to taming inflation is needed, Raphael Bostic, president of the Fed’s Atlanta branch, told the Financial Times in an interview. Bostic stuck to his prediction that three quarter-point increases starting in March would be the most likely scenario, though stubbornly high consumer prices could justify a more robust rate rise …
    “Every option is on the table for every meeting,” Bostic said on Friday. “If the data say that things have evolved in a way that a 50-basis-point move is required or be appropriate, then I’m going to lean into that . . . If moving in successive meetings makes sense, I’ll be comfortable with that,” he told the newspaper.
    Story from Bloomberg
  • Cathie Wood Boosts Robinhood Dip Buying With Stock at Record Low
    ALL 42 holdings of Cathie Wood's ARKK are down YTD as of 1/28/22 (M* data).
    It peaked at $159.70 on 2/16/21, closed at $94.59 on 12/31/21, day-high was $97.17 on 1/3/22, and close was $68.91 on 1/28/22 (Stockcharts data).
    Loss from peak -56.85%, YTD loss -27.15%, loss from Jan 3 high -29.08%.
    http://portfolios.morningstar.com/portfo/details?t=ARCX:ARKK&region=usa&culture=en-US
  • Cathie Wood Boosts Robinhood Dip Buying With Stock at Record Low

    “Wood’s firm ARK Investment Management bought nearly 2.44 million Robinhood shares on Friday, the most since its stock market debut in July, according to trading data from Ark compiled by Bloomberg. The buying came on a day when the firm’s stock at one point dropped below $10, before staging a rebound in line with the broader U.S. market. Robinhood still trades 67% below its initial public offering price and ranks among the worst high-profile global stock market debuts during the pandemic, joining the likes of China’s Didi Global Inc. and London’s THG Plc.”
    Story
  • A Bond ETF With An Equity Feel: (CWB)
    #5 covers quite a bit of the period that Giroux has been running PRWCX so while still lower than PRWCX still a strong performance.
    This fund is definitely on my buy list now, just need to figure out an appropriate entry point.
  • A Bond ETF With An Equity Feel: (CWB)
    5 is the coolest of these imo , makes the convertible thing look special in these guys’ hands
  • A Bond ETF With An Equity Feel: (CWB)
    Using a few pre-defined periods as per MFO, here are some APR stats
    (1)CV19 Bear(Bear 6): 202001 - 202003
    FAYZX: -10.9
    FPURX: -11.3
    ANNPX: -11.5
    JABAX: - 11.6
    PRWCX: -12.0
    (2)GFC Bear(Bear 5): 200711 - 200902
    JABAX: - 16.6
    ANNPX: -26.0
    PRWCX: -28.9
    FPURX: -30.0
    (3)Dec '18 Selloff: 201812 - 201812
    FAYZX: -3.4
    ANNPX: -4.4
    PRWCX: -4.6
    JABAX: - 4.7
    (4)Rising Rates: 200406 - 200702
    PRWCX: 12.8
    ANNPX: 11.7
    FPURX: 10.4
    JABAX: 9.8
    (5)Full Cycle 5: 200711: 201912
    PRWCX: 9.1
    ANNPX: 8.3
    JABAX: 7.9
    FPURX: 6.9
    (6)Full Cycle 6: 202001: 202112
    ANNPX: 28.1
    VONE: 23.6
    FPURX: 19.7
    PRWCX: 18.3
    JABAX: 15.6
  • Getting off the sidelines - when?
    Looking at stock alternatives.....A chart that shows some of what's worked and what hadn't worked through the third week of the year.
    image
    From: BDC Market Weekly Review
  • A Bond ETF With An Equity Feel: (CWB)
    Thanks for your response.
    Based on your stats, ANNPX performance has indeed been excellent for the 3 Yr. / 5 Yr. periods.
  • A Bond ETF With An Equity Feel: (CWB)
    I agree VONE is not in the same asset class as ANNPX. I compared them based on the list of funds in David's comment. My comment was intended to show that I was evaluating ANNPX different than David.
    Nobody know how convertibles will perform in the future of course but ANNPX outperforming SP500 over a 28 year period with a lower DD, higher Sortino and the same manager is quite extraordinary.
    Very few funds have outperformed SP500 at the 25+ year mark and none with the same lead manager.
  • TRP ridiculousness
    I bought ENIC using my TRP brokerage account. On Friday, they PAID a very small "interim" dividend. It's still not recorded in my sweep account.
    [...]
    .....But it's not there....... yet. ORK!
    Are you sure that the ADR div has been paid?
    Here's a div announcement sheet from Citi saying that ordinary shares were to pay on Jan 28th, but the US ADR payment date was TBA (as of Nov 29th).
    Looking at the last time there was a small Jan div (record date Jan 24, 2020), the pay date was two weeks later (Feb 7). Assuming that pattern holds, given that the record date now is Jan 21, 2022, one would expect to see the div paid about a week from now.
    Here are sites giving the ADR div's historical ex-, record-, and pay-dates:
    Citi, M*, and Dividend Investor, the pay date for the ADR has not been determined.
    Ordinary shares underlie ADR shares: https://www.sec.gov/investor/alerts/adr-bulletin.pdf