Wow! Lots to unpack there...I'll just address a couple points.
DODFX appears to be team managed with
5 of the 8 managers being there since 2001-2007. It's been a mediocre, M* 3-star fund in all report periods, 3 years,
5 years and 10 years.
What makes you think that somehow that same mgmt team that has only produced 3-star ratings for their entire tenure are all of a sudden gonna turn this fund into something they've been unable to do during their entire 10-20 year tenures?
DODFX has had negative returns in 4 of the past 10 years, with double-digit losses in 3 of them, 2011, 201
5 and 2018, ranging between -11% to -18%. It's actually in the RED in 2020, in a year when worthy FLV funds like CIVVX are UP
5%.
You've already posted that DODIX has virtually matched DODFX's 10-yr performance with DODIX only having ONE small loss in ONE year. (Actually, it lost -0.
59% in 201
5 and -0.31% in 2018.)
All that said, DODFX and DODIX are an apples and oranges comparison, or more accurately, 90/10 Foreign/US stocks vs 90/10 US/Foreign bonds.
DODFX's SD is
5x-6x that of DODIX and that's not going to change much at all, overnight, or over a 3-10 year period.
I kindly suggest that you spend a little time examining exactly what these funds respectively own, and what SD and other risk measurements mean (see Investopedia link), and how those two items make this decision pretty easy.
https://www.investopedia.com/investing/measure-mutual-fund-risk/The conclusions that should be drawn are:
DODFX is a mediocre FLV stock fund that has only kept pace with IC+ bond fund DODIX for the past ten years.
DODFX is inherently a much higher risk fund than DODIX and the chance of it not meeting investors return expectations is significantly higher.