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This week, well; the "love" is a bit on the edge. A bit twitchy in some sectors, overpriced perhaps; not unlike sectors in equity. Whata-ya-gonna-do ???bonds found some "lovers" this past week
Morgan Stanley Institutional International Opportunity / MIOIX was mentioned in today's Barron's Daily Roundup (aftermarket), viz., "These 7 Funds Beat the Market Without Owning the FAAMG Stocks":My favorite fund is MIOPX which is managed by Kristen Heugh. This is a strong international fund with broad exposure to Europe as well as emerging markets. Ben suggested their global fund which is also excellent. If you run the numbers you'll see that it consistently outperforms all other funds internationally over 3, 5, and 7 years. In a down market it will get hit, but it actually held up well in March this year
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4371273-buffett-is-genius-investor-is-why-you-should-forget-indicator
Why Is The Buffett Indicator Less Meaningful Now?
The first argument is that the current Buffett Indicator reading includes the very steep GDP drop that occurred during Q2. Almost all analysts forecast that this GDP drop will not be a lasting one and that the US economy will fully recover in the not-too-distant future. The current GDP reading is thus artificially low due to the pandemic impact during the most recent quarter.
On top of this issue, there are other, more structural and long-term reasons why the Buffett Indicator reading maybe isn't as meaningful as it used to be.
1.Tax Rates.
2. More overseas revenues and profits
3. Changes in the industries that make up the US market capitalization
4. Interest rates and inflation are lower
5. Buffett himself seems to have lost confidence in the indicator
Because they have massive markets outside the US, and are smart enough to invest in them in the portfolio. It's not a "foreign" fund. International means including US funds.Just checked out the holdings of VWIGX, Vanguard INTERNATIONAL Growth Fund. How are Tesla and Amazon considered international equities?
Pardon a bit of cynicism here, but it doesn't take two decades to come to this conclusion. Unless something unspoken has changed, like risk. Not necessarily risk to the investor, but to Vanguard. Jane Bryant Quinn wrote in 1990:Over the past two decades, Vanguard’s approach has helped Prime Admiral Shares outperform 97% of the competition. However, Prime Investor Shares have only slightly outperformed Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund over this same time period. This shift in the fund’s portfolio [to US government securities] underscores Vanguard’s belief that government money market funds can better meet investor needs for capital preservation and liquidity while avoiding undue risk.
https://www.chicagotribune.com/news/ct-xpm-1990-05-21-9002110461-story.htmlThe last year has seen at least two near-misses. Integrated Resources defaulted on commercial paper that was being held by some money funds, and paper owed by Mortgage & Realty Trust was threatened. Among the victims: funds carrying the good names of Value Line, Liquid Green, Alliance and T. Rowe Price.
In each case, the sponsor stepped in to absorb the loss. But if it hadn`t, the fund`s investors would have come up short.
@rforno: I see IVOL at 52 week high. How long have you had your eye on this ETF ?
Stay Safe, Derf
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