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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Rotation from growth to value
    One didn't need to look at any funds to see this. The sharp divergence between the Dow (value leaning), the S&P 500 (blend), and the Nasdaq 100 (growth) has been very apparent over the past couple of days. (There's a reversal today, so far.)
    Chart with DIA, VFINX, QQQ over past few days.
  • Futures jump with news on vaccine for covid (news link from CNBC)
    Exclusive: Europe to pay less than U.S. for Pfizer's German BioNTech vaccine under initial deal
    By Francesco Guarascio, Reuters - 9:56 AM ET 11/11/2020
    BRUSSELS (Reuters) - The European Union has struck a deal to initially pay less for Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine candidate than the United States, an EU official told Reuters as the bloc announced on Wednesday it had secured an agreement for up to 300 million doses.
    The experimental drug, developed in conjunction with Germany's BioNTech , is the frontrunner in a global race to produce a vaccine, with interim data released on Monday showing it was more than 90% effective at protecting people from COVID-19 in a large-scale clinical trial..
    Under the EU deal, 27 European countries could buy 200 million doses, and have an option to purchase another 100 million.
    The bloc will pay less than $19.50 per shot, a senior EU official involved in talks with vaccine makers told Reuters, adding that partly reflected the financial support given by the EU and Germany for the drug's development.
    The official requested anonymity as the terms of the agreement are confidential.
  • Roth IRA- Preferred buying and holdings-Owners in their 80's
    Hi ron,
    IMHO there’s too many variables to arrive at an answer, though various good approaches may be considered. There’s so many variables I won’t even attempt to list them. I’m 74 with 65-70% in Roths and the remainder in Traditional IRAs. I don’t pay a lot of attention to how the money is divided between the two, with a few exceptions.
    - I try to have my best quality funds inside the Roth. There are various ways to assess funds - time held and your own experience being good barometers.
    - I’ve avoided holding cash inside the Roth. What little I hold is either in the Traditional or completely outside the deferred accounts. (However, I do have some bond funds in the Roth).
    - I maintain a few “duplicate” holdings in both the Roth and Traditional which allows me added flexibility when moving money around.
    - Your age, portfolio approach, risk tolerance and other circumstances have more to do with choice of funds than whether you are in a Roth or Traditional.
    Let’s assume your question relates only to the more aggressive (riskiest) portion of your portfolio. Here’s the three funds that comprise what I’ve coined the “Equity-Hedged” portion of mine: DODBX, RPGAX, PRWCX. Each has the potential to provide returns far above those of cash or bonds. Each has some component (or quality) that “hedges” losses in a bear market. I mention these only by way of example and they are not intended to be advice or recommendation.
    Word of caution: Portfolio construction first. Roth & Traditional assignment later.
    PS - At 80+, unless you really enjoy the “hunt” and tolerate losses well, you might consider putting a bundle in a good 40/60 balanced fund and letting it ride. There are many. One good one from TRP, where I mostly invest, is TRRIX. It’s a distinctly “non-exciting“ fund.
    Good luck.
  • Rotation from growth to value
    Have anyone notice the recent changes of growth stocks to value stocks ?
    Vanguard growth index, VIGAX, -1.54% on 11/10/20
    Vanguard value index, VVIAX, +1.44% on 11/10/20
    Since the announcement of Pfizer's vaccine, rotation to non-tech sectors has accelerated. Also all my value oriented funds are moving up much faster than the growth funds.
    I would like to hear your thoughts.
  • Markets in V-mode: vaccine hopes, Biden bounce in play
    A quick look at recent market moves (with visuals).....
    Joe Biden’s U.S. presidential election win and a promising vaccine breakthrough have combined to propel global stock markets to record highs in the last week, upending the virus-led investment strategies that have been in play since March.
    1/ A SHADE OF BLUE IN GREEN STOCKS
    2/ BIDEN WAVE IN DEVELOPING WORLD
    3/ CALMING NERVES
    4/ EQUITY RECORD (with a value tilt)
    5/ COMMODITY CURRENCIES
    6/ DEBT DUMPED, YIELDS JUMPED
    https://reuters.com/article/us-global-markets-biden-vaccine-graphic/markets-in-v-mode-vaccine-hopes-biden-bounce-in-play-idUSKBN27R1TN
  • Gold Prices Fall By Most In 3 Months on Covid Vaccine News
    In its latest Form 13F filing, Warren Buffet invested $597,856,475 in Barrick gold (miner stock). His investment is evolving as many of decision are made by his successors.
    https://forbes.com/sites/robertberger/2020/08/28/warren-buffetts-gold/?sh=24cebf506a63
  • Roth IRA- Preferred buying and holdings-Owners in their 80's
    Roth money is often mentioned as the last pool of money that one should draw from.
    I agree , but I tend to also see Roth money as a pool of money that one can pull from at anytime in retirement. Spending these Roth withdrawals as income has the advantage of making your spending go further since it can be spent tax free.
    Early on in my savings career my Roth dollars were positioned in my most aggressive investments. As I have entered retirement, I have re-positioned 3-5 years of income needs using Roth dollars. I place these Roth dollars into less aggressive investments while the rest attempts to grow aggressively (long term).
  • HECM Reverse Mortgage Thread
    Reverse mortgages are very fee expensive and complicated for possible heir(s). Believe you will have to talk with counselor which is required where I live. Better to take out a HELOC than reverse mortgage. If you belong to credit union, you may find better rates on HELOC.
    Should you pursue a reverse mortgage definitely discuss with potential heirs so they are aware of it. There are time restrictions for heirs in which to satisfy the reverse mortgage should they want to keep the house.
    Tom Selleck will not do a reverse mortgage so why hype it?
    https://www.investopedia.com/mortgage/reverse-mortgage/5-signs-reverse-mortgage-bad-idea/
    https://www.reversefunding.com/pros-cons
  • Parnassus Endeavor Fund management changes
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/747546/000089706920000438/cmw237.htm
    497 1 cmw237.htm
    Filed Pursuant to Rule 497(e) and Rule 497(k)
    1933 Act File No. 002-93131
    1940 Act File No. 811-04044
    Parnassus Endeavor Fund
    Investor Class PARWX | Institutional Class PFPWX
    November 10, 2020
    Supplement to the Statutory Prospectus dated May 1, 2020,
    As Amended and Restated Effective as of August 5, 2020
    and
    Supplement to the Summary Prospectus dated May 1, 2020
    Portfolio Manager Change
    Effective as of January 1, 2021, Billy J. Hwan will become the sole portfolio manager of the Parnassus Endeavor Fund. Mr. Hwan has served as a Portfolio Manager of the Parnassus Endeavor Fund since May 1, 2018, and has served as a Portfolio Manager and a Senior Research Analyst at Parnassus Investments (the investment advisor to the Fund) since 2012. Effective as of December 31, 2020, Jerome Dodson will no longer serve as a portfolio manager of the Parnassus Endeavor Fund. Mr. Dodson will continue as the Chairman of Parnassus Investments.
    ******
    Please Read Carefully and Keep for Future Reference
  • Gold Prices Fall By Most In 3 Months on Covid Vaccine News
    Where is rono and others who invest in gold ?
    End of day update - Miners lost a bit over 6% today. About what they gained 3 or 4 days ago. Re @rono. He posted on the OT board last week. Sounds well. I agree we could benefit from more of his wisdom regarding gold.
    Bottom line, from my point of view, however - It takes a strong stomach and a certain degree of conviction to mess around with the miners. 6% swings in one day aren’t to be taken lightly. 30-50% 1-year swings sometimes occur.
  • Futures jump with news on vaccine for covid (news link from CNBC)
    This bear just threw part of his towel in. I put a quarter of my cash to work, bringing me from 50% to 62% or so equities. I'll be dollar averaging the rest in over the next year, unless we finally do get that correction of my dreams first.
  • Opened on 11/2/20 - TLDTX / T Rowe Price Ltd. Duration TIPS Index Fund
    TLDTX ER after wavier .21%
    Stumbled on this by accident. Was going to move a bit into their existing (managed) Limited Duration TIPS fund (TRBFX) when this one popped into view. TRBFX has a duration under 2 years. I couldn’t dig up the duration on this one, although I know the index is a 1-5 year index. Thus, duration is hopefully 2.5 years or less.
  • Futures jump with news on vaccine for covid (news link from CNBC)
    More on this from The Guardian:
    Hopes are soaring that a Covid vaccine is within reach, following news that an interim analysis has shown Pfizer/BioNTech’s candidate was 90% effective in protecting people from transmission of the virus in global trials.
    The vaccine performed much better than most experts had hoped for, according to the companies’ analysis, and brings into view a potential end to a pandemic that has killed more than a million people, battered economies and upended daily life worldwide.
    The data is from an interim analysis and the trial continues into December but the headline results were emphatic. Regulators will be looking to process an emergency licence application at record speed.
    Manufacturing is already under way. Pfizer said they expect to supply globally up to 50m vaccine doses in 2020 and up to 1.3bn doses in 2021. Countries will decide who they prioritise for vaccination.
    The news comes too late to help Donald Trump’s re-election campaign in the US, but the vice-president, Mike Pence, tried to claim their administration’s Operation Warp Speed programme had helped the vaccine’s development.
    Pfizer denied the suggestion:
    “We were never part of the Warp Speed,” Kathrin Jansen, a senior vice-president and the head of vaccine research and development at Pfizer, said in an interview. “We have never taken any money from the US government, or from anyone.”
    BioNTech, the small biotechnology company that is the originator of the vaccine, was founded by two married German scientists, Uğur Şahin and Özlem Türeci, both born to Turkish immigrant parents, and the Austrian oncologist Christopher Huber. It originally set out to develop new types of immunotherapy for cancer, but has concentrated its capacities on the race for a Covid-19 vaccine.
    There are so far no safety concerns around the vaccine, with the two companies reporting no serious side-effects. The high percentage of those protected makes it especially compelling. Regulators have previously said they would approve a vaccine that has just a 50% effectiveness rate – protecting half of those who get vaccinated.
    “We are reaching this critical milestone in our vaccine development programme at a time when the world needs it most with infection rates setting new records, hospitals nearing over-capacity and economies struggling to reopen.”
    The above report was lightly edited for brevity.