I thought we would make it to month end before I'd be scribing another barometer report but with Friday's upward move and +7
5 point day gain in the S&P
500 Index puts Old_Skeet's market barometer into overvalue range with a reading of 143. This is a 10 point decline for the week. The overvalue reading is on the low side of the barometer's scale, from fair value, with the readings of overbought and extremely overbought following as the barometer readings decline. Generally, a lower barometer reading indicates that there is less investment value in the Index over a higher barometer reading.
For the week the Index moved upward +8
5 points from 2790 to 287
5 for a +3.0% gain. This puts the Index up off it's recent
52 week low by +28.
5% but down by -1
5.1% off it's
52 week high. With this, the Index remains in correction territory. The yield advantage remains with the stock Index at 2.07% vs 0.6
5% for the US10YrT. Short volume in the Index remains high at 69% (weekly average) while the VIX has declined to the mid 30% range. Seems, the shorts continue to bet against the rally. For the week the three best performing sectors were consumer discretionary +7.86%, health care +6.34%, and technology +4.79%.
So where does this put Old_Skeet with respect to his portfolio? As of Friday my portfolio bubbles at 13% cash, 38% income and 49% equity. My temporary rebound asset allocation is 10% cash, 4
5% income and 4
5% equity. With the FOMC & Treasury buying bonds and lending to state and municipal governemnts I'm still with my plan to continue to buy on the income side of my portfolio. I plan to soon start a rebalance process where I will be reducing my equity allocation and moving the sell procees to the income side of my portfolio. Overall, my portfolio is performing much like a conserative asset allocation fund that holds 30% to
50% equity.
For the week my three best performing funds were on the equity side of the portfolio. They were SPECX +6.42% ... KAUAX +
5.89% and, AGTHX +
5.83%. Year-to-date my best performing fund is CTFAX +9.
59%. It is a flexible portfolio fund that adjust it's stock allocation to the movement of the S&P
500 Index. At the beginning of the stock market swoon it was 1
5% equity and now holds 70% equity. Sometime within the next week (or the next) I look for it to start it's rebalance process where it will begin to sell down its equity allocation, booking some profit, and increasing it's bond allocation. Based upon the S&P
500 Index's current reading of 287
5 I look for it to adjust to a 3
5% (maybe 40%) equity allocation with the balance being in bonds and cash.
For those interested, you can learn more about CTFAX by clicking on the below link.
https://www.columbiathreadneedleus.com/investment-products/mutual-funds/Columbia-Thermostat-Fund/Class-A/details/?cusip=197199755&_n=1Thanks for stopping by and reading.
Take care ... be safe ... and, I wish all ... "Good Investing."
I am, Old_Skeet