Cathie Wood Boosts Robinhood Dip Buying With Stock at Record Low With the Q's down 10+% for the month AND ARKK arguably invested in the most speculative issues within them is anyone really surprised that her fund is being crushed as it is? Do you give her credit for sticking with her investment thesis like you do for Hussman and Grantham who have been wobbly wrong for how long again? Arguably she does stick her views and opinions right out there nearly begging for it but so do many others.
BTW - her fund pulled in some additional $168 million in January to date.
Matt Murray, WSJ: "Over the past week, with prices in Cathie Woods’ ARK Innovation ETF back at mid-2020 levels, investors have put about $168 million into the fund, boosting its net assets to $11.8 billion—a noteworthy vote of confidence for a fund that has dropped 27% this month and lost half its value over the past year, as its brand of investing in largely unprofitable, untested firms has fallen out of favor. "
A Bond ETF With An Equity Feel: (CWB) I find yogibear explanation on recent performance of ANNPX co-related to small cap reasonable.
A three month(or even 1 year) stretch of underperformance does not bother me within the context of solid longer term performance.
Regards benchmarks, while ANNPX has performed well compared to SP500, I see a moderate allocation benchmark as more appropriate (PRWCX, VWELX, VBINX).
Simplistically I see ANNPX performance close enough to PRWCX during periods 1-5 but significantly outperforming PRWCX by 10 points during period 6 which is impressive imo. As cherry on top, ANNPX even outperformed VONE during this period.
A Bond ETF With An Equity Feel: (CWB) davidrmoran said,
What do you think has happened the last 3mos to underperform those four so significantly? Not that it matters.
I have zero interest in the fund, but I am interested in the answer to David's question (maybe I missed it?). In fact, over the past
1 year convertibles as a group look horrendous compared to the S&P 500, the bench mark I see it compared to. S&P 500= +
19%, ANNPX= -9%. ANNPX is slightly worst than the convertibles category the past year.
In any case, sure looks like one would need a whole lot of conviction and long term staying-power to own this fund. I know I do not.
Cathie Wood Boosts Robinhood Dip Buying With Stock at Record Low What else peaked in February 202
1? The EMs. Although ARKK doesn't have any EM stocks, the same speculative fervor that drove the EMs to February 202
1 peak also drove ARKK. But then the Nasdaq peaked in early-November and ARKK was crushed again. So, there were 2 selloffs in ARKK, post-February and post-November (still continuing?).
https://stockcharts.com/h-perf/ui?s=ARKK&compare=EEM,QQQ&id=p81561262402
Federal Open Mouth Committee Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic told
The Financial Times over weekend that the Fed may impose a 50 basis point rate hike in March. Bostic is a FOMC participant and would have been covered by the aforementioned blackout.
(Excerpt)
The Federal Reserve could opt to raise its benchmark rate by 50 basis points if a more aggressive approach to taming inflation is needed, Raphael Bostic, president of the Fed’s Atlanta branch, told the Financial Times in an interview. Bostic stuck to his prediction that three quarter-point increases starting in March would be the most likely scenario, though stubbornly high consumer prices could justify a more robust rate rise …
“Every option is on the table for every meeting,” Bostic said on Friday. “If the data say that things have evolved in a way that a 50-basis-point move is required or be appropriate, then I’m going to lean into that . . . If moving in successive meetings makes sense, I’ll be comfortable with that,” he told the newspaper.
Story from Bloomberg
Cathie Wood Boosts Robinhood Dip Buying With Stock at Record Low
Cathie Wood Boosts Robinhood Dip Buying With Stock at Record Low “Wood’s firm ARK Investment Management bought nearly 2.44 million Robinhood shares on Friday, the most since its stock market debut in July, according to trading data from Ark compiled by Bloomberg. The buying came on a day when the firm’s stock at one point dropped below $10, before staging a rebound in line with the broader U.S. market. Robinhood still trades 67% below its initial public offering price and ranks among the worst high-profile global stock market debuts during the pandemic, joining the likes of China’s Didi Global Inc. and London’s THG Plc.”Story
Global Markets Holidays thru April 15, 2022 Thanks for posting the calendar. HK is trading this evening (Sunday evening/night, Central time) but China is not, so I checked the calendar and found the following market closures:
China 1/31/22 - 2/4/22
HK 1/31/22 (1/2 day) - 2/3/22
Singapore 1/31/22 (1/2 day) - 2/2/22
S Korea 1/31/22 - 2/2/22
A Bond ETF With An Equity Feel: (CWB) Using a few pre-defined periods as per MFO, here are some APR stats
(1)CV19 Bear(Bear 6): 202001 - 202003
FAYZX: -10.9
FPURX: -11.3
ANNPX: -11.5
JABAX: - 11.6
PRWCX: -12.0
(2)GFC Bear(Bear 5): 200711 - 200902
JABAX: - 16.6
ANNPX: -26.0
PRWCX: -28.9
FPURX: -30.0
(3)Dec '18 Selloff: 201812 - 201812
FAYZX: -3.4
ANNPX: -4.4
PRWCX: -4.6
JABAX: - 4.7
(4)Rising Rates: 200406 - 200702
PRWCX: 12.8
ANNPX: 11.7
FPURX: 10.4
JABAX: 9.8
(5)Full Cycle 5: 200711: 201912
PRWCX: 9.1
ANNPX: 8.3
JABAX: 7.9
FPURX: 6.9
(6)Full Cycle 6: 202001: 202112
ANNPX: 28.1
VONE: 23.6
FPURX: 19.7
PRWCX: 18.3
JABAX: 15.6
A Bond ETF With An Equity Feel: (CWB) I pointed out in the last post that convertibles are issued by speculative, low-rated companies and those haven't been doing well lately. I verified this further by checking correlations using PV: ANNPX has higher correlation with VTWO (small-cap R2000) than with VONE (LC R1000); the SAME for FCVSX. Checked R2000/IWM/VTWO lately?
Getting off the sidelines - when? Looking at stock alternatives.....A chart that shows some of what's worked and what hadn't worked through the third week of the year.

From:
BDC Market Weekly Review
Getting off the sidelines - when? Market movements this past week suggested to me the TINA way of viewing the stock market still had some life left in it. Perhaps there is enough ambiguity in the current situation that can continue to be the case at least for "a while".
FWIW - While
Barron’s “sounded the alarm” (loudly) this week through its regular “Up & Down Wall Street” column, the underlying sentiment seemed to be that markets would grind higher thru most of 2022 with a recession beginning in early 2023. Pure conjecture of course. But based on the typical historical 8-
14 month interval between the beginning of sustained Fed rate hikes and onset of recession.
Above referenced column was penned this week by Ben Levisohn substituting for Randall Forsyth.
Bill Gross Reportedly Made $10 million on GameStop Frenzy - WSJ One veteran who said he made millions on GameStop was Bill Gross, the retired “bond king” and former star manager at California money management giant Pacific Investment Management Co. As the GameStop frenzy was reaching a fever pitch, the billionaire said his “heart has been with Main Street for many years.” He also warned investors betting on volatility options that they were “fish at the poker table” and “not part of an educated investment mob.”
Mr. Gross personally sold stock options when the Reddit investors were buying them. It wasn’t a sure bet. Mr. Gross said in a Wall Street Journal podcast last year he was down $10 million at one point before emerging with a $10 million gain as GameStop’s shares nosedived. “It felt good,” he said. “It was an experience. It’s like the first time you drove your car, or the first time you went down the ski slope.” He declined additional comment through a spokesman.
Excerpted From:
“Heard on the Street - Who Got Rich from the GameStop Revolution?” - WSJ January 29, 2022
(Unable to provide a subscription free link.)
A Bond ETF With An Equity Feel: (CWB) It is fair to compare convertibles (hybrids) with moderate-allocation funds. However, the convertibles market is much more speculative now than a few years ago. Many speculative companies (startups, early-stage, low-quality) issue convertibles to get lower interest rates. A beauty of convertibles is that if the stock does well and trades above the conversion price, the debt goes away and becomes equity - so the company doesn't have to pay back debt in a traditional sense. Keep this in mind to assess why convertibles have tanked lately along with the selloff in speculative stocks - convertibles were hot in 202
1 but are cold now. Tesla/TSLA is a big issuer of convertibles.
Chart
https://stockcharts.com/h-perf/ui?s=ANNPX&compare=FCVSX,FMSDX,FPURX,PRWCX&id=p99932100988