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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • I am losing my patience with TBGVX ?
    @msf. agreed- Several great ideas ! ( thanks ) and I think it has gotten a bit confusing because....
    1. I asked to consider a "global blend manager" in the hopes that might put the decision making between Value & growth in the hands of the manager. Perhaps that is not the smartest way to gain the exposure that I think I need. As I stated in the opening post - it has been a long wait for the value proposition to kick in. I welcome your comments on the issue of Value vs. Growth at this time
    Here are my priorities
    2. I am willing to give up on the upside for protection on the downside - so I have been looking at the Sharpe and Martin Ratio, and Max DD in the MFO screener. Is there better process for evaluating the risk ?
    3. EM was only referred to because I stated that I was moving on to researching small/mid and EM next/separately - I am not screening it as an alt to TBGVX.
    TBGVX is 68% Western Europe 13% U.S (that slug of US probably helped the performance vs. a strict Foreign only fund - ARTKX has outperformed in 1/3/5 years, but as you point out has had steeper MAXDD in 2011 and 2018.
    I am already holding MINIX, TBGVX (in a 401k that I did not sell), DFALX that I can't sell due to cap gains in it.
    does that add clarity ? Your advice is welcome.
  • Fidelity Disruptors Fund - FGDFX
    https://institutional.fidelity.com/app/proxy/content?literatureURL=/9898959.PDF
    Using the above link, on pages 17 and 18 Fidelity explains the investment process and the portfolio construction parameters of their Disruptive Funds.
    ...
    It also states that FGDFX has "equal weight exposure to the five five Disruptive Funds
    Nice find!
  • I am losing my patience with TBGVX ?
    People are offering many good fund names. Though they are all over the map, e.g. global, growth (notably Morgan Stanley), EM. High risk, low risk. More clarity on what you're interested in would help.
    For example, you are sick of waiting on value, but you're not sure if you want to bail on it totally. You put your five star fund(!) up against an index fund in a different category (foreign large cap blend).
    There are only five foreign LCV retail funds that have posted better performance than VEA over the past 1, 3, or 5 years: FIINX, EPDPX, EPIVX, KGIRX, VTRIX. Something has to give: commitment to value or a sense of what constitutes "decent" returns.
    Or perhaps it's the demand for low risk that needs to be relaxed. When a fund earns five stars, it's because of risk adjusted performance. That can be achieved either through earning outstanding returns, offering a lot of protection, or a balance of the two. TBGVX's returns have been "only" above average and average, respectively, over the past three and five years. But it still earned 5 stars over three years and 4 stars over five because its risk as calculated by M* was low.
    VTRIX is one of the half dozen high performing FLV funds listed above. However, to achieve that it took on more risk - "average" per M*. You can see how the risk played out. Each year in the past decade when it lost money (2011, 2014, 2015, 2018) TBGVX out performed it by 5%-10%.
    Note that M* risk is very different from max drawdown. If low drawdown is your sine qua non of risk management, then throw the star ratings out the window, because it barely registers in the calculation.
    FWIW, between 10/31/2007 and 3/9/2009, TBGVX lost "only" 50.5%, compared to VTRIX's loss of 59.3%, and VTMGX's loss of 60.6%. (The VEA share class doesn't go back that far.)
  • I am losing my patience with TBGVX ?
    One can see this massive dispersion occurring between growth and value applies to emerging markets just as much as in the U.S. if you compare the stats for PRIJX versus ARTYX:
    https://morningstar.com/funds/xnas/prijx/portfolio
    https://morningstar.com/funds/xnas/artyx/portfolio
    In some respects I feel all the issues in the U.S. with e-commerce tech stocks killing everything else and investors being willing to pay exorbitant sums to own them are just exacerbated in these developing nations. In other words, companies like Mercado Libre--Latin America's Amazon--aren't exactly cheap, so ARTYX has an average 51 trailing p-e while PRIJX has a 13 one. Will the trend ever reverse and if so, when? Those are the questions.
  • One fund to Rule them all
    If over 55 years of age I would probably chose Vanguard Wellesley even though dealing with Vanguard has become an unpleasant experience. But then I wouldn't invest in only one fund.
  • I am losing my patience with TBGVX ?
    @bee VGWLX is 60/30 equity /bonds and of the equity 59.21% U.s. so not what I am looking for . I am looking for the holy grail - Smart international or global manager with decent returns and some downside protection. not heavy with U.S and Faangs as I do not want to increase my exposure there ,
  • Fidelity Disruptors Fund - FGDFX
    @catch22 - Thanks! Cool site. I wasn't aware that they broke down quotes/data like this.
    Trying to stay warm but a winter storm just kicked off about 30 minutes ago. It was about 35 degrees this am when I was out rescuing wholly bear caterpillars off my patio and placing them under a pile of leaves. Just in the nick of time judging by the forecasters and it looks like it's headed your way eventually. Happy Holidays!
  • Fidelity Disruptors Fund - FGDFX
    @Mark
    Agree.
    Whatever may be their mindset for how they choose where to be positioned, one has to be impressed with ARK management. ARKG is running circles around similar funds/etfs in the same sector(s).
    ARK invest
    ADD: A bit of a different data view. Save the site if you choose and place whatever ticker for your viewing. Don't forget the "SEE MORE" clickables near the data info.
    Stay warm. A short lived 50 degrees in parts of Michigan right now.
    Catch
  • Investing at the All Time Highs In VFINX
    Since 1988, investing at all time highs of the S & P 500, has been a better strategy:
    image
    Article:
    investing-in-stocks-at-all-time-highs/
    Article on Investing During Market Highs:
    what-if-you-only-invested-at-market-peaks
  • Fidelity Disruptors Fund - FGDFX
    https://institutional.fidelity.com/app/proxy/content?literatureURL=/9898959.PDF
    Using the above link, on pages 17 and 18 Fidelity explains the investment process and the portfolio construction parameters of their Disruptive Funds.
    Apparently, the PMs meet monthly and on an ad hoc basis to review portfolios, and quarterly an unnamed CIO "challenges PMs on alignment with disruptive themes and overlap across funds".
    It also states that FGDFX has "equal weight exposure to the five five Disruptive Funds".
    Fred
  • I am losing my patience with TBGVX ?
    PRCNX lands in Morningstar's Foreign Large Blend category although its investment style was classified as Foreign Large Value in 2019 and 2020. The fund's trailing 3 Yr. and 5 Yr. returns were average while its risk was below average (according to M*).
    The lead manager, Federico Santilli, has also steered RPICX (PRCNX clone) since 07-27-10.
    Since inception, RPICX annual returns have been top-quartile in six out of nine calendar years.
    The fund's trailing 10 Yr. return was top decile while its risk was low (according to M*).
    Here's a snippet of William Rocco's (M*) take on PRCNX published on 11-25-20.
    Santilli pursues compellingly priced companies with superior
    competitive positions in attractive industries, strong
    fundamentals, solid balance sheets, and proven
    leadership. While doing so, he invests across the
    market-cap and style spectrums, readily allows his
    stock selection to lead to atypical country and sector
    exposures, and invests in roughly 60-70 stocks while
    keeping the largest positions moderate in size. This
    approach is sound and distinctive and has an attractive
    mix of bolder and tamer traits that provide this fund
    with a fighting chance of outperformance without
    taking on excessive risk.

  • I am losing my patience with TBGVX ?
    I got out of TBGVX many years ago, but that's when it was riding high and hot.
    GGSOX Limited history here. "Smid" fund.
    FIEUX Europe
    ...Still ironing-out the Brexit. Once that's in the rearview mirror, I think both UK and the continent might do very well, in reaction. And then there's the Covid stimulus.
    FWWFX Worldwide large stocks.
    RPGAX Global Allocation, includes bonds.
    PRGSX Global Stocks. Right now, it's about 50/50 foreign and domestic.
    Almost all my stuff is with TRP, but I don't own these.
  • I am losing my patience with TBGVX ?
    It has underperformed BM and VEA 1/3/5/ year. drawdowns only slightly better than the index.
    I am looking for a suitable replacement - I will happily give up some of the upside for some protection on the downside
    ( why I chose TBGX in the first place) . I understand that Value has underperformed, and not giving up on Value. I am all set with International growth. TBGVX is 68% Europe At the moment.
    I am thinking a a global Manager with a flexible mandate ?
    I have been eyeing PRCNX and some Multicap - any thoughts ?
  • AlphaCentric Prime Meridian Income Fund raises initial minimum investment
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1697196/000158064220004585/acpmi497.htm
    497 1 acpmi497.htm 497
    AlphaCentric Prime Meridian Income Fund
    (the “Fund”)
    December 22, 2020
    The information in this Supplement amends certain information contained in the Fund’s current Prospectus and Statement of Additional information (“SAI”), each dated April 24, 2020.
    ______________________________________________________________________________
    The Fund’s Board of Trustees approved increases in the minimum purchase requirements for regular accounts from $2,500 to $10,000 and for retirement plan accounts from $1,000 to $10,000.
    All references to the minimum investment amounts contained in the Fund’s Prospectus and SAI are hereby revised accordingly.
    * * *
    You should read this Supplement in conjunction with the Fund’s Prospectus and SAI, which provide information that you should know about the Fund before investing. These documents are available upon request and without charge by calling the Fund toll-free at 1-888-910-0412, or by writing to the Fund at c/o U.S. Bancorp Fund Services, LLC, 615 East Michigan Street, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 53202.
    Please retain this Supplement for future reference.
  • T. Rowe Price Global Real Estate Fund manager change
    In normal time REITs pay a healthy dividend plus stock appreciation. Through this year's pandemic, the drawdown of the REIT index was 35% in March as shopping malls and hotels were affected badly. The index is still in red but likely to recover after the vaccines are widely distributed to the general population.
  • T. Rowe Price International Discovery Fund manager change
    Great fund. 8% of my own portfolio. Up 11.35% over 10 years. But it's a CLOSED fund. That won't help anyone who wants to GET IN. ..... The switch does not appear to be sudden. That, at least, is reassuring.
  • FAIRX - blast from the past
    This entertaining to say the least. Didn't Bruce also tank on Wash Mutual? As I remember he lost millions but refused to concede.
    Joins a long list of mangers who start believing themselves to be omnificent and won't listen to reason or sensible portfolio management principles
    Add to the list of star funds that crash SEQUX and valaent pharm
    LLPFX Disappointing for years. Now top position good old Century Link "These results call to mind other cases in which the fund's highest-conviction holdings have not worked out, such as with Dell DELL and Chesapeake Energy CHK." M*
    The bottom line is beware concentrated portfolios, especially when all the stocks are in the same general sector or type of security.
    I would be very careful of any fund with a single position larger than 3 to 5%
    FAIRX has three stocks now
    Why do you need an ER of 1 plus % and dozens of analysts to track 15 positions?
  • FAIRX - blast from the past
    Fell for both CGMFX and FAIRX. Did okay on CGMFX; got out of FAIRX too late to have realized net gains beyond what a decent bond fund would have given me over the same period.
    Kick myself a bit on FAIRX because I knew I wasn't comfortable with the way Bruce was getting waaaay too overexposed, as well as some of his bizarre personnel decisions. He was spending a bit too much time drinking his own bathwater, and I ultimately got too nervous and XFER'd out.
    Now, as a rule, I never let such "moonshot" active funds be more than 7.5% of my total portfolio.
  • T. Rowe Price International Discovery Fund manager change
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/313212/000174177320003678/c497.htm
    497 1 c497.htm
    T. Rowe Price International Discovery Fund
    Supplement to Prospectus Dated December 15, 2020
    In section 1, the portfolio manager table under “Management” is supplemented as follows:
    Effective January 1, 2021, Mr. Thomson will step down as a portfolio manager and Cochair of the fund’s Investment Advisory Committee. Mr. Griffiths will remain as portfolio manager and Chair of the fund’s Investment Advisory Committee.
    In section 2, the disclosure under “Portfolio Management” is supplemented as follows:
    Effective January 1, 2021, Mr. Thomson will step down as a portfolio manager and Cochair of the fund’s Investment Advisory Committee. Mr. Griffiths will remain as portfolio manager and Chair of the fund’s Investment Advisory Committee.
    The date of this supplement is December 21, 2020.
    F38-041 12/21/20
  • FAIRX - blast from the past
    I haven't heard much about Ken Heebner in years.
    He was a real "cowboy" investment manager back in the day.
    The trailing returns for the CGM Focus Fund occupy the bottom percentile (100) in the Large Blend category for the 1,3,5,10, and 15 year periods ending 12-18-2020.
    The fund's standard deviation is also considerably higher than that of its category peers.