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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • 10 High-Yield ETFs for Income-Minded Investors
    https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/etfs/602375/high-yield-etfs-for-income-investors
    *10 High-Yield ETFs for Income-Minded Investors
    These high-yield ETFs show that there's no shortage of ways to balance risk and reward in the quest for better-than-average income.*
    -SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend ETF (SPYD,)
    -Invesco KBW High Dividend Yield Financial ETF (KBWD)
    -Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ,)
    _Global X SuperDividend REIT ETF (SRET)
    - iShares Global Energy ETF (IXC)
    -Alerian MLP ETF (AMLP)
    -Amplify High Income ETF (YYY)
    -iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (USHY)
    -Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond (vwob)
    -Global X U.S. Preferred ETF (PFFD)
    We have couple of these
    Real estates / energy and bank sector are doing quite well posted c19
    Will look more at YYY (carefully) and vwib, may get vwib
  • William Bernstein at Morningstar
    Going oppo here...
    Seems that Steve Romick, FPA has had a great investing career...has outperformed the SP500 and VWELX with less drawdown over his tenure
    Who else has had the staying power and adaptability to roll with the times??
    Baseball Fan
  • A Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency thread & Experiment
    When you cannot beat them, maybe reasonable to join them/ add small amounts at a time. Don't bet the whole house but just *play money* like going Vegas
    Our bitcoin GBTC holding comprise ~ 0.0005% of portfolio. You may expect loose the whole house on Bitcoin.
  • William Bernstein at Morningstar
    I think Tillinghast must have great PR people - he has been flamed out.
    https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/perf.php?FLPSX,IVOO,vo
    uh, perhaps you have not kept up; compare FLPSX vs VOE and MCV index 1-2-3-4-5y
    (not sure those are the fairest comparisons, but whatever)
    plus you get usually a good slug of foreign stocks
  • William Bernstein at Morningstar
    Fund managers can typically only beat the indices over the short-term, as the law of averages catches up. Sometimes a PM gets hot....and then later on, not so hot....
    Ken Heebner at CGM was briefly a god in the 1990s.
    Bill Gross was the bond king for a while. Is Mohamed El-Erian still all that?
    Rob Arnot (Pimco All Asset Authority)
    Jeffrey Vinik did ok (Fido Magellan/hedge funds)- but he cashed out in 2000.
    Bill Miller - mentioned by OP
    Bruce Berkowitz - Fairholme Fund
    Dodge & Cox fund family (still respected by many)
    Personally, I think the odds are high that Cathie Wood's ARK will flame out.
    https://www.aei.org/carpe-diem/more-evidence-that-its-really-hard-to-beat-the-market-over-time-95-of-finance-professionals-cant-do-it/
  • A Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency thread & Experiment
    So, I’ve been watching Bitcoin and cryptocurrency news like many have over the last year or two. I’ve been encouraged to invest in it ... when it was in the $1,000-1500 price range. I dismissed the advice and thought it was a fad. I watched it gyrate between 1500 to 20,000 to 50,0000 and back to 35,000 and below.
    Each time... I referred to the volatility as a reason to justify avoiding it as an investment.
    But in the last 6-8 months, I’ve watched companies like Microstrategy and Tesla and Insurance companies decide to invest ALOT of capital (Billions!) in this digital currency that is currently unregulated. That lack of regulation is what draws investment by the uneducated but it’s also what worries me the most. Elon and Michael et al are saying that parking cash in Bitcoin is smarter than and more appreciative than watching their cash lose value in the bank due to inflation.
    That said, it did not stop me from investing a whole $50.00 into Bitcoin. Not Bitcoin Cash but Bitcoin. More on that distinction later.
    My chosen platform for this experiment? The PayPal app - where you can buy as little as $1.00 of Bitcoin. It’s likely not as efficient as a platform like eToro or Coinbase. My first $50.00 purchase of Bitcoin was at the beginning of the year. I have DCA into it and as of today- it’s at an all time high. I fully expect it will drop 50% or more in the next 6 months. I’ll provide exact details of my total investment in the near future.
    Purpose of this thread? A cryptocurrency experiment. Can I / We use the volatility of Bitcoin and “market timing” and crypto to make money? Of course, the risk is that while I’m experimenting...it becomes a legitimate gold alternative— a better place to park cash as Elon and Michael Saylor are saying. If adoption continues to rise (and it IS)... I may regret not accelerating the investment. The opposite can happen too. It could crash as it has done previously... but can I or We trade in and out and make money? Can you?
    Would appreciate replies that include stories or links promoting or detracting from the crypto conversation. I think it’s a worthy subject or topic for the investing community to monitor and evaluate. In full disclosure, I’m highly skeptical of crypto and generally conservative.
    YTD... my return is +15% in Bitcoin. I’ll share specific details on total investment in a future post. At the moment, 1 Bitcoin is worth $55,500.00 Thoughts?
  • Digging into Ark Innovation's Portfolio
    @davidmoran I’m more comfortable with mutual funds - it’s what I know. That said, there are times I wished I could buy and sell my funds a bit quicker vs. 2 day turn around for 2 different fund family exchange . Not that I do that much. But... anyway. Perhaps that will change in the future?!?!
    I really like FBALX - I’m with @catch22 there.
    I don’t currently own any ETFs but I do own some Bitcoin which is up 15% YTD. I’m going to start a thread on the topic.
    It’s good to be a skeptic but it’s also good to be open minded to new things.
  • William Bernstein at Morningstar
    Great discussion! https://www.morningstar.com/articles/1028671/bill-bernstein-were-starting-to-see-all-of-the-signs-of-a-bubble
    Here’s a clip”
    Benz: Earlier on when we were discussing the whole bubble phenomenon, you referenced the entry of a star manager or star funds as being a characteristic of the bubble. So, I wanted to talk about the ETF, ARK Innovation, which has grabbed headlines and investor dollars over the past year. It's recently hit a rough patch of performance. What's your take on that fund?
    Bernstein: Ah,here's where the parlor game comes in. And then I'll get to it when we're done with the parlor game, which is there's three of us here, and I'm going to start off with what puts me at a disadvantage, by naming a historical star manager, who was an absolute superstar who then planted their face, and then you each have to go and name your own. The last person standing is the one who wins. So, I'm going to start with the easiest one, which is Bill Miller of Legg Mason Value Trust--readers who aren't familiar with him--know beat the S&P 500 not just over 15 years, but for 15 straight years, every single year. And people thought that he was the financial fountain of youth. And then, he lost it all within the next three years after that. That's my entrant.
    Rbrt
  • Small Cap Value
    Agreed, VSCIX is a great, SCB Index fund. Pretty steep min at $5M though. If interested, try VSMAX Admiral shares at $3K min.
  • YTD Losers for Me: MSEGX ARTYX FSEAX and MACGX
    Thanks for the feedback. Yes, I didn’t really DCA and bought at the high. That said, I didn’t purchase 100% of what I wanted in each of those funds. Roughly 50%. Upon reflection, I should have gone in with 15 or 25 and then DCA the rest of the way. So, after due diligence... do I still have faith in those funds _ long term.... even though I bought at the ultra high... well I believe so. That’s where your comments above and below are very valuable. So, now I’m left with adding to my expensive funds. Perhaps I learned a good lesson and I’ll steadily add the next 50%. Of course, now the market is on the rise... so I’ll just need to time it the best that I can. I feel blessed that the other funds I own are all in the green and I divested bonds at the right time. Still learning.
  • IVA Worldwide and International Funds to liquidate
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1437921/000094937721000052/supplement.htm
    497 1 supplement.htm
    IVA FIDUCIARY TRUST
    IVA Worldwide Fund
    IVA International Fund
    Supplement dated March 10, 2021 to the
    Summary Prospectuses, Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information,
    each dated January 31, 2021 for the
    IVA Worldwide Fund and IVA International Fund (each a “Fund” and, together, the “Funds”)
    This supplement updates information in the Summary Prospectuses, Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information of the IVA Fiduciary Trust (the “Trust”) dated January 31, 2021. You may obtain copies of the Summary Prospectuses, Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information free of charge, upon request, by calling the toll-free number (866) 941-4482 or by visiting the Trust’s website at www.ivafunds.com.
    IMPORTANT NOTICE
    On March 10, 2021, the Board of Trustees (the “Board”) of the Trust, on behalf of each of its series, the Funds, and upon the recommendation of the Funds’ adviser, International Value Advisers, LLC (the “Adviser”), approved for each Fund a plan to liquidate the Fund (the “Liquidation Plan”), which will take effect on March 10, 2021 (the “Effective Date”). The Adviser has informed the Board of its intention to close all investment products with the intention of deregistering as an investment adviser and terminating its existence. As of the Effective Date, each Fund will begin liquidating its portfolio assets and shall hold or reinvest the proceeds thereof in cash and such short-term securities as the Fund may lawfully hold or invest. As a result, the Funds will not be pursuing their investment objectives after the Effective Date. The liquidations are expected to take place on or about April 19, 2021 (the “Liquidation Date”).
    As of the close of business on the Effective Date, purchases are no longer permitted and each Fund is closed to new and existing investors, including shareholders who hold an account directly with a Fund and those shareholders who invest in a Fund through a financial intermediary account, a financial platform, defined contribution, defined benefit or asset allocation program (collectively, “financial intermediaries”), and shareholders who invest through automatic investment plans. In addition, as of the close of business on the Effective Date, exchanges and reinvestment of dividends into the Funds are no longer permitted.
    At any time prior to the Liquidation Date, shareholders may redeem their shares of a Fund pursuant to the procedures set forth in the Prospectus, as supplemented. Any shares of the Funds outstanding on the Liquidation Date will be automatically redeemed on that date. Any such redemptions will not be subject to any sales charges, including contingent deferred sales charges. Any such redemptions will not be subject to redemption fees or limitations on redemptions in connection with policies designed to deter short term trading. Further, any such redemption will generally be considered a taxable event for federal income tax purposes. Shareholders who hold their shares in a Fund through a financial intermediary should contact their financial representative to discuss their options with respect to the liquidation and the distribution of such shareholders’ redemption proceeds.
    IVA Worldwide Fund recently received payment from the French government of reclaims with respect to French taxes previously withheld from French-source income earned by the Fund. The payment is subject to federal income tax claims that will be determined pursuant to a closing agreement between IVA Worldwide Fund and the Internal Revenue Service (the “Service”). The amount received, less the estimated taxes and related expenses, is included in the current net asset value of IVA Worldwide Fund’s shares. It is likely that a closing agreement with the Service will not be reached prior to the Liquidation Date, resulting in a delay in the distribution of the after-tax, after-expense reclaim amount to shareholders being redeemed on the Liquidation Date.
    Additionally, both IVA Worldwide Fund and IVA International Fund have pending certain additional foreign tax reclaims, both in France (which are not included in share net asset value due to uncertainty regarding the receipt of payment with respect to such reclaims) and in other countries (which are included in share net asset value). Because payment of any such reclaims may not be received prior to the Liquidation Date, or prior to the termination of the Trust and the Funds, the Board has reserved the right to amend each Fund’s Liquidation Plan, based on developments with respect to the likelihood of the receipt of payment of such reclaims, in order to make arrangements to increase the ability of the Funds to receive such reclaims and distribute the resulting after-tax amounts to shareholders. Such arrangements could include the establishment of liquidating trusts designed to receive reclaim amounts, negotiate any necessary closing agreements with the Service, fulfill tax reporting requirements and make distributions to shareholders. Such arrangements would result in additional costs to the Funds, which costs will be borne increasingly by shareholders remaining in the Funds when and if such arrangements are adopted. The shareholders remaining in the Funds will also receive the benefit of such additional tax reclaims and other receivables as the Funds are able to collect by or, if applicable, after the Liquidation Date. The Board will take into account the delays and costs, as well as the possible benefits, involved in any such arrangement as part of its consideration of whether or not to amend the Liquidation Plans.
    Shareholders, particularly IRA account holders and qualified plan participants, should consult with their own advisors regarding the potential income tax consequences of delayed distributions and participation in liquidating trusts.
    Please retain this supplement for future reference.
  • YTD Losers for Me: MSEGX ARTYX FSEAX and MACGX
    Eeesch....
    The four listed funds include two Morgan Stanley funds, one Fidelity fund, and one Artisan Partners fund. All four funds are top funds in their respective categories and some could easily be regarded amongst/as Best in Class.
    Morgan Stanley and Artisan Partners are recognized leaders in world stock and bond investments. MS and Fido have offices all across the globe. FSEAX may very well be Fido's best foreign fund (EM specifically) with a very experienced EM PM.
    RE: AP...
    https://www.artisanpartners.com/individual-investors/investments/global-equity-team.html
    Excerpt:
    The investment team combines the benefits of strong leadership with the creative ideas of experienced research analysts.
    The portfolio managers are supported by 15 analysts that average more than 15 years of investment experience and have significant experience within their sectors/regions of expertise.
    The team is supported by a dedicated Chief Operating Officer, who oversees all non-investment related matters so the team can focus on investments.
    The team is supported by an experienced global trading desk that averages more than 16 years of experience in global markets.
    The team is located in San Francisco and New York with research offices in London and Singapore.
  • YTD Losers for Me: MSEGX ARTYX FSEAX and MACGX
    JG: VERY impressed that you would start a thread to point up your LOSSES!. How refreshing to see honest, full disclosure by a poster. Congrats to YOU!
    Actual YTD TRs:
    MSEGX -0.93%
    ARTYX -2.99%
    FSEAX +1.08%
    MACGX +0.57%
    As I trust you know...
    These are all great funds in areas that should do well this year (and likely beyond though EMs are a trading category for me.)
    Apparently, based on your YTD TRs vs Actual YTD TRs, your BUY timing was bad and likely worsened by having dumped in rather that DCA'ing in. (Forgive me for my candor and if I'm wrong on that.)
    I know it's painful/stressful to see losses like that. Take heart though if you went into these for the long haul. They will recover. With the daily moves we've seen in these funds, know that your TR losses can be erased in them in just a couple of days.
    Positive spins:
    Well first, a reminder of the legendary advice of a former M* poster, "Volatility is the price you pay for growth."
    I always try to see a positive in my goofs. On these, I'd be telling myself that I learned my lesson that with high fliers like these, I MUST ensure that I will treat them like individual stocks in the future and ALWAYS DCA into them over a period of at least a couple of months.
    Disclaimer: I own three of the listed funds. I either owned the full positions in 2020 or finished DCA'ing into them in early 2021. My YTD TRs therefore are/are closer to their actual TRs.
    Aside: Hang in there JG - you did very well with your selection process but just didn't execute the BUY process to your best advantage. Looking forward to the day this year when you post how much you are UP on each of these.
  • Market bull Jeremy Siegel warns the Nasdaq rebound will unravel, favors value stocks
    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2021/03/09/nasdaq-rebound-will-unravel-whartons-jeremy-siegel-warns.html
    ***Market bull Jeremy Siegel warns the Nasdaq rebound will unravel, favors value stocks
    The Nasdaq rebound may last shorter than a New York minute.
    Wharton School finance professor Jeremy Siegel sees near-term trouble, saying the backdrop is dramatically supporting the reopening trade over Big Tech and growth plays.***
    Qqq may have another 10 15% before rsi reaches 70%
    Maybe still some gas left in the tank
    https://www.barchart.com/etfs-funds/quotes/QQQ/cheat-sheet
  • JASVX - James Alpha Structured Credit - 30 mos, only 1 neg
    I wouldn't put my life savings into this fund but I do own it as a satellite position and pleased so far. Even though it's short-lived it did great in the COVID drawdown (max DD 6.33) compared with IOFIX (max DD 37.95% during the same swoon). I'd say that's pretty good for CAGR of 10.68% and Sharpe of 1.5% since inception.
  • Digging into Ark Innovation's Portfolio
    @JonGaltill - I started investing in the ARK funds mid-2020 so I guess you could say that those are the ones I like. BUT, the Fidelity offerings are new and some folks are just more comfortable with mutual funds v. ETF's. Here is what Fidelity is offering and you will notice similarities to ARK's funds. I guess it all depends on what an investor is most comfortable with and where one thinks they see opportunity. I get my leads from my 30-40 year old children along with a boat load of their friends and associates, what they use and what they get excited about.
    1) Fidelity® Disruptive Automation Fund (FBOTX) - Invests in companies leading the way in automation, from industrial robotics to artificial intelligence and autonomous driving.
    2) Fidelity® Disruptive Communications Fund (FNETX) - Invests in companies changing the way we connect and communicate, from social media to 5G-related digital infrastructure and the internet of things.
    3) Fidelity® Disruptive Finance Fund (FNTEX) - Invests in companies helping to deliver more efficient and customized financial solutions, such as digital payments and internet banks.
    4) Fidelity® Disruptive Medicine Fund (FMEDX) - Invests in companies that are transforming medical diagnostics, therapies, and services, from gene therapy to robotic surgery and digital health platforms.
    5) Fidelity® Disruptive Technology Fund (FTEKX) - Invests in new technologies such as companies delivering cloud computing, harnessing big data, and transforming consumer experiences through internet and mobile platforms.
    6) Fidelity® Disruptors Fund (FGDFX) - Brings together 5 disruptive themes—automation, communications, finance, medicine, and technology—in a single fund.
  • JASVX - James Alpha Structured Credit - 30 mos, only 1 neg
    I share JonG's conservatism, though mine is based on additional concerns.
    The fund is submanaged by Orange Investment Advisors. The day-to-day managers of the fund are the Orange ones: Jay Menozzi and Boris Peresechensky. Both came over from Semper where they worked together. IMHO that's the first clue about the kinds of risks one might expect with this fund. Not that SEMMX didn't do well when they were there, but that they may manage in a style (or part of the market) that does well until it doesn't.
    Then there's the fund family James Alpha. A dozen funds, mostly in non-mainstream categories: Long Short Equity, Long Short Bond, Market Neutral, four Multialternatives, two Options Based, a Managed Futures. Then there's its largest fund, a Global Real Estate fund (80% of the family's AUM), and this one.
    M*'s analysis of the family is consistent with what one might guess from this lineup. The family is a liquid-alt shop with expensive funds. Five funds were launched in 2017, and two others were liquidated in the past couple of years.
    These are the reasons I would tread carefully.
    Regarding the numeric comparisons:
    - I don't find anything magical about 0% return; I would much rather have a fund that lost a quarter point in each of a few months and did well in the others than a fund that chugged along earning little in most months and never having a losing month.
    - Until this year M* classified the fund as nontraditional. In comparing with its peers, are people comparing against its newfound peers or funds in its nearly lifetime category? For that matter, I have more general issues with comparing nontraditional funds, as that category is somewhat of a grab bag for funds that don't fit elsewhere.
    - JASVX's 2019 return was 8.97%, per M*.
    http://performance.morningstar.com/fund/performance-return.action?t=JASVX
    Its prospectus (and M*) report that the 2019 calendar year return for the cheaper (I) share class JSVIX was 7.31%. I get concerned when numbers that should be very similar aren't close. Needs more research.
    https://info.jamesalphaadvisors.com/l/660023/2021-01-11/2d98t/660023/1610405927j8bMUFZj/2020_03_30_SAT_JA_Structured_Credit_Value_Port_Class_A_C_I_Final.pdf
  • JASVX - James Alpha Structured Credit - 30 mos, only 1 neg
    JonG, this mutual fund is considered a multi-sector Bond fund that seeks to outperform the U.S. aggregate Bond index, but with lower volatility. It focuses mainly on MBS (mortgage backed securities).
    Not sure it would be fair to compare this fund to an Equity index (S&P 500).
  • JASVX - James Alpha Structured Credit - 30 mos, only 1 neg
    Short Life. I like longer lifes. In short life... still trailed the S&P 500 and that's a benchmark I compare all funds to. On the plus side its APR vs Peer is positive. But I would wait to see more history before I would invest in this fund. But Note: I'm on the conservative side. I always prefer a longer history on funds unless I'm looking at it for my speculative lottery casino have fun with it... like I do with some limited Bitcoin experiments - which are up 10% YTD ... imagine that.